Updated Sep. 19, 2019 at 11:20 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rangers have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1470, down 6 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros100-53
AthleticsAthletics92-618.095%<1%
RangersRangers74-7926.0
AngelsAngels69-8431.0
MarinersMariners65-8835.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/20Friday, Sept. 2010:07 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1470+352=150339%
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
15606+26=158061%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 219:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Burke, Brock
Burke
147011+0=145931%
OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1560+15+24=159969%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 224:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1470+38+0=150839%
OAKOAKAthletics
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1560+0+24=158461%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 248:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1538+303=156560%
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14702+22=149040%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 258:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
153818+0=152049%
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1470+35+24=152951%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 262:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15384+0=153457%
TEXTEXRangers
Burke, Brock
Burke
147011+24=148343%
9/27Friday, Sept. 278:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Happ, J.A.
Happ
158731=158357%
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1470+38+24=153243%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 288:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1587+19+0=160664%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1470+13+24=150736%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1587+18+0=160566%
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14702+24=149234%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 188:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14713+0=146825%2
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1591+43+24=165875%3
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 178:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1472+39+0=151130%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1590+47+23=166070%4
9/15Sunday, Sept. 153:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1559+12+0=157162%6
TEXTEXRangers
Hernandez, Jonathan
Hernandez
147310+24=148738%1
9/14Saturday, Sept. 148:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
15581+0=155752%8
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1474+42+24=154048%6
9/13Friday, Sept. 138:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1556+52=155959%14
TEXTEXRangers
Burke, Brock
Burke
14763+24=149741%9
9/12Thursday, Sept. 128:05 p.m.TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
154229+0=151352%4
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14751+24=149848%6
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 118:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Kittredge, Andrew
Kittredge
154323+0=152057%9
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
147328+24=146943%10
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 108:05 p.m.TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
1542+151=155654%5
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1475+32+23=153046%3
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1473+40+0=151361%10
BALBALOrioles
Wojciechowski, Asher
Wojciechowski
1411+4+24=143939%4
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Hernandez, Jonathan
Hernandez
147111+0=146055%9
BALBALOrioles
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
14128+24=142845%4
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Burke, Brock
Burke
1470+6+0=147654%7
BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1413+12+24=144946%6
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
146942=146350%3
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1415+28+23=146650%1
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 46:35 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1470+33+0=150337%1
NYYNYYYankees
Green, Chad
Green
158212+24=159463%4
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 36:35 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Volquez, Edinson
Volquez
147117+0=145429%1
NYYNYYYankees
Paxton, James
Paxton
1580+9+24=161371%10
9/2Monday, Sept. 21 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1467+353=149933%7
NYYNYYYankees
Tanaka, Masahiro
Tanaka
1584+11+24=161967%0
9/1Sunday, Sept. 13:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146616+0=145045%11
TEXTEXRangers
Martin, Brett
Martin
147013+24=148155%3
8/31Saturday, Aug. 318:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
146711+0=145644%2
TEXTEXRangers
Burke, Brock
Burke
1470+4+24=149856%3
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1468+21+0=148951%3
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
14688+24=148449%6
8/29Thursday, Aug. 298:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Hernandez, Felix
Hernandez
1467134=145039%5
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1470+34+21=152561%3
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 2810:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Clase, Emmanuel
Clase
146810+0=145844%3
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
148810+24=150256%0
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 2710:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1469+362=150346%2
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1487+24+23=153454%5
8/25Sunday, Aug. 252:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Burke, Brock
Burke
1470+0+0=147048%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1460+0+24=148452%2
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
146814+0=145444%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1462+9+24=149556%0
8/23Friday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1471+41+0=151257%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
146019+24=146543%8
8/22Thursday, Aug. 228:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
1473223=144848%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
145817+22=146352%6
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
14926+0=148643%7
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+40+24=153657%8
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 208:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1493+5+0=149852%2
TEXTEXRangers
Burke, Brock
Burke
14719+24=148648%3
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 202:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1491+17+0=150855%5
TEXTEXRangers
Palumbo, Joe
Palumbo
147323+24=147445%1
8/19Monday, Aug. 198:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Peters, Dillon
Peters
149243=148550%7
TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
147211+24=148550%8
8/18Sunday, Aug. 183:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
154125+0=151647%6
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1473+41+24=153853%3
8/17Saturday, Aug. 178:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1540+16+0=155661%12
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
147518+24=148139%7
8/16Friday, Aug. 168:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1539+7+0=154651%4
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1476+40+24=154049%3
8/15Thursday, Aug. 158:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1537+53=153959%13
TEXTEXRangers
Payano, Pedro
Payano
147821+21=147841%6
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 1412:37 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
147616+0=146044%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Reid-Foley, Sean
Reid-Foley
14811+24=150456%3
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1477+40+0=151754%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
147916+24=148746%3
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
1481112=146846%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Ramirez, Neil
Ramirez
14752+24=149754%19
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+32+0=151250%1
MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
151625+24=151550%0
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Payano, Pedro
Payano
148117+0=146442%2
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
151520+24=151958%3
8/9Friday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Allard, Kolby
Allard
148221+0=146138%5
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1514+10+24=154862%6
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 74:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1484+39+0=152349%1
CLECLEIndians
Clippard, Tyler
Clippard
154946+24=152751%5
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 71:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
148513+2=147439%0
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
154823+26=155161%2
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1484+313=151245%1
CLECLEIndians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
154930+24=154355%0
8/4Sunday, Aug. 43:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
140518+0=138735%4
TEXTEXRangers
Payano, Pedro
Payano
148213+24=149365%9
8/3Saturday, Aug. 38:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1406+31+0=143743%4
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
148119+24=148657%5
8/2Friday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1406+91=141432%4
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1481+36+26=154368%5
7/31Wednesday, July 318:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
1468+0+0=146840%7
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+34+24=153860%9
7/30Tuesday, July 308:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1467+172=148248%8
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
148210+22=149452%5
7/28Sunday, July 284:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Payano, Pedro
Payano
148212+0=147035%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1534+22+24=158065%6
7/27Saturday, July 279:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
148317+0=146640%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
153322+24=153560%5
7/26Friday, July 2610:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1481+33+0=151444%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
15355+24=155456%2
7/25Thursday, July 2510:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
1477143=146036%11
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15392+20=155764%3
7/24Wednesday, July 243:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1479+38+0=151752%3
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1460+18+24=150248%5
7/23Tuesday, July 2310:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Martin, Brett
Martin
147612+0=146447%7
SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
14623+24=148353%2
7/22Monday, July 2210:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
1478134=146144%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1460+15+24=149956%7
7/21Sunday, July 212:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1479+33+0=151243%3
HOUHOUAstros
Armenteros, Rogelio
Armenteros
157235+24=156157%5
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
148114+0=146737%1
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
157139+24=155663%6
7/19Friday, July 198:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1481+39+0=152035%3
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1570+35+21=162665%4
7/17Wednesday, July 178:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+9+0=152555%19
TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
148515+24=149445%4
7/16Tuesday, July 168:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Young, Alex
Young
151361=150644%9
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1488+33+26=154756%2
7/14Sunday, July 143:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1568+33+0=160164%12
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
149014+24=150036%4
7/13Saturday, July 138:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
15672+0=156552%7
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1491+39+24=155448%6
7/12Friday, July 128:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1568+29+0=159763%8
TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
148912+24=150137%9
7/11Thursday, July 118 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
157035+5=154050%0
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1487+27+28=154250%5
7/7Sunday, July 72:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Leclerc, Jose
Leclerc
148511+0=147437%4
MINMINTwins
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1542+1+24=156763%1
7/6Saturday, July 62:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
148611+0=147538%4
MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
15404+24=156062%7
7/5Friday, July 58:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
1489103=147641%6
MINMINTwins
Perez, Martin
Perez
153819+20=153959%15
7/4Thursday, July 48:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1508+16+0=152448%3
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1486+24+24=153452%9
7/3Wednesday, July 38:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1506+13+0=151953%6
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
148815+24=149747%2
7/2Tuesday, July 28:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
1503141=148841%9
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1491+39+23=155359%4
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
149213+0=147937%2
TBTBRays
Snell, Blake
Snell
1539+6+24=156963%6
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
149310+0=148343%2
TBTBRays
McKay, Brendan
McKay
153828+24=153457%5
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1491+193=150742%5
TBTBRays
Chirinos, Yonny
Chirinos
1540+3+21=156458%0
6/27Thursday, June 271:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
149017+0=147352%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1418+17+24=145948%1
6/26Wednesday, June 267:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1488+40+0=152859%4
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1419+25+24=146841%1
6/25Tuesday, June 257 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
1487141=147255%5
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
14209+25=143645%3
6/23Sunday, June 233:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
14668+0=145844%4
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
148611+24=149956%7
6/22Saturday, June 229:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Despaigne, Odrisamer
Despaigne
146620+0=144638%5
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1485+23+24=153262%6
6/21Friday, June 218:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
146521=146245%5
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
148615+24=149555%4
6/20Thursday, June 202:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
15382+0=153648%2
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1485+39+24=154852%4
6/19Wednesday, June 198:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
153638+0=149850%10
TEXTEXRangers
Palumbo, Joe
Palumbo
148712+24=149950%4
6/18Tuesday, June 188:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153320+0=151351%10
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14907+24=150749%3
6/17Monday, June 178:05 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1536+233=155654%2
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1488+18+21=152746%7
6/16Sunday, June 161 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
14907+0=148343%3
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1502+5+24=153157%11
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1489+38+0=152750%4
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15031+24=152650%3
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
1486183=146543%7
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150618+24=151257%1
6/13Thursday, June 137:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
1487+0+0=148735%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Price, David
Price
1547+19+24=159065%7
6/12Wednesday, June 124:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1488+14+0=150242%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154616+24=155458%4
6/11Tuesday, June 117:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
14858+0=147741%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hernandez, Darwinzon
Hernandez
154932+24=154159%5
6/10Monday, June 107:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1484+364=151636%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1550+43+24=161764%3
6/9Sunday, June 93:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1518+13+0=153154%9
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14859+24=150046%8
6/8Saturday, June 89:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1519+5+0=152454%1
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
148311+24=149646%3
6/8Saturday, June 82:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
152112+0=150952%5
TEXTEXRangers
Palumbo, Joe
Palumbo
148111+24=149448%10
6/7Friday, June 78:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
152043=151349%5
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1482+14+24=152051%3
6/6Thursday, June 68:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Hess, David
Hess
140615+0=139135%3
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
14827+24=149965%4
6/5Wednesday, June 58:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1407+27+0=143435%1
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1481+36+24=154165%2
6/4Tuesday, June 48:05 p.m.BALBALOrioles
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1405+151=141937%12
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1483+1+26=151063%11
6/2Sunday, June 23:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1446+15+0=146147%1
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
148120+24=148553%5
6/1Saturday, June 14:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
144718+0=142938%2
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1480+11+24=151562%6
5/31Friday, May 318:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1449+15+0=146446%2
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
147810+24=149254%6
5/30Thursday, May 308:05 p.m.KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1447+53=144937%4
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1480+39+20=153963%2
5/29Wednesday, May 293:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Leclerc, Jose
Leclerc
14784+0=147447%8
SEASEAMariners
LeBlanc, Wade
LeBlanc
14762+24=149853%7
5/28Tuesday, May 2810 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
147520+0=145541%11
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1479+16+24=151959%4
5/27Monday, May 279:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1477+113=148550%2
SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
147711+21=148750%6
5/26Sunday, May 264:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
147813+0=146541%6
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1496+10+24=153059%7
5/25Saturday, May 2510 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1479+40+0=151950%2
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1495+2+24=152150%3
5/24Friday, May 2410:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1478+51=148244%4
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1496+6+24=152656%3
5/22Wednesday, May 222:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1483+13+0=149652%1
TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
147717+24=148448%2
5/21Tuesday, May 218:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Milone, Tommy
Milone
148416+0=146844%3
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1475+7+24=150656%5
5/20Monday, May 208:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
1485+54=148643%9
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1475+39+24=153857%10
5/19Sunday, May 193:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1527+13+0=154055%4
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1474+7+24=150545%5
5/18Saturday, May 184 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152528+0=149751%8
TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
147612+24=148849%2
5/17Friday, May 178:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1527+233=154758%3
TEXTEXRangers
Leclerc, Jose
Leclerc
14745+22=149142%7
5/16Thursday, May 161:15 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1469+6+0=147552%16
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145314+24=146348%1
5/15Wednesday, May 158 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1468+43+0=151157%6
KCKCRoyals
Lopez, Jorge
Lopez
145519+24=146043%1
5/14Tuesday, May 148:15 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
1470221=144744%5
KCKCRoyals
Duffy, Danny
Duffy
1453+10+26=148956%11
5/12Sunday, May 122:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14727+0=146536%5
HOUHOUAstros
Martin, Corbin
Martin
158037+24=156764%15
5/11Saturday, May 118:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
147317+0=145628%4
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1579+17+24=162072%11
5/10Friday, May 108:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1474+2+0=147629%0
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1578+32+24=163471%3
5/9Thursday, May 98:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1475+433=151540%2
HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
157713+24=158860%4
5/8Wednesday, May 812:35 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
147324+0=144946%9
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
149541+24=147854%6
5/7Tuesday, May 77:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
147421=147147%4
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
149427+26=149353%5
5/5Sunday, May 53:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Buchholz, Clay
Buchholz
1484+14+0=149850%2
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1471+4+24=149950%10
5/4Saturday, May 48:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Pannone, Thomas
Pannone
148516+0=146946%5
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1470+4+24=149854%8
5/3Friday, May 38:05 p.m.TORTORBlue Jays
Thornton, Trent
Thornton
148483=147341%1
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1471+39+26=153659%0
5/1Wednesday, May 12:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1494+13+0=150755%7
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
147224+24=147245%5
4/30Tuesday, April 308:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1493291=146347%6
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14739+22=148653%4
4/28Sunday, April 284:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1469+2+0=147142%14
SEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
15022+24=152458%1
4/27Saturday, April 279:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1464+37+0=150146%15
SEASEAMariners
Leake, Mike
Leake
15072+24=152954%1
4/26Friday, April 2610:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
146521+0=144439%4
SEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
15068+24=152261%5
4/25Thursday, April 2510:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
146753=145939%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1503+13+21=153761%14
4/24Wednesday, April 243:37 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Dowdy, Kyle
Dowdy
14685+0=146339%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Brooks, Aaron
Brooks
15171+24=154061%6
4/23Tuesday, April 2310:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1470+8+0=147840%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1516+9+24=154960%11
4/22Monday, April 2210:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1472+354=150345%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1514+2+24=154055%6
4/21Sunday, April 213:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
McHugh, Collin
McHugh
1580+2+0=158266%10
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
147125+24=147034%11
4/20Saturday, April 208:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1584+19+0=160367%4
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
146712+24=147933%9
4/19Friday, April 198 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1582+262=160665%7
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1469+6+26=150135%2
4/17Wednesday, April 178:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
150314+0=148949%4
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1468+7+24=149951%5
4/16Tuesday, April 168:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1505+11+0=151650%0
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1466+29+24=151950%5
4/15Monday, April 158:05 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Cahill, Trevor
Cahill
1507+91=151557%7
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
146322+24=146543%12
4/14Sunday, April 143:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
1524+1+2=152756%7
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14623+26=148544%8
4/12Friday, April 128:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1523+93=152955%8
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1463+5+23=149145%6
4/10Wednesday, April 109:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1461+4+0=146540%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1500+14+24=153860%2
4/9Tuesday, April 99:40 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1462+28+0=149043%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1499+17+26=154257%5
4/7Sunday, April 74:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
146419+0=144540%2
LAALAAAngels
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
150110+24=151560%7
4/6Saturday, April 64:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1465+9+0=147443%1
LAALAAAngels
Skaggs, Tyler
Skaggs
1499+1+24=152457%5
4/5Friday, April 510:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1466+1+0=146741%1
LAALAAAngels
Pena, Felix
Pena
1498+9+24=153159%3
4/4Thursday, April 410:07 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Volquez, Edinson
Volquez
146383=145240%11
LAALAAAngels
Harvey, Matt
Harvey
15025+23=152060%4
4/3Wednesday, April 38:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1573+19+0=159262%0
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1460+22+24=150638%4
4/2Tuesday, April 28:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1575+32+0=160769%4
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
145819+24=146331%6
4/1Monday, April 18:05 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
1574143=155759%2
TEXTEXRangers
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1459+11+24=149441%1
3/31Sunday, March 314 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1522+6+0=152856%10
TEXTEXRangers
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1458+4+24=148644%11
3/30Saturday, March 308:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15244+2=152256%6
TEXTEXRangers
Volquez, Edinson
Volquez
14576+26=147744%8
3/28Thursday, March 284:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
152123=151651%12
TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1459+24+24=150749%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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