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Who’s ahead in New Mexico?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, New Mexico, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 12-18
619LV
Sept. 12-18
619LV
Harris
50%
Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

42%
42%
Trump  Harris+8
Sept. 6-13
532LV
Sept. 6-13
532LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

39%
39%
Trump  Harris+10
Sept. 6-9
521LV
Sept. 6-9
521LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

44%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
44%
TrumpHarris+5
Aug. 25-28
488LV
Aug. 25-28
488LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

40%

Oliver

0%

Stein

0%
40%
TrumpHarris+7
Aug. 20-22
965RV
Aug. 20-22
965RV
Harris
51%
Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

40%

Kennedy

3%

Stein

0%

West

0%

Oliver

0%
40%
TrumpHarris+11
Aug. 20-22
965RV
Aug. 20-22
965RV
Harris
54%
Harris
54%

Harris

54%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+7
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

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Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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