Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Brewers have a 29% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1512, up 4 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CubsCubs86-68>99%97%
BrewersBrewers82-734.529%<1%
CardinalsCardinals81-735.021%2%
RedsReds66-8920.5
PiratesPirates70-8516.5

Upcoming games

vs. Cubs

Anderson vs. Quintana

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15571560

vs. Reds

Davies vs. Davis

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15481435

Woodruff vs. Bailey

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371454

Suter vs. Romano

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361465

Anderson vs. Gant

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15311539

Wilkerson vs. Weaver

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931572

Davies vs. Martinez

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221569

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Chase Anderson
Chase Anderson54.7+21
Zach Davies
Zach Davies52.3+10
Brandon Woodruff
Brandon Woodruff50.6+1
Brent Suter
Brent Suter50.20
Jeremy Jeffress
Jeremy Jeffress46.8-16
Aaron Wilkerson
Aaron Wilkerson46.3-19

Completed games

vs. Cubs

W, 4-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311573

L, 5-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381545

L, 5-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15441561

L, 6-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011492

W, 1-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321503

W, 3-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15031496

W, 10-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101514

L, 7-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15251498

W, 10-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating14911512

W, 8-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471439

W, 5-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191502

L, 7-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15381463

at Cubs

W, 3-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151581

W, 15-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141556

W, 2-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating15081561

at Reds

L, 7-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701521

L, 9-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131484

L, 5-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15201475

W, 7-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151514

L, 3-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261604

W, 1-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331544

W, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981566
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15341575

W, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15431540

L, 10-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating14991518

W, 3-2

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981608
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031642

W, 3-0

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951612
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021612

L, 3-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961610
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+20
Adjusted team rating15201621

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751486

W, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051504

L, 2-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15021498

W, 8-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181528

W, 6-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931545

L, 8-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14771545

W, 7-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281501

W, 3-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15231491

vs. Reds

W, 7-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001455

W, 6-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141472

L, 11-10

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+180
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15331447

vs. Twins

L, 7-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241479

L, 4-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15121447

L, 11-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901502

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14971525

at Rays

L, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161547

W, 3-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011538

W, 2-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14831538

W, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101512

L, 5-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291493

W, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15361529

vs. Cubs

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221535

L, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231563

W, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating15191561

L, 15-2

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881625

L, 8-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121578

W, 8-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-58
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating14931521

L, 6-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051472

W, 9-8

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951472

L, 6-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating14911484

L, 4-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161547

L, 3-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961527

L, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121538

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15031515

L, 5-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121433
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251434

W, 3-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441452

W, 9-6

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+6
Adjusted team rating15351437

W, 5-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171561

L, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991558

W, 9-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15081562

at Cubs

W, 11-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14931552

W, 4-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081484

W, 6-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271481

W, 8-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15011479

L, 10-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321515

W, 8-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121471

W, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-140
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15011488

at Reds

W, 11-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931503

L, 4-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121493

L, 8-6

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating15141497

W, 7-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771509

L, 3-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751498

L, 5-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14931500

W, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321515

W, 4-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15391488

L, 7-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091484

L, 8-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15031489

vs. Padres

W, 2-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15161438

L, 7-5

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381426

W, 6-5

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15461440

W, 6-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921501

W, 7-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771527

W, 8-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891503

L, 6-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14741530

L, 11-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081561

L, 3-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271527

W, 8-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14901537

vs. Giants

L, 9-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101509

W, 6-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191487

W, 5-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261462

L, 7-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15551493

W, 3-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961570
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131554

L, 10-8

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971569
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061578

L, 2-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15121612

at Mets

W, 2-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001532

W, 7-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15291559

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911519

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14811498

W, 9-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071486

W, 6-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131545

L, 4-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15541497

L, 4-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15201511

L, 8-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151519

L, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+25-1
Adjusted team rating15171491

at Cubs

L, 13-6

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15091583

W, 6-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14871537

W, 4-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961452

W, 3-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861469

W, 6-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841456

L, 6-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating14981462

vs. Mets

W, 11-9

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081528

W, 11-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131484

W, 7-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14981506

L, 4-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-150
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981533

W, 7-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191498

W, 11-7

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011533

W, 6-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811493

L, 2-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671531

L, 4-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14641505

W, 5-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14971514

L, 2-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761539

W, 7-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14821520

vs. Braves

W, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861481

L, 11-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941462

L, 10-8

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15251472

vs. Reds

W, 9-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041461

W, 9-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031484

W, 11-7

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14831487

L, 6-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901504

L, 4-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151500

L, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091482

W, 7-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15051516

at Cubs

L, 7-4

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851566
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621608

L, 9-7

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751539

W, 6-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14871591

at Reds

W, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791495

L, 7-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821513

W, 10-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14551508

W, 5-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14581502

W, 2-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751537

W, 4-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14711551

vs. Cubs

L, 7-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001587

L, 11-6

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14781595

W, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-56
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14771515

L, 2-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981464

W, 6-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921489

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071511

L, 7-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15331489

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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