Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cardinals are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Carlos Martinez
Carlos Martinez52.9+20
Lance Lynn
Lance Lynn50.1+6
Luke Weaver
Luke Weaver50.0+6
Michael Wacha
Michael Wacha49.1+2
John Gant
John Gant45.7-14
Jack Flaherty
Jack Flaherty45.2-17

Completed games

L, 6-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261490

W, 7-6

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+120
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15531508

L, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15311528

vs. Cubs

L, 2-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471579

L, 5-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461547

W, 8-7

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641569

L, 10-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15671539

L, 4-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-130
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151498

L, 11-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15411511

W, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15221494

at Reds

W, 8-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15451485

W, 9-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15421472

W, 8-7

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating15031492

at Cubs

L, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15371583

L, 4-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211590

L, 8-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15491564

vs. Reds

W, 5-2

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15631423

L, 6-0

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15331454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371462

W, 13-4

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15701465

W, 7-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15391475

W, 4-3

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15731490

W, 4-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15531488

L, 3-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15461470

W, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071507

W, 8-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141474

W, 2-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15371480

W, 7-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15251525

L, 2-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15361498

W, 11-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081495

W, 5-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+22
Adjusted team rating15021453

L, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15401543

W, 10-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating15181499

vs. Rays

L, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15541519

W, 6-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201497

L, 7-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15351476

vs. Padres

L, 4-3

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641446

W, 6-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341474

L, 12-4

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15611437

L, 6-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121513

L, 6-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261511

W, 11-10

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471520

W, 11-7

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15131515

L, 5-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15351575

L, 10-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15151561

vs. Braves

L, 6-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15541482

W, 6-5

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15721473

W, 8-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15401482

vs. Royals

W, 8-6

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611502

W, 8-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15371477

W, 10-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191535

W, 11-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15291536

at Reds

W, 13-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041478

W, 4-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191505

L, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15011465

L, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121510

W, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931529

L, 3-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating15291536

W, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461524

L, 7-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311548

W, 1-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321532

L, 4-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15231518

W, 10-5

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15571504

W, 3-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15431518

W, 8-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15191507

at Cubs

L, 5-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081584

L, 3-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011576

W, 11-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating15281578

at Mets

L, 3-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151519

L, 7-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071550

W, 5-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971498

W, 6-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14951516

L, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15301522

W, 4-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081547

L, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+6+31
Adjusted team rating15121530

vs. Mets

W, 6-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271527

W, 4-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141491

L, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24+2
Adjusted team rating15571532

W, 4-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131472

L, 9-6

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371496

L, 5-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291493

W, 14-6

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15141477

L, 7-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34+52
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15631600

W, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071547

W, 8-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15261524

W, 10-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951521

W, 4-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811556

L, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+360
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15291559

vs. Reds

W, 8-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14951484

W, 8-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241488

L, 7-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221499

L, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating14991511

L, 5-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981425
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+40+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15381454

W, 7-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971427
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-200
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771451

W, 8-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941430
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+26
Adjusted team rating15001455

L, 8-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081508

L, 15-7

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891510

W, 11-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15271506

L, 6-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011492

L, 7-6

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271477

L, 8-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031489

W, 6-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15301474

W, 6-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981437
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101445

W, 7-0

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961439
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471430

W, 3-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating14941444

at Reds

L, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031513

L, 6-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041495

L, 13-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991507

L, 4-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15281495

at Cubs

L, 7-6

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891593

L, 5-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131591

L, 3-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15081561

W, 2-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071570
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211564

W, 2-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061571
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501540

L, 9-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081569
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181555

L, 5-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111566
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-4
Adjusted team rating15391571

L, 8-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161537

W, 3-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941526

L, 10-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating15301526

L, 7-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091569

W, 6-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171599

L, 2-1

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+51
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15121637

vs. Giants

W, 8-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191468

L, 3-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521496

L, 6-5

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15351483

L, 5-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471537

L, 6-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15481532

vs. Cubs

W, 5-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221560

W, 5-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551583

L, 3-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15461505

W, 7-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221506

W, 6-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931534

W, 9-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15231520

W, 6-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991490

W, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111512

W, 10-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15051503

L, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15141497

W, 2-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15391476

L, 7-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15201482

vs. Reds

L, 5-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15371472

W, 7-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331479

W, 6-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141470

W, 8-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15411479

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15161522

W, 6-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041490

W, 4-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001515

W, 6-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-130
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821509

L, 7-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating15161505

W, 2-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091499

W, 2-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221501

W, 2-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15131506

L, 9-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871548

L, 3-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201547

L, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901554

W, 6-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921602

L, 8-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991550

L, 14-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14921563

vs. Reds

L, 8-0

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15541466

W, 10-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111473

L, 2-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15191459

vs. Cubs

L, 6-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15331574

L, 2-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061571
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15281586

W, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15521599

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CubsCubs92-70
BrewersBrewers86-766.0
CardinalsCardinals83-799.0
PiratesPirates75-8717.0
RedsReds68-9424.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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