Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Marlins have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1483, up 8 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
NationalsNationals93-61
BravesBraves70-8322.5
MetsMets66-8827.0
MarlinsMarlins73-8120.0
PhilliesPhillies61-9432.5

Upcoming games

Straily vs. Corbin

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941545

Despaigne vs. Chatwood

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14821523

Urena vs. Anderson

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011536

Conley vs. Gray

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811550

vs. Braves

Peters vs. Teheran

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15001488

Straily vs. Gohara

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181475

Despaigne vs. Foltynewicz

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091476

Urena vs. Dickey

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251480

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Jose Urena
Jose Urena49.0+18
Dan Straily
Dan Straily47.4+11
Odrisamer Despaigne
Odrisamer Despaigne45.6+2
Adam Conley
Adam Conley44.6-2
Dillon Peters
Dillon Peters44.4-3

Completed games

W, 12-6

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831560

L, 13-11

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14791594

vs. Mets

W, 9-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151465

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021471

W, 13-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15021465

L, 10-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141510

W, 7-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981525

L, 10-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating15121491

L, 10-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971460

L, 8-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971502

L, 9-8

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15001458

L, 10-8

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961499

L, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931496

W, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971495

L, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14991493

L, 8-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291572

L, 2-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15161582

L, 7-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15251524

L, 3-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301423

W, 10-9

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411478

L, 2-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291428

L, 3-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15251432

L, 4-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101602

L, 8-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031537

L, 11-2

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15141626

vs. Padres

W, 6-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501442

W, 2-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271473

W, 8-6

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+80
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15331451

W, 9-8

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071450

L, 8-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931452

W, 7-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131454

W, 12-8

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+22
Adjusted team rating15201498

at Mets

W, 6-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011553

L, 8-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071492

W, 3-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14881498

vs. Giants

W, 8-1

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341442

L, 9-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471516

W, 8-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15261471

W, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281527

W, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071503

W, 6-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating15281520

L, 3-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141558

L, 10-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051587

W, 7-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001542

L, 3-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14911620

W, 4-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041506

L, 7-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141505

L, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15071508

W, 7-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181522

W, 7-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281602

L, 1-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15231555

vs. Reds

L, 6-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981439
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15401466

W, 7-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291450

W, 7-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201454

W, 4-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15181440

W, 22-10

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931576

L, 10-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151554

W, 4-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14861525

at Reds

L, 6-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701473

W, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921475

W, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14861484

L, 10-3

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461423

L, 5-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201435

W, 6-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14981440

L, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941598
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221604

L, 7-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961596
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241611

L, 6-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981594
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+29+5
Adjusted team rating15601586

W, 10-8

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021519

W, 5-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971520

W, 6-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating15171491

L, 4-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721513

W, 9-6

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961537

W, 5-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931529

L, 14-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14771514

W, 10-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151532

L, 8-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711512

L, 3-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14881501

vs. Mets

L, 6-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191507

L, 8-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071522

W, 6-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15501472

vs. Cubs

W, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181531

L, 5-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011568

W, 2-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171542

L, 11-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15101548

W, 2-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451600

L, 12-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271543

W, 8-7

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15041531

L, 5-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941494

L, 8-7

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901505

W, 5-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15161503

W, 11-6

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271461

W, 8-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating15071463

L, 3-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841533

L, 7-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181511

W, 12-7

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891481

W, 7-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14891520

at Cubs

W, 6-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771572

L, 10-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821580

L, 3-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15121528

W, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141485

W, 3-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041506

W, 7-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061479

L, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15001536

W, 10-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321448

W, 7-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921450

W, 4-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14941454

vs. Angels

W, 9-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991519

L, 5-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051505

W, 8-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15251491

L, 4-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701491

W, 11-9

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14791501

L, 6-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811568

W, 10-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001571

L, 7-2

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671585

L, 7-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+22
Adjusted team rating14661549

vs. Astros

L, 3-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051584

L, 12-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961593

L, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15291538

vs. Braves

W, 3-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961465

L, 3-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991482

L, 8-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15161461

L, 7-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061522

L, 6-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341493

L, 9-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15201523

at Mets

W, 7-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871522

L, 11-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971509

L, 8-7

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating14841500

at Rays

L, 5-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191525

W, 10-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14991527

vs. Rays

L, 3-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111506

L, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15311517

W, 10-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121489

L, 4-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421511

L, 12-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating15381515

L, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941511

L, 7-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+29
Adjusted team rating15171491

W, 7-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951468

W, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171473

L, 5-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15181464

L, 10-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991548

W, 5-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081534

L, 6-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14991537

vs. Mets

W, 4-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411521

W, 5-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411539

W, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201558

L, 9-8

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15361509

vs. Braves

L, 5-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261454

W, 8-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15371475

at Mets

L, 5-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991569

W, 8-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111535

W, 7-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15031535

W, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921551

L, 6-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15171571

L, 4-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14851582

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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