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Who’s ahead in Montana?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Montana, 2024

April 13-21
301LV
April 13-21
301LV
Kennedy
35%
Kennedy
35%

Kennedy

35%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+15
April 13-21
301LV
April 13-21
301LV
Biden
30%
Biden
30%

Biden

30%

Kennedy

58%
58%
Kennedy  Kennedy+28
Feb. 26-March 2
1,000RV
Feb. 26-March 2
1,000RV
Biden
28%
Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Trump

49%

Kennedy

8%

West

1%

Stein

1%
49%
TrumpTrump+20
Feb. 26-March 2
1,000RV
Feb. 26-March 2
1,000RV
Biden
35%
Biden
35%

Biden

35%

Trump

56%
56%
Trump  Trump+21
Feb. 12-15
549LV
Feb. 12-15
549LV
Biden
29%
Biden
29%

Biden

29%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+22
Oct. 1-4
447RV
Oct. 1-4
447RV
Biden
28%
Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+20
Sept. 16-19
1,451RV
Sept. 16-19
1,451RV
Biden
28%
Biden
28%

Biden

28%

Trump

49%

Manchin

6%

West

4%
49%
TrumpTrump+21
Sept. 16-19
1,451RV
Sept. 16-19
1,451RV
Biden
30%
Biden
30%

Biden

30%

Trump

51%

West

7%
51%
TrumpTrump+21
Sept. 16-19
1,451RV
Sept. 16-19
1,451RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

54%
54%
Trump  Trump+17
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Candidate is an incumbent

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Campaign poll

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