Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Padres have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1460, up 9 points from last week.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers98-57
DbacksDiamondbacks89-669.0>99%
RockiesRockies83-7215.051%
GiantsGiants61-9437.0
PadresPadres70-8528.0

Upcoming games

Perdomo vs. Marquez

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801503

Wood vs. Darvish

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14261589

Lamet vs. Wood

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851589

Richard vs. Hill

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621597

Lyles vs. Bumgarner

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14511516

Chacin vs. Stratton

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831489

Perdomo vs. Cueto

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14561494

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Dinelson Lamet
Dinelson Lamet50.9+25
Jhoulys Chacin
Jhoulys Chacin50.7+23
Clayton Richard
Clayton Richard46.2+2
Luis Perdomo
Luis Perdomo44.9-4
Jordan Lyles
Jordan Lyles43.7-9
Travis Wood
Travis Wood38.8-33

Completed games

W, 5-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001501

L, 4-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751526

W, 3-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14791516

L, 13-7

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141556

W, 6-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14431549

W, 4-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating14711522

W, 4-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711555

L, 16-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14521541

L, 6-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating14521527

L, 3-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861552

L, 16-0

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14391528

L, 3-2

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14591581

W, 8-7

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+190
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801569

W, 10-6

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14521559

W, 3-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701546

L, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071507

L, 8-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741514

L, 2-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14801537

W, 6-4

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581593
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991602

W, 7-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531597
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741608

W, 6-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14661552

L, 1-0

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+52
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15011649

vs. Giants

W, 5-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14661454

W, 6-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14661461

L, 3-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating14861472

L, 6-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14421550

L, 2-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731527

L, 8-6

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14511533

W, 4-3

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14461564

L, 6-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741534

W, 12-4

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating14371561

L, 4-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951571

W, 3-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631572

L, 7-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14691528

L, 2-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating14941502

W, 3-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14591429

W, 8-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931442

W, 7-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-4
Adjusted team rating14651450

L, 6-4

26%

74%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451606
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14431620

L, 6-3

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461605
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14661609

W, 4-3

23%

77%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441608
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+22
Adjusted team rating14251635

at Reds

L, 10-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671503

L, 8-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541472

W, 7-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14431480

L, 11-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14721469

L, 5-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14351520

W, 5-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611531

L, 10-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14571524

vs. Twins

L, 5-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751495

W, 3-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating14971473

L, 7-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631505

W, 4-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14821508

W, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14781498

vs. Mets

W, 7-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731497

W, 6-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901512

L, 6-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14831504

L, 5-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-4
Adjusted team rating14561528

W, 5-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14511491

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14491480

W, 12-9

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581506

W, 5-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14561541

L, 18-4

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14381540

L, 9-7

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501529

L, 9-6

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating14481529

vs. Giants

W, 7-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14771492

W, 5-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14831523

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+29+7
Adjusted team rating14661495

L, 7-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461432
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14561460

W, 2-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14591472

W, 4-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14341454

L, 11-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571538

W, 6-2

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14441561

W, 1-0

27%

73%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+25
Adjusted team rating14461624

W, 5-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14371590
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731579

L, 8-0

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401588
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-170
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14471588

L, 10-4

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411586
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14641596

vs. Braves

W, 6-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631477

W, 7-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14641453

L, 3-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating14741484

vs. Tigers

L, 7-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14681469

W, 7-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14371492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14571477

W, 1-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14581521

at Cubs

W, 3-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14331546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14341533

L, 4-0

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14441549

L, 3-2

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14391590

L, 2-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14381516

W, 7-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14261538

L, 6-5

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14401546

vs. Reds

W, 4-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14331469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14661444

W, 6-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14301472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14561492

W, 9-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14261475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14531469

vs. Royals

L, 8-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14291472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14551447

L, 12-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14331469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14671471

W, 6-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14301471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14591458

L, 15-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14361497

L, 7-4

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14421564

L, 10-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating14521549

L, 3-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14571498

L, 10-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731510

W, 8-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality00
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating14671509

vs. Cubs

W, 2-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14391545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631553

W, 6-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731509

W, 5-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14321551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-1
Adjusted team rating14471578

W, 5-3

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14301553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14361559

L, 3-0

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14311552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14321594

L, 5-1

27%

73%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14321551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14291607

at Mets

W, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14301503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14391495

W, 6-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14281505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14261498

L, 9-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14311502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14431518

W, 5-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14281510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14461495

L, 9-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14311507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14621506

L, 10-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14421506

L, 4-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14521496

L, 3-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14691486

L, 6-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14561484

W, 6-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-4
Adjusted team rating14621498

L, 9-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14221527

L, 5-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14481466

W, 6-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14391480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14441522

L, 5-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14291519

L, 4-3

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14431560

L, 11-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14581495

W, 5-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating14721463

L, 10-2

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14601602

L, 8-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24+1
Adjusted team rating14801535

L, 3-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741482

L, 11-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741493

W, 6-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14711493

W, 5-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14361508

W, 12-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501501

L, 4-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14391519

L, 6-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471526

W, 8-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14401501

L, 9-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14381503

L, 7-6

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14531544

L, 7-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14681495

L, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731517

W, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14641518

W, 4-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14601474

W, 1-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741518

L, 11-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-1
Adjusted team rating14621485

L, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14511483

L, 9-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14451498

L, 4-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14481494

L, 5-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating14621524

W, 6-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14491498

L, 3-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501494

W, 5-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14391509

vs. Giants

L, 5-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751540

W, 2-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801549

W, 7-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating14751481

L, 10-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14521560

L, 3-1

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14451595

W, 4-0

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14421568

L, 14-3

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14631630

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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