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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024

March 20-31
430RV
March 20-31
430RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

9%

Stein

3%
40%
TrumpBiden+2
March 20-31
431RV
March 20-31
431RV
Biden
48%
Biden
48%

Biden

48%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Biden+10
March 22-26
800RV
March 22-26
800RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

7%
41%
TrumpBiden+3
March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+3
March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

44%

Stein

4%

Mapstead

2%
44%
TrumpTrump+4
March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

41%

Kennedy

7%

West

3%

Mapstead

1%

Stein

1%
41%
TrumpTrump+3
March 12-19
400LV
March 12-19
400LV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+4
March 13-18
1,132RV
March 13-18
1,132RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

16%

West

4%
40%
TrumpTrump+2
March 13-18
1,132RV
March 13-18
1,132RV
Biden
46%
Biden
46%

Biden

46%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Even
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