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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF AVERAGES PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here.

On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

President: general election, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Sept. 22-26
1,735LV
Sept. 22-26
1,735LV
Outward Intelligence
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

3%

West

1%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
45%
 TrumpHarris+6
Sept. 22-26
1,735LV
Sept. 22-26
1,735LV
Outward Intelligence
 Harris
53%
 Harris
53%

Harris

53%

Trump

47%
47%
Trump  Harris+6
Sept. 23-25
1,005LV
Sept. 23-25
1,005LV
Echelon Insights
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

44%

Kennedy

2%

Oliver

1%

Stein

0%

West

0%
44%
 TrumpHarris+5
Sept. 23-25
1,005LV
Sept. 23-25
1,005LV
Echelon Insights
 Harris
52%
 Harris
52%

Harris

52%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+7
Sept. 23-25
1,524LV
Sept. 23-25
1,524LV
Big Village
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Harris+4
Sept. 23-25
1,663RV
Sept. 23-25
1,663RV
Big Village
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+5
Sept. 23-25
2,021A
Sept. 23-25
2,021A
Big Village
 Harris
46%
 Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

41%
41%
Trump  Harris+5
Sept. 21-24
1,220LV
Sept. 21-24
1,220LV
YouGov
 Harris
49%
 Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

46%

Stein

1%

West

0%
46%
 TrumpHarris+3
Sept. 21-24
1,424RV
Sept. 21-24
1,424RV
YouGov
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

44%

Stein

1%

West

0%
44%
 TrumpHarris+3
Sept. 18-24
1,000LV
Sept. 18-24
1,000LV
ActiVote
 Harris
51%
 Harris
51%

Harris

51%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Harris+3
Sept. 21-23
785LV
Sept. 21-23
785LV
Ipsos
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+6
Sept. 21-23
871RV
Sept. 21-23
871RV
Ipsos
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Harris+6
Sept. 20-22
11,057LV
Sept. 20-22
11,057LV
Morning Consult
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

45%
45%
Trump  Harris+5
Sept. 20-22
785LV
Sept. 20-22
785LV
Ipsos
 Harris
50%
 Harris
50%

Harris

50%

Trump

44%
44%
Trump  Harris+6
Sept. 20-22
871RV
Sept. 20-22
871RV
Ipsos
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

40%
40%
Trump  Harris+6
Sept. 20-22
1,029A
Sept. 20-22
1,029A
Ipsos
 Harris
42%
 Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

38%
38%
Trump  Harris+4
Sept. 19-22
1,728LV
Sept. 19-22
1,728LV
Quinnipiac University
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Even
Sept. 19-22
1,728LV
Sept. 19-22
1,728LV
Quinnipiac University
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
48%
 TrumpTrump+1
Sept. 19-22
2,074RV
Sept. 19-22
2,074RV
CNN/SSRS
 Harris
47%
 Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

47%

Oliver

2%

Stein

1%
47%
 TrumpEven
Sept. 19-22
2,074LV
Sept. 19-22
2,074LV
CNN/SSRS
 Harris
48%
 Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

47%

Oliver

2%

Stein

1%
47%
 TrumpHarris+1
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Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

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Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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