Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Twins are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Ervin Santana
Ervin Santana52.9+23
Jose Berrios
Jose Berrios49.3+6
Kyle Gibson
Kyle Gibson48.7+4
Adalberto Mejia
Adalberto Mejia48.1+1
Aaron Slegers
Aaron Slegers47.5-2
Bartolo Colon
Bartolo Colon43.0-23

Completed games

L, 8-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15391611

vs. Tigers

W, 5-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061434

L, 3-2

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321418

W, 6-3

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15371444

L, 5-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121602
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391629

L, 4-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141601
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161602

W, 8-6

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111603
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+22
Adjusted team rating14841596

W, 10-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151448

W, 10-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15331472

W, 7-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101473

W, 12-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14991459

L, 11-3

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791608

L, 5-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121578

L, 2-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15291553

W, 13-7

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321477

L, 7-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311496

L, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071506

W, 3-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15361459

vs. Padres

W, 3-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521486

W, 16-0

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15281439

L, 11-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861501

L, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131518

W, 8-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15301500

W, 4-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15001490

at Rays

W, 10-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041531

L, 2-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801509

L, 11-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15101531

vs. Royals

L, 5-4

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15571473

W, 17-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201481

L, 7-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101493

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011473

W, 11-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251427

W, 6-4

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating15481437

W, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881498

L, 10-9

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841520

W, 6-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating14661534

L, 5-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991445

L, 4-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221453

W, 4-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841470

W, 10-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771481

L, 7-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating14831503

W, 12-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911497

W, 5-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081547

W, 10-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15341526

W, 4-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061533

L, 9-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15001557

L, 8-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating14911544

W, 6-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141499

L, 12-11

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871502

W, 9-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14691497

W, 7-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791524

W, 4-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14471512

W, 11-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021490

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15251497

W, 6-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981480

L, 4-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14841526

W, 8-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631493

L, 4-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15001488

W, 5-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951475

L, 3-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14731497

L, 6-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14431486

L, 5-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861490

W, 6-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+20
Adjusted team rating14761475

L, 6-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711597
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001586

L, 6-2

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731595
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781603

L, 6-4

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741594
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14421586

vs. Tigers

L, 9-6

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121474

W, 6-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861475

L, 6-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15371481

W, 6-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991529

L, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731516

W, 4-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15031521

L, 5-3

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751591
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611612

W, 4-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731593
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101588

L, 10-5

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741592
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+6+30
Adjusted team rating14871612

L, 11-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931474

L, 5-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101465

W, 9-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001488

W, 6-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15051493

vs. Angels

L, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351492

W, 5-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14891498

W, 9-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-4
Adjusted team rating15001511

L, 6-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751505

W, 10-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731517

L, 11-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861503

L, 8-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15131529

L, 6-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671562

W, 4-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731550

L, 9-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771556

L, 4-1

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14881606

W, 4-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141546

W, 4-2

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631614

W, 5-0

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14591564

L, 9-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14821503

W, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021488

W, 9-7

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15411478

L, 5-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861532

L, 6-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901528

L, 9-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871526

L, 8-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14971556

W, 6-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991537

L, 6-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+450
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15511519

W, 20-7

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871510

L, 14-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating14961498

L, 13-8

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771480

W, 3-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741526

W, 4-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating15151503

W, 2-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611534

L, 6-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761528

L, 12-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14761583

W, 3-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711517

L, 7-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15311532

W, 11-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581531

W, 4-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14641513

vs. Astros

L, 17-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801574
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031549

L, 7-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961546

L, 16-8

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15581544

vs. Rays

L, 8-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-230
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14891514

W, 5-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991526

L, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating15111526

W, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761541

W, 2-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281549

W, 14-7

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14591528

vs. Royals

W, 8-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911481

L, 6-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14951449

W, 4-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15041465

W, 2-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-230
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14781504

L, 5-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+45-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15511501

L, 7-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating14981491

L, 8-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951546

W, 4-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471548

W, 1-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15201555

W, 7-6

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14761514

W, 7-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14861479

L, 17-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521580

L, 11-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001534

W, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14971526

L, 8-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911468

W, 7-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151486

W, 9-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+45-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15491466

W, 7-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14731474

W, 6-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14601504

L, 14-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871544

W, 8-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201503

W, 3-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14621523

vs. Tigers

L, 13-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931528

L, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951479

W, 6-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15081535

L, 6-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15481534

L, 11-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011522

L, 3-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15001540

L, 3-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131452

W, 6-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15431502

L, 2-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating14961462

W, 11-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801512

L, 5-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771560

L, 2-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861499

W, 4-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151522

L, 6-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781512

W, 3-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14771497

vs. Royals

W, 5-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021462

W, 9-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15041487

W, 7-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15301487

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
IndiansIndians102-60
TwinsTwins85-7717.0
RoyalsRoyals80-8222.0
White SoxWhite Sox67-9535.0
TigersTigers64-9838.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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