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The Athletics are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Daniel Mengden | 49.3 | +12 |
 | Sean Manaea | 48.8 | +9 |
 | Kendall Graveman | 48.3 | +7 |
 | Jharel Cotton | 45.1 | -9 |
 | Raul Alcantara | 44.7 | -10 |
 | Daniel Gossett | 42.2 | -22 |
Completed games
W, 5-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1544 |
L, 8-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1527 |
L, 5-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1515 |
W, 4-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1527 |
W, 6-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1522 |
L, 6-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1541 |
L, 7-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1505 |
W, 8-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1510 |
W, 1-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1514 |
W, 4-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1484 |
W, 3-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1463 |
W, 9-8
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1469 |
W, 8-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1466 |
W, 6-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1480 |
L, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1490 |
W, 4-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1472 |
L, 6-2
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1572 |
W, 7-3
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1561 |
L, 11-1
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1568 |
W, 10-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1572 |
W, 11-4
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1559 |
W, 11-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1566 |
W, 9-8
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1564 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1575 |
W, 3-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1525 |
L, 8-7
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1462 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1547 |
L, 11-9
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1525 |
L, 10-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1514 |
L, 7-6
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1511 |
L, 3-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1522 |
L, 10-8
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1561 |
L, 8-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1534 |
L, 3-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1532 |
W, 8-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1509 |
W, 8-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1549 |
W, 3-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1489 |
L, 8-7
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1543 |
W, 6-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1518 |
L, 7-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1460 | 1516 |
W, 3-2
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1563 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1451 | 1585 |
L, 3-0
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1594 |
L, 3-1
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1605 |
L, 7-6
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1519 |
W, 10-8
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1508 |
L, 6-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1482 |
W, 9-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1515 |
L, 12-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1516 |
W, 5-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1493 |
L, 7-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1480 |
L, 6-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1502 |
L, 7-6
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1520 |
W, 11-10
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1529 |
W, 5-0
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1544 |
L, 8-6
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1525 |
L, 11-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1487 |
W, 6-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1449 | 1479 |
L, 10-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1476 |
W, 8-5
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1431 |
W, 6-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1443 |
W, 5-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1486 |
L, 6-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1476 |
L, 8-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1542 |
L, 3-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1514 |
L, 4-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1502 |
L, 4-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1493 |
W, 3-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1503 |
L, 6-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1511 |
L, 7-5
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1532 |
W, 7-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1527 |
L, 4-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1502 |
L, 3-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1500 |
W, 7-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1529 |
W, 5-3
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1594 |
W, 5-0
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +30 | +5 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1563 |
L, 4-0
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1532 |
W, 4-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1540 |
L, 7-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1557 |
W, 7-4
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1536 |
W, 7-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1467 |
W, 7-6
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1461 |
L, 7-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1493 |
L, 4-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1475 |
L, 4-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1476 |
L, 3-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1474 |
L, 6-1
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1581 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1593 |
L, 11-8
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1580 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1580 |
W, 6-4
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1582 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1595 |
W, 5-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1492 |
W, 10-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1460 | 1495 |
W, 3-0
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1503 |
L, 12-9
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1580 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1554 |
L, 5-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1578 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1564 |
L, 8-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1576 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1557 |
L, 4-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1574 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1551 |
W, 4-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1537 |
W, 5-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1542 |
W, 7-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1551 |
W, 8-7
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1547 |
L, 11-6
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1527 |
L, 8-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1507 |
L, 5-4
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1559 |
W, 7-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1534 |
L, 6-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1536 |
L, 13-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1525 |
L, 7-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1495 |
W, 4-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1535 |
W, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1526 |
L, 11-10
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1552 |
W, 10-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1534 |
L, 13-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | +1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1579 |
L, 8-0
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1596 |
W, 3-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1555 |
L, 9-4
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1554 |
L, 5-3
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1453 | 1595 |
L, 9-5
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1562 |
L, 3-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1550 |
W, 4-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1556 |
W, 4-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1470 |
L, 11-9
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1479 |
L, 12-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1532 |
W, 8-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1529 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1519 |
W, 3-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +50 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1580 |
W, 8-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1534 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1503 |
L, 4-0
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1525 |
W, 9-6
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1524 |
L, 6-5
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1536 |
L, 6-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1532 |
L, 6-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1493 |
L, 5-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1507 |
W, 3-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1489 |
L, 7-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1475 |
W, 3-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1495 |
W, 8-6
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1500 |
W, 6-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1479 |
L, 7-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1531 |
W, 8-5
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1491 |
L, 7-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1515 |
L, 9-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +45 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1549 |
L, 7-2
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1602 |
W, 2-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1559 |
L, 9-4
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1555 |
L, 2-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1522 |
L, 8-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1531 |
L, 2-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1503 |
L, 11-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1505 |
W, 4-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1521 |
W, 3-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1519 |
W, 9-6
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1549 |
W, 9-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1503 |
W, 4-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1545 |
L, 7-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1492 |
L, 10-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1559 |
L, 7-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1564 |
L, 3-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1497 |
W, 8-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1490 |
W, 2-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1507 |
L, 8-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1522 |
W, 6-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1563 |
L, 10-5
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1520 |
W, 5-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1500 |
L, 5-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1511 |
L, 7-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1520 |
W, 4-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1507 |
AL West standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | AstrosAstros101-61 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | AngelsAngels80-82 | 21.0 | — | — | ||
 | RangersRangers78-84 | 23.0 | — | — | ||
 | MarinersMariners78-84 | 23.0 | — | — | ||
 | AthleticsAthletics75-87 | 26.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments