Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Red Sox have a 100% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1562, up 7 points from last week.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees86-684.03%
Red SoxRed Sox90-6497%
RaysRays76-7914.5<1%
Blue JaysBlue Jays72-8318.5
OriolesOrioles74-8217.0

Upcoming games

at Reds

Fister vs. Stephens

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371476

Pomeranz vs. Anderson

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15871453

Sale vs. Happ

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16281508

Porcello vs. Estrada

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15631503

vs. Astros

Rodriguez vs. Peacock

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15871553

Fister vs. Morton

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611559

Pomeranz vs. McCullers Jr.

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15901558

Sale vs. Keuchel

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16281568

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Chris Sale
Chris Sale62.6+42
Drew Pomeranz
Drew Pomeranz54.5+4
Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez53.8+1
Rick Porcello
Rick Porcello48.8-23
Doug Fister
Doug Fister48.3-25

Completed games

at Reds

W, 5-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15561491

W, 5-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15401498

W, 9-0

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15941507

W, 1-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15591537

W, 10-8

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15321547

at Rays

L, 3-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15521506

W, 3-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15311535

W, 13-6

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15891513

W, 6-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality00
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15721480

L, 7-3

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611465

W, 11-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15681492

vs. Rays

L, 4-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521511

W, 9-0

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16141496

W, 9-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15711518

W, 6-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15511476

W, 3-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611491

L, 10-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15541503

L, 9-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15981576

L, 5-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15541572

W, 4-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15251569

L, 6-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15471563

W, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15311528

W, 3-0

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15911477

W, 6-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15491534

L, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441503

L, 7-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15751515

L, 16-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+210
Adjusted team rating15691503

L, 13-6

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+49-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16131565

W, 6-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15581631

W, 9-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-390
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161588

L, 5-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15501566

W, 5-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15661544

L, 4-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+550
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16351537

W, 9-6

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15791540

W, 5-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15751535

W, 10-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15611515

L, 7-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15391534

W, 3-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+52+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16041559

W, 10-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15481583

L, 5-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15431538

at Rays

W, 8-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15341520

W, 2-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+49-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15931528

W, 6-3

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331438

W, 4-1

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15681424

W, 3-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15421449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601474

W, 9-5

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15581466

W, 12-10

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+56+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16191557

W, 6-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-41-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15191539

vs. Royals

L, 5-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611510

W, 9-8

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581495

L, 4-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15521514

W, 4-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+53-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15901524

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391545

L, 4-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15411513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15381571

L, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15421507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15331528

L, 7-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15571520

W, 6-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+51-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+26
Adjusted team rating15901528

L, 8-6

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-38-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311477

W, 5-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641509

W, 5-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15421495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361514

L, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15661512

W, 3-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15411533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15711535

L, 3-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581538

L, 4-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16181535

W, 5-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+7
Adjusted team rating15741539

at Rays

L, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15541552

L, 1-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15361536

W, 8-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15461530

L, 4-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+50+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15961539

L, 8-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201526

W, 11-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15521587

W, 7-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15291533

W, 15-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15411501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15401507

W, 7-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15861513

W, 7-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15041535

vs. Twins

W, 6-3

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15621467

L, 4-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501473

W, 9-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15561477

W, 4-1

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating16061488

vs. Angels

L, 4-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311503

L, 6-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15651499

W, 9-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15481516

L, 6-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15351515

W, 8-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15841504

L, 4-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15011502

W, 6-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361576
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15441577

L, 7-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15331565

W, 2-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371574
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15281582

L, 1-0

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391432
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+44-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15831446

W, 7-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15161461

W, 4-3

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15681436

W, 6-5

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15561441

vs. Tigers

L, 8-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611493

W, 11-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16011526

W, 5-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15411470

L, 9-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15511563

L, 8-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15421533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391561

W, 5-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15411534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15361558

W, 7-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15781529

W, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15451550

L, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371528

L, 7-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15441529

W, 4-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15301495

W, 13-7

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+45+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15801538

L, 5-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15421504

L, 5-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15621482

W, 6-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271501

W, 3-0

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15661493

W, 6-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481482

W, 9-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15321517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+50-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16061512

W, 11-6

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15541499

W, 12-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321522

L, 8-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191516

L, 3-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+50+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15801504

L, 8-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+21
Adjusted team rating15031483

W, 5-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15321517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371547

W, 6-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15321548

vs. Rays

L, 11-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481497

W, 6-3

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15331505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16041490

L, 5-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15631499

W, 4-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15331489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15331498

L, 7-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-37+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981519

L, 11-7

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15331501

W, 17-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+46+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15801552

W, 11-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15341500

L, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15261497

L, 8-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291487

W, 4-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15331508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501506

W, 5-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15321509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15991513

L, 5-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15601523

vs. Cubs

W, 6-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311571
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15511591

L, 7-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15331569
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331568

W, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15321571
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501586

L, 3-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16011538

L, 3-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+27+3
Adjusted team rating15661504

W, 6-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271539

L, 4-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171516

L, 2-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15291541

W, 4-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15731545

L, 3-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15411508

W, 8-7

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15051533

vs. Rays

W, 4-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411503

W, 7-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551511

W, 2-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15331509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15911519

L, 10-5

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15781528

W, 4-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15481487

L, 12-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-120
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15511497

W, 8-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+210
Adjusted team rating15461509

L, 2-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15641576

W, 7-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15561522

L, 4-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271506

L, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15281554

W, 3-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15861524

W, 5-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15801507

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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