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Who’s ahead in Arizona?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 22-24
510LV
July 22-24
510LV
Harris
43%
Harris
43%

Harris

43%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

4%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%
46%
TrumpTrump+3
July 22-23
800RV
July 22-23
800RV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

48%

Kennedy

5%

West

1%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
48%
TrumpTrump+8
July 22-23
800RV
July 22-23
800RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

53%
53%
Trump  Trump+5
July 19-20
736RV
July 19-20
736RV
Kelly
43%
Kelly
43%

Kelly

43%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

6%

Stein

1%
45%
TrumpTrump+2
July 19-20
736RV
July 19-20
736RV
Harris
40%
Harris
40%

Harris

40%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

1%
46%
TrumpTrump+6
July 19-20
736RV
July 19-20
736RV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+6
July 19-20
736RV
July 19-20
736RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

6%

Stein

2%
45%
TrumpTrump+5
July 16-18
454LV
July 16-18
454LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

7%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
44%
TrumpTrump+4
July 15-16
800LV
July 15-16
800LV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+6
July 15-16
800LV
July 15-16
800LV
Biden
44%
Biden
44%

Biden

44%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+5
July 15-16
1,000RV
July 15-16
1,000RV
Biden
36%
Biden
36%

Biden

36%

Trump

46%

Kennedy

6%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%

West

1%
46%
TrumpTrump+10
July 15-16
1,000RV
July 15-16
1,000RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Trump+7
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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