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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Montana, 2024

June 29-July 1
570LV
June 29-July 1
570LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

56%

Kennedy

3%

West

1%

Stein

0%
56%
TrumpTrump+20
June 22-26
649RV
June 22-26
649RV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+16
June 11-13
500LV
June 11-13
500LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

57%
57%
Trump  Trump+20
June 3-5
500LV
June 3-5
500LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+18
April 13-21
301LV
April 13-21
301LV
Kennedy
35%
Kennedy
35%

Kennedy

35%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+15
April 13-21
301LV
April 13-21
301LV
Biden
30%
Biden
30%

Biden

30%

Kennedy

58%
58%
Kennedy  Kennedy+28
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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