Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Brewers are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Chase Anderson
Chase Anderson55.4+25
Zach Davies
Zach Davies51.5+6
Brent Suter
Brent Suter49.8-1
Junior Guerra
Junior Guerra49.6-2
Aaron Wilkerson
Aaron Wilkerson48.4-8
Brandon Woodruff
Brandon Woodruff47.8-11

Completed games

W, 6-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901526

L, 7-6

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081553

W, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15281531

vs. Reds

W, 4-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311467

L, 6-0

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361452

W, 7-6

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15441457

vs. Cubs

L, 5-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15571560

W, 4-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311573

L, 5-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381545

L, 5-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15441561

L, 6-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011492

W, 1-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321503

W, 3-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15031496

W, 10-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101514

L, 7-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15251498

W, 10-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating14911512

W, 8-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471439

W, 5-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191502

L, 7-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15381463

at Cubs

W, 3-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151581

W, 15-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141556

W, 2-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating15081561

at Reds

L, 7-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701521

L, 9-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131484

L, 5-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15201475

W, 7-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151514

L, 3-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261604

W, 1-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331544

W, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981566
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15341575

W, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15431540

L, 10-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating14991518

W, 3-2

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981608
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031642

W, 3-0

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951612
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021612

L, 3-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961610
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+20
Adjusted team rating15201621

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751486

W, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051504

L, 2-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15021498

W, 8-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181528

W, 6-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931545

L, 8-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14771545

W, 7-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281501

W, 3-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15231491

vs. Reds

W, 7-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001455

W, 6-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141472

L, 11-10

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+180
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15331447

vs. Twins

L, 7-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241479

L, 4-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15121447

L, 11-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901502

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14971525

at Rays

L, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161547

W, 3-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011538

W, 2-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14831538

W, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101512

L, 5-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291493

W, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15361529

vs. Cubs

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221535

L, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231563

W, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating15191561

L, 15-2

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881625

L, 8-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121578

W, 8-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-58
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating14931521

L, 6-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051472

W, 9-8

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951472

L, 6-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating14911484

L, 4-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161547

L, 3-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961527

L, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121538

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15031515

L, 5-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121433
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251434

W, 3-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441452

W, 9-6

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+6
Adjusted team rating15351437

W, 5-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171561

L, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991558

W, 9-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15081562

at Cubs

W, 11-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14931552

W, 4-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081484

W, 6-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271481

W, 8-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15011479

L, 10-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321515

W, 8-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121471

W, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-140
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15011488

at Reds

W, 11-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931503

L, 4-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121493

L, 8-6

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating15141497

W, 7-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771509

L, 3-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751498

L, 5-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14931500

W, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321515

W, 4-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15391488

L, 7-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091484

L, 8-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15031489

vs. Padres

W, 2-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15161438

L, 7-5

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381426

W, 6-5

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15461440

W, 6-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921501

W, 7-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771527

W, 8-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891503

L, 6-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14741530

L, 11-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081561

L, 3-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271527

W, 8-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14901537

vs. Giants

L, 9-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101509

W, 6-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191487

W, 5-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261462

L, 7-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15551493

W, 3-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961570
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131554

L, 10-8

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971569
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061578

L, 2-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15121612

at Mets

W, 2-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001532

W, 7-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15291559

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911519

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14811498

W, 9-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071486

W, 6-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131545

L, 4-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15541497

L, 4-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15201511

L, 8-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151519

L, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+25-1
Adjusted team rating15171491

at Cubs

L, 13-6

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15091583

W, 6-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14871537

W, 4-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961452

W, 3-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861469

W, 6-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841456

L, 6-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating14981462

vs. Mets

W, 11-9

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081528

W, 11-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131484

W, 7-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14981506

L, 4-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-150
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981533

W, 7-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191498

W, 11-7

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011533

W, 6-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811493

L, 2-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671531

L, 4-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14641505

W, 5-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14971514

L, 2-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761539

W, 7-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14821520

vs. Braves

W, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861481

L, 11-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941462

L, 10-8

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15251472

vs. Reds

W, 9-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041461

W, 9-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031484

W, 11-7

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14831487

L, 6-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901504

L, 4-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151500

L, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091482

W, 7-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15051516

at Cubs

L, 7-4

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851566
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621608

L, 9-7

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751539

W, 6-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14871591

at Reds

W, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791495

L, 7-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821513

W, 10-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14551508

W, 5-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14581502

W, 2-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751537

W, 4-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14711551

vs. Cubs

L, 7-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001587

L, 11-6

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14781595

W, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-56
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14771515

L, 2-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981464

W, 6-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921489

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071511

L, 7-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15331489

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CubsCubs92-70
BrewersBrewers86-766.0
CardinalsCardinals83-799.0
PiratesPirates75-8717.0
RedsReds68-9424.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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