Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Reds have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1453, down 7 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CubsCubs86-68>99%97%
BrewersBrewers82-734.529%<1%
CardinalsCardinals81-735.021%2%
RedsReds66-8920.5
PiratesPirates70-8516.5

Upcoming games

Stephens vs. Fister

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761537

Davis vs. Davies

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14351548

Bailey vs. Woodruff

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541537

Romano vs. Suter

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+120
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651536

at Cubs

Stephenson vs. Quintana

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14631582

Stephens vs. Lester

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14521564

Davis vs. Arrieta

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14351588

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Sal Romano
Sal Romano48.7+12
Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle48.7+12
Robert Stephenson
Robert Stephenson48.5+11
Homer Bailey
Homer Bailey46.4+1
Jackson Stephens
Jackson Stephens46.0-1
Rookie Davis
Rookie Davis42.5-18
Amir Garrett
Amir Garrett38.8-35

Completed games

L, 5-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911556

L, 5-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981540

L, 8-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851545

L, 9-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721542

L, 8-7

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating14921503

W, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861494

W, 2-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911470

W, 4-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating14791487

L, 5-2

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14231563

W, 6-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621537

L, 13-4

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14651570

at Mets

W, 10-5

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14601536

L, 6-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571497

L, 5-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14231506

L, 7-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+120
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14691497

W, 7-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+40-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211470

W, 9-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14841513

W, 5-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating14751520

L, 3-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631509

L, 5-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651503

W, 7-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14941520

vs. Mets

W, 7-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14781524

L, 2-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761467

W, 14-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating14831470

L, 5-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14841487

L, 1-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141494

W, 9-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14771488

vs. Cubs

W, 4-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761564

L, 9-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14691528

L, 13-9

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741537

L, 8-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951495

W, 11-8

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14561500

W, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14491506

at Cubs

W, 13-10

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14661580

L, 7-6

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471556

W, 2-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781586

L, 15-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+20
Adjusted team rating14531569

L, 7-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14551500

L, 6-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721514

W, 11-10

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14471533

vs. Padres

W, 10-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031467

W, 8-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721454

L, 7-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801443

W, 11-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14691472

L, 13-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14781504

L, 4-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051519

W, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating14651501

L, 6-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+90
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581514

W, 5-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14401522

W, 9-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14471533

W, 6-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14391498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14661540

L, 7-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501529

L, 7-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541520

L, 4-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14401518

L, 9-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14561572

L, 4-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14721551

L, 6-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14561544

W, 6-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731470

L, 5-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751492

L, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14841486

L, 12-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051489

W, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861548

L, 11-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911528

L, 6-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101563

L, 14-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011520

L, 10-7

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+53
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101603

L, 5-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+29+7
Adjusted team rating15051553

W, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781513

W, 7-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731551

L, 6-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14711573

W, 6-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641536

L, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901545

W, 8-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691522

L, 5-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14691528

vs. Cubs

L, 6-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991543

W, 5-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941510

W, 5-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15031529

L, 11-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031493

W, 4-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931512

W, 8-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating14971514

L, 8-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14841495

W, 6-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761559

L, 18-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871547

L, 6-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating14711590

at Rays

L, 8-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831525

L, 6-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14421531

W, 7-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+170
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14751533

L, 8-7

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751557

L, 10-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651570
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931539

L, 3-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15061574

L, 4-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691433
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14441466

L, 6-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721430
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921456

L, 9-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751426
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14691453

L, 9-7

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941564

L, 5-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811596

L, 7-2

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791565
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+26
Adjusted team rating14481597

W, 5-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131503

W, 6-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951504

W, 13-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071499

W, 4-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14951528

vs. Braves

L, 13-8

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851479

L, 6-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121459

W, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14891466

L, 5-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841504

L, 6-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791559

L, 17-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14721543

W, 8-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921458

L, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701485

W, 5-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781478

W, 4-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14691553

L, 8-7

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961574

W, 5-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15071530

L, 6-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961495

W, 12-8

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981505

L, 12-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14981510

at Cubs

L, 9-5

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791602

L, 7-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891605

L, 9-5

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14751581

L, 8-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861513

L, 3-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781502

L, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951531

W, 3-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating14791487

W, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101531

L, 10-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14891552

vs. Giants

W, 4-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081513

W, 14-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001485

W, 13-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14951472

W, 4-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981518

W, 7-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14681522

L, 12-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041464

W, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14881502

W, 5-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14721537

L, 7-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791533

L, 9-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611504

L, 9-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841503

L, 11-7

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14871483

vs. Cubs

W, 7-5

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751569
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931569

L, 12-8

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14681584

L, 6-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051600

L, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051503

L, 2-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111499

W, 9-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating14981524

L, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951479

W, 7-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131482

L, 10-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081455

L, 5-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15021458

W, 9-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801530

W, 6-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621550

W, 7-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14831514

W, 8-0

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14661554

L, 10-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731511

W, 2-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14591519

W, 7-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811463

W, 2-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14981478

L, 4-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14911468

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

Comments