Updated May 21, 2019 at 1:42 AM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Phillies have a 62% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1527, down 2 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
PhilliesPhillies28-1962%46%
BravesBraves26-222.550%33%
MetsMets21-256.522%11%
NationalsNationals19-289.020%10%
MarlinsMarlins13-3113.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Tuesday, May 217 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1527+0+0=152745%
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15381+24=156155%
5/22Wednesday, May 228:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152710+0=151743%
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1538+7+24=156957%
5/23Thursday, May 232:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1527+26+0=155348%
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1538+1+24=156352%
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
152751=152143%
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1538+7+26=157157%
5/25Saturday, May 254:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15274+0=152343%
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1538+7+24=156957%
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1527+0+0=152744%
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1538+7+24=156956%
5/28Tuesday, May 287:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152681=151747%
PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152710+23=154053%
5/29Wednesday, May 297:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
152611+0=151541%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1527+26+24=157759%
5/30Thursday, May 301:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1526+14+0=154049%
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15275+24=154651%
5/31Friday, May 3110:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
152744=151940%
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
157311+24=158660%
6/1Saturday, June 110:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152740%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159860%
6/2Sunday, June 24:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152740%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159860%
6/3Monday, June 310:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+01=152652%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150848%
6/4Tuesday, June 410:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152753%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150847%
6/5Wednesday, June 53:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152753%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+24=150847%
6/7Friday, June 77:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+03=149943%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+22=154957%
6/8Saturday, June 84:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150243%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155157%
6/9Sunday, June 91:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+0=150243%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155157%
6/10Monday, June 107:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+02=150844%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155156%
6/11Tuesday, June 117:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151044%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155156%
6/12Wednesday, June 127:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+0=151044%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155156%
6/14Friday, June 147:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+01=152647%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154553%
6/15Saturday, June 157:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152747%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154553%
6/16Sunday, June 161:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152747%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154553%
6/17Monday, June 177:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+03=152448%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153952%
6/18Tuesday, June 187:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152748%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153952%
6/19Wednesday, June 197:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152748%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153952%
6/20Thursday, June 207:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152748%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153952%
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+03=142132%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+22=154968%
6/22Saturday, June 224:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%
6/23Sunday, June 231:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%
6/24Monday, June 247:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+23=150844%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155156%
6/25Tuesday, June 257:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151144%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155156%
6/26Wednesday, June 267:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151144%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155156%
6/27Thursday, June 271:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151144%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155156%
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+03=152461%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152761%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152761%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
7/2Tuesday, July 27:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+01=152647%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+23=154453%
7/3Wednesday, July 37:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152747%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154553%
7/4Thursday, July 47 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152747%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154553%
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+03=152448%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+26=153752%
7/6Saturday, July 67:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152749%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153551%
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152749%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153551%
7/12Friday, July 126:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+5=152045%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+30=155755%
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151545%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155155%
7/14Sunday, July 141:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+0=151545%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155155%
7/15Monday, July 157:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157253%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155147%
7/16Tuesday, July 167:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155147%
7/17Wednesday, July 177:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155147%
7/18Thursday, July 1812:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155147%
7/19Friday, July 197:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+02=152551%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+23=151949%
7/20Saturday, July 207:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152751%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152049%
7/21Sunday, July 211:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152751%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+24=152049%
7/23Tuesday, July 237:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152760%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+26=145940%
7/24Wednesday, July 241:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152760%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1431+2+24=145740%
7/26Friday, July 267:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+31=152046%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155154%
7/27Saturday, July 277:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152146%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155154%
7/28Sunday, July 281:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152146%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155154%
7/30Tuesday, July 307:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+22=146137%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+26=155363%
7/31Wednesday, July 317:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+0=146338%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155162%
8/1Thursday, Aug. 11:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+0=146338%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155162%
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+03=145336%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155164%
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145637%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155163%
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1456+0+0=145637%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155163%
8/5Monday, Aug. 59:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+04=152348%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153452%
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 69:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152749%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153451%
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 79:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152749%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1510+0+24=153451%
8/8Thursday, Aug. 89:45 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+03=152455%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148745%
8/9Friday, Aug. 910:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152756%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148744%
8/10Saturday, Aug. 104:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152756%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148744%
8/11Sunday, Aug. 114:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152756%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1461+2+24=148744%
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153848%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+22=154952%
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153848%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155152%
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1538+0+0=153848%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155152%
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+12=148240%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155160%
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148441%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155159%
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1483+1+0=148441%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155159%
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152742%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+26=158058%
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152743%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+24=157857%
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+01=152661%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+21=144539%
8/24Saturday, Aug. 246:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152761%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152761%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+24=144839%
8/26Monday, Aug. 267:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
149712=149442%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+21=154858%
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149642%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155158%
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 286:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
14971+0=149642%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155158%
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+21=151044%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+26=155356%
8/31Saturday, Aug. 314:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151144%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155156%
9/1Sunday, Sept. 11:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+0=151144%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155156%
9/2Monday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+02=152550%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+22=152450%
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 36:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152750%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 46:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152750%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
9/5Thursday, Sept. 512:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152750%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1502+0+24=152650%
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+03=152448%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153552%
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152749%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153551%
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152749%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
1509+2+24=153551%
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+33=151845%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+23=155055%
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152146%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155154%
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152146%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155154%
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+0=152146%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155154%
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155450%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+26=155350%
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1554+0+0=155451%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155149%
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+01=152647%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+23=154453%
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152747%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154553%
9/19Thursday, Sept. 1912:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152747%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1518+3+24=154553%
9/20Friday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+03=152445%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155955%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152745%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155955%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 221:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152745%
CLECLEIndians
Pitcher TBD
15394+24=155955%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+02=152548%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+21=153652%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152748%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153952%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152748%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153952%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 264:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152748%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
15161+24=153952%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+01=142333%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+22=154967%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 286:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1424+0+0=142433%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/20Monday, May 208:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
152553=151746%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153914+21=154654%4
5/19Sunday, May 191:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1510+10+0=152046%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15242+24=154654%7
5/18Saturday, May 184:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151110+0=150140%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1523+24+24=157160%2
5/17Friday, May 177:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15121+0=151146%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15229+24=153754%5
5/16Thursday, May 161:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1537+12+0=154950%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1525+1+24=155050%3
5/15Wednesday, May 157:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1535+1+0=153649%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15275+24=154651%2
5/14Tuesday, May 147:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1533+2+0=153547%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
1529+3+24=155653%1
5/13Monday, May 137 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1534143=151742%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+26+21=157558%7
5/12Sunday, May 122:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152619+0=150754%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1455+2+24=148146%1
5/11Saturday, May 117:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15247+0=151753%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1457+17+24=149847%0
5/10Friday, May 108:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15261+0=152559%1
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145518+23=146041%5
5/8Wednesday, May 81:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15231+0=152243%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1533+13+24=157057%0
5/7Tuesday, May 77:45 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+27+0=154751%11
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153622+24=153849%1
5/6Monday, May 68 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
152253=151442%0
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1534+14+22=157058%6
5/5Sunday, May 52:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
152520+0=150546%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152011+24=153354%7
5/4Saturday, May 47:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1523+13+0=153649%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15211+24=154451%8
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
1525312=149243%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15203+26=154357%4
5/1Wednesday, May 17:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14463+0=144332%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1519+28+24=157168%7
4/30Tuesday, April 307:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1444+121=145537%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15211+26=154663%1
4/28Sunday, April 281:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1429+3+0=143236%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152015+24=152964%5
4/27Saturday, April 276:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+2+0=143234%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1519+3+24=154666%12
4/26Friday, April 267:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14314+0=142735%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15179+24=153265%4
4/25Thursday, April 257:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1429+122=143932%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+29+23=157268%1
4/24Wednesday, April 247 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15171+0=151650%6
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
152429+24=151950%0
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152013+0=150744%0
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1521+7+24=155256%9
4/22Monday, April 227 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1522+64=152450%1
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151918+21=152250%5
4/21Sunday, April 213:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
152310+0=151349%1
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15056+24=152351%4
4/20Saturday, April 208:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1522+31+0=155355%8
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
150714+24=151745%5
4/19Friday, April 198:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15233+0=152044%3
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1506+30+24=156056%4
4/18Thursday, April 188:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1524124=150845%2
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1504+14+23=154155%6
4/17Wednesday, April 171:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1522+5+0=152746%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1523+5+24=155254%3
4/16Tuesday, April 167:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152512+0=151348%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152015+24=152952%14
4/15Monday, April 157 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1524+163=153744%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1521+35+21=157756%6
4/14Sunday, April 141:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15206+0=151459%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14314+24=145141%1
4/13Saturday, April 136:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15237+0=151658%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1428+7+24=145942%10
4/12Friday, April 127:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
152111=151959%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1430+3+21=145441%1
4/10Wednesday, April 107:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
153626+0=151046%15
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152614+24=153654%1
4/9Tuesday, April 97:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1533+12+0=154544%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+37+24=158956%6
4/8Monday, April 87:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1534151=151847%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15279+24=154253%4
4/7Sunday, April 71:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1512+23+0=153549%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152610+24=154051%2
4/6Saturday, April 62:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1510+0+0=151044%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15281+24=155156%2
4/5Friday, April 57:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1512+81=151947%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152611+24=153953%10
4/3Wednesday, April 31:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1527+45+0=157254%8
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153112+24=154346%9
4/2Tuesday, April 27:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152417+0=150737%8
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1534+39+26=159963%2
3/31Sunday, March 317 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
151311+0=150244%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15224+24=154256%5
3/30Saturday, March 304:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
15146+2=151046%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15219+26=153854%8
3/28Thursday, March 283:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1516+103=152341%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1519+46+24=158959%10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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