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Who’s ahead in Arizona?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

April 20-21
874RV
April 20-21
874RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+4
April 8-13
801RV
April 8-13
801RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+7
April 8-13
801RV
April 8-13
801RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

7%

West

2%

Stein

0%
46%
TrumpTrump+6
April 10-11
600LV
April 10-11
600LV
Biden
33%
Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

12%

West

2%

Stein

2%

Mapstead

1%
39%
TrumpTrump+6
April 7-11
400LV
April 7-11
400LV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

42%

Kennedy

10%

Stein

2%

Mapstead

1%

West

0%
42%
TrumpTrump+5
April 7-11
400LV
April 7-11
400LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

44%

Stein

4%

Mapstead

2%
44%
TrumpTrump+5
April 7-11
400LV
April 7-11
400LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+4
March 28-31
503RV
March 28-31
503RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Trump+3
March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+5
March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

43%

Stein

5%

Mapstead

3%
43%
TrumpTrump+6
March 17-24
600RV
March 17-24
600RV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

39%

Kennedy

11%

West

2%

Mapstead

1%

Stein

1%
39%
TrumpTrump+5
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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