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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 23-25
800RV
July 23-25
800RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

6%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
44%
TrumpEven
July 23-25
800RV
July 23-25
800RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+1
July 22-24
851LV
July 22-24
851LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

5%

Oliver

0%

Stein

0%
46%
TrumpTrump+4
July 22-24
1,034RV
July 22-24
1,034RV
Shapiro
54%
Shapiro
54%

Shapiro

54%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Shapiro+10
July 22-24
1,034RV
July 22-24
1,034RV
Whitmer
48%
Whitmer
48%

Whitmer

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
July 22-24
1,034RV
July 22-24
1,034RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
July 22-24
1,034RV
July 22-24
1,034RV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%

West

1%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpHarris+2
July 22-23
850RV
July 22-23
850RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

3%

Stein

1%

West

1%

Oliver

0%
46%
TrumpTrump+2
July 22-23
850RV
July 22-23
850RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+2
July 20-23
600LV
July 20-23
600LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+2
July 20-23
147LV
July 20-23
147LV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

10%

Oliver

2%

Stein

2%
42%
TrumpTrump+7
July 20-23
147LV
July 20-23
147LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+9
July 20-21
500LV
July 20-21
500LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+4
July 20-21
500LV
July 20-21
500LV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+4
July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Shapiro
47%
Shapiro
47%

Shapiro

47%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

3%

Stein

1%
43%
TrumpShapiro+4
July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

2%
45%
TrumpTrump+2
July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+5
July 17-18
624RV
July 17-18
624RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

2%
46%
TrumpTrump+4
July 16-18
688LV
July 16-18
688LV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
45%
TrumpTrump+4
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Candidate is an incumbent

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