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The Cardinals are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Carlos Martinez | 52.9 | +20 |
 | Lance Lynn | 50.1 | +6 |
 | Luke Weaver | 50.0 | +6 |
 | Michael Wacha | 49.1 | +2 |
 | John Gant | 45.7 | -14 |
 | Jack Flaherty | 45.2 | -17 |
Completed games
L, 6-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1490 |
W, 7-6
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1508 |
L, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1528 |
L, 2-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1579 |
L, 5-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1547 |
W, 8-7
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1569 |
L, 10-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1567 | 1539 |
L, 4-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1498 |
L, 11-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1511 |
W, 4-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1494 |
W, 8-5
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1485 |
W, 9-2
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1472 |
W, 8-7
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1463 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1492 |
L, 4-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1583 |
L, 4-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1590 |
L, 8-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1564 |
W, 5-2
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1423 |
L, 6-0
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1462 |
W, 13-4
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1570 | 1465 |
W, 7-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1475 |
W, 4-3
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1573 | 1490 |
W, 4-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1488 |
L, 3-0
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1470 |
W, 3-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1507 |
W, 8-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1474 |
W, 2-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1480 |
W, 7-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1462 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1525 |
L, 2-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1498 |
W, 11-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1463 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1495 |
W, 5-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1453 |
L, 6-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1543 |
W, 10-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1499 |
L, 3-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1519 |
W, 6-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1497 |
L, 7-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1476 |
L, 4-3
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1446 |
W, 6-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1474 |
L, 12-4
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1437 |
L, 6-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1513 |
L, 6-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1511 |
W, 11-10
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1520 |
W, 11-7
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1515 |
L, 5-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1575 |
L, 10-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1561 |
L, 6-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1482 |
W, 6-5
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1473 |
W, 8-5
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1482 |
W, 8-6
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1502 |
W, 8-5
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1477 |
W, 10-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1535 |
W, 11-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1536 |
W, 13-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1478 |
W, 4-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1505 |
L, 3-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1465 |
L, 2-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1510 |
W, 5-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1529 |
L, 3-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1536 |
W, 3-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1524 |
L, 7-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1548 |
W, 1-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1532 |
L, 4-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1518 |
W, 10-5
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1504 |
W, 3-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1518 |
W, 8-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1507 |
L, 5-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1584 |
L, 3-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1576 |
W, 11-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1578 |
L, 3-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1519 |
L, 7-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1550 |
W, 5-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1498 |
W, 6-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1516 |
L, 4-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1522 |
W, 4-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1547 |
L, 5-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +6 | +31 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1530 |
W, 6-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1527 |
W, 4-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1491 |
L, 6-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1532 |
W, 4-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1472 |
L, 9-6
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1496 |
L, 5-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1493 |
W, 14-6
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1477 |
L, 7-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +34 | +52 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1600 |
W, 2-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1547 |
W, 8-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1524 |
W, 10-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1534 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1521 |
W, 4-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1556 |
L, 6-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +36 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1559 |
W, 8-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1484 |
W, 8-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1488 |
L, 7-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1499 |
L, 4-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1511 |
L, 5-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1425 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +40 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1454 |
W, 7-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1427 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1451 |
W, 8-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1430 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1455 |
L, 8-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1508 |
L, 15-7
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1510 |
W, 11-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +34 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1506 |
L, 6-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1492 |
L, 7-6
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1477 |
L, 8-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1489 |
W, 6-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1474 |
W, 6-5
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1437 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1445 |
W, 7-0
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1439 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1430 |
W, 3-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1440 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1444 |
L, 5-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1513 |
L, 6-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1495 |
L, 13-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1507 |
L, 4-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1495 |
L, 7-6
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1593 |
L, 5-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1591 |
L, 3-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1561 |
W, 2-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1570 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1564 |
W, 2-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1571 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1540 |
L, 9-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1569 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1555 |
L, 5-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1566 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1571 |
L, 8-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1537 |
W, 3-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1526 |
L, 10-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1526 |
L, 7-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1569 |
W, 6-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1599 |
L, 2-1
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +51 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1637 |
W, 8-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1468 |
L, 3-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1496 |
L, 6-5
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1483 |
L, 5-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1532 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1537 |
L, 6-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1532 |
W, 5-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1560 |
W, 5-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1583 |
L, 3-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -50 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1505 |
W, 7-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1506 |
W, 6-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1534 |
W, 9-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1520 |
W, 6-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1490 |
W, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1512 |
W, 10-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1503 |
L, 5-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1497 |
W, 2-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1476 |
L, 7-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1482 |
L, 5-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1472 |
W, 7-5
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1479 |
W, 6-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1470 |
W, 8-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1479 |
L, 6-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1522 |
W, 6-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1490 |
W, 4-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1515 |
W, 6-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1509 |
L, 7-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1505 |
W, 2-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1499 |
W, 2-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1501 |
W, 2-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1506 |
L, 9-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1548 |
L, 3-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1547 |
L, 4-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1554 |
W, 6-1
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1602 |
L, 8-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1550 |
L, 14-6
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1563 |
L, 8-0
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1466 |
W, 10-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1473 |
L, 2-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1459 |
L, 6-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1574 |
L, 2-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1571 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1586 |
W, 4-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1599 |
NL Central standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | CubsCubs92-70 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | BrewersBrewers86-76 | 6.0 | — | — | ||
 | CardinalsCardinals83-79 | 9.0 | — | — | ||
 | PiratesPirates75-87 | 17.0 | — | — | ||
 | RedsReds68-94 | 24.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments