Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Indians are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Corey Kluber
Corey Kluber63.3+33
Carlos Carrasco
Carlos Carrasco58.9+12
Trevor Bauer
Trevor Bauer53.4-14
Danny Salazar
Danny Salazar52.4-19
Josh Tomlin
Josh Tomlin50.0-30

Completed games

L, 5-2

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021566
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16631567

L, 7-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16051562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15941603

L, 1-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16071560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16151593

W, 9-8

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16061561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+45+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16751563

W, 4-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16041563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+310
Adjusted team rating16181560

W, 3-1

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16031465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15931460

L, 2-1

77%

23%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16051462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+49+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16781466

W, 10-1

73%

27%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16041464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating16081437

vs. Twins

W, 5-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16291539

W, 4-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16011514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16021516

L, 8-6

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16031511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22+1
Adjusted team rating15961484

W, 4-2

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+53+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16551534

W, 11-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16001508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16031522

L, 3-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15791537

W, 4-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16001517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15771545

W, 6-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15991518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15711535

W, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15971520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15811552

vs. Royals

W, 3-2

72%

28%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15961480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+51+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16711508

W, 8-4

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15951481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16261486

L, 4-3

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15971479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16041478

W, 3-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15961480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15901492

vs. Tigers

W, 5-3

71%

29%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15951464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16041445

W, 2-0

77%

23%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15941465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+46-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16641451

W, 11-0

71%

29%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15921467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating16211466

W, 3-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15911501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-170
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15981501

W, 4-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15901502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15851508

W, 5-0

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15881504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15941503

W, 11-2

74%

26%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15861446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16341452

W, 5-1

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15851447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15871470

W, 9-4

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15831449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15691470

W, 5-3

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15821450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15621456

W, 11-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15781473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491494

W, 5-2

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15771475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16241476

W, 10-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15741478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15551476

W, 3-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15731479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating15721479

W, 9-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15701540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15461563

W, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15691541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15531541

W, 6-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15671543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating16131582

vs. Royals

W, 12-0

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15841481

W, 4-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15651502

W, 4-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15571498

W, 13-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15651613

L, 6-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16311558

L, 9-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15881516

W, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15661550

L, 7-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15651493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15621523

W, 5-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15451525

W, 10-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating16051525

L, 4-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15331506

W, 9-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15571500

W, 8-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating15441491

W, 7-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15341539

at Rays

W, 4-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+51-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16031522

W, 3-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281544

W, 5-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391538

L, 4-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15391513

L, 3-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581499

W, 4-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+50+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating16261525

L, 8-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15721550

L, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15701528

W, 7-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15591517

W, 5-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating16221536

L, 12-10

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+56
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15571619

L, 6-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15391519

L, 3-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321494

W, 5-4

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+49+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16051493

W, 9-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15411467

vs. Angels

W, 2-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15541498

W, 10-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15791499

W, 11-7

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15671494

vs. Reds

W, 6-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15441456

W, 8-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16151506

W, 2-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491514

W, 13-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15411494

L, 5-4

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15411471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471463

L, 2-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371488

W, 5-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15411471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15131479

L, 7-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15291528

L, 5-3

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15941501

L, 5-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+5+30
Adjusted team rating15631511

vs. Tigers

L, 5-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16241524

W, 4-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641507

W, 11-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15801469

vs. Padres

W, 11-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381457

L, 6-2

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611444

L, 1-0

73%

27%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+25-2
Adjusted team rating16241446

W, 11-8

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15381542

W, 4-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15601492

L, 7-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+26
Adjusted team rating15221492

W, 5-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+44-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16161507

W, 5-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581568

L, 2-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15561526

W, 15-9

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15921541

vs. Twins

L, 4-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461514

L, 4-2

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+40-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16141463

L, 5-0

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15641459

W, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371509

W, 5-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15701508

L, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15301503

W, 12-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15781537

W, 5-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321486

W, 6-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281490

W, 9-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15411480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261487

W, 8-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15561497

W, 12-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411579

L, 6-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361570
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15911564

L, 7-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371569
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15491616

W, 4-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15821497

L, 5-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501473

W, 7-3

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating15911480

L, 8-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271529

L, 11-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15271541

W, 8-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271491

L, 12-5

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15691472

L, 4-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15301504

W, 8-0

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15961465

L, 3-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551495

W, 9-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15541474

W, 5-3

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15951453

vs. Royals

W, 10-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15421471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491489

L, 5-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581481

L, 6-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15621473

vs. Reds

L, 4-3

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15531469

at Reds

W, 8-7

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15741496

L, 5-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15301507

W, 8-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15361570

W, 3-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241569

W, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441569
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15251579

vs. Rays

L, 7-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15591511

L, 6-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15631522

W, 8-7

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating16011527

vs. Twins

W, 8-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461495

L, 4-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481447

L, 1-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15551520

L, 8-7

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15461515

W, 6-0

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15751492

L, 4-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15251528

W, 1-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191489

W, 3-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261495

L, 3-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15481466

W, 3-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15741510

L, 5-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15821566

L, 7-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15381516

W, 12-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521513

W, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15701515

L, 3-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15971515

vs. Astros

W, 4-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16061539

W, 7-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581565

L, 4-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15521576

L, 6-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15531496

W, 7-0

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15681472

W, 3-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating15761520

W, 6-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15341548

W, 11-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221501

W, 3-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15401500

vs. Tigers

L, 4-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15891481

W, 13-6

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15991555

L, 7-6

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15561495

L, 10-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15571487

L, 2-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691471

W, 2-1

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating15851444

L, 3-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15841495

L, 11-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15431537

L, 7-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15451503

W, 9-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15511546

W, 4-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15671526

W, 8-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15871567

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
IndiansIndians102-60
TwinsTwins85-7717.0
RoyalsRoyals80-8222.0
White SoxWhite Sox67-9535.0
TigersTigers64-9838.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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