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The Blue Jays are done for the season.
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RaysRays100-62 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
YankeesYankees92-70 | 8.0 | ✓ | — | |||
Red SoxRed Sox92-70 | 8.0 | ✓ | — | |||
Blue JaysBlue Jays91-71 | 9.0 | — | — | |||
OriolesOrioles52-110 | 48.0 | — | — |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Zimmermann | 1411 | +4 | +0 | =1415 | 31% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1545 | –12 | +24 | =1557 | 69% | 12 | |
10/2Saturday, Oct. 23:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Means | 1413 | +38 | +0 | =1451 | 33% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1543 | +10 | +24 | =1577 | 67% | 10 | |
10/1Friday, Oct. 17:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Eshelman | 1413 | –21 | –2 | =1390 | 28% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1543 | –12 | +24 | =1555 | 72% | 6 | |
9/30Thursday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Kluber | 1553 | –3 | +0 | =1550 | 43% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1545 | +29 | +24 | =1598 | 57% | 2 | |
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 297 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1554 | +30 | +0 | =1584 | 49% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1544 | +21 | +24 | =1589 | 51% | 6 | |
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1552 | –5 | +0 | =1547 | 48% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1546 | –9 | +23 | =1560 | 52% | 2 | |
9/26Sunday, Sept. 262:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1545 | +9 | +0 | =1554 | 59% | 5 |
MINTwins | Jax | 1494 | –28 | +24 | =1490 | 41% | 2 | |
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1543 | +28 | +0 | =1571 | 58% | 6 |
MINTwins | Gant | 1496 | –3 | +24 | =1517 | 42% | 1 | |
9/24Friday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1545 | +21 | +0 | =1566 | 55% | 1 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1494 | +10 | +24 | =1528 | 45% | 3 | |
9/23Thursday, Sept. 237:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1547 | –11 | –3 | =1533 | 51% | 2 |
MINTwins | Pineda | 1492 | +15 | +22 | =1529 | 49% | 7 | |
9/22Wednesday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Merryweather | 1549 | –23 | +0 | =1526 | 43% | 1 |
TBRays | Patino | 1567 | –17 | +24 | =1574 | 57% | 7 | |
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 217:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1547 | +10 | +0 | =1557 | 43% | 4 |
TBRays | Rasmussen | 1569 | +15 | +24 | =1608 | 57% | 2 | |
9/20Monday, Sept. 207:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1549 | +32 | –3 | =1578 | 50% | 4 |
TBRays | Baz | 1568 | –17 | +24 | =1575 | 50% | 6 | |
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Farrell | 1489 | –24 | +0 | =1465 | 33% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1548 | +19 | +24 | =1591 | 67% | 5 | |
9/18Saturday, Sept. 183:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Ober | 1491 | +11 | +0 | =1502 | 42% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1546 | –13 | +24 | =1557 | 58% | 6 | |
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:07 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Pineda | 1488 | +13 | –1 | =1500 | 40% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1549 | –4 | +26 | =1571 | 60% | 3 | |
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 153:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Wacha | 1570 | –16 | +0 | =1554 | 44% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1547 | +28 | +24 | =1599 | 56% | 6 | |
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 147:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1569 | +8 | +0 | =1577 | 48% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1549 | +17 | +24 | =1590 | 52% | 0 | |
9/13Monday, Sept. 137:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McHugh | 1572 | +5 | –2 | =1575 | 51% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1546 | +2 | +22 | =1570 | 49% | 8 | |
9/12Sunday, Sept. 121:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1543 | –9 | +0 | =1534 | 63% | 22 |
BALOrioles | Lowther | 1417 | +1 | +24 | =1442 | 37% | 7 | |
9/11Saturday, Sept. 118:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Hatch | 1541 | –24 | +0 | =1517 | 61% | 11 |
BALOrioles | Akin | 1419 | –7 | +24 | =1436 | 39% | 2 | |
9/11Saturday, Sept. 114:35 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1540 | +7 | +0 | =1547 | 65% | 11 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1420 | –4 | +24 | =1440 | 35% | 10 | |
9/10Friday, Sept. 107:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1543 | +32 | –2 | =1573 | 66% | 3 |
BALOrioles | Ellis | 1417 | +17 | +24 | =1458 | 34% | 6 | |
9/9Thursday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1541 | +15 | +0 | =1556 | 50% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Cortes | 1553 | –23 | +24 | =1554 | 50% | 4 | |
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1540 | +0 | +0 | =1540 | 46% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Gil | 1555 | –14 | +24 | =1565 | 54% | 3 | |
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1537 | –14 | +0 | =1523 | 36% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1557 | +40 | +24 | =1621 | 64% | 1 | |
9/6Monday, Sept. 61:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1534 | +3 | –2 | =1535 | 44% | 8 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1561 | –12 | +24 | =1573 | 56% | 0 | |
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1524 | –13 | +0 | =1511 | 39% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1531 | +31 | +24 | =1586 | 61% | 8 | |
9/4Saturday, Sept. 43:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1525 | –32 | +0 | =1493 | 39% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1531 | +16 | +24 | =1571 | 61% | 10 | |
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Manaea | 1526 | –6 | –2 | =1518 | 43% | 10 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1530 | +9 | +26 | =1565 | 57% | 11 | |
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 17:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Harvey | 1415 | +1 | +0 | =1416 | 33% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1529 | –12 | +24 | =1541 | 67% | 5 | |
8/31Tuesday, Aug. 317:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Akin | 1413 | –10 | +0 | =1403 | 29% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1531 | +3 | +24 | =1558 | 71% | 2 | |
8/30Monday, Aug. 307:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Ellis | 1414 | +7 | –2 | =1419 | 28% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1530 | +29 | +22 | =1581 | 72% | 7 | |
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1530 | +13 | +0 | =1543 | 57% | 2 |
DETTigers | Boyd | 1467 | +0 | +24 | =1491 | 43% | 1 | |
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1529 | +6 | +0 | =1535 | 59% | 3 |
DETTigers | Urena | 1468 | –24 | +24 | =1468 | 41% | 2 | |
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1530 | –12 | –2 | =1516 | 56% | 1 |
DETTigers | Manning | 1467 | –20 | +24 | =1471 | 44% | 2 | |
8/26Thursday, Aug. 263:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1539 | +10 | +0 | =1549 | 47% | 10 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1532 | +13 | +24 | =1569 | 53% | 7 | |
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 257:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1540 | +10 | +0 | =1550 | 46% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1531 | +26 | +24 | =1581 | 54% | 3 | |
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 247:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1538 | –11 | +0 | =1527 | 43% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1532 | +18 | +24 | =1574 | 57% | 2 | |
8/23Monday, Aug. 237:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1539 | +21 | –3 | =1557 | 50% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1531 | +3 | +24 | =1558 | 50% | 2 | |
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hutchison | 1465 | –34 | +0 | =1431 | 34% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1533 | –14 | +24 | =1543 | 66% | 3 | |
8/21Saturday, Aug. 213:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Peralta | 1466 | –7 | +0 | =1459 | 35% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1532 | +11 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | 3 | |
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:07 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1463 | –8 | –2 | =1453 | 32% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1535 | +22 | +24 | =1581 | 68% | 1 | |
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 184:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1537 | +23 | +0 | =1560 | 57% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Gray | 1496 | –6 | +24 | =1514 | 43% | 8 | |
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1540 | +16 | –2 | =1554 | 57% | 6 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1493 | –16 | +26 | =1503 | 43% | 12 | |
8/15Sunday, Aug. 154:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1537 | –15 | +0 | =1522 | 49% | 8 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1488 | +16 | +24 | =1528 | 51% | 3 | |
8/14Saturday, Aug. 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1540 | +12 | +0 | =1552 | 55% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Kikuchi | 1485 | +11 | +24 | =1520 | 45% | 9 | |
8/13Friday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1541 | +20 | –3 | =1558 | 58% | 2 |
SEAMariners | Flexen | 1484 | –6 | +24 | =1502 | 42% | 3 | |
8/12Thursday, Aug. 129:38 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1543 | +29 | +0 | =1572 | 54% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1498 | +20 | +24 | =1542 | 46% | 6 | |
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 119:38 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1541 | +12 | +0 | =1553 | 55% | 10 |
LAAAngels | Bundy | 1500 | –8 | +24 | =1516 | 45% | 2 | |
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 1010:07 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1539 | –14 | –4 | =1521 | 57% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Suarez | 1502 | –47 | +20 | =1475 | 43% | 0 | |
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 106:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Rodriguez | 1500 | –12 | –2 | =1486 | 41% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1541 | –15 | +26 | =1552 | 59% | 3 | |
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Richards | 1521 | –22 | +0 | =1499 | 38% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1540 | +18 | +24 | =1582 | 62% | 9 | |
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Houck | 1520 | +14 | +0 | =1534 | 42% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1542 | +26 | +24 | =1592 | 58% | 1 | |
8/7Saturday, Aug. 73:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1521 | –1 | +0 | =1520 | 41% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1541 | +15 | +24 | =1580 | 59% | 1 | |
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1523 | +21 | –2 | =1542 | 46% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1538 | +11 | +24 | =1573 | 54% | 12 | |
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | McKenzie | 1499 | –5 | +0 | =1494 | 43% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1537 | –19 | +24 | =1542 | 57% | 3 | |
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 47:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Mejia | 1500 | –30 | +0 | =1470 | 40% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1536 | –17 | +24 | =1543 | 60% | 8 | |
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Plesac | 1501 | +17 | +0 | =1518 | 41% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1534 | +20 | +24 | =1578 | 59% | 7 | |
8/2Monday, Aug. 23:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Morgan | 1499 | –17 | –2 | =1480 | 36% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1536 | +18 | +24 | =1578 | 64% | 2 | |
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 32% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1535 | +28 | +24 | =1587 | 68% | 5 | |
7/31Saturday, July 313:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Minor | 1458 | +10 | +0 | =1468 | 36% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1534 | +7 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | 4 | |
7/30Friday, July 307:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1459 | –16 | –3 | =1440 | 36% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1533 | –16 | +22 | =1539 | 64% | 6 | |
7/29Thursday, July 297:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1529 | +18 | +0 | =1547 | 47% | 13 |
BOSRed Sox | Rodriguez | 1534 | +9 | +24 | =1567 | 53% | 1 | |
7/28Wednesday, July 287:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1531 | –11 | +0 | =1520 | 44% | 1 |
BOSRed Sox | Houck | 1533 | +6 | +24 | =1563 | 56% | 4 | |
7/28Wednesday, July 282:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1529 | +19 | +2 | =1550 | 52% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Richards | 1534 | –21 | +26 | =1539 | 48% | 1 | |
7/26Monday, July 267 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Hatch | 1530 | –12 | –2 | =1516 | 45% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1534 | –5 | +24 | =1553 | 55% | 5 | |
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1531 | –18 | +0 | =1513 | 44% | 4 |
NYMMets | Hill | 1534 | –4 | +24 | =1554 | 56% | 5 | |
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1528 | +21 | +0 | =1549 | 49% | 10 |
NYMMets | Walker | 1537 | –6 | +24 | =1555 | 51% | 3 | |
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1530 | –11 | +0 | =1519 | 47% | 0 |
NYMMets | Megill | 1535 | –22 | +23 | =1536 | 53% | 3 | |
7/21Wednesday, July 217:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Richards | 1529 | –20 | +2 | =1511 | 40% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1532 | +21 | +26 | =1579 | 60% | 4 | |
7/19Monday, July 197:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1525 | –2 | –2 | =1521 | 46% | 13 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1535 | –12 | +24 | =1547 | 54% | 4 | |
7/18Sunday, July 183:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Foltynewicz | 1454 | –1 | +0 | =1453 | 38% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1533 | –17 | +24 | =1540 | 62% | 10 | |
7/18Sunday, July 181:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Allard | 1455 | –6 | +2 | =1451 | 33% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1532 | +16 | +26 | =1574 | 67% | 5 | |
7/16Friday, July 167:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Lyles | 1457 | –12 | +4 | =1449 | 32% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1530 | +18 | +28 | =1576 | 68% | 10 | |
7/11Sunday, July 111:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1528 | +12 | +0 | =1540 | 43% | 3 |
TBRays | Hill | 1554 | +9 | +24 | =1587 | 57% | 1 | |
7/10Saturday, July 101:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1530 | –5 | +0 | =1525 | 43% | 2 |
TBRays | Yarbrough | 1553 | –4 | +24 | =1573 | 57% | 5 | |
7/9Friday, July 97:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1532 | +9 | –1 | =1540 | 46% | 1 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1551 | –6 | +26 | =1571 | 54% | 7 | |
7/7Wednesday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1530 | +17 | +0 | =1547 | 65% | 10 |
BALOrioles | Harvey | 1432 | –20 | +24 | =1436 | 35% | 2 | |
7/6Tuesday, July 67:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1532 | –12 | +0 | =1520 | 59% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1431 | +6 | +22 | =1459 | 41% | 7 | |
7/4Sunday, July 41:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1545 | –5 | +0 | =1540 | 46% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1534 | +10 | +24 | =1568 | 54% | 1 | |
7/3Saturday, July 33:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1546 | –6 | +0 | =1540 | 49% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1532 | –7 | +24 | =1549 | 51% | 6 | |
7/2Friday, July 27:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Patino | 1549 | –21 | +0 | =1528 | 47% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1529 | –1 | +24 | =1552 | 53% | 11 | |
7/1Thursday, July 11:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kikuchi | 1479 | +18 | +0 | =1497 | 38% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1532 | +25 | +24 | =1581 | 62% | 2 | |
6/30Wednesday, June 307:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Sheffield | 1477 | –13 | +0 | =1464 | 38% | 9 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1534 | –8 | +24 | =1550 | 62% | 7 | |
6/29Tuesday, June 297:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Flexen | 1479 | –13 | +0 | =1466 | 36% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1532 | +9 | +26 | =1567 | 64% | 9 | |
6/27Sunday, June 271:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lopez | 1423 | –2 | +0 | =1421 | 32% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1531 | –7 | +24 | =1548 | 68% | 5 | |
6/26Saturday, June 263:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Akin | 1425 | +1 | +0 | =1426 | 29% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1530 | +26 | +24 | =1580 | 71% | 12 | |
6/25Friday, June 257:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Harvey | 1423 | –27 | +0 | =1396 | 30% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1532 | –8 | +24 | =1548 | 70% | 5 | |
6/24Thursday, June 247:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Kremer | 1425 | +1 | –2 | =1424 | 34% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Kay | 1530 | –11 | +21 | =1540 | 66% | 9 | |
6/23Wednesday, June 237:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1528 | +9 | +0 | =1537 | 53% | 3 |
MIAMarlins | Rogers | 1476 | +18 | +24 | =1518 | 47% | 1 | |
6/22Tuesday, June 227:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1527 | –8 | –1 | =1518 | 50% | 2 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1477 | +15 | +23 | =1515 | 50% | 1 | |
6/20Sunday, June 201:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1526 | +26 | +0 | =1552 | 67% | 7 |
BALOrioles | Harvey | 1431 | –29 | +24 | =1426 | 33% | 4 | |
6/19Saturday, June 194:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1525 | +2 | +0 | =1527 | 60% | 10 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1432 | –2 | +24 | =1454 | 40% | 7 | |
6/18Friday, June 187:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1529 | +10 | –2 | =1537 | 64% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Eshelman | 1428 | –14 | +22 | =1436 | 36% | 7 | |
6/17Thursday, June 177:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | King | 1549 | –42 | +0 | =1507 | 44% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | Zeuch | 1531 | –5 | +24 | =1550 | 56% | 4 | |
6/16Wednesday, June 167:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1548 | +47 | +0 | =1595 | 57% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1532 | –12 | +24 | =1544 | 43% | 2 | |
6/15Tuesday, June 157:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1547 | –4 | +0 | =1543 | 44% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1533 | +27 | +22 | =1582 | 56% | 5 | |
6/14Monday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1534 | –5 | +0 | =1529 | 47% | 1 |
BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1517 | +8 | +24 | =1549 | 53% | 2 | |
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1530 | +9 | +0 | =1539 | 50% | 18 |
BOSRed Sox | Perez | 1521 | –7 | +24 | =1538 | 50% | 4 | |
6/12Saturday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1527 | –8 | +0 | =1519 | 46% | 7 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1524 | –2 | +24 | =1546 | 54% | 2 | |
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1528 | –11 | –3 | =1514 | 46% | 5 |
BOSRed Sox | Richards | 1523 | –4 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | 6 | |
6/10Thursday, June 108 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1530 | +31 | +0 | =1561 | 53% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1536 | –19 | +24 | =1541 | 47% | 5 | |
6/9Wednesday, June 98:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1527 | –7 | +0 | =1520 | 40% | 6 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1539 | +29 | +24 | =1592 | 60% | 2 | |
6/8Tuesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1529 | +7 | +0 | =1536 | 46% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1537 | +2 | +26 | =1565 | 54% | 6 | |
6/6Sunday, June 61:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1556 | +6 | +0 | =1562 | 51% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1531 | –3 | +24 | =1552 | 49% | 3 | |
6/5Saturday, June 53:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1558 | +5 | +0 | =1563 | 53% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1529 | –13 | +24 | =1540 | 47% | 6 | |
6/4Friday, June 47:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Greinke | 1554 | +6 | –3 | =1557 | 44% | 13 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1533 | +38 | +26 | =1597 | 56% | 1 | |
6/2Wednesday, June 27:07 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1475 | +12 | +0 | =1487 | 40% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1533 | +0 | +24 | =1557 | 60% | 6 | |
6/1Tuesday, June 17:07 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1476 | +13 | +3 | =1492 | 41% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1531 | +2 | +24 | =1557 | 59% | 5 | |
5/30Sunday, May 303:55 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1532 | –5 | +0 | =1527 | 53% | 5 |
CLEIndians | Hentges | 1509 | –26 | +24 | =1507 | 47% | 6 | |
5/30Sunday, May 301:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1530 | –17 | +2 | =1515 | 45% | 4 |
CLEIndians | Civale | 1511 | +13 | +26 | =1550 | 55% | 1 | |
5/28Friday, May 287:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1528 | +38 | –2 | =1564 | 57% | 11 |
CLEIndians | Morgan | 1514 | –22 | +23 | =1515 | 43% | 2 | |
5/27Thursday, May 277:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1529 | +5 | +0 | =1534 | 44% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1561 | –9 | +24 | =1576 | 56% | 5 | |
5/27Thursday, May 274:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1527 | –8 | +2 | =1521 | 42% | 2 |
NYYYankees | German | 1563 | –16 | +26 | =1573 | 58% | 0 | |
5/25Tuesday, May 257:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1525 | –9 | –2 | =1514 | 39% | 6 |
NYYYankees | Kluber | 1565 | –1 | +26 | =1590 | 61% | 2 | |
5/24Monday, May 241:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1548 | –14 | +0 | =1534 | 49% | 14 |
TORBlue Jays | Thornton | 1527 | –8 | +24 | =1543 | 51% | 8 | |
5/23Sunday, May 231:07 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Wacha | 1546 | –19 | +0 | =1527 | 41% | 6 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1529 | +40 | +24 | =1593 | 59% | 4 | |
5/22Saturday, May 227:37 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | McClanahan | 1544 | –15 | +0 | =1529 | 46% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1530 | +3 | +24 | =1557 | 54% | 1 | |
5/21Friday, May 217:37 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Glasnow | 1543 | +25 | –2 | =1566 | 52% | 9 |
TORBlue Jays | Kay | 1532 | –3 | +24 | =1553 | 48% | 7 | |
5/20Thursday, May 207:37 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1515 | –6 | +0 | =1509 | 44% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1533 | –7 | +24 | =1550 | 56% | 7 | |
5/19Wednesday, May 197:37 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Richards | 1513 | –8 | +0 | =1505 | 44% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1535 | –11 | +24 | =1548 | 56% | 3 | |
5/18Tuesday, May 187:37 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Rodriguez | 1515 | +14 | +0 | =1529 | 41% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1533 | +34 | +26 | =1593 | 59% | 8 | |
5/16Sunday, May 161:07 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Anderson | 1507 | –16 | +0 | =1491 | 40% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1532 | +4 | +24 | =1560 | 60% | 10 | |
5/15Saturday, May 157:37 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1509 | +24 | +0 | =1533 | 48% | 0 |
TORBlue Jays | Kay | 1530 | –11 | +24 | =1543 | 52% | 4 | |
5/14Friday, May 147:37 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Velasquez | 1507 | –18 | –2 | =1487 | 42% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1532 | –10 | +21 | =1543 | 58% | 1 | |
5/13Thursday, May 1312:20 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1530 | –10 | +0 | =1520 | 45% | 8 |
ATLBraves | Morton | 1524 | +8 | +24 | =1556 | 55% | 4 | |
5/12Wednesday, May 127:20 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1529 | +35 | +0 | =1564 | 53% | 4 |
ATLBraves | Fried | 1525 | –8 | +24 | =1541 | 47% | 1 | |
5/11Tuesday, May 117:20 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1527 | +6 | –1 | =1532 | 51% | 5 |
ATLBraves | Wilson | 1527 | –29 | +26 | =1524 | 49% | 3 | |
5/9Sunday, May 92:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Pearson | 1529 | –17 | +0 | =1512 | 40% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Greinke | 1549 | +7 | +24 | =1580 | 60% | 7 | |
5/8Saturday, May 87:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1526 | –9 | +0 | =1517 | 40% | 8 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1551 | +10 | +24 | =1585 | 60% | 4 | |
5/7Friday, May 78:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1528 | –8 | –4 | =1516 | 42% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1549 | +4 | +21 | =1574 | 58% | 10 | |
5/6Thursday, May 63:37 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1526 | +36 | +0 | =1562 | 54% | 10 |
OAKAthletics | Fiers | 1515 | –7 | +24 | =1532 | 46% | 4 | |
5/5Wednesday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1523 | +4 | +0 | =1527 | 46% | 9 |
OAKAthletics | Bassitt | 1517 | +17 | +24 | =1558 | 54% | 4 | |
5/4Tuesday, May 49:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kay | 1525 | –8 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1516 | –3 | +24 | =1537 | 53% | 4 | |
5/3Monday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1526 | –8 | –4 | =1514 | 47% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1515 | –6 | +24 | =1533 | 53% | 5 | |
5/2Sunday, May 21:07 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1525 | +20 | +0 | =1545 | 51% | 2 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1524 | –11 | +24 | =1537 | 49% | 7 | |
5/1Saturday, May 17:37 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Morton | 1527 | +20 | +0 | =1547 | 51% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Bergen | 1523 | –6 | +24 | =1541 | 49% | 6 | |
4/30Friday, April 307:37 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1529 | –20 | –3 | =1506 | 44% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1520 | +0 | +26 | =1546 | 56% | 13 | |
4/28Wednesday, April 287:07 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1511 | –25 | +0 | =1486 | 42% | 8 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1523 | –3 | +24 | =1544 | 58% | 2 | |
4/27Tuesday, April 277:07 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Scherzer | 1513 | +38 | +0 | =1551 | 52% | 5 |
TORBlue Jays | Thornton | 1521 | –5 | +23 | =1539 | 48% | 9 | |
4/25Sunday, April 251:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1520 | +35 | +0 | =1555 | 53% | 1 |
TBRays | Patino | 1530 | –17 | +24 | =1537 | 47% | 0 | |
4/24Saturday, April 246:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1521 | –1 | +0 | =1520 | 47% | 3 |
TBRays | Honeywell Jr. | 1529 | –12 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | 5 | |
4/23Friday, April 237:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1520 | –3 | –1 | =1516 | 41% | 5 |
TBRays | Glasnow | 1530 | +27 | +23 | =1580 | 59% | 3 | |
4/21Wednesday, April 217:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Thornton | 1518 | –6 | +0 | =1512 | 48% | 6 |
BOSRed Sox | Richards | 1515 | –13 | +24 | =1526 | 52% | 3 | |
4/20Tuesday, April 207:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1519 | +38 | –1 | =1556 | 49% | 2 |
BOSRed Sox | Rodriguez | 1514 | +22 | +24 | =1560 | 51% | 4 | |
4/18Sunday, April 182:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1521 | –2 | +0 | =1519 | 53% | 0 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1474 | +3 | +24 | =1501 | 47% | 2 | |
4/17Saturday, April 176:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Milone | 1522 | –23 | +0 | =1499 | 54% | 2 |
KCRoyals | Santana | 1473 | –22 | +24 | =1475 | 46% | 3 | |
4/17Saturday, April 172:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1520 | –6 | +2 | =1516 | 50% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Minor | 1474 | +14 | +26 | =1514 | 50% | 1 | |
4/15Thursday, April 158:10 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kay | 1521 | –3 | –3 | =1515 | 55% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Junis | 1473 | –16 | +24 | =1481 | 45% | 7 | |
4/14Wednesday, April 141:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Kluber | 1568 | –8 | +0 | =1560 | 51% | 4 |
TORBlue Jays | Zeuch | 1520 | +7 | +24 | =1551 | 49% | 5 | |
4/13Tuesday, April 137:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1570 | +0 | +0 | =1570 | 49% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1518 | +35 | +24 | =1577 | 51% | 7 | |
4/12Monday, April 127:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1569 | +49 | –3 | =1615 | 60% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Ray | 1519 | –2 | +26 | =1543 | 40% | 1 | |
4/10Saturday, April 107:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Quintana | 1515 | –11 | +0 | =1504 | 46% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1516 | –8 | +24 | =1532 | 54% | 15 | |
4/9Friday, April 97:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Heaney | 1512 | +2 | +0 | =1514 | 45% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Phelps | 1518 | +6 | +24 | =1548 | 55% | 1 | |
4/8Thursday, April 87:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Canning | 1510 | +8 | –2 | =1516 | 48% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1520 | –8 | +21 | =1533 | 52% | 5 | |
4/7Wednesday, April 72:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1521 | +35 | +0 | =1556 | 61% | 1 |
TEXRangers | Gibson | 1458 | –6 | +24 | =1476 | 39% | 2 | |
4/6Tuesday, April 68:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Roark | 1523 | –14 | +0 | =1509 | 53% | 4 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1457 | +6 | +24 | =1487 | 47% | 7 | |
4/5Monday, April 54:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Matz | 1521 | –15 | –3 | =1503 | 52% | 6 |
TEXRangers | Foltynewicz | 1458 | +10 | +22 | =1490 | 48% | 2 | |
4/4Sunday, April 41:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Zeuch | 1519 | +6 | +0 | =1525 | 43% | 3 |
NYYYankees | German | 1572 | –21 | +24 | =1575 | 57% | 1 | |
4/3Saturday, April 31:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1520 | –5 | +2 | =1517 | 39% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Kluber | 1571 | –3 | +26 | =1594 | 61% | 5 | |
4/1Thursday, April 11:05 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1519 | +35 | –2 | =1552 | 38% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Cole | 1572 | +44 | +24 | =1640 | 62% | 2 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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