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The Reds are done for the season.
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BrewersBrewers95-67 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
CardinalsCardinals90-72 | 5.0 | ✓ | — | |||
RedsReds83-79 | 12.0 | — | — | |||
CubsCubs71-91 | 24.0 | — | — | |||
PiratesPirates61-101 | 34.0 | — | — |
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/3Sunday, Oct. 33:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Sanmartin | 1499 | –13 | +0 | =1486 | 56% | 6 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1426 | –5 | +24 | =1445 | 44% | 3 | |
10/2Saturday, Oct. 26:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1501 | +13 | +0 | =1514 | 59% | 6 |
PITPirates | Kranick | 1424 | +0 | +24 | =1448 | 41% | 8 | |
10/1Friday, Oct. 16:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1504 | +18 | +0 | =1522 | 63% | 2 |
PITPirates | Crowe | 1420 | –13 | +24 | =1431 | 37% | 9 | |
9/29Wednesday, Sept. 298:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1506 | +16 | +0 | =1522 | 42% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Rodon | 1540 | +16 | +24 | =1580 | 58% | 6 | |
9/28Tuesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | O'Brien | 1508 | –21 | –2 | =1485 | 44% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lopez | 1538 | –32 | +22 | =1528 | 56% | 7 | |
9/27Monday, Sept. 271:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Overton | 1426 | +6 | –2 | =1430 | 39% | 1 |
CINReds | Sanmartin | 1505 | –21 | +24 | =1508 | 61% | 13 | |
9/26Sunday, Sept. 261:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Rogers | 1484 | –2 | +0 | =1482 | 42% | 2 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1503 | +9 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | 9 | |
9/25Saturday, Sept. 257:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Fedde | 1485 | –15 | +0 | =1470 | 45% | 6 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1502 | –20 | +24 | =1506 | 55% | 7 | |
9/24Friday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Espino | 1486 | –1 | +0 | =1485 | 41% | 7 |
CINReds | Gray | 1501 | +20 | +24 | =1545 | 59% | 8 | |
9/23Thursday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. Eastern | WSHNationals | Corbin | 1485 | –20 | –3 | =1462 | 38% | 3 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1503 | +17 | +26 | =1546 | 62% | 2 | |
9/21Tuesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1423 | –2 | +0 | =1421 | 34% | 6 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1506 | +10 | +24 | =1540 | 66% | 2 | |
9/20Monday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Peters | 1425 | –4 | –3 | =1418 | 37% | 5 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1504 | –17 | +24 | =1511 | 63% | 9 | |
9/19Sunday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1608 | +5 | +0 | =1613 | 63% | 8 |
CINReds | Miley | 1505 | –7 | +24 | =1522 | 37% | 5 | |
9/18Saturday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Scherzer | 1606 | +38 | +0 | =1644 | 64% | 5 |
CINReds | Gray | 1507 | +17 | +24 | =1548 | 36% | 1 | |
9/17Friday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | LADDodgers | Buehler | 1608 | +18 | –2 | =1624 | 62% | 1 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1505 | +10 | +22 | =1537 | 38% | 3 | |
9/16Thursday, Sept. 1612:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1504 | +7 | +0 | =1511 | 58% | 1 |
PITPirates | Overton | 1423 | +7 | +24 | =1454 | 42% | 0 | |
9/15Wednesday, Sept. 156:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1505 | –14 | +0 | =1491 | 57% | 4 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1421 | –3 | +24 | =1442 | 43% | 5 | |
9/14Tuesday, Sept. 146:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1507 | +0 | –1 | =1506 | 59% | 5 |
PITPirates | Peters | 1420 | –5 | +26 | =1441 | 41% | 6 | |
9/12Sunday, Sept. 122:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1508 | +14 | +0 | =1522 | 53% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Happ | 1500 | –24 | +24 | =1500 | 47% | 2 | |
9/11Saturday, Sept. 117:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1509 | +10 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1498 | +6 | +24 | =1528 | 51% | 6 | |
9/10Friday, Sept. 108:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1508 | +4 | +0 | =1512 | 52% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Lester | 1500 | –26 | +24 | =1498 | 48% | 2 | |
9/8Wednesday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1510 | –17 | +0 | =1493 | 47% | 1 |
CHCCubs | Mills | 1470 | +16 | +24 | =1510 | 53% | 4 | |
9/7Tuesday, Sept. 77:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1509 | –2 | +0 | =1507 | 52% | 4 |
CHCCubs | Sampson | 1471 | –3 | +24 | =1492 | 48% | 3 | |
9/6Monday, Sept. 62:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1510 | +15 | –2 | =1523 | 53% | 3 |
CHCCubs | Steele | 1470 | +7 | +24 | =1501 | 47% | 4 | |
9/5Sunday, Sept. 51:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Mize | 1467 | +11 | +0 | =1478 | 40% | 4 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1512 | +11 | +24 | =1547 | 60% | 1 | |
9/4Saturday, Sept. 47:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Boyd | 1468 | +2 | +0 | =1470 | 40% | 4 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1511 | +9 | +24 | =1544 | 60% | 7 | |
9/3Friday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Alexander | 1464 | –4 | –2 | =1458 | 40% | 15 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1515 | –13 | +26 | =1528 | 60% | 5 | |
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 16:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Happ | 1501 | –17 | +0 | =1484 | 41% | 2 |
CINReds | Gray | 1512 | +14 | +24 | =1550 | 59% | 12 | |
9/1Wednesday, Sept. 11:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Mikolas | 1500 | +8 | +2 | =1510 | 45% | 5 |
CINReds | Miley | 1514 | +4 | +26 | =1544 | 55% | 4 | |
8/30Monday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Lester | 1498 | –36 | –2 | =1460 | 38% | 3 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1515 | +7 | +21 | =1543 | 62% | 1 | |
8/29Sunday, Aug. 291:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1517 | +5 | +0 | =1522 | 58% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1468 | –28 | +24 | =1464 | 42% | 2 | |
8/28Saturday, Aug. 286:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1519 | –8 | +0 | =1511 | 49% | 1 |
MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1465 | +25 | +24 | =1514 | 51% | 6 | |
8/27Friday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1516 | +1 | –3 | =1514 | 52% | 6 |
MIAMarlins | Thompson | 1468 | +8 | +24 | =1500 | 48% | 0 | |
8/26Thursday, Aug. 262:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1514 | +9 | +0 | =1523 | 47% | 5 |
MILBrewers | Anderson | 1548 | –24 | +24 | =1548 | 53% | 1 | |
8/25Wednesday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1516 | +6 | +0 | =1522 | 40% | 1 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1546 | +22 | +24 | =1592 | 60% | 4 | |
8/24Tuesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1517 | +4 | +0 | =1521 | 38% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Burnes | 1545 | +33 | +26 | =1604 | 62% | 7 | |
8/22Sunday, Aug. 221:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Alcantara | 1468 | +21 | +0 | =1489 | 45% | 1 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1516 | –12 | +24 | =1528 | 55% | 3 | |
8/21Saturday, Aug. 216:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Thompson | 1470 | +6 | +0 | =1476 | 40% | 4 |
CINReds | Miley | 1514 | +5 | +24 | =1543 | 60% | 7 | |
8/20Friday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Hernandez | 1471 | +0 | +0 | =1471 | 40% | 3 |
CINReds | Gray | 1513 | +7 | +24 | =1544 | 60% | 5 | |
8/19Thursday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Neidert | 1472 | –14 | –3 | =1455 | 38% | 1 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1512 | +6 | +24 | =1542 | 62% | 6 | |
8/18Wednesday, Aug. 1812:35 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Sampson | 1467 | –9 | +0 | =1458 | 37% | 7 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1515 | +11 | +24 | =1550 | 63% | 1 | |
8/17Tuesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1466 | +21 | +0 | =1487 | 44% | 2 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1516 | –11 | +24 | =1529 | 56% | 1 | |
8/16Monday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Steele | 1468 | –1 | –3 | =1464 | 40% | 5 |
CINReds | Miley | 1514 | +2 | +22 | =1538 | 60% | 14 | |
8/15Sunday, Aug. 151:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1512 | +9 | +0 | =1521 | 46% | 7 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1510 | +16 | +24 | =1550 | 54% | 4 | |
8/14Saturday, Aug. 144:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1515 | +5 | +0 | =1520 | 55% | 1 |
PHIPhillies | Moore | 1507 | –43 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | 6 | |
8/13Friday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1512 | +7 | –3 | =1516 | 41% | 6 |
PHIPhillies | Wheeler | 1510 | +48 | +24 | =1582 | 59% | 1 | |
8/12Thursday, Aug. 125:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1508 | –14 | +0 | =1494 | 41% | 12 |
ATLBraves | Muller | 1541 | –5 | +24 | =1560 | 59% | 3 | |
8/11Wednesday, Aug. 117:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1509 | +6 | +0 | =1515 | 48% | 6 |
ATLBraves | Toussaint | 1540 | –33 | +24 | =1531 | 52% | 8 | |
8/10Tuesday, Aug. 107:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1510 | +10 | –3 | =1517 | 46% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Smyly | 1539 | –22 | +26 | =1543 | 54% | 3 | |
8/9Monday, Aug. 96:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1513 | +15 | –2 | =1526 | 55% | 3 |
CLEIndians | Hentges | 1499 | –29 | +24 | =1494 | 45% | 9 | |
8/8Sunday, Aug. 81:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Wilson | 1424 | +5 | +0 | =1429 | 35% | 2 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1512 | +3 | +24 | =1539 | 65% | 3 | |
8/7Saturday, Aug. 77:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Keller | 1426 | –8 | +0 | =1418 | 37% | 3 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1510 | –20 | +24 | =1514 | 63% | 11 | |
8/6Friday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1429 | +14 | +0 | =1443 | 37% | 0 |
CINReds | Miley | 1508 | +3 | +24 | =1535 | 63% | 10 | |
8/5Thursday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Crowe | 1429 | –11 | –2 | =1416 | 33% | 4 |
CINReds | Gray | 1507 | +11 | +24 | =1542 | 67% | 7 | |
8/4Wednesday, Aug. 412:35 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Barnes | 1491 | –15 | +0 | =1476 | 40% | 5 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1506 | +16 | +24 | =1546 | 60% | 6 | |
8/3Tuesday, Aug. 37:10 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Maeda | 1490 | +18 | +0 | =1508 | 46% | 7 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1508 | +6 | +23 | =1537 | 54% | 5 | |
8/1Sunday, Aug. 11:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1505 | –25 | +0 | =1480 | 39% | 7 |
NYMMets | Stroman | 1530 | +4 | +24 | =1558 | 61% | 1 | |
7/31Saturday, July 317:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1505 | +4 | +0 | =1509 | 44% | 4 |
NYMMets | Hill | 1529 | –1 | +24 | =1552 | 56% | 5 | |
7/30Friday, July 307:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1503 | +10 | –3 | =1510 | 42% | 6 |
NYMMets | Carrasco | 1531 | +12 | +24 | =1567 | 58% | 2 | |
7/29Thursday, July 292:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1501 | +18 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | 7 |
CHCCubs | Mills | 1491 | +10 | +24 | =1525 | 51% | 4 | |
7/28Wednesday, July 288:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1499 | +5 | +0 | =1504 | 47% | 8 |
CHCCubs | Davies | 1494 | +8 | +24 | =1526 | 53% | 2 | |
7/27Tuesday, July 278:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1497 | –28 | +0 | =1469 | 42% | 7 |
CHCCubs | Alzolay | 1496 | +8 | +24 | =1528 | 58% | 4 | |
7/26Monday, July 268:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1498 | +9 | –2 | =1505 | 44% | 5 |
CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1495 | +26 | +24 | =1545 | 56% | 6 | |
7/25Sunday, July 251:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Oviedo | 1493 | –26 | +0 | =1467 | 39% | 10 |
CINReds | Gray | 1500 | +18 | +24 | =1542 | 61% | 6 | |
7/24Saturday, July 247:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Woodford | 1494 | –10 | +0 | =1484 | 43% | 3 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1499 | +13 | +24 | =1536 | 57% | 5 | |
7/23Friday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | LeBlanc | 1495 | –27 | –2 | =1466 | 41% | 5 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1498 | +5 | +26 | =1529 | 59% | 6 | |
7/21Wednesday, July 2112:35 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stroman | 1533 | –6 | +0 | =1527 | 54% | 7 |
CINReds | Hoffman | 1501 | –24 | +24 | =1501 | 46% | 0 | |
7/20Tuesday, July 207:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Stock | 1534 | –41 | +0 | =1493 | 45% | 3 |
CINReds | Miley | 1500 | +6 | +24 | =1530 | 55% | 4 | |
7/19Monday, July 197:10 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Eickhoff | 1532 | –37 | –2 | =1493 | 48% | 15 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1502 | –20 | +24 | =1506 | 52% | 11 | |
7/18Sunday, July 181:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Burnes | 1532 | +27 | +0 | =1559 | 52% | 8 |
CINReds | Gray | 1505 | +19 | +24 | =1548 | 48% | 0 | |
7/17Saturday, July 177:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1530 | +39 | +0 | =1569 | 55% | 7 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1506 | +7 | +24 | =1537 | 45% | 4 | |
7/16Friday, July 167:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1528 | –24 | +5 | =1509 | 45% | 11 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1509 | +5 | +29 | =1543 | 55% | 6 | |
7/11Sunday, July 112:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1507 | +7 | +0 | =1514 | 39% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Woodruff | 1530 | +40 | +24 | =1594 | 61% | 1 | |
7/10Saturday, July 107:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1505 | –24 | +0 | =1481 | 38% | 4 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1531 | +14 | +24 | =1569 | 62% | 3 | |
7/9Friday, July 98:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1504 | +1 | +0 | =1505 | 47% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1533 | –33 | +24 | =1524 | 53% | 0 | |
7/8Thursday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1505 | +6 | –2 | =1509 | 47% | 3 |
MILBrewers | Houser | 1531 | –24 | +21 | =1528 | 53% | 5 | |
7/7Wednesday, July 72:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1504 | +19 | +0 | =1523 | 55% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1454 | +9 | +24 | =1487 | 45% | 2 | |
7/6Tuesday, July 68:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1505 | +5 | +0 | =1510 | 57% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Bubic | 1453 | –14 | +24 | =1463 | 43% | 7 | |
7/5Monday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1503 | –27 | –3 | =1473 | 47% | 6 |
KCRoyals | Minor | 1455 | +14 | +24 | =1493 | 53% | 2 | |
7/4Sunday, July 41:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Hendricks | 1506 | +23 | +0 | =1529 | 50% | 2 |
CINReds | Miley | 1502 | +2 | +24 | =1528 | 50% | 3 | |
7/3Saturday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Alzolay | 1507 | +7 | +0 | =1514 | 47% | 2 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1501 | +8 | +24 | =1533 | 53% | 3 | |
7/2Friday, July 27:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Mills | 1507 | +7 | +0 | =1514 | 46% | 1 |
CINReds | Gray | 1500 | +19 | +24 | =1543 | 54% | 2 | |
7/1Thursday, July 17:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Weathers | 1564 | –16 | +0 | =1548 | 53% | 4 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1499 | +5 | +24 | =1528 | 47% | 5 | |
6/30Wednesday, June 307:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Musgrove | 1563 | +16 | +0 | =1579 | 60% | 7 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1500 | –18 | +24 | =1506 | 40% | 5 | |
6/29Tuesday, June 297:10 p.m. Eastern | SDPadres | Stammen | 1562 | –25 | –2 | =1535 | 54% | 5 |
CINReds | Santillan | 1501 | –20 | +24 | =1505 | 46% | 4 | |
6/28Monday, June 286:40 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Howard | 1504 | –25 | –3 | =1476 | 43% | 4 |
CINReds | Miley | 1498 | +2 | +24 | =1524 | 57% | 12 | |
6/27Sunday, June 271:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Muller | 1520 | –23 | +0 | =1497 | 45% | 4 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1501 | +8 | +24 | =1533 | 55% | 0 | |
6/26Saturday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Anderson | 1522 | +13 | +0 | =1535 | 52% | 1 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1499 | –1 | +24 | =1522 | 48% | 4 | |
6/25Friday, June 257:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Smyly | 1520 | –21 | +0 | =1499 | 49% | 3 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1500 | –18 | +24 | =1506 | 51% | 2 | |
6/24Thursday, June 247:10 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Chavez | 1522 | –32 | –3 | =1487 | 49% | 3 |
CINReds | Santillan | 1499 | –27 | +23 | =1495 | 51% | 5 | |
6/22Tuesday, June 221:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1497 | +1 | +0 | =1498 | 46% | 10 |
MINTwins | Ober | 1504 | –4 | +24 | =1524 | 54% | 7 | |
6/21Monday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1498 | +12 | –4 | =1506 | 49% | 5 |
MINTwins | Happ | 1503 | –11 | +21 | =1513 | 51% | 7 | |
6/20Sunday, June 204:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1499 | +0 | +0 | =1499 | 37% | 2 |
SDPadres | Lamet | 1559 | +7 | +24 | =1590 | 63% | 3 | |
6/19Saturday, June 197:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1500 | –9 | +0 | =1491 | 41% | 5 |
SDPadres | Diaz | 1558 | –29 | +24 | =1553 | 59% | 7 | |
6/18Friday, June 1810:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Santillan | 1502 | –23 | +0 | =1479 | 38% | 2 |
SDPadres | Paddack | 1557 | –19 | +24 | =1562 | 62% | 8 | |
6/17Thursday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1503 | –2 | –4 | =1497 | 37% | 4 |
SDPadres | Musgrove | 1556 | +11 | +21 | =1588 | 63% | 6 | |
6/16Wednesday, June 162:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1501 | +6 | +0 | =1507 | 44% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Peralta | 1519 | +8 | +24 | =1551 | 56% | 1 | |
6/15Tuesday, June 158:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1500 | –5 | +0 | =1495 | 47% | 2 |
MILBrewers | Anderson | 1520 | –28 | +24 | =1516 | 53% | 1 | |
6/14Monday, June 148:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1497 | –10 | –2 | =1485 | 47% | 10 |
MILBrewers | Lauer | 1523 | –41 | +24 | =1506 | 53% | 2 | |
6/13Sunday, June 131:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Senzatela | 1439 | +1 | +0 | =1440 | 42% | 2 |
CINReds | Santillan | 1496 | –22 | +24 | =1498 | 58% | 6 | |
6/12Saturday, June 124:15 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Marquez | 1441 | +31 | +0 | =1472 | 44% | 3 |
CINReds | Miley | 1493 | –1 | +24 | =1516 | 56% | 10 | |
6/11Friday, June 117:10 p.m. Eastern | COLRockies | Freeland | 1443 | –15 | –3 | =1425 | 36% | 5 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1492 | +8 | +24 | =1524 | 64% | 11 | |
6/10Thursday, June 1012:35 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1519 | +9 | +0 | =1528 | 52% | 7 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1494 | –7 | +24 | =1511 | 48% | 2 | |
6/9Wednesday, June 97:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Anderson | 1520 | –27 | +0 | =1493 | 49% | 3 |
CINReds | Gutierrez | 1492 | –14 | +24 | =1502 | 51% | 7 | |
6/8Tuesday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1518 | –25 | +0 | =1493 | 44% | 5 |
CINReds | Gray | 1494 | +19 | +24 | =1537 | 56% | 1 | |
6/6Sunday, June 62:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1493 | –3 | +0 | =1490 | 45% | 8 |
STLCardinals | Gant | 1501 | +3 | +24 | =1528 | 55% | 7 | |
6/5Saturday, June 52:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1491 | +8 | +0 | =1499 | 51% | 5 |
STLCardinals | Oviedo | 1503 | –32 | +24 | =1495 | 49% | 2 | |
6/4Friday, June 48:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1490 | –7 | +0 | =1483 | 43% | 6 |
STLCardinals | Kim | 1504 | +0 | +24 | =1528 | 57% | 4 | |
6/3Thursday, June 38:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1488 | –14 | +0 | =1474 | 42% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1506 | +6 | +20 | =1532 | 58% | 2 | |
6/1Tuesday, June 17:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Nola | 1495 | +22 | +0 | =1517 | 47% | 17 |
CINReds | Gray | 1493 | +24 | +24 | =1541 | 53% | 3 | |
5/31Monday, May 312:10 p.m. Eastern | PHIPhillies | Velasquez | 1498 | –13 | –3 | =1482 | 46% | 1 |
CINReds | Miley | 1489 | –3 | +22 | =1508 | 54% | 11 | |
5/30Sunday, May 302:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1487 | +4 | +0 | =1491 | 44% | 5 |
CHCCubs | Arrieta | 1517 | –6 | +24 | =1535 | 56% | 1 | |
5/29Saturday, May 292:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1490 | –5 | +0 | =1485 | 42% | 2 |
CHCCubs | Davies | 1515 | +1 | +24 | =1540 | 58% | 10 | |
5/28Friday, May 282:20 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gutierrez | 1490 | –17 | –3 | =1470 | 39% | 0 |
CHCCubs | Alzolay | 1514 | +14 | +22 | =1550 | 61% | 1 | |
5/27Thursday, May 277:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1488 | +23 | +0 | =1511 | 42% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Strasburg | 1514 | +26 | +24 | =1564 | 58% | 0 | |
5/26Wednesday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Hoffman | 1489 | –16 | +0 | =1473 | 44% | 3 |
WSHNationals | Ross | 1513 | –20 | +24 | =1517 | 56% | 5 | |
5/25Tuesday, May 257:05 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1488 | +2 | +0 | =1490 | 37% | 2 |
WSHNationals | Scherzer | 1514 | +41 | +26 | =1581 | 63% | 1 | |
5/23Sunday, May 231:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Peralta | 1508 | +4 | +0 | =1512 | 50% | 9 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1490 | –1 | +24 | =1513 | 50% | 4 | |
5/22Saturday, May 224:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Anderson | 1507 | –18 | +0 | =1489 | 43% | 4 |
CINReds | Gray | 1491 | +23 | +24 | =1538 | 57% | 3 | |
5/21Friday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern | MILBrewers | Houser | 1509 | –20 | –1 | =1488 | 49% | 4 |
CINReds | Hoffman | 1489 | –18 | +24 | =1495 | 51% | 9 | |
5/20Thursday, May 2012:35 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Cueto | 1502 | –15 | +0 | =1487 | 45% | 19 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1494 | +7 | +24 | =1525 | 55% | 4 | |
5/19Wednesday, May 196:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Gausman | 1500 | +22 | +0 | =1522 | 51% | 4 |
CINReds | Miley | 1496 | –4 | +24 | =1516 | 49% | 0 | |
5/18Tuesday, May 186:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | DeSclafani | 1498 | +6 | +0 | =1504 | 48% | 4 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1498 | –2 | +24 | =1520 | 52% | 2 | |
5/17Monday, May 176:40 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1496 | –16 | –2 | =1478 | 40% | 6 |
CINReds | Gray | 1500 | +26 | +21 | =1547 | 60% | 3 | |
5/16Sunday, May 163:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Hoffman | 1499 | –19 | +0 | =1480 | 53% | 7 |
COLRockies | Senzatela | 1446 | –8 | +24 | =1462 | 47% | 6 | |
5/15Saturday, May 158:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1498 | +5 | +0 | =1503 | 58% | 6 |
COLRockies | Chacin | 1447 | –25 | +24 | =1446 | 42% | 5 | |
5/14Friday, May 148:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1500 | +2 | +0 | =1502 | 53% | 6 |
COLRockies | Marquez | 1445 | +14 | +24 | =1483 | 47% | 9 | |
5/13Thursday, May 138:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1502 | +2 | –3 | =1501 | 58% | 8 |
COLRockies | Gonzalez | 1443 | –24 | +24 | =1443 | 42% | 13 | |
5/12Wednesday, May 1212:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1501 | +24 | +0 | =1525 | 60% | 5 |
PITPirates | Cahill | 1438 | –7 | +24 | =1455 | 40% | 1 | |
5/11Tuesday, May 116:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Hoffman | 1503 | –22 | +0 | =1481 | 51% | 2 |
PITPirates | Brubaker | 1436 | +14 | +24 | =1474 | 49% | 7 | |
5/10Monday, May 106:35 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1500 | +1 | +0 | =1501 | 57% | 14 |
PITPirates | Keller | 1439 | –10 | +22 | =1451 | 43% | 1 | |
5/8Saturday, May 86:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1502 | +6 | +0 | =1508 | 45% | 2 |
CLEIndians | Civale | 1516 | +3 | +24 | =1543 | 55% | 9 | |
5/7Friday, May 77:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1500 | –9 | +0 | =1491 | 42% | 3 |
CLEIndians | Plesac | 1518 | +11 | +21 | =1550 | 58% | 0 | |
5/5Wednesday, May 512:35 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Keuchel | 1525 | –11 | +0 | =1514 | 46% | 0 |
CINReds | Gray | 1499 | +21 | +24 | =1544 | 54% | 1 | |
5/4Tuesday, May 46:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1522 | –23 | +0 | =1499 | 48% | 9 |
CINReds | Hoffman | 1502 | –17 | +26 | =1511 | 52% | 0 | |
5/2Sunday, May 21:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Williams | 1498 | –13 | +0 | =1485 | 43% | 12 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1502 | +8 | +24 | =1534 | 57% | 13 | |
5/1Saturday, May 14:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Davies | 1497 | –3 | +0 | =1494 | 44% | 3 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1503 | +8 | +24 | =1535 | 56% | 2 | |
4/30Friday, April 307:10 p.m. Eastern | CHCCubs | Arrieta | 1499 | +5 | –2 | =1502 | 48% | 6 |
CINReds | Miley | 1501 | –10 | +22 | =1513 | 52% | 8 | |
4/28Wednesday, April 284:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1503 | +18 | +0 | =1521 | 35% | 0 |
LADDodgers | Kershaw | 1599 | +10 | +24 | =1633 | 65% | 8 | |
4/27Tuesday, April 2710:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Hoffman | 1502 | –17 | +0 | =1485 | 30% | 6 |
LADDodgers | Buehler | 1600 | +7 | +24 | =1631 | 70% | 5 | |
4/26Monday, April 2610:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1500 | +7 | –4 | =1503 | 35% | 5 |
LADDodgers | Urias | 1602 | –17 | +24 | =1609 | 65% | 3 | |
4/25Sunday, April 252:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1501 | +11 | +0 | =1512 | 44% | 2 |
STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1504 | +29 | +24 | =1557 | 56% | 5 | |
4/24Saturday, April 242:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1502 | –11 | +0 | =1491 | 46% | 0 |
STLCardinals | Gant | 1502 | –7 | +24 | =1519 | 54% | 2 | |
4/23Friday, April 238:15 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Gray | 1503 | +23 | –2 | =1524 | 50% | 4 |
STLCardinals | Kim | 1501 | +1 | +23 | =1525 | 50% | 5 | |
4/22Thursday, April 2212:35 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Widener | 1489 | +2 | +0 | =1491 | 47% | 14 |
CINReds | Hoffman | 1505 | –21 | +24 | =1508 | 53% | 11 | |
4/21Wednesday, April 216:50 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Kelly | 1487 | +3 | +0 | =1490 | 44% | 8 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1507 | +0 | +24 | =1531 | 56% | 5 | |
4/20Tuesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ARIDiamondbacks | Gallen | 1486 | +34 | +0 | =1520 | 46% | 5 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1508 | +15 | +26 | =1549 | 54% | 4 | |
4/18Sunday, April 181:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Bieber | 1511 | +47 | +0 | =1558 | 55% | 6 |
CINReds | Miley | 1510 | –10 | +24 | =1524 | 45% | 3 | |
4/17Saturday, April 174:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | McKenzie | 1512 | –12 | +0 | =1500 | 42% | 2 |
CINReds | Gray | 1509 | +26 | +24 | =1559 | 58% | 3 | |
4/16Friday, April 167:10 p.m. Eastern | CLEIndians | Allen | 1514 | –32 | –2 | =1480 | 46% | 3 |
CINReds | Hoffman | 1506 | –22 | +22 | =1506 | 54% | 10 | |
4/14Wednesday, April 143:45 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1508 | –3 | +0 | =1505 | 49% | 0 |
SFGiants | Cueto | 1484 | +2 | +24 | =1510 | 51% | 3 | |
4/13Tuesday, April 139:45 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Castillo | 1509 | +17 | +0 | =1526 | 50% | 6 |
SFGiants | Gausman | 1483 | +18 | +24 | =1525 | 50% | 7 | |
4/12Monday, April 129:45 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Miley | 1507 | –13 | –3 | =1491 | 49% | 3 |
SFGiants | Sanchez | 1485 | –12 | +24 | =1497 | 51% | 0 | |
4/11Sunday, April 114:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | De Leon | 1510 | –19 | +0 | =1491 | 47% | 0 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Weaver | 1484 | +1 | +24 | =1509 | 53% | 7 | |
4/10Saturday, April 108:10 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Hoffman | 1512 | –20 | +0 | =1492 | 49% | 3 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Smith | 1482 | –8 | +24 | =1498 | 51% | 8 | |
4/9Friday, April 99:40 p.m. Eastern | CINReds | Mahle | 1511 | –7 | –2 | =1502 | 50% | 6 |
ARIDiamondbacks | Widener | 1483 | –2 | +21 | =1502 | 50% | 5 | |
4/7Wednesday, April 712:35 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Kuhl | 1430 | –1 | +0 | =1429 | 34% | 4 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1509 | +13 | +24 | =1546 | 66% | 11 | |
4/6Tuesday, April 66:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Cahill | 1433 | –2 | +0 | =1431 | 39% | 1 |
CINReds | Miley | 1506 | –19 | +24 | =1511 | 61% | 14 | |
4/5Monday, April 56:40 p.m. Eastern | PITPirates | Brubaker | 1434 | –1 | –2 | =1431 | 39% | 3 |
CINReds | De Leon | 1505 | –19 | +24 | =1510 | 61% | 5 | |
4/4Sunday, April 41:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Martinez | 1504 | –16 | +0 | =1488 | 48% | 1 |
CINReds | Hoffman | 1502 | –22 | +24 | =1504 | 52% | 12 | |
4/3Saturday, April 34:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Wainwright | 1505 | +7 | +2 | =1514 | 49% | 6 |
CINReds | Mahle | 1500 | –4 | +26 | =1522 | 51% | 9 | |
4/1Thursday, April 14:10 p.m. Eastern | STLCardinals | Flaherty | 1503 | +31 | –2 | =1532 | 47% | 11 |
CINReds | Castillo | 1503 | +24 | +24 | =1551 | 53% | 6 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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