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Who’s ahead in Arizona?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-5
781RV
July 1-5
781RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
July 1-5
781RV
July 1-5
781RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

9%

West

1%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
45%
TrumpTrump+7
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+4
June 29-July 1
638LV
June 29-July 1
638LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

49%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

1%

West

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+7
June 28-30
492LV
June 28-30
492LV
Biden
33%
Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Trump

48%

Kennedy

8%

Oliver

2%
48%
TrumpTrump+15
June 17-20
600LV
June 17-20
600LV
Biden
32%
Biden
32%

Biden

32%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

13%

Stein

3%

Oliver

2%
42%
TrumpTrump+10
June 17-20
600LV
June 17-20
600LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+6
June 11-20
650LV
June 11-20
650LV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

47%

Kennedy

7%
47%
TrumpTrump+11
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

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