Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Tigers are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Matthew Boyd
Matthew Boyd47.1-1
Daniel Norris
Daniel Norris47.1-2
Anibal Sanchez
Anibal Sanchez45.4-9
Jordan Zimmermann
Jordan Zimmermann44.0-16
Buck Farmer
Buck Farmer42.6-22

Completed games

L, 5-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14341506

W, 3-2

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14181532

L, 6-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating14441537

W, 4-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14361534

L, 7-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14241499

L, 2-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating14311505

vs. Twins

L, 10-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14481515

L, 10-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721533

L, 7-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731510

L, 12-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14591499

L, 3-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631489

L, 9-8

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14691483

L, 8-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14661466

W, 12-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701433

L, 10-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14771461

W, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14611457

L, 17-7

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating14811442

L, 5-3

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641595
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14451604

L, 2-0

23%

77%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651594
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14511664

L, 11-0

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671592
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14661621

L, 8-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14511527

L, 5-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631479

W, 5-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14451531

vs. Royals

L, 13-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811490

W, 13-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751486

L, 7-6

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14921493

L, 11-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731578
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941549

L, 5-2

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751577
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761624

L, 10-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781574
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761555

L, 3-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating14791572

W, 6-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181536

L, 7-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071536

W, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14511514

L, 7-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581469

W, 6-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501508

L, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15181495

W, 10-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321520

L, 10-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851555

L, 13-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating14911544

W, 6-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791612
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371602

L, 3-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801610
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311590

L, 8-5

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821609
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating14901614

L, 12-6

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671569

L, 10-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241522

L, 6-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15151518

vs. Twins

L, 6-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991514

W, 12-11

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021487

L, 9-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14971469

L, 7-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121502

W, 10-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15411498

L, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791522

L, 3-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14791522

L, 12-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881513

L, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901501

W, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221532

W, 7-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14781508

W, 2-0

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731572

W, 4-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801571

L, 7-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15211578

vs. Astros

W, 13-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881585
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341595

W, 5-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861588
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931593

L, 6-5

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871587
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating14891620

vs. Royals

L, 16-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081509

L, 3-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481521

L, 5-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+220
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15391495

W, 9-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741512

L, 6-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751486

W, 6-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14811537

L, 16-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15361535

L, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181507

W, 9-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731505

W, 10-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14621536

W, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071499

W, 11-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451487

L, 7-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+32+7
Adjusted team rating15401515

W, 5-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241624

L, 4-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071564

L, 11-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14691580

vs. Giants

W, 6-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041473

L, 5-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061471

W, 5-3

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15531447

L, 11-8

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421538

L, 4-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921560

W, 7-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+1
Adjusted team rating14921522

vs. Royals

W, 7-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471467

L, 8-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121488

W, 5-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15401473

W, 7-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691468

L, 7-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921437
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771457

L, 1-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15211458

L, 9-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921545

L, 7-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15231566

L, 5-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781552

L, 6-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating14821537

vs. Rays

L, 9-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031508

L, 3-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601532

W, 13-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201511

W, 5-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15481508

L, 2-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991520

L, 7-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15111542

W, 8-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931561

L, 11-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261601

L, 5-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14701541

vs. Angels

L, 11-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15671491

W, 4-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041490

L, 5-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15281485

W, 7-4

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601475

W, 10-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921493

W, 15-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating15591493

W, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701498

L, 1-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281474

W, 10-7

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating14901472

L, 7-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14681515

W, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-39+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571519

L, 3-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371502

L, 8-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14751485

L, 7-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391564

W, 6-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001565
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911572

L, 6-2

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731607

L, 1-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15361563

L, 5-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071554

W, 9-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15621511

L, 5-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15211475

W, 6-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971534

W, 5-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611508

L, 13-11

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15091514

L, 4-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15431496

W, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941523

L, 7-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781526

W, 7-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15331521

L, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911493

W, 7-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15421529

L, 8-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001487

L, 6-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791496

W, 7-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating15311515

L, 3-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101574

W, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15661582

W, 7-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15161538

W, 7-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961511

L, 6-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551487

L, 7-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071455

L, 2-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641518

L, 8-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261544

W, 19-9

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15041522

W, 13-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281493

W, 5-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791495

L, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15351508

at Rays

L, 8-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001537

L, 8-7

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821551

L, 5-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating15361518

W, 4-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811589

L, 13-6

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15551599

W, 7-6

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14951556

vs. Twins

L, 11-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121480

W, 5-3

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601477

W, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991486

W, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+46+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15761564

L, 7-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221556

W, 4-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061527

W, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15541528

L, 11-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14851465

W, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15511525

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
IndiansIndians102-60
TwinsTwins85-7717.0
RoyalsRoyals80-8222.0
White SoxWhite Sox67-9535.0
TigersTigers64-9838.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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