Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Braves are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Julio Teheran
Julio Teheran49.8+12
R.A. Dickey
R.A. Dickey48.7+6
Luiz Gohara
Luiz Gohara48.5+6
Sean Newcomb
Sean Newcomb47.8+2
Max Fried
Max Fried47.1-1
Lucas Sims
Lucas Sims44.8-12

Completed games

W, 8-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631523

L, 10-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671517

L, 6-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711520

L, 7-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating14811495

at Mets

L, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751473

L, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781478

L, 3-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741490

W, 9-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14661461

L, 2-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991443

W, 4-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131455

W, 7-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14971468

W, 3-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951547

L, 7-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901566

L, 4-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15011589

vs. Mets

L, 5-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151452

L, 7-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071503

W, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating14991463

L, 5-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831565

W, 8-2

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711623

W, 8-0

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14791603

W, 10-8

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991496

W, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961493

L, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951497

W, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14931499

W, 5-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031547

L, 12-8

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14971535

L, 8-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15051526

at Cubs

W, 5-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691567

L, 14-12

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731578

L, 2-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671561

L, 6-2

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14671592

W, 5-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761470

W, 9-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14761482

L, 6-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14721500

L, 3-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911514

L, 7-6

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991501

W, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15001512

L, 9-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061520

W, 4-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931494

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14941499

vs. Reds

W, 8-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951495

L, 11-8

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001456

L, 5-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15061449

W, 10-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631525

L, 17-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751537

W, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731528

L, 3-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating14681533

W, 6-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+130
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821554

L, 6-5

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731572

L, 8-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821540

L, 3-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981457

L, 5-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15041426

L, 4-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061504

W, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051514

W, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15081507

L, 7-4

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011605

W, 5-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721601
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971561

L, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731600
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating14971582

L, 7-6

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871467

L, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841474

L, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771482

L, 10-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14881457

L, 10-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14531518

W, 8-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901543

L, 10-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14911567

L, 5-4

25%

75%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841594
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791667

L, 6-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861592
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951626

W, 12-3

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811640

W, 6-3

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751602
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating14791606

vs. Cubs

L, 8-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131522

L, 5-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061532

L, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15141544

W, 7-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991520

W, 8-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101489

W, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+5
Adjusted team rating15161523

L, 10-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801545

W, 13-0

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741593

L, 5-4

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+54
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771630

W, 5-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14761580

vs. Astros

L, 10-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701585
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951553

L, 16-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741581
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15141568

W, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751523

W, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761492

W, 3-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating14741500

L, 6-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771463

L, 7-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14531464

W, 3-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14841474

L, 7-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091477

W, 3-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981475

W, 5-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15001493

vs. Giants

W, 12-11

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061445

W, 5-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031488

L, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071464

W, 9-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14871491

W, 5-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941494

W, 8-7

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051490

L, 5-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15031516

W, 13-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721566

L, 10-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631548

W, 11-10

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14711596

vs. Mets

L, 2-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981503

L, 8-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851516

L, 6-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961474

W, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14991488

W, 3-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-70
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14841441

W, 14-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991454

L, 3-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021447

L, 11-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14771429

at Reds

W, 13-8

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791485

W, 6-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14591512

L, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14661489

L, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761509

L, 9-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631510

W, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating14801519

L, 7-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671535

L, 6-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761501

W, 2-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating14681480

L, 9-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941512

L, 12-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131472

W, 6-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991458

W, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15011513

L, 3-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951565

W, 5-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911588

W, 7-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14951540

L, 9-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181512

W, 8-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating14941495

W, 9-5

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621561

W, 10-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14551503

L, 3-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651496

W, 3-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821499

W, 8-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14611516

L, 4-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581563

L, 8-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating14621567

L, 6-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901499

L, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121511

L, 10-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15031505

vs. Mets

L, 16-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001525

W, 9-7

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971502

L, 7-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15191477

L, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811486

W, 11-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621494

W, 10-8

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14721525

at Mets

W, 7-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14681531

W, 8-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+4+29
Adjusted team rating14901523

L, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651471

L, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541505

L, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating14741502

L, 3-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941561

L, 14-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291523

L, 3-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14951571

vs. Padres

W, 5-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14831451

W, 9-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981445

W, 4-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941448

W, 5-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15241462

W, 5-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541526

L, 8-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating14751537

L, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001529

L, 6-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731523

L, 5-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14671531

at Mets

L, 6-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621541

W, 3-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14781561

L, 6-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14991573

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
NationalsNationals97-65
MarlinsMarlins77-8520.0
BravesBraves72-9025.0
MetsMets70-9227.0
PhilliesPhillies66-9631.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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