Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mariners are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
James Paxton
James Paxton55.4+36
Erasmo Ramirez
Erasmo Ramirez49.6+8
Felix Hernandez
Felix Hernandez49.1+6
Mike Leake
Mike Leake49.0+5
Andrew Moore
Andrew Moore45.7-10
Marco Gonzales
Marco Gonzales43.0-23

Completed games

L, 6-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15411535

W, 6-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971529

L, 6-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+20
Adjusted team rating14861534

L, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221522

W, 6-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15411521

W, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15051507

L, 4-2

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051602
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+53
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341655

L, 11-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081600
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221603

W, 3-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061602
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15371579

L, 4-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691535

L, 8-6

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421524

L, 3-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15371504

L, 7-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071613

L, 8-6

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271589

L, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15581570

W, 10-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191555

W, 8-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081538

W, 10-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821552

L, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15051565

vs. Angels

L, 5-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15431519

W, 8-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181516

W, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15271517

vs. Astros

L, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191571

L, 3-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321594

L, 6-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15451575

W, 10-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141465

W, 7-6

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111464

W, 3-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15221477

L, 8-7

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121525

L, 4-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181557

L, 7-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14891511

L, 10-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001572

L, 6-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931565

W, 2-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15141564

W, 9-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201506

L, 4-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941493

W, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14991494

at Rays

L, 3-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921508

W, 7-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151509

W, 7-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15121517

W, 7-6

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181496

W, 3-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171492

L, 11-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15181508

vs. Angels

L, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15391527

L, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15391511

L, 6-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241501

L, 6-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+45+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15841510

W, 6-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021486

W, 7-6

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15201503

L, 9-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15231500

W, 8-7

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15061554

W, 5-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15561532

L, 6-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15001504

L, 5-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281525

W, 8-7

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221505

W, 6-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15151549

vs. Mets

W, 9-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15761501

W, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181538

L, 7-5

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15481475

L, 4-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+53
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241590

W, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451539

W, 4-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+340
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15711538

L, 6-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241512

W, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451537

L, 5-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291540

L, 4-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15401536

W, 4-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151591
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15461599

L, 6-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171589
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071606

W, 9-7

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151592
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15221635

W, 7-6

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131481

W, 4-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141481

W, 4-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+5+30
Adjusted team rating15431479

W, 4-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321454

L, 4-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15401465

W, 7-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15571502

L, 7-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15361469

vs. Royals

L, 9-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521522

L, 7-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411513

L, 3-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-4
Adjusted team rating15411496

W, 5-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371522

L, 4-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191527

W, 10-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15241532

L, 5-4

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451437

L, 8-2

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221429
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15681434

vs. Astros

L, 8-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251579
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601559

L, 5-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271577
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521600

W, 13-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221582
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15511555

vs. Tigers

W, 9-6

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451492

W, 7-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15661523

W, 5-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521478

W, 6-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-4
Adjusted team rating15371482

W, 7-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951586

L, 10-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021535

L, 10-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15461546

L, 6-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371499

W, 6-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191551

L, 20-7

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101487

W, 14-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating14981496

L, 4-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15801523

L, 4-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15631521

W, 4-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15451505

vs. Twins

L, 2-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341461

W, 6-5

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281476

W, 12-3

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15831476

vs. Rays

W, 7-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501514

W, 9-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341517

W, 12-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15211525

L, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231497

W, 5-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15671515

W, 10-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131550

W, 6-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15001542

W, 5-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821562

L, 6-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011527

L, 3-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14931566

W, 4-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091562

L, 5-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071567

L, 10-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating14991552

L, 8-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301486

L, 16-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381450

L, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421499

W, 5-4

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15381439

W, 4-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251473

L, 9-6

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241489

W, 6-5

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-4
Adjusted team rating15361486

L, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161552

L, 7-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021538

L, 4-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101514

L, 7-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15321507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15131555

W, 11-6

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221487

W, 10-9

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15251509

W, 4-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-38-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121478

W, 8-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231496

L, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15381538

vs. Angels

W, 11-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441487

W, 8-7

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15431505

L, 6-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15741509

L, 12-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131552

L, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151570

W, 3-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15151597

W, 2-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181564

W, 8-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15441526

L, 19-9

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating15221504

W, 11-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051529

L, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211511

L, 3-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191530

L, 9-6

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15491495

W, 10-5

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481499

L, 5-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341508

W, 6-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15371499

W, 8-7

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471524

W, 5-0

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641479

W, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15441504

vs. Astros

L, 10-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331532

L, 7-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411525

W, 6-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-4
Adjusted team rating15581517

L, 10-9

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241547

L, 5-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241532

L, 5-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15131509

W, 4-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211562

L, 5-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371551

L, 2-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15301581

L, 3-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15251584

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros101-61
AngelsAngels80-8221.0
RangersRangers78-8423.0
MarinersMariners78-8423.0
AthleticsAthletics75-8726.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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