Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Reds have a 9% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1502, the same as last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers28-211.067%38%
CubsCubs27-1865%38%
CardinalsCardinals24-234.039%16%
PiratesPirates24-202.518%6%
RedsReds21-267.09%3%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 217:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15023+0=149941%
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1538+0+23=156159%
5/22Wednesday, May 221:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1502+30+0=153244%
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1538+12+24=157456%
5/24Friday, May 242:20 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150211+1=149238%
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1538+13+24=157562%
5/25Saturday, May 252:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150214+0=148841%
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153812+24=155059%
5/26Sunday, May 262:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15021+0=150141%
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15381+24=156159%
5/27Monday, May 271 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1497+182=151349%
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15023+22=152151%
5/27Monday, May 277:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149646%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152654%
5/28Tuesday, May 286:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14979+0=148840%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1502+30+24=155660%
5/29Wednesday, May 2912:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149647%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150211+24=151553%
5/31Friday, May 317:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1516+16+0=153253%
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150214+26=151447%
6/1Saturday, June 14:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151548%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152652%
6/2Sunday, June 21:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151548%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152652%
6/4Tuesday, June 48:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150243%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+26=155157%
6/5Wednesday, June 58:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150243%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154957%
6/6Thursday, June 61:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150243%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154957%
6/7Friday, June 77:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+03=149943%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+22=154957%
6/8Saturday, June 84:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150243%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155157%
6/9Sunday, June 91:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150243%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155157%
6/11Tuesday, June 117:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+26=156159%
6/12Wednesday, June 121:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150242%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155958%
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+13=147343%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152657%
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147643%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152657%
6/16Sunday, June 161:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1475+1+0=147643%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152657%
6/17Monday, June 177:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+03=158659%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152641%
6/18Tuesday, June 187:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158959%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152641%
6/19Wednesday, June 1912:35 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1589+0+0=158959%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152641%
6/20Thursday, June 208:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150041%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+20=156059%
6/21Friday, June 218:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
6/23Sunday, June 232:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
6/25Tuesday, June 2510:07 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150047%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+22=152353%
6/26Wednesday, June 268:07 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150247%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+24=152553%
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+02=153652%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+22=152448%
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
7/1Monday, July 17:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153852%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
7/3Wednesday, July 37:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
7/4Thursday, July 42:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
153941=153451%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+26=152849%
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+0=153551%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152649%
7/12Friday, July 128:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+4=150645%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+28=153855%
7/13Saturday, July 138:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150245%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153455%
7/14Sunday, July 143:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150245%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+24=153455%
7/15Monday, July 158:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+03=149941%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156259%
7/16Tuesday, July 168:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156259%
7/17Wednesday, July 172:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156259%
7/18Thursday, July 187:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
152612=152350%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+22=152450%
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152550%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152550%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152550%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150041%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+20=156059%
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
7/24Wednesday, July 242:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156459%
7/26Friday, July 266:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+12=150847%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152653%
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+0=151048%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152652%
7/28Sunday, July 281:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1509+1+0=151048%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152652%
7/29Monday, July 297:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149713=149345%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152655%
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149646%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152654%
7/31Wednesday, July 3112:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149646%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152654%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150044%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+21=154256%
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150244%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154556%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150244%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154556%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150244%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154556%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+02=149946%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+22=152454%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1501+0+0=150146%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152654%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+02=153651%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+26=152849%
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153852%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150045%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+22=153755%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150245%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153955%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 144:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150245%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153955%
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
152613=152250%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+22=152450%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152550%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152550%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+0=152550%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+12=148244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152656%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148444%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152656%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 2112:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148444%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152656%
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150247%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150247%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150247%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%
8/26Monday, Aug. 267:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+03=149957%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144843%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144842%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144842%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150258%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144842%
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+03=149943%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154957%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150243%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154957%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 12:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150243%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
15261+24=154957%
9/2Monday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+02=152550%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+22=152450%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 36:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152750%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 46:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152750%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 512:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152750%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150848%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152652%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 74:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151048%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152652%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151048%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152652%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150049%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+22=150751%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150249%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150951%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 1210:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150249%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1484+1+24=150951%
9/13Friday, Sept. 139:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+03=149945%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+20=153055%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150245%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153455%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150245%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153455%
9/16Monday, Sept. 168:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+04=149841%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156259%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 178:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156259%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 188:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150241%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+24=156259%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+21=151048%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152652%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 214:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151148%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152652%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151148%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152652%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 246:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+26=152848%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 2612:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154052%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152648%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+02=150047%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150247%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150247%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152053%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/19Sunday, May 191:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1571+11+0=158258%8
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15034+24=152342%3
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1573+16+0=158962%0
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150119+24=150638%4
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
157152=156456%6
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15037+24=152044%0
5/16Thursday, May 166:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15372+0=153547%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1502+29+24=155553%4
5/15Wednesday, May 156:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153819+0=151949%5
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15011+24=152451%6
5/14Tuesday, May 146:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1537+11+0=154854%3
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15023+22=152146%1
5/12Sunday, May 124:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150318+0=148546%5
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1461+26+24=151154%6
5/11Saturday, May 119:05 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15023+0=149951%5
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1462+6+24=149249%4
5/10Friday, May 1010:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1499+271=152555%7
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1465+4+21=149045%0
5/9Thursday, May 93:37 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14977+0=149042%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1511+7+24=154258%0
5/8Wednesday, May 810:07 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1498+3+0=150145%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15101+24=153355%5
5/7Tuesday, May 710:07 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1499244=147141%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1509+3+22=153459%2
5/6Monday, May 612:35 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
14644+0=146042%4
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14971+24=152058%12
5/5Sunday, May 54:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1463+4+0=146738%6
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1498+28+24=155062%5
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1465+8+0=147345%2
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
149610+24=151055%9
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
1464202=144238%12
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1497+6+21=152462%11
5/2Thursday, May 212:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149826+0=147240%0
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1516+4+24=154460%1
5/1Wednesday, May 17 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14974+0=149337%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1518+44+24=158663%0
4/30Tuesday, April 307:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1498+30+0=152852%3
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151725+24=151648%4
4/29Monday, April 297:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
149763=148841%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1518+12+24=155459%4
4/28Sunday, April 282:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1498+5+0=150341%2
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1534+9+24=156759%5
4/27Saturday, April 272:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149923+0=147643%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153229+24=152757%6
4/26Friday, April 268:15 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
149482=148436%12
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1537+17+26=158064%1
4/25Thursday, April 256:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1518+3+0=152147%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+29+24=154653%4
4/24Wednesday, April 246:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
15175+0=151250%3
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14955+24=151450%1
4/23Tuesday, April 236:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1518+15+0=153352%6
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1493+5+22=152048%7
4/21Sunday, April 214:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149422+0=147246%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14793+24=150054%4
4/20Saturday, April 208:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+29+0=152254%4
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14808+24=149646%2
4/19Friday, April 1910:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
149210+0=148246%3
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1482+1+24=150754%2
4/18Thursday, April 1810:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
149051=148445%4
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1483+12+26=152155%1
4/17Wednesday, April 173:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1491+4+0=149534%2
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1564+20+24=160866%3
4/16Tuesday, April 1610:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149219+0=147336%1
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156211+24=157564%6
4/15Monday, April 1510 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+304=151939%3
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1562+13+24=159961%4
4/14Sunday, April 144 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1530+14+0=154458%9
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14947+0=148742%5
4/13Saturday, April 137:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153213+0=151955%2
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14938+2=148745%5
4/11Thursday, April 1112:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14323+0=142938%0
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1491+0+24=151562%5
4/10Wednesday, April 106:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1432+5+0=143742%1
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149021+24=149358%2
4/9Tuesday, April 96:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14351+0=143435%0
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1488+27+24=153965%14
4/7Sunday, April 71:35 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1489+0+0=148944%5
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1501+3+24=152856%7
4/6Saturday, April 61:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14905+0=148542%5
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1500+18+24=154258%6
4/5Friday, April 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
14915+0=148646%0
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14997+24=151654%2
4/4Thursday, April 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1492242=146647%0
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149838+24=148453%2
4/3Wednesday, April 312:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15324+0=152848%1
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+23+24=154052%0
4/2Tuesday, April 26:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1531+16+0=154754%4
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1494+0+24=151846%3
4/1Monday, April 16:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
153022=152651%4
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14951+24=151849%3
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+18+5=152149%5
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1497+0+29=152651%0
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1499+232=152047%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1496+22+24=154253%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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