Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Braves have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1476, down 1 point from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
NationalsNationals93-61
BravesBraves70-8322.5
MetsMets66-8827.0
MarlinsMarlins73-8120.0
PhilliesPhillies61-9432.5

Upcoming games

Gohara vs. Pivetta

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991443

at Mets

Sims vs. Lugo

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14691494

Fried vs. Montero

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741483

Dickey vs. Flexen

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801462

Newcomb vs. Gsellman

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781476

Teheran vs. Peters

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating14881500

Gohara vs. Straily

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751518

Foltynewicz vs. Despaigne

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761509

Dickey vs. Urena

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801525

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Julio Teheran
Julio Teheran50.5+15
R.A. Dickey
R.A. Dickey48.1+4
Sean Newcomb
Sean Newcomb47.8+2
Mike Foltynewicz
Mike Foltynewicz47.5+1
Luiz Gohara
Luiz Gohara47.1-1
Max Fried
Max Fried46.9-2
Lucas Sims
Lucas Sims46.5-4

Completed games

W, 4-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131455

W, 7-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14971468

W, 3-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951547

L, 7-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901566

L, 4-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15011589

vs. Mets

L, 5-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151452

L, 7-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071503

W, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating14991463

L, 5-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831565

W, 8-2

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711623

W, 8-0

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14791603

W, 10-8

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991496

W, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961493

L, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951497

W, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14931499

W, 5-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031547

L, 12-8

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14971535

L, 8-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15051526

at Cubs

W, 5-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691567

L, 14-12

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731578

L, 2-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671561

L, 6-2

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14671592

W, 5-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761470

W, 9-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14761482

L, 6-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14721500

L, 3-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911514

L, 7-6

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991501

W, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15001512

L, 9-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061520

W, 4-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931494

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14941499

vs. Reds

W, 8-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951495

L, 11-8

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001456

L, 5-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15061449

W, 10-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631525

L, 17-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751537

W, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731528

L, 3-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating14681533

W, 6-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+130
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821554

L, 6-5

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731572

L, 8-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821540

L, 3-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981457

L, 5-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15041426

L, 4-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061504

W, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051514

W, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15081507

L, 7-4

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011605

W, 5-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721601
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971561

L, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731600
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating14971582

L, 7-6

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871467

L, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841474

L, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771482

L, 10-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14881457

L, 10-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14531518

W, 8-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901543

L, 10-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14911567

L, 5-4

25%

75%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841594
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791667

L, 6-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861592
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951626

W, 12-3

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811640

W, 6-3

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751602
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating14791606

vs. Cubs

L, 8-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131522

L, 5-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061532

L, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15141544

W, 7-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991520

W, 8-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101489

W, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+5
Adjusted team rating15161523

L, 10-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801545

W, 13-0

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741593

L, 5-4

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+54
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771630

W, 5-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14761580

vs. Astros

L, 10-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701585
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951553

L, 16-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741581
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15141568

W, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751523

W, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761492

W, 3-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating14741500

L, 6-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771463

L, 7-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14531464

W, 3-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14841474

L, 7-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091477

W, 3-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981475

W, 5-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15001493

vs. Giants

W, 12-11

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061445

W, 5-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031488

L, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071464

W, 9-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14871491

W, 5-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941494

W, 8-7

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051490

L, 5-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15031516

W, 13-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721566

L, 10-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631548

W, 11-10

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14711596

vs. Mets

L, 2-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981503

L, 8-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851516

L, 6-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961474

W, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14991488

W, 3-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-70
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14841441

W, 14-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991454

L, 3-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021447

L, 11-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14771429

at Reds

W, 13-8

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791485

W, 6-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14591512

L, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14661489

L, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761509

L, 9-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631510

W, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating14801519

L, 7-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671535

L, 6-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761501

W, 2-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating14681480

L, 9-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941512

L, 12-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131472

W, 6-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991458

W, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15011513

L, 3-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951565

W, 5-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911588

W, 7-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14951540

L, 9-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181512

W, 8-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating14941495

W, 9-5

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621561

W, 10-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14551503

L, 3-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651496

W, 3-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821499

W, 8-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14611516

L, 4-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581563

L, 8-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating14621567

L, 6-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901499

L, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121511

L, 10-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15031505

vs. Mets

L, 16-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001525

W, 9-7

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971502

L, 7-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15191477

L, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811486

W, 11-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621494

W, 10-8

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14721525

at Mets

W, 7-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14681531

W, 8-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+4+29
Adjusted team rating14901523

L, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651471

L, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541505

L, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating14741502

L, 3-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941561

L, 14-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291523

L, 3-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14951571

vs. Padres

W, 5-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14831451

W, 9-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981445

W, 4-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941448

W, 5-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15241462

W, 5-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541526

L, 8-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating14751537

L, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001529

L, 6-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731523

L, 5-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14671531

at Mets

L, 6-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621541

W, 3-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14781561

L, 6-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14991573

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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