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Who’s ahead in Arizona?

An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Arizona, 2024

Feb. 21-26
1,001LV
Feb. 21-26
1,001LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+7
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Newsom
34%
Newsom
34%

Newsom

34%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+13
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+7
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Biden
37%
Biden
37%

Biden

37%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

8%

Stein

1%

West

1%
43%
TrumpTrump+6
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Feb. 16-19
1,000RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+3
Feb. 12-18
798RV
Feb. 12-18
798RV
Biden
43%
Biden
43%

Biden

43%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+6
Feb. 12-18
798RV
Feb. 12-18
798RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

9%

West

1%

Stein

1%
45%
TrumpTrump+9
Jan. 29-Feb. 1
500RV
Jan. 29-Feb. 1
500RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Trump+4
Jan. 17-23
LV
Jan. 17-23
LV
Biden
50%
Biden
50%

Biden

50%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Jan. 17-23
A
Jan. 17-23
A
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

43%
43%
Trump  Trump+4
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