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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-4
794RV
July 1-4
794RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+7
July 1-4
794RV
July 1-4
794RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
44%
TrumpTrump+3
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+5
June 29-July 1
673LV
June 29-July 1
673LV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

48%

Kennedy

5%

West

1%

Stein

0%
48%
TrumpTrump+5
June 28-30
741LV
June 28-30
741LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

3%

Oliver

1%
46%
TrumpTrump+5
June 27-28
800LV
June 27-28
800LV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

2%

West

2%
42%
TrumpTrump+4
June 27-28
800LV
June 27-28
800LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+4
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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