Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Pirates have an 18% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1497, up 4 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers28-211.067%38%
CubsCubs27-1865%38%
CardinalsCardinals24-234.039%16%
PiratesPirates24-202.518%6%
RedsReds21-267.09%3%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 217 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1509+31+0=154054%
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14975+22=151446%
5/22Wednesday, May 227:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15092+0=150748%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152052%
5/23Thursday, May 2312:35 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
150911+0=149848%
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14979+24=151252%
5/24Friday, May 247:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1573+141=158659%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152041%
5/25Saturday, May 257:15 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1573+14+0=158759%
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14971+24=152041%
5/26Sunday, May 261:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
157311+0=156257%
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14975+24=151643%
5/27Monday, May 271 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1497+182=151349%
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15023+22=152151%
5/27Monday, May 277:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149646%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152654%
5/28Tuesday, May 286:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14979+0=148840%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1502+30+24=155660%
5/29Wednesday, May 2912:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149647%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150211+24=151553%
5/30Thursday, May 307:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1538+71=154454%
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14971+22=151846%
5/31Friday, May 317:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1538+7+0=154554%
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14975+24=151646%
6/1Saturday, June 14:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
6/2Sunday, June 21:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
6/4Tuesday, June 47:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152150%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+26=152250%
6/5Wednesday, June 57:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152150%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152050%
6/6Thursday, June 612:35 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152150%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152050%
6/7Friday, June 78:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149712=149440%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
6/8Saturday, June 84:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
6/9Sunday, June 92:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
6/10Monday, June 107:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149713=149343%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+21=154257%
6/11Tuesday, June 117:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149643%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154557%
6/12Wednesday, June 127:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149643%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154557%
6/13Thursday, June 1312:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149643%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154557%
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149713=149356%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+26=145044%
6/15Saturday, June 156:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149657%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144843%
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149657%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144843%
6/18Tuesday, June 187:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+0=143338%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+23=151962%
6/19Wednesday, June 197:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+0=143338%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152062%
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+12=148244%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+26=152256%
6/22Saturday, June 224:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148445%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152055%
6/23Sunday, June 231:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148445%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152055%
6/25Tuesday, June 258:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149711=149534%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+23=161266%
6/26Wednesday, June 268:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149634%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161366%
6/27Thursday, June 272:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149634%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+24=161366%
6/28Friday, June 288:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149713=149340%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
6/29Saturday, June 298:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
6/30Sunday, June 302:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
7/1Monday, July 17:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+02=153653%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+22=151847%
7/2Tuesday, July 27:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152048%
7/3Wednesday, July 37:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152048%
7/4Thursday, July 44:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152048%
7/5Friday, July 57:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152048%
7/6Saturday, July 64:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
7/7Sunday, July 71:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
7/12Friday, July 122:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+5=150140%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+30=156860%
7/13Saturday, July 132:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149641%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156259%
7/14Sunday, July 142:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149641%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156259%
7/15Monday, July 158:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149712=149442%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154958%
7/16Tuesday, July 168:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154958%
7/17Wednesday, July 171:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154958%
7/19Friday, July 197:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+02=152551%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+23=151949%
7/20Saturday, July 207:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152751%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152049%
7/21Sunday, July 211:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152751%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152049%
7/22Monday, July 227:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
152612=152350%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152050%
7/23Tuesday, July 237:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152551%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152049%
7/24Wednesday, July 247:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152551%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152049%
7/25Thursday, July 2512:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152551%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152049%
7/26Friday, July 267:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149712=149444%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153556%
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149645%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153555%
7/28Sunday, July 281:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149645%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153555%
7/29Monday, July 297:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149713=149345%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152655%
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149646%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152654%
7/31Wednesday, July 3112:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149646%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152654%
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+22=150948%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152052%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151149%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152051%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:35 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151149%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152051%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152048%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 77:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154053%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152047%
8/9Friday, Aug. 98:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149711=149543%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+22=154757%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154958%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 112:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154958%
8/12Monday, Aug. 1210:07 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149714=149246%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+20=152154%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 1310:07 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149646%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152554%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 148:07 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149646%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152554%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+02=153652%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+22=151848%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 171:35 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152048%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 187 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153856%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149644%
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
151612=151349%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152051%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151549%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152051%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151549%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152051%
8/22Thursday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151549%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152051%
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150247%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150247%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150247%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%
8/26Monday, Aug. 267:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149712=149442%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+21=154858%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149642%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155158%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 286:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149642%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155158%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 298:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149714=149244%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153456%
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149645%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153455%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 318:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149645%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153455%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 13:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149645%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153455%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 37:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142437%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+23=151963%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142436%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152064%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142436%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152064%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
152613=152250%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152050%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152551%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152049%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:35 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152551%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152049%
9/9Monday, Sept. 99:45 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149714=149251%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+22=148549%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 109:45 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149651%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148749%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 119:45 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149651%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148749%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 123:45 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149651%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148749%
9/13Friday, Sept. 134:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149714=149241%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+20=155859%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 142:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149641%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156259%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 152:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149641%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156259%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+12=148345%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152055%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148545%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152055%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 1912:35 p.m.SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+0=148545%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152055%
9/20Friday, Sept. 208:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149712=149440%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 222:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149640%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156460%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152048%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152048%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 267:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152048%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150047%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150247%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150247%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/19Sunday, May 194:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1496+0+0=149649%6
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14845+24=150351%4
5/18Saturday, May 188:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
DuRapau, Montana
DuRapau
149317+0=147646%7
SDSDPadres
Margevicius, Nick
Margevicius
14869+24=150154%2
5/17Friday, May 1710:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149213+0=147946%5
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14883+24=150954%3
5/16Thursday, May 1610:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1493+202=151152%3
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
148714+23=149648%4
5/15Wednesday, May 153:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
14961+0=149540%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1509+31+24=156460%11
5/14Tuesday, May 149:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14936+0=148743%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
1512+1+24=153757%2
5/13Monday, May 139:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1495373=145537%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1510+12+24=154663%9
5/12Sunday, May 122:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
149325+0=146842%10
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153031+24=152358%6
5/11Saturday, May 112:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149121+0=147035%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1532+19+24=157565%1
5/10Friday, May 108:15 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1490+17+0=150744%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153311+24=154656%1
5/9Thursday, May 97:45 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
149313=148942%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15306+24=154858%17
5/8Wednesday, May 812:35 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
147324+0=144946%9
PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
149541+24=147854%6
5/7Tuesday, May 77:05 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
147421=147147%4
PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
149427+26=149353%5
5/5Sunday, May 51:35 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1511+4+0=151553%3
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149225+24=149147%5
5/4Saturday, May 47:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1512+11+0=152349%4
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1491+17+24=153251%6
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15081+0=150748%14
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+4+23=152252%1
5/1Wednesday, May 12:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1494+13+0=150755%7
TEXTEXRangers
Miller, Shelby
Miller
147224+24=147245%5
4/30Tuesday, April 308:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1493291=146347%6
TEXTEXRangers
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14739+22=148653%4
4/28Sunday, April 284:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1494+18+0=151238%6
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1566+10+24=160062%7
4/27Saturday, April 279:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+3+0=149835%1
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1565+12+24=160165%3
4/26Friday, April 2610:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1496+24=149438%2
LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
15644+20=158062%6
4/25Thursday, April 2512:35 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1509+21+0=153049%5
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1498+13+24=153551%0
4/24Wednesday, April 247:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
150613+0=149349%11
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
150128+24=149751%2
4/23Tuesday, April 237:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
15058+0=149744%2
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1503+14+24=154156%1
4/22Monday, April 227:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Godley, Zack
Godley
1501102=148944%12
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1506+2+24=153256%4
4/21Sunday, April 211:35 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1462+14+0=147642%3
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1507+4+24=153558%2
4/20Saturday, April 204:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Holland, Derek
Holland
14634+0=145938%1
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1506+12+24=154262%3
4/19Friday, April 197:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1465+172=148047%1
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
150532+24=149753%4
4/17Wednesday, April 176:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1504+14+0=151857%3
DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1446+1+24=147143%2
4/16Tuesday, April 166:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1503+0+0=150352%5
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1447+15+23=148548%3
4/14Sunday, April 141:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1501+14+0=151538%4
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1539+35+24=159862%3
4/13Saturday, April 134:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1502+2+0=150444%2
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153816+24=154656%3
4/12Friday, April 127:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1500+153=151241%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1540+9+24=157359%3
4/11Thursday, April 117:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
15011+0=150045%0
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15165+24=153555%2
4/10Wednesday, April 108:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149935+2=146640%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15184+26=154060%2
4/8Monday, April 82:20 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1502+212=152147%0
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1515+4+23=154253%10
4/7Sunday, April 71:35 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1489+0+0=148944%5
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1501+3+24=152856%7
4/6Saturday, April 61:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14905+0=148542%5
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1500+18+24=154258%6
4/5Friday, April 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
14915+0=148646%0
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14997+24=151654%2
4/4Thursday, April 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1492242=146647%0
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149838+24=148453%2
4/3Wednesday, April 37:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+17+2=154450%5
PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1499+20+26=154550%4
4/1Monday, April 11 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1524162=150647%6
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1500+2+22=152453%5
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+18+5=152149%5
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1497+0+29=152651%0
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1499+232=152047%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1496+22+24=154253%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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