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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 6-8
2,180LV
Oct. 6-8
2,180LV
co/efficient
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 3-8
1,000LV
Oct. 3-8
1,000LV
ActiVote
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 6-7
1,230LV
Oct. 6-7
1,230LV
YouGov
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Stein

1%

West

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 6-7
1,414RV
Oct. 6-7
1,414RV
YouGov
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%

Stein

1%

West

0%
44%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 4-7
1,076LV
Oct. 4-7
1,076LV
Ipsos
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 4-7
1,076RV
Oct. 4-7
1,076RV
Ipsos
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 4-7
1,272A
Oct. 4-7
1,272A
Ipsos
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 4-7
1,076LV
Oct. 4-7
1,076LV
Ipsos
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 4-7
1,076RV
Oct. 4-7
1,076RV
Ipsos
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 4-7
1,272A
Oct. 4-7
1,272A
Ipsos
 Harris
42%
 Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 6
1,918LV
Oct. 6
1,918LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
46%
 TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 4-6
1,001LV
Oct. 4-6
1,001LV
Research Co.
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 4-6
11,353LV
Oct. 4-6
11,353LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+5
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
3,385LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
3,385LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
44%
 TrumpHarris+3
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
3,385LV
Sept. 29-Oct. 6
3,385LV
The New York Times/Siena College
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 2-4
1,033LV
Oct. 2-4
1,033LV
YouGov
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 2-4
1,151RV
Oct. 2-4
1,151RV
YouGov
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 2-4
1,032LV
Oct. 2-4
1,032LV
YouGov
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
47%
 TrumpEven
Oct. 2-4
1,150RV
Oct. 2-4
1,150RV
YouGov
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

45%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
45%
 TrumpHarris+1
Oct. 2-4
997LV
Oct. 2-4
997LV
TIPP Insights
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

2%

West

0%

Stein

0%
45%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 2-4
997LV
Oct. 2-4
997LV
TIPP Insights
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 2-4
2,290LV
Oct. 2-4
2,290LV
Noble Predictive Insights
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 2-4
2,290LV
Oct. 2-4
2,290LV
Noble Predictive Insights
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
46%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 2-4
755LV
Oct. 2-4
755LV
Big Village
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 2-4
841RV
Oct. 2-4
841RV
Big Village
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 2-4
1,013A
Oct. 2-4
1,013A
Big Village
 Harris
45%
 Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 2-3
1,211LV
Oct. 2-3
1,211LV
Data for Progress
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 2-3
1,500LV
Oct. 2-3
1,500LV
Cygnal
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 2-3
1,500LV
Oct. 2-3
1,500LV
Cygnal
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

2%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

1%
45%
 TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 1-3
10,775LV
Oct. 1-3
10,775LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+5
Sept. 30-Oct. 3
2,965LV
Sept. 30-Oct. 3
2,965LV
RMG Research
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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