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Who’s ahead in the Texas Senate general?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

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DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

U.S. Senate, Texas, 2024, General election

June 29-July 1
589LV
June 29-July 1
589LV
Allred
43%
Allred
43%

Allred

43%

Cruz

53%
53%
Cruz  Cruz+10
June 20-July 1
1,484LV
June 20-July 1
1,484LV
Allred
44%
Allred
44%

Allred

44%

Cruz

47%

Brown

3%
47%
CruzCruz+3
June 25-27
600LV
June 25-27
600LV
Allred
43%
Allred
43%

Allred

43%

Cruz

46%
46%
Cruz  Cruz+3
June 11-20
931LV
June 11-20
931LV
Allred
42%
Allred
42%

Allred

42%

Cruz

45%

Brown

5%
45%
CruzCruz+3
June 11-20
1,144RV
June 11-20
1,144RV
Allred
39%
Allred
39%

Allred

39%

Cruz

43%

Brown

5%
43%
CruzCruz+4
May 31-June 9
1,200RV
May 31-June 9
1,200RV
Allred
34%
Allred
34%

Allred

34%

Cruz

45%
45%
Cruz  Cruz+11
April 12-22
1,200RV
April 12-22
1,200RV
Allred
33%
Allred
33%

Allred

33%

Cruz

46%
46%
Cruz  Cruz+13
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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