Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rangers have a 1% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1513, up 5 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros95-59
AngelsAngels76-7819.01%
RangersRangers76-7819.01%
MarinersMariners75-8020.5<1%
AthleticsAthletics71-8324.0

Upcoming games

Perez vs. Cotton

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101501

vs. Astros

Cashner vs. McHugh

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating15401557

Hamels vs. Keuchel

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601568

Martinez vs. Verlander

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081597

Gonzalez vs. Manaea

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15391491

Perez vs. Cotton

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341477

Cashner vs. Gossett

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441481

Hamels vs. Mengden

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601496

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Cole Hamels
Cole Hamels54.5+23
Andrew Cashner
Andrew Cashner51.1+7
Miguel Gonzalez
Miguel Gonzalez50.0+2
Martin Perez
Martin Perez48.9-3
Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez43.5-29

Completed games

L, 1-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141497

L, 4-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14841517

W, 4-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15351569

W, 8-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241542

W, 3-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15041537

W, 4-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081569

L, 2-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+210
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15311545

L, 7-6

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14791537

L, 10-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551519

L, 8-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381508

L, 10-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521482

W, 5-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15651505

L, 16-7

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411539

L, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611563

W, 11-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating15421558

L, 5-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471503

W, 12-8

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15351497

W, 8-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15261505

vs. Angels

W, 7-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361521

L, 7-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331514

W, 10-9

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15631526

L, 5-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest00
Adjusted team rating14871564

W, 8-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest00
Adjusted team rating15221580

W, 12-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2-1
Adjusted team rating15041554

L, 8-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091485

L, 8-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491500

L, 3-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14891501

W, 3-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041538

W, 7-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181541

L, 10-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101531

W, 5-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating15421547

L, 3-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341467

W, 17-7

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281430

L, 4-3

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461430

W, 9-8

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15361450

vs. Tigers

W, 12-6

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691467

W, 10-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221524

W, 6-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15181515

vs. Astros

L, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351580

W, 8-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251563

W, 6-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071566
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating15561564

at Mets

W, 5-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841495

L, 5-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14951501

L, 6-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801498

W, 4-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261484

L, 8-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931463

W, 4-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating14881500

W, 5-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251528

L, 8-7

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051522

L, 6-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15491515

L, 10-6

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241469

L, 4-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261494

W, 8-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15271481

L, 22-10

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15761493

W, 10-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15541515

L, 4-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15251486

at Rays

W, 6-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091526

W, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021552

W, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15441545

L, 9-7

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371495

L, 10-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051507

L, 12-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241518

L, 3-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15061491

L, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15581527

W, 1-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15431537

W, 5-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+7+30
Adjusted team rating15161522

vs. Angels

L, 3-0

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15821492

W, 5-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491494

W, 10-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15601509

W, 8-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261520

L, 11-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15871552

L, 7-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15331529

L, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15291530

W, 10-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15311494

L, 8-7

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15131492

L, 5-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071616

L, 5-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15681558

W, 2-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261556

L, 15-9

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15411592

W, 7-6

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971561

W, 8-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081550

L, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15561552

W, 11-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341524

L, 7-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15531491

W, 6-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101500

L, 7-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15341517

L, 7-3

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15861495

W, 10-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351502

W, 10-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15461546

L, 13-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211571
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081572

W, 4-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831576

W, 6-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151576
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15491579

W, 5-1

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941620

W, 6-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991567

W, 5-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14891580

vs. Mets

L, 4-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15671501

W, 10-8

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15061516

vs. Astros

L, 7-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081582
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291562

L, 6-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091581
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181600

L, 7-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121578
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15721606

vs. Rays

L, 7-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191535

W, 9-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031514

L, 10-8

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15301518

W, 3-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901522

L, 3-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471567

L, 7-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14941498

L, 6-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821548

L, 9-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121606

L, 11-6

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14991554

W, 5-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15541507

L, 9-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111562

W, 5-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14751521

W, 8-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301440

W, 9-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151459

W, 5-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15711473

W, 6-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321480

W, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-41-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931462

W, 5-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15071471

vs. Padres

W, 5-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191429

W, 4-3

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15601443

W, 11-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951458

L, 5-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-38+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14631472

L, 4-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781512

L, 8-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961523

W, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15381538

W, 10-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951567

L, 10-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741563

L, 8-7

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831562

L, 6-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14741585

vs. Angels

L, 5-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221493

W, 6-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641487

L, 6-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15021491

vs. Twins

W, 14-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441487

L, 8-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031520

L, 3-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15231462

vs. Royals

W, 5-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641459

W, 2-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931487

W, 6-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421467

W, 1-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating14941488

L, 9-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031492

L, 4-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15451514

W, 7-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14921511

L, 8-7

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+140
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241547

L, 5-0

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791564

L, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15041544

W, 8-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15401537

W, 8-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911522

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15201527

W, 8-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221508

L, 6-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15631493

W, 10-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-4
Adjusted team rating15201461

L, 9-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461551

L, 4-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261567

L, 8-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15671587

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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