Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rangers are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Cole Hamels
Cole Hamels53.1+19
Andrew Cashner
Andrew Cashner50.6+7
Miguel Gonzalez
Miguel Gonzalez50.4+6
Martin Perez
Martin Perez48.3-4
Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez43.0-29

Completed games

L, 5-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441494

W, 8-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271473

W, 5-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151483

L, 4-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15271491

vs. Astros

L, 12-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991602

L, 14-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551570

L, 11-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating15371555

L, 8-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101501

L, 1-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141497

L, 4-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14841517

W, 4-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15351569

W, 8-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241542

W, 3-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15041537

W, 4-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081569

L, 2-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+210
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15311545

L, 7-6

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14791537

L, 10-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551519

L, 8-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381508

L, 10-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521482

W, 5-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15651505

L, 16-7

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411539

L, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611563

W, 11-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating15421558

L, 5-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471503

W, 12-8

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15351497

W, 8-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15261505

vs. Angels

W, 7-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361521

L, 7-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331514

W, 10-9

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15631526

L, 5-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest00
Adjusted team rating14871564

W, 8-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest00
Adjusted team rating15221580

W, 12-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2-1
Adjusted team rating15041554

L, 8-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091485

L, 8-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491500

L, 3-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14891501

W, 3-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041538

W, 7-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181541

L, 10-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101531

W, 5-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating15421547

L, 3-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341467

W, 17-7

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281430

L, 4-3

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461430

W, 9-8

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15361450

vs. Tigers

W, 12-6

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691467

W, 10-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221524

W, 6-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15181515

vs. Astros

L, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351580

W, 8-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251563

W, 6-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071566
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating15561564

at Mets

W, 5-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841495

L, 5-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14951501

L, 6-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801498

W, 4-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261484

L, 8-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931463

W, 4-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating14881500

W, 5-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251528

L, 8-7

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051522

L, 6-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15491515

L, 10-6

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241469

L, 4-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261494

W, 8-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15271481

L, 22-10

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15761493

W, 10-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15541515

L, 4-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15251486

at Rays

W, 6-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091526

W, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021552

W, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15441545

L, 9-7

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371495

L, 10-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051507

L, 12-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241518

L, 3-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15061491

L, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15581527

W, 1-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15431537

W, 5-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+7+30
Adjusted team rating15161522

vs. Angels

L, 3-0

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15821492

W, 5-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491494

W, 10-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15601509

W, 8-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261520

L, 11-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15871552

L, 7-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15331529

L, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15291530

W, 10-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15311494

L, 8-7

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15131492

L, 5-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071616

L, 5-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15681558

W, 2-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261556

L, 15-9

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15411592

W, 7-6

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971561

W, 8-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081550

L, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15561552

W, 11-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341524

L, 7-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15531491

W, 6-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101500

L, 7-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15341517

L, 7-3

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15861495

W, 10-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351502

W, 10-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15461546

L, 13-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211571
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081572

W, 4-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831576

W, 6-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151576
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15491579

W, 5-1

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941620

W, 6-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991567

W, 5-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14891580

vs. Mets

L, 4-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15671501

W, 10-8

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15061516

vs. Astros

L, 7-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081582
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291562

L, 6-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091581
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181600

L, 7-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121578
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15721606

vs. Rays

L, 7-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191535

W, 9-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031514

L, 10-8

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15301518

W, 3-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901522

L, 3-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471567

L, 7-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14941498

L, 6-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821548

L, 9-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121606

L, 11-6

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14991554

W, 5-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15541507

L, 9-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111562

W, 5-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14751521

W, 8-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301440

W, 9-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151459

W, 5-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15711473

W, 6-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321480

W, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-41-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931462

W, 5-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15071471

vs. Padres

W, 5-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191429

W, 4-3

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15601443

W, 11-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951458

L, 5-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-38+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14631472

L, 4-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781512

L, 8-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961523

W, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15381538

W, 10-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951567

L, 10-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741563

L, 8-7

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831562

L, 6-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14741585

vs. Angels

L, 5-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221493

W, 6-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641487

L, 6-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15021491

vs. Twins

W, 14-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441487

L, 8-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031520

L, 3-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15231462

vs. Royals

W, 5-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641459

W, 2-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931487

W, 6-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421467

W, 1-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating14941488

L, 9-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031492

L, 4-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15451514

W, 7-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14921511

L, 8-7

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+140
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241547

L, 5-0

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791564

L, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15041544

W, 8-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15401537

W, 8-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911522

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15201527

W, 8-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221508

L, 6-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15631493

W, 10-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-4
Adjusted team rating15201461

L, 9-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461551

L, 4-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261567

L, 8-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15671587

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros101-61
AngelsAngels80-8221.0
RangersRangers78-8423.0
MarinersMariners78-8423.0
AthleticsAthletics75-8726.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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