Updated Sep. 19, 2019 at 11:20 PM

2019 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Phillies have a 1% chance of making the playoffs.

Their team rating is 1511, the same as last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BravesBraves94-60>99%
NationalsNationals83-689.593%<1%
MetsMets79-7314.04%
PhilliesPhillies78-7314.51%
MarlinsMarlins53-9940.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/20Friday, Sept. 207 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
151153=150337%
CLECLEIndians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1556+12+24=159263%
9/21Saturday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15114+0=150743%
CLECLEIndians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
155625+24=155557%
9/22Sunday, Sept. 226:30 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15118+0=150344%
CLECLEIndians
Plutko, Adam
Plutko
155632+24=154856%
9/23Monday, Sept. 237:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151172=150238%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1552+11+21=158462%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 241:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+33+0=154441%
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1552+32+24=160859%
9/24Tuesday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1511+3+0=151440%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
1552+9+24=158560%
9/25Wednesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
15115+0=150642%
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
155212+24=156458%
9/26Thursday, Sept. 264:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15114+0=150738%
WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1552+17+24=159362%
9/27Friday, Sept. 277:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1431+21=143237%
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15118+22=152563%
9/28Saturday, Sept. 286:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1431+3+0=143437%
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15117+24=152863%
9/29Sunday, Sept. 293:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1431+9+0=144032%
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+33+24=156868%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/19Thursday, Sept. 1912:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1512+39+0=155144%4
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1545+23+24=159256%5
9/18Wednesday, Sept. 187:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151012+0=149839%4
ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1547+5+24=157661%1
9/17Tuesday, Sept. 177:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1509101=149838%5
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1548+8+23=157962%4
9/15Sunday, Sept. 151:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154020+0=152048%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15102+24=153252%3
9/14Saturday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.BOSBOSRed Sox
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1539+22+0=156148%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+37+26=157452%1
9/12Thursday, Sept. 127:15 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1547+11+0=155854%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
15094+24=152946%9
9/11Wednesday, Sept. 117 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1546+5+0=155154%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151111+24=152446%1
9/10Tuesday, Sept. 107:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1547+8+0=155553%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1509+1+24=153447%6
9/9Monday, Sept. 97:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
154543=153845%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1512+39+23=157455%2
9/8Sunday, Sept. 81:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15107+0=150342%10
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1523+11+24=155858%7
9/7Saturday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
150710+0=149743%5
NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15264+24=154657%0
9/6Friday, Sept. 67:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1508133=149244%4
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152512+24=153756%5
9/5Thursday, Sept. 512:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15091+0=150844%3
CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1497+29+24=155056%4
9/4Wednesday, Sept. 46:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+44+0=155555%5
CINCINReds
Bauer, Trevor
Bauer
14952+24=151745%8
9/3Tuesday, Sept. 36:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15097+0=150252%6
CINCINReds
Sims, Lucas
Sims
149730+24=149148%2
9/2Monday, Sept. 22:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1506122=149246%7
CINCINReds
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15001+22=152154%1
9/1Sunday, Sept. 17 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
15233+0=152051%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150517+24=151249%5
8/31Saturday, Aug. 314:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152110+0=151147%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1506+4+24=153453%3
8/30Friday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
151841=151341%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1510+43+26=157959%5
8/28Wednesday, Aug. 286:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
147610+0=146642%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15077+24=152458%12
8/27Tuesday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Brault, Steven
Brault
1474+11+0=148545%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
150810+24=152255%4
8/26Monday, Aug. 267:05 p.m.PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1475+72=148043%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1507+4+21=153257%6
8/25Sunday, Aug. 251:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1509+43+0=155264%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
14378+24=145336%3
8/24Saturday, Aug. 246:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
150718+0=148953%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1440+4+24=146847%3
8/23Friday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
151011=150861%11
MIAMIAMarlins
Noesi, Hector
Noesi
143623+21=143439%19
8/21Wednesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
150811+0=149742%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Porcello, Rick
Porcello
154312+24=155558%2
8/20Tuesday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1507+40+0=154749%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Johnson, Brian
Johnson
154416+26=155451%2
8/18Sunday, Aug. 181:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lucchesi, Joey
Lucchesi
1479+8+0=148743%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1509+4+24=153757%2
8/17Saturday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Lamet, Dinelson
Lamet
1478+13+0=149146%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151018+24=151654%3
8/16Friday, Aug. 167:05 p.m.SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1480+182=149645%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15081+24=153155%8
8/15Thursday, Aug. 157:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1532+9+0=154153%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
15078+24=152347%7
8/14Wednesday, Aug. 147 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1536+13+0=154948%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1504+36+24=156452%11
8/13Tuesday, Aug. 137:05 p.m.CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1537+1+0=153851%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1502+4+22=152849%4
8/11Sunday, Aug. 117 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15045+0=149950%6
SFSFGiants
Menez, Conner
Menez
14797+24=149650%9
8/10Saturday, Aug. 104:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15051+0=150448%1
SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1477+15+24=151652%3
8/9Friday, Aug. 910:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
15043+0=150151%9
SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
147911+24=149249%6
8/8Thursday, Aug. 89:45 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1506+373=154052%0
SFSFGiants
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1477+26+24=152748%5
8/7Wednesday, Aug. 79:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1508+2+0=151045%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1515+6+24=154555%6
8/6Tuesday, Aug. 69:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15108+0=150246%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Leake, Mike
Leake
15139+24=152854%8
8/5Monday, Aug. 59:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
150854=149946%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
151513+24=152654%3
8/4Sunday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lopez, Reynaldo
Lopez
1448+9+0=145739%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
15101+24=153361%5
8/3Saturday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Detwiler, Ross
Detwiler
144916+0=143331%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1510+35+24=156969%3
8/2Friday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.CHWCHWWhite Sox
Nova, Ivan
Nova
1447+23=144637%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
1511+2+24=153763%3
8/1Thursday, Aug. 11:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Rodriguez, Dereck
Rodriguez
1486+5+0=149145%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15098+24=152555%10
7/31Wednesday, July 317:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Samardzija, Jeff
Samardzija
1483+8+0=149144%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15114+24=153156%1
7/30Tuesday, July 307:05 p.m.SFSFGiants
Beede, Tyler
Beede
148532=148043%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
15105+26=153157%4
7/28Sunday, July 281:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
15324+0=152844%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1508+39+24=157156%9
7/27Saturday, July 277:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1529+4+0=153351%15
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15119+24=152649%7
7/26Friday, July 267:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1526+241=154953%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15138+24=152947%2
7/24Wednesday, July 241:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15129+0=150363%4
DETDETTigers
Zimmermann, Jordan
Zimmermann
140617+24=141337%0
7/23Tuesday, July 237:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1511+36+0=154762%3
DETDETTigers
Boyd, Matthew
Boyd
1407+27+26=146038%2
7/21Sunday, July 211:35 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
151010+0=150047%2
PITPITPirates
Agrazal, Dario
Agrazal
14971+24=152053%1
7/20Saturday, July 207:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15127+0=150547%1
PITPITPirates
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1495+9+24=152853%5
7/19Friday, July 197:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
151072=150149%6
PITPITPirates
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
149715+23=150551%1
7/18Thursday, July 1812:35 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
158618+0=156849%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1509+41+24=157451%7
7/17Wednesday, July 177:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
15848+0=157658%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151011+24=152342%2
7/16Tuesday, July 167:05 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1586+18+0=160461%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15095+24=152839%9
7/15Monday, July 157 p.m.LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1582+42=158458%16
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15125+24=153142%2
7/14Sunday, July 141:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153415+0=151949%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
151111+24=152451%4
7/13Saturday, July 137:15 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1533+8+0=154145%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1513+39+24=157655%3
7/12Friday, July 126:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1531+10+5=154652%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151512+30=153348%0
7/7Sunday, July 71:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1512+39+0=155152%8
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1503+11+24=153848%3
7/6Saturday, July 67:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15136+0=150746%5
NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1502+6+24=153254%6
7/5Friday, July 57:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
151163=150240%7
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1505+41+26=157260%2
7/4Thursday, July 47 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1512+2+0=151440%6
ATLATLBraves
Soroka, Mike
Soroka
1529+30+24=158360%12
7/3Wednesday, July 37:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151512+0=150345%2
ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
152711+24=154055%9
7/2Tuesday, July 27:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1513+331=154548%2
ATLATLBraves
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1528+9+23=156052%0
6/30Sunday, June 301:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15116+0=150555%13
MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
14472+24=146945%6
6/29Saturday, June 294:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1513+4+0=151756%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1445+6+24=147544%9
6/28Friday, June 287:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
151553=150758%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
144315+24=145242%6
6/27Thursday, June 271:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1507+4+0=151143%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1514+25+24=156357%6
6/26Wednesday, June 267:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
15089+0=149946%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15138+24=152954%5
6/25Tuesday, June 257:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Lockett, Walker
Lockett
150946+0=146340%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15123+24=153360%7
6/24Monday, June 247:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
1511193=148942%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1510+9+24=154358%13
6/23Sunday, June 231:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Yamamoto, Jordan
Yamamoto
1445+3+0=144840%6
PHIPHIPhillies
De Los Santos, Enyel
De Los Santos
151221+24=151560%4
6/22Saturday, June 224:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
144316+0=142736%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
151410+24=152864%3
6/21Friday, June 217:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1442103=142932%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1515+20+22=155768%1
6/20Thursday, June 207:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15176+0=151150%4
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
152639+24=151150%7
6/19Wednesday, June 197:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15188+0=151039%0
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1525+41+24=159061%2
6/19Wednesday, June 191:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1520+8+2=153047%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1523+0+29=155253%6
6/16Sunday, June 161:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15237+0=151645%1
ATLATLBraves
Foltynewicz, Mike
Foltynewicz
1521+2+24=154755%15
6/15Saturday, June 157:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1522+25+0=154751%6
ATLATLBraves
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
15227+24=153949%5
6/14Friday, June 147:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152341=151846%8
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1521+5+24=155054%9
6/12Wednesday, June 127:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
15188+0=151044%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1525+2+24=155156%0
6/11Tuesday, June 117:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Duplantier, Jon
Duplantier
151915+0=150445%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15239+24=153855%7
6/10Monday, June 107:05 p.m.ARIARIDiamondbacks
Clarke, Taylor
Clarke
1517212=149443%13
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15268+24=154257%8
6/9Sunday, June 91:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1503+6+0=150941%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1527+22+24=157359%3
6/8Saturday, June 84:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Roark, Tanner
Roark
1504+2+0=150645%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152610+24=154055%4
6/7Friday, June 77:05 p.m.CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1505183=148441%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1525+1+22=154859%4
6/5Wednesday, June 53:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15233+0=152053%7
SDSDPadres
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14848+24=150047%5
6/4Tuesday, June 410:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15229+0=151347%9
SDSDPadres
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1486+23+24=153353%6
6/3Monday, June 310 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1524+291=155257%2
SDSDPadres
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
14833+24=150443%8
6/2Sunday, June 24 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152618+0=150837%0
LADLADDodgers
Hill, Rich
Hill
1579+0+24=160363%8
6/1Saturday, June 110:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Alvarez, Jose
Alvarez
152715+0=151237%3
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1578+1+24=160363%4
5/31Friday, May 3110:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1529+24=152741%3
LADLADDodgers
Maeda, Kenta
Maeda
157712+24=158959%6
5/30Thursday, May 301:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
152016+0=150444%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15308+24=154656%3
5/29Wednesday, May 297:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Cabrera, Genesis
Cabrera
152213+0=150940%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+26+24=157860%11
5/28Tuesday, May 287:05 p.m.STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1523131=150947%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152720+23=153053%4
5/26Sunday, May 262:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1530+1+0=153145%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1533+9+24=156655%9
5/25Saturday, May 254:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15272+0=152544%7
MILMILBrewers
Chacin, Jhoulys
Chacin
1535+9+24=156856%2
5/24Friday, May 248:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
152541=152043%6
MILMILBrewers
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1537+8+26=157157%4
5/23Thursday, May 232:20 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1524+27+0=155148%9
CHCCHCCubs
Lester, Jon
Lester
1540+1+24=156552%7
5/22Wednesday, May 228:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152610+0=151642%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hamels, Cole
Hamels
1539+6+24=156958%8
5/21Tuesday, May 217 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1527+0+0=152745%2
CHCCHCCubs
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15381+24=156155%3
5/20Monday, May 208:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
152553=151746%5
CHCCHCCubs
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153914+21=154654%4
5/19Sunday, May 191:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1510+10+0=152046%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15242+24=154654%7
5/18Saturday, May 184:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
151110+0=150140%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1523+24+24=157160%2
5/17Friday, May 177:05 p.m.COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15121+0=151146%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
15229+24=153754%5
5/16Thursday, May 161:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Davies, Zach
Davies
1537+12+0=154950%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1525+1+24=155050%3
5/15Wednesday, May 157:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Gio
Gonzalez
1535+1+0=153649%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15275+24=154651%2
5/14Tuesday, May 147:05 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1533+2+0=153547%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
1529+3+24=155653%1
5/13Monday, May 137 p.m.MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1534143=151742%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+26+21=157558%7
5/12Sunday, May 122:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
152619+0=150754%6
KCKCRoyals
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1455+2+24=148146%1
5/11Saturday, May 117:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15247+0=151753%7
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1457+17+24=149847%0
5/10Friday, May 108:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15261+0=152559%1
KCKCRoyals
Bailey, Homer
Bailey
145518+23=146041%5
5/8Wednesday, May 81:15 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15231+0=152243%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1533+13+24=157057%0
5/7Tuesday, May 77:45 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+27+0=154751%11
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153622+24=153849%1
5/6Monday, May 68 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
152253=151442%0
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1534+14+22=157058%6
5/5Sunday, May 52:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
152520+0=150546%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152011+24=153354%7
5/4Saturday, May 47:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1523+13+0=153649%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15211+24=154451%8
5/3Friday, May 37:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
1525312=149243%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15203+26=154357%4
5/1Wednesday, May 17:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
14463+0=144332%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1519+28+24=157168%7
4/30Tuesday, April 307:05 p.m.DETDETTigers
Turnbull, Spencer
Turnbull
1444+121=145537%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15211+26=154663%1
4/28Sunday, April 281:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1429+3+0=143236%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152015+24=152964%5
4/27Saturday, April 276:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Richards, Trevor
Richards
1430+2+0=143234%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1519+3+24=154666%12
4/26Friday, April 267:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14314+0=142735%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
15179+24=153265%4
4/25Thursday, April 257:05 p.m.MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1429+122=143932%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+29+23=157268%1
4/24Wednesday, April 247 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15171+0=151650%6
NYMNYMMets
Vargas, Jason
Vargas
152429+24=151950%0
4/23Tuesday, April 237:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152013+0=150744%0
NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1521+7+24=155256%9
4/22Monday, April 227 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1522+64=152450%1
NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
151918+21=152250%5
4/21Sunday, April 213:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eickhoff, Jerad
Eickhoff
152310+0=151349%1
COLCOLRockies
Gray, Jon
Gray
15056+24=152351%4
4/20Saturday, April 208:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1522+31+0=155355%8
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
150714+24=151745%5
4/19Friday, April 198:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15233+0=152044%3
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1506+30+24=156056%4
4/18Thursday, April 188:40 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
1524124=150845%2
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1504+14+23=154155%6
4/17Wednesday, April 171:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1522+5+0=152746%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
1523+5+24=155254%3
4/16Tuesday, April 167:05 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Matz, Steven
Matz
152512+0=151348%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152015+24=152952%14
4/15Monday, April 157 p.m.NYMNYMMets
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1524+163=153744%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1521+35+21=157756%6
4/14Sunday, April 141:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15206+0=151459%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Urena, Jose
Urena
14314+24=145141%1
4/13Saturday, April 136:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
15237+0=151658%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Smith, Caleb
Smith
1428+7+24=145942%10
4/12Friday, April 127:10 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
152111=151959%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1430+3+21=145441%1
4/10Wednesday, April 107:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Hellickson, Jeremy
Hellickson
153626+0=151046%15
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152614+24=153654%1
4/9Tuesday, April 97:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1533+12+0=154544%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1528+37+24=158956%6
4/8Monday, April 87:05 p.m.WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1534151=151847%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
15279+24=154253%4
4/7Sunday, April 71:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1512+23+0=153549%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152610+24=154051%2
4/6Saturday, April 62:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1510+0+0=151044%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15281+24=155156%2
4/5Friday, April 57:05 p.m.MINMINTwins
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1512+81=151947%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152611+24=153953%10
4/3Wednesday, April 31:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1527+45+0=157254%8
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
153112+24=154346%9
4/2Tuesday, April 27:05 p.m.PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152417+0=150737%8
WSHWSHNationals
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1534+39+26=159963%2
3/31Sunday, March 317 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
151311+0=150244%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Arrieta, Jake
Arrieta
15224+24=154256%5
3/30Saturday, March 304:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
15146+2=151046%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15219+26=153854%8
3/28Thursday, March 283:05 p.m.ATLATLBraves
Teheran, Julio
Teheran
1516+103=152341%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1519+46+24=158959%10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

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