Updated Sep. 19, 2019 at 11:20 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Pirates have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1468, down 14 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CardinalsCardinals86-6796%83%
BrewersBrewers83-703.073%9%
CubsCubs82-714.032%7%
RedsReds72-8114.0
PiratesPirates65-8821.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/20Friday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1468+22=146839%
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
15231+24=154661%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Marvel, James
Marvel
14682+0=146639%
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15232+24=154561%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1468+0+0=146836%
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1523+21+24=156864%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153820+0=151855%
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14689+24=148345%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1538+19+0=155757%
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1468+20+24=151243%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 267:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+4+0=154257%
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1468+2+24=149443%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:05 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1500+32=150151%
PITPITPirates
Marvel, James
Marvel
14682+24=149049%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1500+0+0=150051%
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1468+0+24=149249%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1500+31+0=153157%
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14689+24=148343%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/19Thursday, Sept. 1912:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
146717+0=145041%6
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1470+20+24=151459%5
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
1465+1+0=146647%4
PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
147111+24=148453%1
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1462+182=147849%6
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
147414+24=148451%0
9/15Sunday, Sept. 152:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1476+7+0=148339%6
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15381+24=156161%16
9/14Saturday, Sept. 142:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Marvel, James
Marvel
1479+6+0=148537%1
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1536+19+24=157963%14
9/13Friday, Sept. 134:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1482+114=148943%8
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153317+20=153657%17
9/12Thursday, Sept. 123:45 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1480+12+0=149246%4
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1476+17+24=151754%2
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 119:45 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
147817+0=146146%6
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
147815+24=148754%3
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 109:45 p.m.PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
147915+0=146443%4
SFSFGiants
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1477+10+24=151157%5
9/9Monday, Sept. 99:45 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1478+54=147943%6
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1479+30+22=153157%4
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1543+35+0=157860%2
PITPITPirates
Marvel, James
Marvel
1479+1+24=150440%0
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
154010+0=153051%10
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1482+14+24=152049%1
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1543+33=154357%4
PITPITPirates
McRae, Alex
McRae
147911+24=149243%9
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14332+0=143141%10
PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14818+24=149759%7
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Dugger, Robert
Dugger
14338+0=142538%5
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1480+4+24=150862%6
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1432+4+0=143643%5
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
148221+23=148457%4
9/1Sunday, Sept. 13:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1480+10+0=149050%6
COLCOLRockies
Hoffman, Jeff
Hoffman
148112+24=149350%2
8/31Saturday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1477+10+0=148747%11
COLCOLRockies
Melville, Tim
Melville
14842+24=150653%4
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14757+0=146847%9
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
148620+24=149053%4
8/29Thursday, Aug. 298:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1473+14=147047%11
COLCOLRockies
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
148821+24=149153%8
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 286:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
147610+0=146642%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15077+24=152458%12
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1474+11+0=148545%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
150810+24=152255%4
8/26Monday, Aug. 267:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1475+72=148043%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1507+4+21=153257%6
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1499+13+0=151253%8
PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14746+24=149247%9
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Wood, Alex
Wood
150314+0=148950%0
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
14704+24=149050%14
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:05 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150511+0=149452%2
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
146916+24=147748%3
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1550+47+0=159763%7
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1470+12+24=150637%1
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1547+9+0=155657%11
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1473+12+24=150943%1
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1549+9+0=155857%1
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1471+12+24=150743%4
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Ross, Joe
Ross
1545202=152353%13
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1475+5+24=150447%0
8/18Sunday, Aug. 187 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1531+3+0=153460%7
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
147712+0=146540%1
8/17Saturday, Aug. 171:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
153016+0=151451%2
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1478+3+24=150549%0
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1531+132=154255%2
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1477+6+22=150545%3
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 148:07 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1479+11+0=149048%4
LAALAAAngels
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14898+24=150552%7
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 1310:07 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1477+10+0=148743%10
LAALAAAngels
Canning, Griffin
Canning
1491+18+24=153357%7
8/12Monday, Aug. 1210:07 p.m.PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1473134=145644%10
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
149519+20=149656%2
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1474+7+0=148139%9
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1521+16+24=156161%11
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1475+6+0=148142%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15204+24=154058%3
8/9Friday, Aug. 98:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1477+81=148444%2
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
151918+22=152356%6
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 77 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
151219+0=149346%8
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1479+16+24=151954%3
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1511+17+0=152853%4
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1480+4+24=150847%3
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1509242=148346%9
PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
1482+3+24=150954%7
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1515+6+0=152150%13
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1486+12+24=152250%2
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1513+6+0=151951%7
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1487+2+24=151349%5
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1515212=149245%4
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1485+15+24=152455%8
7/31Wednesday, July 3112:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
1487+5+0=149242%1
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1504+20+24=154858%4
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1484+11+0=149546%11
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15075+24=152654%4
7/29Monday, July 297:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
McRae, Alex
McRae
148513=148141%6
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1505+18+24=154759%11
7/28Sunday, July 281:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1486+3+0=148945%7
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151010+24=152455%8
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1488+12+0=150049%0
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
150825+24=150751%3
7/26Friday, July 267:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
1489+82=149545%3
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1507+3+24=153455%6
7/25Thursday, July 2512:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1524+13+0=153751%6
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1491+14+24=152949%3
7/24Wednesday, July 247:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
15224+0=151852%14
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149314+24=150348%8
7/23Tuesday, July 237:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152110+0=151149%4
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1494+2+24=152051%3
7/22Monday, July 227:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1520+102=152850%6
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1495+8+24=152750%5
7/21Sunday, July 211:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
151010+0=150047%2
PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14971+24=152053%1
7/20Saturday, July 207:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15127+0=150547%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+9+24=152853%5
7/19Friday, July 197:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
151072=150149%6
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149715+23=150551%1
7/17Wednesday, July 171:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1498+3+0=150142%5
STLSTLCardinals
Ponce de Leon, Daniel
Ponce de Leon
1516+17+24=155758%6
7/16Tuesday, July 168:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14961+0=149543%3
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1518+6+24=154857%1
7/15Monday, July 158:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1499+122=150945%0
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1515+7+24=154655%7
7/14Sunday, July 142:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1501+18+0=151945%3
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15334+24=155355%8
7/13Saturday, July 132:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
150310+0=149342%4
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15316+24=154958%10
7/12Friday, July 122:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
15033+5=150543%3
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15305+30=155557%4
7/7Sunday, July 71:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1517+7+0=152448%5
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1502+10+24=153652%6
7/6Saturday, July 64:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152020+0=150047%2
PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14994+24=151953%12
7/5Friday, July 57:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
151912=151650%7
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
15006+24=151850%6
7/4Thursday, July 44 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15275+0=152250%11
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
15033+24=152450%3
7/3Wednesday, July 37:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15285+0=152350%5
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
15024+24=152250%6
7/2Tuesday, July 27:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1530+20+0=155053%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1500+6+24=153047%5
7/1Monday, July 17 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Alzolay, Adbert
Alzolay
1534202=151246%5
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1496+20+22=153854%18
6/30Sunday, June 302:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
14979+0=148842%1
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
15201+24=154358%2
6/29Saturday, June 298:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14985+0=149340%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1519+21+24=156460%3
6/28Friday, June 288 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
149753=148942%3
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15201+24=154358%2
6/27Thursday, June 272:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1493+4+0=149737%10
HOUHOUAstros
Peacock, Brad
Peacock
15706+24=158863%0
6/26Wednesday, June 268:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14877+0=148037%14
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
157527+24=157263%2
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1489+231=151136%1
HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1574+18+23=161564%5
6/23Sunday, June 231:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1482+11+0=149348%10
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
14887+24=150552%11
6/22Saturday, June 224:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1484+11+0=149549%3
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14866+24=150451%6
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
148522=148146%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1485+0+26=151154%2
6/19Wednesday, June 197:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
142310+0=141333%7
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1484+30+24=153867%8
6/18Tuesday, June 187:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1422+0+0=142241%5
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
148622+23=148759%4
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14854+0=148154%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
14397+24=145646%4
6/15Saturday, June 156:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14866+0=148052%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1438+5+24=146748%4
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1482113=146849%11
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1442+5+26=147351%0
6/13Thursday, June 1312:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1483+3+0=148639%5
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1521+20+24=156561%6
6/12Wednesday, June 127:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
148414+0=147035%7
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1520+34+24=157865%8
6/11Tuesday, June 117:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14851+0=148441%5
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1519+1+24=154459%7
6/10Monday, June 107:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1487+13=148544%7
ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
151712+21=152656%13
6/9Sunday, June 92:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
148817+0=147138%2
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1531+3+24=155862%5
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14895+0=148438%3
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1530+13+24=156762%5
6/7Friday, June 78:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Davis, Rookie
Davis
1491332=145635%4
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1528+11+24=156365%10
6/6Thursday, June 612:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1516+3+0=151951%1
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14883+24=150949%6
6/5Wednesday, June 57:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
15174+0=151351%4
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14862+24=150849%7
6/4Tuesday, June 47:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1515+9+0=152454%12
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
148917+26=149846%5
6/2Sunday, June 21:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1536+11+0=154755%4
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14905+24=150945%2
6/1Saturday, June 14:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1535+16+0=155160%12
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
149136+24=147940%10
5/31Friday, May 317:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1537+3+0=154055%4
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14895+24=150845%9
5/30Thursday, May 307:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1535+61=154054%11
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1491+1+22=151446%5
5/29Wednesday, May 2912:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
148824+0=146442%7
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150815+24=151758%2
5/28Tuesday, May 286:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14905+0=148548%6
CINCINReds
Sims, Lucas
Sims
150632+24=149852%11
5/27Monday, May 277:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
149312+0=148143%1
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1504+4+24=153257%8
5/27Monday, May 271:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1490382=145036%8
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1506+25+22=155364%5
5/26Sunday, May 261:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
157512+0=156357%11
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14924+24=151243%7
5/25Saturday, May 257:15 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1573+13+0=158659%7
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1494+3+24=152141%2
5/24Friday, May 247:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1571+131=158361%10
PITPITPirates
Feliz, Michael
Feliz
149615+24=150539%2
5/23Thursday, May 2312:35 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151312+0=150149%6
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14938+24=150951%14
5/22Wednesday, May 227:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15114+0=150750%9
PITPITPirates
DuRapau, Montana
DuRapau
149515+24=150450%3
5/21Tuesday, May 217 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1509+31+0=154054%5
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14975+22=151446%0
5/19Sunday, May 194:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1496+0+0=149649%6
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14845+24=150351%4
5/18Saturday, May 188:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
DuRapau, Montana
DuRapau
149317+0=147646%7
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
14869+24=150154%2
5/17Friday, May 1710:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149213+0=147946%5
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14883+24=150954%3
5/16Thursday, May 1610:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1493+202=151152%3
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
148714+23=149648%4
5/15Wednesday, May 153:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14961+0=149540%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1509+31+24=156460%11
5/14Tuesday, May 149:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14936+0=148743%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1512+1+24=153757%2
5/13Monday, May 139:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1495373=145537%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1510+12+24=154663%9
5/12Sunday, May 122:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
149325+0=146842%10
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153031+24=152358%6
5/11Saturday, May 112:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149121+0=147035%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1532+19+24=157565%1
5/10Friday, May 108:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1490+17+0=150744%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153311+24=154656%1
5/9Thursday, May 97:45 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
149313=148942%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15306+24=154858%17
5/8Wednesday, May 812:35 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
147324+0=144946%9
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
149541+24=147854%6
5/7Tuesday, May 77:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
147421=147147%4
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
149427+26=149353%5
5/5Sunday, May 51:35 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1511+4+0=151553%3
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149225+24=149147%5
5/4Saturday, May 47:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1512+11+0=152349%4
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1491+17+24=153251%6
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15081+0=150748%14
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+4+23=152252%1
5/1Wednesday, May 12:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1494+13+0=150755%7
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
147224+24=147245%5
4/30Tuesday, April 308:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1493291=146347%6
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14739+22=148653%4
4/28Sunday, April 284:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1494+18+0=151238%6
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1566+10+24=160062%7
4/27Saturday, April 279:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+3+0=149835%1
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1565+12+24=160165%3
4/26Friday, April 2610:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1496+24=149438%2
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
15644+20=158062%6
4/25Thursday, April 2512:35 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1509+21+0=153049%5
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1498+13+24=153551%0
4/24Wednesday, April 247:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150613+0=149349%11
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
150128+24=149751%2
4/23Tuesday, April 237:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15058+0=149744%2
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1503+14+24=154156%1
4/22Monday, April 227:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
1501102=148944%12
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1506+2+24=153256%4
4/21Sunday, April 211:35 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1462+14+0=147642%3
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1507+4+24=153558%2
4/20Saturday, April 204:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14634+0=145938%1
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1506+12+24=154262%3
4/19Friday, April 197:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1465+172=148047%1
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
150532+24=149753%4
4/17Wednesday, April 176:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1504+14+0=151857%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1446+1+24=147143%2
4/16Tuesday, April 166:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1503+0+0=150352%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1447+15+23=148548%3
4/14Sunday, April 141:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1501+14+0=151538%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1539+35+24=159862%3
4/13Saturday, April 134:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1502+2+0=150444%2
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153816+24=154656%3
4/12Friday, April 127:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1500+153=151241%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1540+9+24=157359%3
4/11Thursday, April 117:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
15011+0=150045%0
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15165+24=153555%2
4/10Wednesday, April 108:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149935+2=146640%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15184+26=154060%2
4/8Monday, April 82:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1502+212=152147%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1515+4+23=154253%10
4/7Sunday, April 71:35 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1489+0+0=148944%5
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1501+3+24=152856%7
4/6Saturday, April 61:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14905+0=148542%5
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1500+18+24=154258%6
4/5Friday, April 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
14915+0=148646%0
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14997+24=151654%2
4/4Thursday, April 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1492242=146647%0
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149838+24=148453%2
4/3Wednesday, April 37:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+17+2=154450%5
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1499+20+26=154550%4
4/1Monday, April 11 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1524162=150647%6
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1500+2+22=152453%5
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+18+5=152149%5
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1497+0+29=152651%0
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1499+232=152047%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1496+22+24=154253%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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