Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Nationals are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Stephen Strasburg
Stephen Strasburg62.5+41
Max Scherzer
Max Scherzer61.6+37
Gio Gonzalez
Gio Gonzalez53.0-3
Tanner Roark
Tanner Roark50.3-16
Edwin Jackson
Edwin Jackson41.3-59

Completed games

vs. Cubs

L, 9-8

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15731579

at Cubs

W, 5-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15871592

L, 2-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15851596

vs. Cubs

W, 6-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15731555

L, 3-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+33+6
Adjusted team rating16191587

L, 11-8

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15861479

L, 4-1

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16181482

W, 6-1

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16111495

W, 5-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-60-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15171476

L, 7-5

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15481476

L, 4-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15711470

W, 3-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating15271514

at Mets

W, 3-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35+39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15921527

W, 4-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+55
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15891544

L, 7-6

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-59-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating14951477

L, 3-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471495

W, 7-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15661490

W, 4-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15891501

W, 7-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16091553

L, 3-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501580

L, 7-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-52+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15301562

vs. Braves

W, 5-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15651483

L, 8-2

71%

29%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16231471

L, 8-0

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15671469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating16031479

W, 3-2

71%

29%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15661450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16131455

L, 5-4

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15681448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-48-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441436

W, 11-10

76%

24%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15681449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16341436

W, 4-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15671450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15721475

W, 8-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15721529

W, 2-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+190
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15821516

W, 7-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15241525

L, 7-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-49-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141515

W, 3-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+420
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16041526

L, 1-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15441533

L, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15661498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15751534

W, 4-0

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16021510

W, 8-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-48-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371503

W, 11-2

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating16261514

vs. Mets

W, 5-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-200
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15621485

L, 6-5

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-47-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371464

W, 9-4

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15961468

L, 4-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-38+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15431519

W, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15691608

L, 6-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-48-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131574

W, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15361590

W, 4-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15711495

L, 3-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15721463

W, 7-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281469

W, 2-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-50+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15021494

vs. Angels

L, 3-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611503

W, 3-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15951523

vs. Giants

W, 6-2

72%

28%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+45-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16241458

L, 4-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-38-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441463

W, 3-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-52-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+1
Adjusted team rating15301463

W, 3-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581514

W, 10-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15871505

L, 7-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-37+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421500

W, 3-2

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+45-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating16201491

at Cubs

W, 9-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-39+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121582

L, 7-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-55-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971560

W, 4-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15271589

L, 7-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221518

L, 7-6

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+46+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16021528

W, 1-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15551523

W, 3-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-61+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151520

L, 10-6

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-300
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491512

L, 4-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15621523

W, 15-2

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+46-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16251488

W, 8-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15781512

L, 8-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-58-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating15211493

W, 6-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15671558

W, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15251529

L, 6-5

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+53-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+20
Adjusted team rating16081541

L, 7-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15611526

W, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-63-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+26
Adjusted team rating14911517

at Reds

W, 6-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15631510

W, 14-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201501

W, 10-7

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+53+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16031510

W, 5-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+7+29
Adjusted team rating15531505

vs. Braves

W, 10-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451480

L, 13-0

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15931474

W, 5-4

71%

29%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+54+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16301477

L, 5-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15801476

vs. Mets

W, 11-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501504

W, 3-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15841525

W, 7-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+52+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16001563

L, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471507

L, 8-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15241526

vs. Cubs

L, 5-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15531566

W, 8-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15881540

W, 6-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+51+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16251555

L, 5-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15721506

vs. Reds

L, 6-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15591476

W, 18-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471487

W, 6-5

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15901471

L, 2-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16001545

W, 12-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15431527

L, 8-7

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15311504

at Mets

L, 5-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241538

W, 7-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15671533

W, 7-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+44+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15911549

W, 8-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15351515

vs. Braves

L, 13-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15661472

W, 10-5

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481463

L, 11-10

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15961471

L, 5-1

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16201494

L, 6-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15671499

L, 5-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15801489

W, 6-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-1
Adjusted team rating15461509

L, 2-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15811636

W, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581565
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15971580

W, 4-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating15391560

W, 11-10

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15521493

L, 10-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15341468

W, 13-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+20
Adjusted team rating15791502

W, 3-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15891484

W, 6-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371524

W, 3-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15401510

vs. Padres

L, 5-3

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531430
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15591436

W, 3-0

72%

28%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521431
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15941432

W, 5-1

73%

27%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511432
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating16071429

L, 4-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15621509

W, 5-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-80
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15671507

W, 10-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15521499

W, 3-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15651495

L, 5-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15881491

L, 7-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15401495

L, 10-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15551477

L, 6-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-59+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001531

W, 8-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating15731502

W, 6-5

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16171466

L, 4-3

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15681474

W, 6-4

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+29+3
Adjusted team rating15871447

W, 7-6

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15971519

L, 5-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15931530

L, 6-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15501536

L, 6-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15601501

W, 6-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241491

W, 4-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15741473

W, 4-2

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16121485

W, 2-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15721508

L, 6-3

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15861503

vs. Mets

W, 23-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581543

L, 5-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15971499

L, 7-5

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating16131520

W, 16-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15421523

W, 11-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491525

W, 15-12

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15311504

L, 8-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-67+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14791530

at Mets

W, 6-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15841524

W, 3-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15331555

W, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15431538

W, 3-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15611494

W, 14-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15231529

W, 3-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15711495

W, 6-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481477

L, 4-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641471

W, 3-2

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15831453

L, 6-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16021492

W, 8-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501499

W, 14-6

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15631492

L, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15561497

L, 17-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-57-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881474

W, 7-6

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15741482

L, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15511492

W, 6-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15711517

W, 4-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15821485

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
NationalsNationals97-65
MarlinsMarlins77-8520.0
BravesBraves72-9025.0
MetsMets70-9227.0
PhilliesPhillies66-9631.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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