Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Padres are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Jhoulys Chacin
Jhoulys Chacin51.0+28
Dinelson Lamet
Dinelson Lamet50.3+24
Clayton Richard
Clayton Richard45.10
Luis Perdomo
Luis Perdomo44.9-1
Jordan Lyles
Jordan Lyles42.5-12
Travis Wood
Travis Wood38.0-34

Completed games

L, 5-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471500

W, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751458

L, 8-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14441485

L, 10-0

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571600

L, 9-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821589

L, 9-3

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14241590

L, 8-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801503

W, 5-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001501

L, 4-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751526

W, 3-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14791516

L, 13-7

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141556

W, 6-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14431549

W, 4-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating14711522

W, 4-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711555

L, 16-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14521541

L, 6-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating14521527

L, 3-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861552

L, 16-0

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14391528

L, 3-2

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14591581

W, 8-7

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+190
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801569

W, 10-6

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14521559

W, 3-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701546

L, 3-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071507

L, 8-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741514

L, 2-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14801537

W, 6-4

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581593
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991602

W, 7-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531597
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741608

W, 6-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14661552

L, 1-0

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+52
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15011649

vs. Giants

W, 5-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14661454

W, 6-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14661461

L, 3-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating14861472

L, 6-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14421550

L, 2-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731527

L, 8-6

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14511533

W, 4-3

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14461564

L, 6-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741534

W, 12-4

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating14371561

L, 4-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951571

W, 3-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631572

L, 7-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14691528

L, 2-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating14941502

W, 3-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14591429

W, 8-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931442

W, 7-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-4
Adjusted team rating14651450

L, 6-4

26%

74%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451606
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14431620

L, 6-3

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461605
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14661609

W, 4-3

23%

77%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441608
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+22
Adjusted team rating14251635

at Reds

L, 10-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671503

L, 8-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541472

W, 7-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14431480

L, 11-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14721469

L, 5-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14351520

W, 5-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611531

L, 10-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14571524

vs. Twins

L, 5-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751495

W, 3-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating14971473

L, 7-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631505

W, 4-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14821508

W, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14781498

vs. Mets

W, 7-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731497

W, 6-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901512

L, 6-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14831504

L, 5-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-4
Adjusted team rating14561528

W, 5-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14511491

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14491480

W, 12-9

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581506

W, 5-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14561541

L, 18-4

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14381540

L, 9-7

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501529

L, 9-6

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating14481529

vs. Giants

W, 7-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14771492

W, 5-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14831523

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+29+7
Adjusted team rating14661495

L, 7-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461432
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14561460

W, 2-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14591472

W, 4-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14341454

L, 11-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571538

W, 6-2

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14441561

W, 1-0

27%

73%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+25
Adjusted team rating14461624

W, 5-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14371590
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731579

L, 8-0

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401588
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-170
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14471588

L, 10-4

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411586
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14641596

vs. Braves

W, 6-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631477

W, 7-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14641453

L, 3-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating14741484

vs. Tigers

L, 7-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14681469

W, 7-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14371492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14571477

W, 1-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14581521

at Cubs

W, 3-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14331546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14341533

L, 4-0

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14441549

L, 3-2

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14391590

L, 2-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14381516

W, 7-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14261538

L, 6-5

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14401546

vs. Reds

W, 4-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14331469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14661444

W, 6-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14301472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14561492

W, 9-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14261475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14531469

vs. Royals

L, 8-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14291472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14551447

L, 12-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14331469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14671471

W, 6-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14301471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14591458

L, 15-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14361497

L, 7-4

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14421564

L, 10-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating14521549

L, 3-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14571498

L, 10-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731510

W, 8-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality00
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating14671509

vs. Cubs

W, 2-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14391545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631553

W, 6-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731509

W, 5-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14321551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-1
Adjusted team rating14471578

W, 5-3

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14301553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14361559

L, 3-0

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14311552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14321594

L, 5-1

27%

73%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14321551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14291607

at Mets

W, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14301503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14391495

W, 6-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14281505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14261498

L, 9-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14311502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14431518

W, 5-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14281510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14461495

L, 9-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14311507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14621506

L, 10-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14421506

L, 4-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14521496

L, 3-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14691486

L, 6-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14561484

W, 6-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-4
Adjusted team rating14621498

L, 9-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14221527

L, 5-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14481466

W, 6-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14391480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14441522

L, 5-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14291519

L, 4-3

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14431560

L, 11-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14581495

W, 5-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating14721463

L, 10-2

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+49
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14601602

L, 8-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24+1
Adjusted team rating14801535

L, 3-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741482

L, 11-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741493

W, 6-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14711493

W, 5-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14361508

W, 12-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501501

L, 4-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14391519

L, 6-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471526

W, 8-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14401501

L, 9-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14381503

L, 7-6

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14531544

L, 7-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14681495

L, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731517

W, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14641518

W, 4-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14601474

W, 1-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741518

L, 11-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-1
Adjusted team rating14621485

L, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14511483

L, 9-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14451498

L, 4-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14481494

L, 5-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating14621524

W, 6-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14491498

L, 3-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501494

W, 5-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14391509

vs. Giants

L, 5-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751540

W, 2-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801549

W, 7-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating14751481

L, 10-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14521560

L, 3-1

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14451595

W, 4-0

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14421568

L, 14-3

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14631630

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers104-58
DbacksDiamondbacks93-6911.0
RockiesRockies87-7517.0
PadresPadres71-9133.0
GiantsGiants64-9840.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

Comments