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Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

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95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 17-20
840LV
Oct. 17-20
840LV
Quantus Insights
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 17-19
1,084LV
Oct. 17-19
1,084LV

Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.

Trafalgar Group
 Harris
43%
 Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3
Oct. 16-18
1,256LV
Oct. 16-18
1,256LV
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
48%
 TrumpEven
Oct. 12-17
2,048LV
Oct. 12-17
2,048LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+3
Oct. 12-17
2,048LV
Oct. 12-17
2,048LV
AtlasIntel
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
50%
 TrumpTrump+3
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Oct. 11-17
600LV
The Bullfinch Group
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1
Oct. 11-17
600LV
Oct. 11-17
600LV
The Bullfinch Group
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Even
Oct. 6-15
1,395LV
Oct. 6-15
1,395LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Harris+1
Sept. 30-Oct. 15
707LV
Sept. 30-Oct. 15
707LV
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+2
Sept. 30-Oct. 15
707RV
Sept. 30-Oct. 15
707RV
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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