Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Reds are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Sal Romano
Sal Romano48.7+10
Robert Stephenson
Robert Stephenson48.7+10
Deck McGuire
Deck McGuire47.6+4
Homer Bailey
Homer Bailey47.5+4
Jackson Stephens
Jackson Stephens46.9+1

Completed games

at Cubs

W, 3-1

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471574

L, 9-0

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581574

L, 5-4

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14641598

L, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671531

W, 6-0

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14521536

L, 7-6

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14571544

L, 5-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761537

L, 5-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911556

L, 5-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981540

L, 8-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851545

L, 9-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721542

L, 8-7

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating14921503

W, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861494

W, 2-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911470

W, 4-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating14791487

L, 5-2

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14231563

W, 6-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621537

L, 13-4

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14651570

at Mets

W, 10-5

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14601536

L, 6-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571497

L, 5-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14231506

L, 7-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+120
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14691497

W, 7-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+40-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211470

W, 9-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14841513

W, 5-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating14751520

L, 3-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631509

L, 5-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651503

W, 7-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14941520

vs. Mets

W, 7-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14781524

L, 2-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761467

W, 14-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating14831470

L, 5-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14841487

L, 1-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141494

W, 9-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14771488

vs. Cubs

W, 4-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761564

L, 9-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14691528

L, 13-9

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741537

L, 8-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951495

W, 11-8

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14561500

W, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14491506

at Cubs

W, 13-10

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14661580

L, 7-6

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471556

W, 2-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781586

L, 15-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+20
Adjusted team rating14531569

L, 7-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14551500

L, 6-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721514

W, 11-10

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14471533

vs. Padres

W, 10-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031467

W, 8-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721454

L, 7-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801443

W, 11-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14691472

L, 13-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14781504

L, 4-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051519

W, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating14651501

L, 6-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+90
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581514

W, 5-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14401522

W, 9-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14471533

W, 6-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14391498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14661540

L, 7-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501529

L, 7-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541520

L, 4-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14401518

L, 9-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14561572

L, 4-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14721551

L, 6-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14561544

W, 6-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731470

L, 5-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751492

L, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14841486

L, 12-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051489

W, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861548

L, 11-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911528

L, 6-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101563

L, 14-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011520

L, 10-7

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+53
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101603

L, 5-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+29+7
Adjusted team rating15051553

W, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781513

W, 7-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731551

L, 6-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14711573

W, 6-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641536

L, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901545

W, 8-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691522

L, 5-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14691528

vs. Cubs

L, 6-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991543

W, 5-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941510

W, 5-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15031529

L, 11-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031493

W, 4-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931512

W, 8-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating14971514

L, 8-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14841495

W, 6-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761559

L, 18-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871547

L, 6-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating14711590

at Rays

L, 8-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831525

L, 6-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14421531

W, 7-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+170
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14751533

L, 8-7

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751557

L, 10-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651570
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931539

L, 3-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15061574

L, 4-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691433
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14441466

L, 6-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721430
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921456

L, 9-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751426
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14691453

L, 9-7

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941564

L, 5-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811596

L, 7-2

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791565
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+26
Adjusted team rating14481597

W, 5-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131503

W, 6-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951504

W, 13-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071499

W, 4-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14951528

vs. Braves

L, 13-8

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851479

L, 6-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121459

W, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14891466

L, 5-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841504

L, 6-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791559

L, 17-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14721543

W, 8-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921458

L, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701485

W, 5-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781478

W, 4-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14691553

L, 8-7

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961574

W, 5-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15071530

L, 6-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961495

W, 12-8

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981505

L, 12-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14981510

at Cubs

L, 9-5

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791602

L, 7-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891605

L, 9-5

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14751581

L, 8-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861513

L, 3-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781502

L, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951531

W, 3-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating14791487

W, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101531

L, 10-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14891552

vs. Giants

W, 4-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081513

W, 14-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001485

W, 13-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14951472

W, 4-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981518

W, 7-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14681522

L, 12-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041464

W, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14881502

W, 5-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14721537

L, 7-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791533

L, 9-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611504

L, 9-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841503

L, 11-7

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14871483

vs. Cubs

W, 7-5

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751569
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931569

L, 12-8

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14681584

L, 6-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051600

L, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051503

L, 2-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111499

W, 9-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating14981524

L, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951479

W, 7-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131482

L, 10-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081455

L, 5-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15021458

W, 9-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801530

W, 6-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621550

W, 7-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14831514

W, 8-0

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14661554

L, 10-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731511

W, 2-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14591519

W, 7-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811463

W, 2-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14981478

L, 4-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14911468

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CubsCubs92-70
BrewersBrewers86-766.0
CardinalsCardinals83-799.0
PiratesPirates75-8717.0
RedsReds68-9424.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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