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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 7-10
857LV
Oct. 7-10
857LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
45%
TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 7-10
857LV
Oct. 7-10
857LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 7-10
857RV
Oct. 7-10
857RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
45%
TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 7-10
857RV
Oct. 7-10
857RV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+3
Oct. 8-9
707LV
Oct. 8-9
707LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
48%
TrumpTrump+2
Oct. 7-9
803LV
Oct. 7-9
803LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

West

1%

Stein

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

West

1%

Stein

1%
45%
TrumpHarris+4
Oct. 7-9
803LV
Oct. 7-9
803LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Oct. 7-9
1,079RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+4
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Oct. 6-9
800LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 7-8
800LV
Oct. 7-8
800LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Oct. 5-8
1,000LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Sept. 28-Oct. 8
600RV
Sept. 28-Oct. 8
600RV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+1
Sept. 28-Oct. 8
600RV
Sept. 28-Oct. 8
600RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

46%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%

West

0%

Kennedy

0%
46%
TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Oct. 5-7
450LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Oct. 3-7
1,412LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
46%
TrumpHarris+3
Oct. 2-7
1,037LV
Oct. 2-7
1,037LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
47%
TrumpEven
Oct. 2-7
1,037LV
Oct. 2-7
1,037LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+1
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
5,686LV
Sept. 27-Oct. 2
5,686LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
47%
TrumpHarris+1
Sept. 24-Oct. 2
1,000RV
Sept. 24-Oct. 2
1,000RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+2
Sept. 24-Oct. 2
500LV
Sept. 24-Oct. 2
500LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Even
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Republican-funded

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The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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