Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

Dates	Samplei SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS	Pollster	Sponsor	Result	Net result
Datesi SAMPLE TYPES A ADULTS V VOTERS LV LIKELY VOTERS RV REGISTERED VOTERS	Pollster	Result

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
AVG.

Oct. 7-10

857

Oct. 7-10

857LV

The New York Times/Siena College

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Stein

Oliver

45%

Trump

Harris

49%

Harris

45%

Trump

Stein

Oliver

Oct. 7-10

857

Oct. 7-10

857LV

The New York Times/Siena College

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%

Trump

Harris

Oct. 7-10

857

Oct. 7-10

857RV

The New York Times/Siena College

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Stein

Oliver

45%

Trump

Harris

49%

Harris

45%

Trump

Stein

Oliver

Oct. 7-10

857

Oct. 7-10

857RV

The New York Times/Siena College

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Trump

47%

Trump

Harris

Oct. 8-9

707

Oct. 8-9

707LV

Redfield & Wilton Strategies

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Trump

48%

Oliver

Stein

48%

Trump

46%

Harris

48%

Trump

Oliver

Stein

Oct. 7-9

803

Oct. 7-9

803LV

TIPP Insights

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

West

Stein

49%

Trump

48%

Harris

49%

Trump

West

Stein

Oct. 7-9

1,079

Oct. 7-9

1,079RV

TIPP Insights

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

West

Stein

45%

Trump

Harris

49%

Harris

45%

Trump

West

Stein

Oct. 7-9

803

Oct. 7-9

803LV

TIPP Insights

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Trump

Oct. 7-9

1,079

Oct. 7-9

1,079RV

TIPP Insights

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

45%

Trump

Harris

Oct. 6-9

800

Oct. 6-9

800LV

Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/McLaughlin & Associates

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Trump

Oct. 7-8

800

Oct. 7-8

800LV

InsiderAdvantage

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

49%

Trump

Oct. 5-8

1,000

Oct. 5-8

1,000LV

Emerson College

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%

Trump

Sept. 28-Oct. 8

600

Sept. 28-Oct. 8

600RV

Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Trump

47%

Trump

Sept. 28-Oct. 8

600

Sept. 28-Oct. 8

600RV

Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Harris

45%

Trump

46%

Stein

Oliver

West

Kennedy

46%

Trump

45%

Harris

46%

Trump

Stein

Oliver

West

Kennedy

Oct. 5-7

450

Oct. 5-7

450LV

Research Co.

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Harris

50%

Trump

49%

Trump

Harris

Oct. 3-7

1,412

Oct. 3-7

1,412LV

Quinnipiac University

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%

Trump

Harris

Oct. 3-7

1,412

Oct. 3-7

1,412LV

Quinnipiac University

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%

Stein

Oliver

46%

Trump

Harris

49%

Harris

46%

Trump

Stein

Oliver

Oct. 2-7

1,037

Oct. 2-7

1,037LV

Hunt Research

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Stein

Oliver

47%

Trump

Even

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

Stein

Oliver

Oct. 2-7

1,037

Oct. 2-7

1,037LV

Hunt Research

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%

Trump

Sept. 27-Oct. 2

5,686

Sept. 27-Oct. 2

5,686LV

Redfield & Wilton Strategies

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%

Oliver

Stein

47%

Trump

Harris

48%

Harris

47%

Trump

Oliver

Stein

Sept. 24-Oct. 2

1,000

Sept. 24-Oct. 2

1,000RV

YouGov/Center for Working Class Politics

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Harris

47%

Trump

45%

Trump

Harris

Sept. 24-Oct. 2

500

Sept. 24-Oct. 2

500LV

OnMessage

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Harris

46%

Trump

46%

Trump

Even

Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.

avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.

Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.

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Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah Frostenson, Nathaniel Rakich, Kaleigh Rogers and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Copy editing by Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Alex Kimball, Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan, Maya Sweedler and Curtis Yee.

Latest Polls

Who’s ahead in Pennsylvania?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024AVG.

Partisan types

Read about how we use polls

Download the data

President: general election, Pennsylvania, 2024
AVG.