Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The White Sox have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1458, down 5 points from last week.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
IndiansIndians97-58
TwinsTwins81-7416.096%
RoyalsRoyals76-7820.5<1%
TigersTigers62-9335.0
White SoxWhite Sox62-9234.5

Upcoming games

vs. Royals

Giolito vs. Kennedy

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981478

vs. Angels

Shields vs. Nolasco

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14711502

Fulmer vs. Bridwell

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851513

Lopez vs. Richards

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14791539

Covey vs. Norris

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14531506

Giolito vs. Carrasco

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581602
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14721629

Shields vs. Kluber

21%

79%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581602
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+53
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471679

Fulmer vs. Tomlin

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581602
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611598

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito50.2+16
Carson Fulmer
Carson Fulmer47.6+3
Reynaldo Lopez
Reynaldo Lopez46.4-3
James Shields
James Shields44.6-11
Dylan Covey
Dylan Covey40.7-29

Completed games

vs. Royals

L, 8-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14501512

W, 7-6

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating14821482

W, 3-1

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14601594

L, 4-3

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14451580

L, 3-1

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14701584

L, 12-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14331470

W, 10-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611477

L, 3-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571461

W, 17-7

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating14421481

W, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651486

L, 4-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14241494

W, 11-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14511520

vs. Giants

W, 8-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14601495

W, 13-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14501482

L, 9-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14831447

L, 11-2

26%

74%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461586
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14521634

L, 5-1

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471585
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701587

L, 9-4

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491583
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701569

L, 5-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501582
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14561562

vs. Rays

W, 6-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751501

W, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971528

L, 3-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating14651504

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731501

L, 11-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14271525

L, 6-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14371548

vs. Tigers

W, 7-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14691458

L, 6-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081450

W, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14951518

vs. Twins

W, 5-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14451499

W, 4-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14531522

L, 4-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701484

L, 10-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811477

W, 7-6

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15031483

W, 3-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671534

L, 17-7

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14301528

W, 4-3

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14301546

L, 9-8

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14501536

L, 5-4

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521608
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821647

L, 6-1

27%

73%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531607
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14661637

vs. Royals

L, 14-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14651498

L, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14581496

W, 6-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14791514

vs. Astros

W, 3-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051565

W, 7-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14831586

W, 8-5

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451575
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating14541600

L, 6-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14381533

L, 4-1

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14241568

L, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741560

L, 9-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14661558

L, 5-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14611504

L, 8-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731512

W, 7-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14541490

W, 3-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941532

L, 5-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931605

L, 9-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14671541

vs. Cubs

L, 6-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751558

L, 8-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating14581551

at Cubs

L, 7-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791555

W, 3-1

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14691588

L, 5-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14491505

L, 7-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541529

L, 7-6

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14431529

L, 9-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651600
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131579

L, 1-0

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating14991643

L, 7-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811513

L, 4-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811514

L, 4-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+5
Adjusted team rating14791543

L, 10-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991515

W, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+300
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021533

L, 12-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14681528

L, 7-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671502

L, 7-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611480

W, 7-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14931488

W, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301529

L, 10-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941531

W, 8-7

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14921513

W, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14771526

L, 12-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241530

W, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281534

L, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15001527

L, 5-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921473

L, 10-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951460

L, 3-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-4
Adjusted team rating15031454

W, 9-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031482

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881502

L, 9-7

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14781541

L, 7-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721547

W, 5-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741549

W, 11-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14981536

W, 5-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031485

L, 10-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091513

W, 6-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951496

W, 10-7

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14901494

L, 4-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971582

W, 5-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731550

L, 7-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating14801591

at Rays

L, 7-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771533

L, 3-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691512

W, 4-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14931554

L, 7-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751560

L, 10-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931492

L, 15-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14931559

L, 4-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951530

L, 13-7

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381580

W, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15041542

vs. Tigers

W, 7-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151468

L, 4-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191457

W, 3-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021537

W, 8-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14851475

L, 8-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161522

L, 5-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-37-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14491508

L, 5-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14921555

W, 8-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861530

W, 16-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501538

W, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991542

L, 5-4

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14391538

L, 12-8

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911536

L, 7-6

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821521

L, 5-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14521512

vs. Padres

W, 9-3

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271422

W, 5-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14661448

L, 6-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801439
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15221444

vs. Twins

L, 7-6

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15141476

L, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating14791486

L, 4-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111544

L, 6-5

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14561555

L, 4-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14991537

W, 8-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881503

L, 6-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14591473

W, 6-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061498

L, 6-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14621493

L, 7-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111496

W, 6-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871555

W, 7-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14551507

vs. Royals

W, 5-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251453

W, 10-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801485

W, 12-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15181479

W, 6-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961553

L, 7-0

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721568

L, 3-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15201576

L, 9-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691556

W, 4-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881520

L, 7-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14801521

W, 3-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14521513

L, 6-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021543

W, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14621496

W, 10-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871557

W, 2-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711569

L, 2-1

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating14441585

vs. Twins

L, 4-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221515

W, 6-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121478

L, 3-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14971477

vs. Tigers

W, 11-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14651485

L, 6-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15251551

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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