Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Marlins are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Odrisamer Despaigne
Odrisamer Despaigne48.0+14
Jose Urena
Jose Urena47.3+11
Dan Straily
Dan Straily46.6+8
Dillon Peters
Dillon Peters45.7+4
Adam Conley
Adam Conley43.6-6

Completed games

vs. Braves

L, 8-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231463

W, 10-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171467

W, 6-5

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201471

W, 7-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating14951481

L, 15-9

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781553

L, 6-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001538

W, 5-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14811527

L, 3-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941545

W, 12-6

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831560

L, 13-11

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14791594

vs. Mets

W, 9-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151465

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021471

W, 13-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15021465

L, 10-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141510

W, 7-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981525

L, 10-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating15121491

L, 10-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971460

L, 8-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971502

L, 9-8

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15001458

L, 10-8

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961499

L, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931496

W, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971495

L, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14991493

L, 8-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291572

L, 2-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15161582

L, 7-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15251524

L, 3-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301423

W, 10-9

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411478

L, 2-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291428

L, 3-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15251432

L, 4-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101602

L, 8-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031537

L, 11-2

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15141626

vs. Padres

W, 6-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501442

W, 2-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271473

W, 8-6

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+80
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15331451

W, 9-8

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071450

L, 8-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931452

W, 7-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131454

W, 12-8

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+22
Adjusted team rating15201498

at Mets

W, 6-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011553

L, 8-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071492

W, 3-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14881498

vs. Giants

W, 8-1

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341442

L, 9-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471516

W, 8-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15261471

W, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281527

W, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071503

W, 6-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating15281520

L, 3-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141558

L, 10-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051587

W, 7-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001542

L, 3-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14911620

W, 4-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041506

L, 7-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141505

L, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15071508

W, 7-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181522

W, 7-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281602

L, 1-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15231555

vs. Reds

L, 6-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981439
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15401466

W, 7-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291450

W, 7-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201454

W, 4-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15181440

W, 22-10

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931576

L, 10-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151554

W, 4-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14861525

at Reds

L, 6-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701473

W, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921475

W, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14861484

L, 10-3

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461423

L, 5-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201435

W, 6-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14981440

L, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941598
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221604

L, 7-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961596
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241611

L, 6-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981594
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+29+5
Adjusted team rating15601586

W, 10-8

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021519

W, 5-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971520

W, 6-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating15171491

L, 4-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721513

W, 9-6

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961537

W, 5-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931529

L, 14-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14771514

W, 10-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151532

L, 8-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711512

L, 3-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14881501

vs. Mets

L, 6-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191507

L, 8-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071522

W, 6-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15501472

vs. Cubs

W, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181531

L, 5-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011568

W, 2-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171542

L, 11-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15101548

W, 2-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451600

L, 12-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271543

W, 8-7

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15041531

L, 5-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941494

L, 8-7

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901505

W, 5-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15161503

W, 11-6

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271461

W, 8-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating15071463

L, 3-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841533

L, 7-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181511

W, 12-7

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891481

W, 7-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14891520

at Cubs

W, 6-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771572

L, 10-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821580

L, 3-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15121528

W, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141485

W, 3-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041506

W, 7-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061479

L, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15001536

W, 10-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321448

W, 7-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921450

W, 4-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14941454

vs. Angels

W, 9-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991519

L, 5-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051505

W, 8-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15251491

L, 4-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701491

W, 11-9

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14791501

L, 6-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811568

W, 10-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001571

L, 7-2

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671585

L, 7-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+22
Adjusted team rating14661549

vs. Astros

L, 3-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051584

L, 12-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961593

L, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15291538

vs. Braves

W, 3-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961465

L, 3-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991482

L, 8-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15161461

L, 7-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061522

L, 6-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341493

L, 9-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15201523

at Mets

W, 7-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871522

L, 11-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971509

L, 8-7

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating14841500

at Rays

L, 5-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191525

W, 10-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14991527

vs. Rays

L, 3-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111506

L, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15311517

W, 10-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121489

L, 4-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421511

L, 12-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating15381515

L, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941511

L, 7-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+29
Adjusted team rating15171491

W, 7-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951468

W, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171473

L, 5-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15181464

L, 10-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991548

W, 5-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081534

L, 6-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14991537

vs. Mets

W, 4-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411521

W, 5-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411539

W, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201558

L, 9-8

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15361509

vs. Braves

L, 5-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261454

W, 8-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15371475

at Mets

L, 5-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991569

W, 8-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111535

W, 7-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15031535

W, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921551

L, 6-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15171571

L, 4-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14851582

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
NationalsNationals97-65
MarlinsMarlins77-8520.0
BravesBraves72-9025.0
MetsMets70-9227.0
PhilliesPhillies66-9631.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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