Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The White Sox are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito51.5+22
Carson Fulmer
Carson Fulmer48.8+9
Reynaldo Lopez
Reynaldo Lopez46.6-1
Chris Volstad
Chris Volstad46.5-2
James Shields
James Shields45.6-6
Dylan Covey
Dylan Covey41.3-26
Mike Pelfrey
Mike Pelfrey40.0-32

Completed games

L, 3-1

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651603
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14601593

W, 2-1

23%

77%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621605
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14661678

L, 10-1

27%

73%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641604
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14371608

vs. Angels

W, 5-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14561508

W, 6-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811543

L, 9-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14881513

W, 4-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14731504

vs. Royals

W, 8-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981478

L, 8-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14501512

W, 7-6

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating14821482

W, 3-1

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14601594

L, 4-3

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14451580

L, 3-1

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14701584

L, 12-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14331470

W, 10-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611477

L, 3-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571461

W, 17-7

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating14421481

W, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651486

L, 4-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14241494

W, 11-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14511520

vs. Giants

W, 8-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14601495

W, 13-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14501482

L, 9-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14831447

L, 11-2

26%

74%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461586
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14521634

L, 5-1

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471585
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701587

L, 9-4

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491583
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701569

L, 5-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501582
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14561562

vs. Rays

W, 6-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751501

W, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971528

L, 3-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating14651504

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731501

L, 11-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14271525

L, 6-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14371548

vs. Tigers

W, 7-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14691458

L, 6-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081450

W, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14951518

vs. Twins

W, 5-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14451499

W, 4-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14531522

L, 4-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701484

L, 10-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811477

W, 7-6

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15031483

W, 3-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671534

L, 17-7

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14301528

W, 4-3

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14301546

L, 9-8

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14501536

L, 5-4

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521608
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821647

L, 6-1

27%

73%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531607
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14661637

vs. Royals

L, 14-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14651498

L, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14581496

W, 6-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14791514

vs. Astros

W, 3-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051565

W, 7-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14831586

W, 8-5

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451575
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating14541600

L, 6-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14381533

L, 4-1

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14241568

L, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741560

L, 9-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14661558

L, 5-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14611504

L, 8-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731512

W, 7-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14541490

W, 3-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941532

L, 5-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931605

L, 9-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14671541

vs. Cubs

L, 6-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751558

L, 8-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating14581551

at Cubs

L, 7-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791555

W, 3-1

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14691588

L, 5-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14491505

L, 7-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541529

L, 7-6

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14431529

L, 9-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651600
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131579

L, 1-0

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating14991643

L, 7-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811513

L, 4-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811514

L, 4-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+5
Adjusted team rating14791543

L, 10-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991515

W, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+300
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021533

L, 12-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14681528

L, 7-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671502

L, 7-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611480

W, 7-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14931488

W, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301529

L, 10-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941531

W, 8-7

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14921513

W, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14771526

L, 12-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241530

W, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281534

L, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15001527

L, 5-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921473

L, 10-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951460

L, 3-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-4
Adjusted team rating15031454

W, 9-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031482

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881502

L, 9-7

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14781541

L, 7-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721547

W, 5-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741549

W, 11-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14981536

W, 5-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031485

L, 10-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091513

W, 6-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951496

W, 10-7

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14901494

L, 4-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971582

W, 5-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731550

L, 7-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating14801591

at Rays

L, 7-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771533

L, 3-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691512

W, 4-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14931554

L, 7-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751560

L, 10-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931492

L, 15-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14931559

L, 4-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951530

L, 13-7

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381580

W, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15041542

vs. Tigers

W, 7-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151468

L, 4-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191457

W, 3-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021537

W, 8-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14851475

L, 8-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161522

L, 5-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-37-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14491508

L, 5-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14921555

W, 8-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861530

W, 16-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501538

W, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991542

L, 5-4

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14391538

L, 12-8

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911536

L, 7-6

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821521

L, 5-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14521512

vs. Padres

W, 9-3

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271422

W, 5-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14661448

L, 6-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801439
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15221444

vs. Twins

L, 7-6

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15141476

L, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating14791486

L, 4-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111544

L, 6-5

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14561555

L, 4-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14991537

W, 8-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881503

L, 6-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14591473

W, 6-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061498

L, 6-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14621493

L, 7-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111496

W, 6-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871555

W, 7-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14551507

vs. Royals

W, 5-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251453

W, 10-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801485

W, 12-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15181479

W, 6-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961553

L, 7-0

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721568

L, 3-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15201576

L, 9-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691556

W, 4-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881520

L, 7-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14801521

W, 3-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14521513

L, 6-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021543

W, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14621496

W, 10-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871557

W, 2-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711569

L, 2-1

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating14441585

vs. Twins

L, 4-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221515

W, 6-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121478

L, 3-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14971477

vs. Tigers

W, 11-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14651485

L, 6-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15251551

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
IndiansIndians102-60
TwinsTwins85-7717.0
RoyalsRoyals80-8222.0
White SoxWhite Sox67-9535.0
TigersTigers64-9838.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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