Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Indians have a 100% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1602, up 6 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
IndiansIndians97-58
TwinsTwins81-7416.096%
RoyalsRoyals76-7820.5<1%
TigersTigers62-9335.0
White SoxWhite Sox62-9234.5

Upcoming games

Kluber vs. Leake

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+53+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16551534

vs. Twins

Tomlin vs. Colon

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22+1
Adjusted team rating15961482

Salazar vs. Mejia

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16021511

Bauer vs. Gibson

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16081515

Carrasco vs. Giolito

71%

29%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating16291472

Kluber vs. Shields

79%

21%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+53-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16791447

Tomlin vs. Fulmer

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15981461

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Corey Kluber
Corey Kluber67.4+53
Carlos Carrasco
Carlos Carrasco56.8+3
Mike Clevinger
Mike Clevinger53.7-12
Trevor Bauer
Trevor Bauer52.3-18
Danny Salazar
Danny Salazar51.1-24
Josh Tomlin
Josh Tomlin50.1-28

Completed games

W, 11-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16001508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16031522

L, 3-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15791537

W, 4-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16001517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15771545

W, 6-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15991518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15711535

W, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15971520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15811552

vs. Royals

W, 3-2

72%

28%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15961480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+51+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16711508

W, 8-4

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15951481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16261486

L, 4-3

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15971479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16041478

W, 3-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15961480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15901492

vs. Tigers

W, 5-3

71%

29%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15951464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16041445

W, 2-0

77%

23%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15941465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+46-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16641451

W, 11-0

71%

29%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15921467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating16211466

W, 3-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15911501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-170
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15981501

W, 4-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15901502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15851508

W, 5-0

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15881504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15941503

W, 11-2

74%

26%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15861446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16341452

W, 5-1

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15851447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15871470

W, 9-4

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15831449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15691470

W, 5-3

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15821450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15621456

W, 11-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15781473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491494

W, 5-2

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15771475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16241476

W, 10-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15741478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15551476

W, 3-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15731479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating15721479

W, 9-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15701540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15461563

W, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15691541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15531541

W, 6-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15671543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating16131582

vs. Royals

W, 12-0

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15841481

W, 4-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15651502

W, 4-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15571498

W, 13-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15651613

L, 6-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16311558

L, 9-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15881516

W, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15661550

L, 7-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15651493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15621523

W, 5-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15451525

W, 10-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating16051525

L, 4-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15331506

W, 9-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15571500

W, 8-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating15441491

W, 7-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15341539

at Rays

W, 4-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+51-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16031522

W, 3-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281544

W, 5-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391538

L, 4-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15391513

L, 3-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581499

W, 4-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+50+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating16261525

L, 8-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15721550

L, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15701528

W, 7-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15591517

W, 5-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating16221536

L, 12-10

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+56
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15571619

L, 6-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15391519

L, 3-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321494

W, 5-4

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+49+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16051493

W, 9-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15411467

vs. Angels

W, 2-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15541498

W, 10-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15791499

W, 11-7

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15671494

vs. Reds

W, 6-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15441456

W, 8-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16151506

W, 2-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491514

W, 13-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15411494

L, 5-4

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15411471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471463

L, 2-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371488

W, 5-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15411471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15131479

L, 7-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15291528

L, 5-3

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15941501

L, 5-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+5+30
Adjusted team rating15631511

vs. Tigers

L, 5-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16241524

W, 4-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641507

W, 11-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15801469

vs. Padres

W, 11-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381457

L, 6-2

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611444

L, 1-0

73%

27%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+25-2
Adjusted team rating16241446

W, 11-8

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15381542

W, 4-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15601492

L, 7-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+26
Adjusted team rating15221492

W, 5-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+44-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16161507

W, 5-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581568

L, 2-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15561526

W, 15-9

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15921541

vs. Twins

L, 4-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461514

L, 4-2

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+40-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16141463

L, 5-0

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15641459

W, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371509

W, 5-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15701508

L, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15301503

W, 12-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15781537

W, 5-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321486

W, 6-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281490

W, 9-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15411480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261487

W, 8-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15561497

W, 12-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411579

L, 6-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361570
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15911564

L, 7-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371569
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15491616

W, 4-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15821497

L, 5-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501473

W, 7-3

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating15911480

L, 8-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271529

L, 11-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15271541

W, 8-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271491

L, 12-5

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15691472

L, 4-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15301504

W, 8-0

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15961465

L, 3-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551495

W, 9-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15541474

W, 5-3

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15951453

vs. Royals

W, 10-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15421471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491489

L, 5-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581481

L, 6-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15621473

vs. Reds

L, 4-3

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15531469

at Reds

W, 8-7

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15741496

L, 5-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15301507

W, 8-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15361570

W, 3-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241569

W, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441569
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15251579

vs. Rays

L, 7-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15591511

L, 6-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15631522

W, 8-7

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating16011527

vs. Twins

W, 8-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461495

L, 4-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481447

L, 1-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15551520

L, 8-7

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15461515

W, 6-0

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15751492

L, 4-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15251528

W, 1-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191489

W, 3-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261495

L, 3-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15481466

W, 3-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15741510

L, 5-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15821566

L, 7-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15381516

W, 12-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521513

W, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15701515

L, 3-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15971515

vs. Astros

W, 4-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16061539

W, 7-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581565

L, 4-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15521576

L, 6-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15531496

W, 7-0

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15681472

W, 3-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating15761520

W, 6-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15341548

W, 11-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221501

W, 3-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15401500

vs. Tigers

L, 4-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15891481

W, 13-6

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15991555

L, 7-6

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15561495

L, 10-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15571487

L, 2-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691471

W, 2-1

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating15851444

L, 3-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15841495

L, 11-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15431537

L, 7-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15451503

W, 9-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15511546

W, 4-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15671526

W, 8-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15871567

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

Comments