Updated Jul. 20, 2019 at 1:28 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Reds have a 4% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1504, down 1 point from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CubsCubs53-4470%56%
CardinalsCardinals50-462.538%21%
BrewersBrewers51-483.034%19%
PiratesPirates45-517.56%3%
RedsReds43-529.04%1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/20Saturday, July 207:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1520+13+0=153347%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1504+25+24=155353%
7/21Sunday, July 211:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1520+12+0=153252%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15049+24=151948%
7/22Monday, July 228:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1504+162=151846%
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1515+11+20=154654%
7/23Tuesday, July 238:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15047+0=149743%
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1515+7+24=154657%
7/24Wednesday, July 242:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150424+0=148043%
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15159+24=153057%
7/26Friday, July 266:40 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1500+162=151444%
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1504+25+24=155356%
7/27Saturday, July 277:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Lambert, Peter
Lambert
15009+0=149146%
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15049+24=151954%
7/28Sunday, July 281:10 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1500+15+0=151546%
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1504+16+24=154454%
7/29Monday, July 297:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1495133=147944%
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15047+24=152156%
7/30Tuesday, July 307:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+9+0=150450%
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150424+24=150450%
7/31Wednesday, July 3112:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1495+2+0=149746%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152854%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 17:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+02=150242%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+21=155658%
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150442%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155958%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150442%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155958%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150442%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1529+6+24=155958%
8/5Monday, Aug. 57:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+42=151048%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+22=152652%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 67:10 p.m.LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1508+4+0=151248%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152852%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
153612=153350%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+26=153050%
8/9Friday, Aug. 97:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
15361+0=153551%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152849%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
15361+0=153551%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152849%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 111:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
15361+0=153551%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152849%
8/12Monday, Aug. 127:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+02=150242%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+2+22=155858%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150442%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+2+24=156058%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 144:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150442%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1534+2+24=156058%
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1520+33=152049%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+22=152651%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1520+3+0=152349%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152851%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1520+3+0=152349%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152851%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1520+3+0=152349%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152851%
8/19Monday, Aug. 197:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1476+62=148043%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152857%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1476+6+0=148243%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152857%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 2112:35 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1476+6+0=148243%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152857%
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150448%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1495+2+24=152152%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 247:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150447%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1495+2+24=152153%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150447%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1495+2+24=152153%
8/26Monday, Aug. 267:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+03=150155%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+24=146745%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150455%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+24=146745%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150455%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+24=146745%
8/29Thursday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150455%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14441+24=146745%
8/30Friday, Aug. 308:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+03=150143%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1520+3+24=154757%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 311:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150444%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1520+3+24=154756%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 317:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150444%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1520+3+24=154756%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 12:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150444%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1520+3+24=154756%
9/2Monday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+12=151148%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+22=152652%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 36:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+0=151348%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152852%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 46:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+0=151348%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152852%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 512:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1512+1+0=151348%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152852%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1520+02=151849%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152851%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 74:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152049%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152851%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152049%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152851%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 1010:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+02=150252%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+2+22=148948%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150452%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+2+24=149148%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 1210:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150452%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1465+2+24=149148%
9/13Friday, Sept. 139:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+03=150144%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+20=154056%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 148:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150444%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154456%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 154:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150444%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154456%
9/16Monday, Sept. 168:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+04=150042%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
15361+24=155958%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 178:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150442%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
15361+24=155958%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 188:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150442%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
15361+24=155958%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
150441=149946%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152854%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 214:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+0=150046%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152854%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15044+0=150046%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152854%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 246:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1515+5+0=152049%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+26=153051%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1515+5+0=152049%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152851%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 2612:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1515+5+0=152049%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+24=152851%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+02=150247%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1495+2+24=152153%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 287:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150447%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1495+2+24=152153%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1504+0+0=150447%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1495+2+24=152153%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
7/19Friday, July 197:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1519+2+0=152152%12
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150525+24=150448%11
7/18Thursday, July 187:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1517102=150548%7
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15067+22=152152%4
7/17Wednesday, July 172:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1508+14+0=152245%2
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1534+0+24=155855%5
7/16Tuesday, July 168:05 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15099+0=150044%3
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
153317+24=154056%4
7/15Monday, July 158:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1507+263=153044%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1535+15+24=157456%3
7/14Sunday, July 143:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150819+0=148946%9
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151217+24=151954%10
7/13Saturday, July 138:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15051+0=150445%17
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
15151+24=153855%9
7/12Friday, July 128:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1505+7+4=151644%2
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
1514+14+28=155656%3
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1536+8+0=154454%11
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150918+24=151546%1
7/6Saturday, July 64:10 p.m.CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1534+111=154453%7
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
151112+26=152547%2
7/4Thursday, July 42:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1520+24+0=154449%0
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1510+17+24=155151%1
7/3Wednesday, July 37:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
15212+0=151948%0
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1508+1+24=153352%3
7/2Tuesday, July 27:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1522+7+0=152949%4
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1507+4+24=153551%5
7/1Monday, July 17:10 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1521162=150348%8
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150817+24=151552%6
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
15357+0=152851%6
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150712+24=151949%8
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
153211+0=152146%6
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1510+18+24=155254%0
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1534+202=155253%3
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1508+0+22=153047%6
6/26Wednesday, June 268:07 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1510+5+0=151546%1
LAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
1507+11+24=154254%5
6/25Tuesday, June 2510:07 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1511132=149645%1
LAALAAAngels
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1506+5+22=153355%5
6/23Sunday, June 232:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15129+0=150341%5
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1522+19+24=156559%7
6/22Saturday, June 224:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1514+23+0=153749%5
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1521+2+24=154751%6
6/21Friday, June 218:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1511+2+0=151344%11
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1524+6+24=155456%7
6/20Thursday, June 208 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
150822=150443%7
MILMILBrewers
Nelson, Jimmy
Nelson
1527+10+20=155757%1
6/19Wednesday, June 1912:35 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1577+19+0=159662%2
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150719+24=151238%3
6/18Tuesday, June 187:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+41+0=162064%3
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150512+24=151736%4
6/17Monday, June 177:10 p.m.HOUHOUAstros
Miley, Wade
Miley
1580113=156652%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1504+23+24=155148%3
6/16Sunday, June 161 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Jurado, Ariel
Jurado
14907+0=148343%3
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1502+5+24=153157%11
6/15Saturday, June 157:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Minor, Mike
Minor
1489+38+0=152750%4
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15031+24=152650%3
6/14Friday, June 147:10 p.m.TEXTEXRangers
Chavez, Jesse
Chavez
1486183=146543%7
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150618+24=151257%1
6/12Wednesday, June 121:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150314+0=148942%7
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
153315+24=154258%2
6/11Tuesday, June 117 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1504+23+0=152744%1
CLECLEIndians
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
1532+11+26=156956%2
6/9Sunday, June 91:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1503+6+0=150941%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1527+22+24=157359%3
6/8Saturday, June 84:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1504+2+0=150645%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152610+24=154055%4
6/7Friday, June 77:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1505183=148441%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1525+1+22=154859%4
6/6Thursday, June 61:15 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150716+2=149344%1
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152412+26=153856%3
6/4Tuesday, June 48:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1505+22+0=152749%4
STLSTLCardinals
Cabrera, Genesis
Cabrera
152520+26=153151%1
6/2Sunday, June 21:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1518+31+0=154952%4
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1506+6+24=153648%1
6/1Saturday, June 14:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
151637+0=147942%5
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1508+4+24=153658%2
5/31Friday, May 317:10 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1519+19+0=153853%3
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150618+26=151447%9
5/29Wednesday, May 2912:35 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
148824+0=146442%7
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150815+24=151758%2
5/28Tuesday, May 286:40 p.m.PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14905+0=148548%6
CINCINReds
Sims, Lucas
Sims
150632+24=149852%11
5/27Monday, May 277:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
149312+0=148143%1
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1504+4+24=153257%8
5/27Monday, May 271:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Kingham, Nick
Kingham
1490382=145036%8
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1506+25+22=155364%5
5/26Sunday, May 262:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1503+2+0=150541%10
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1538+5+24=156759%2
5/25Saturday, May 252:20 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150413+0=149142%6
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153711+24=155058%8
5/24Friday, May 242:20 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
150310+1=149438%6
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1539+14+24=157762%5
5/22Wednesday, May 221:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1504+29+0=153344%9
MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1536+12+24=157256%11
5/21Tuesday, May 217:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15023+0=149941%3
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1538+0+23=156159%0
5/19Sunday, May 191:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Ryu, Hyun-Jin
Ryu
1571+11+0=158258%8
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15034+24=152342%3
5/18Saturday, May 184:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1573+16+0=158962%0
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150119+24=150638%4
5/17Friday, May 177:10 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
157152=156456%6
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15037+24=152044%0
5/16Thursday, May 166:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15372+0=153547%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1502+29+24=155553%4
5/15Wednesday, May 156:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153819+0=151949%5
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
15011+24=152451%6
5/14Tuesday, May 146:40 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1537+11+0=154854%3
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
15023+22=152146%1
5/12Sunday, May 124:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
150318+0=148546%5
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1461+26+24=151154%6
5/11Saturday, May 119:05 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15023+0=149951%5
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1462+6+24=149249%4
5/10Friday, May 1010:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1499+271=152555%7
SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1465+4+21=149045%0
5/9Thursday, May 93:37 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14977+0=149042%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1511+7+24=154258%0
5/8Wednesday, May 810:07 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1498+3+0=150145%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Anderson, Brett
Anderson
15101+24=153355%5
5/7Tuesday, May 710:07 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1499244=147141%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Fiers, Mike
Fiers
1509+3+22=153459%2
5/6Monday, May 612:35 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pomeranz, Drew
Pomeranz
14644+0=146042%4
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14971+24=152058%12
5/5Sunday, May 54:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1463+4+0=146738%6
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1498+28+24=155062%5
5/4Saturday, May 47:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1465+8+0=147345%2
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
149610+24=151055%9
5/3Friday, May 37:10 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
1464202=144238%12
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1497+6+21=152462%11
5/2Thursday, May 212:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149826+0=147240%0
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1516+4+24=154460%1
5/1Wednesday, May 17 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14974+0=149337%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1518+44+24=158663%0
4/30Tuesday, April 307:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1498+30+0=152852%3
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
151725+24=151648%4
4/29Monday, April 297:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
149763=148841%5
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1518+12+24=155459%4
4/28Sunday, April 282:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1498+5+0=150341%2
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1534+9+24=156759%5
4/27Saturday, April 272:15 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149923+0=147643%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153229+24=152757%6
4/26Friday, April 268:15 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
149482=148436%12
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1537+17+26=158064%1
4/25Thursday, April 256:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1518+3+0=152147%2
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+29+24=154653%4
4/24Wednesday, April 246:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
15175+0=151250%3
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14955+24=151450%1
4/23Tuesday, April 236:40 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1518+15+0=153352%6
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1493+5+22=152048%7
4/21Sunday, April 214:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149422+0=147246%3
SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
14793+24=150054%4
4/20Saturday, April 208:40 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+29+0=152254%4
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14808+24=149646%2
4/19Friday, April 1910:10 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
149210+0=148246%3
SDSDPadres
Strahm, Matt
Strahm
1482+1+24=150754%2
4/18Thursday, April 1810:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
149051=148445%4
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1483+12+26=152155%1
4/17Wednesday, April 173:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1491+4+0=149534%2
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1564+20+24=160866%3
4/16Tuesday, April 1610:10 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149219+0=147336%1
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
156211+24=157564%6
4/15Monday, April 1510 p.m.CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+304=151939%3
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1562+13+24=159961%4
4/14Sunday, April 144 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1530+14+0=154458%9
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
14947+0=148742%5
4/13Saturday, April 137:10 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
153213+0=151955%2
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14938+2=148745%5
4/11Thursday, April 1112:35 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14323+0=142938%0
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1491+0+24=151562%5
4/10Wednesday, April 106:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1432+5+0=143742%1
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
149021+24=149358%2
4/9Tuesday, April 96:40 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14351+0=143435%0
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1488+27+24=153965%14
4/7Sunday, April 71:35 p.m.CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1489+0+0=148944%5
PITPITPirates
Archer, Chris
Archer
1501+3+24=152856%7
4/6Saturday, April 61:35 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14905+0=148542%5
PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1500+18+24=154258%6
4/5Friday, April 57:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
14915+0=148646%0
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
14997+24=151654%2
4/4Thursday, April 47:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1492242=146647%0
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149838+24=148453%2
4/3Wednesday, April 312:35 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
15324+0=152848%1
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1493+23+24=154052%0
4/2Tuesday, April 26:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1531+16+0=154754%4
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
1494+0+24=151846%3
4/1Monday, April 16:40 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
153022=152651%4
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
14951+24=151849%3
3/31Sunday, March 311:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1498+18+5=152149%5
CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1497+0+29=152651%0
3/28Thursday, March 284:10 p.m.PITPITPirates
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1499+232=152047%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1496+22+24=154253%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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