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The Padres are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Jhoulys Chacin | 51.0 | +28 |
 | Dinelson Lamet | 50.3 | +24 |
 | Clayton Richard | 45.1 | 0 |
 | Luis Perdomo | 44.9 | -1 |
 | Jordan Lyles | 42.5 | -12 |
 | Travis Wood | 38.0 | -34 |
Completed games
L, 5-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1500 |
W, 3-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1458 |
L, 8-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1463 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1444 | 1485 |
L, 10-0
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1600 |
L, 9-2
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1589 |
L, 9-3
28%
72%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -32 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1424 | 1590 |
L, 8-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1503 |
W, 5-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1501 |
L, 4-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1526 |
W, 3-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1516 |
L, 13-7
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1556 |
W, 6-2
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -36 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1443 | 1549 |
W, 4-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1522 |
W, 4-3
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1555 |
L, 16-0
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1452 | 1541 |
L, 6-1
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1452 | 1527 |
L, 3-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1552 |
L, 16-0
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1462 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1439 | 1528 |
L, 3-2
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1459 | 1581 |
W, 8-7
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1569 |
W, 10-6
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1452 | 1559 |
W, 3-0
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1546 |
L, 3-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1507 |
L, 8-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1514 |
L, 2-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1537 |
W, 6-4
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1593 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1602 |
W, 7-2
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1597 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1608 |
W, 6-5
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1599 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -47 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1552 |
L, 1-0
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1599 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +52 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1649 |
W, 5-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1454 |
W, 6-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1461 |
L, 3-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1472 |
L, 6-2
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1442 | 1550 |
L, 2-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1527 |
L, 8-6
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1454 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1451 | 1533 |
W, 4-3
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1446 | 1564 |
L, 6-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1454 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1534 |
W, 12-4
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1437 | 1561 |
L, 4-1
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1571 |
W, 3-1
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1572 |
L, 7-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1528 |
L, 2-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -50 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1502 |
W, 3-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1459 | 1429 |
W, 8-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1442 |
W, 7-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1450 |
L, 6-4
26%
74%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1606 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1443 | 1620 |
L, 6-3
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1605 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1609 |
W, 4-3
23%
77%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1444 | 1608 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1425 | 1635 |
L, 10-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1503 |
L, 8-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1443 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1472 |
W, 7-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1443 | 1480 |
L, 11-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1442 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1469 |
L, 5-4
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1435 | 1520 |
W, 5-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1531 |
L, 10-6
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1524 |
L, 5-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1495 |
W, 3-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1473 |
L, 7-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1454 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1505 |
W, 4-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1508 |
W, 3-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1498 |
W, 7-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1497 |
W, 6-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1512 |
L, 6-5
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1504 |
L, 5-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1456 | 1528 |
W, 5-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1451 | 1491 |
L, 5-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1449 | 1480 |
W, 12-9
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1444 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1506 |
W, 5-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1441 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +44 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1456 | 1541 |
L, 18-4
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1438 | 1540 |
L, 9-7
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1450 | 1529 |
L, 9-6
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1448 | 1529 |
W, 7-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1444 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1492 |
W, 5-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1442 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +46 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1523 |
L, 5-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1443 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +29 | +7 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1495 |
L, 7-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1432 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1456 | 1460 |
W, 2-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1434 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1459 | 1472 |
W, 4-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1443 | 1435 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1434 | 1454 |
L, 11-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1538 |
W, 6-2
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1442 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1444 | 1561 |
W, 1-0
27%
73%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1440 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +25 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1446 | 1624 |
W, 5-3
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1437 | 1590 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1579 |
L, 8-0
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1440 | 1588 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1588 |
L, 10-4
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1441 | 1586 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1596 |
W, 6-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1438 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1477 |
W, 7-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1436 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1453 |
L, 3-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1438 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1484 |
L, 7-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1440 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1469 |
W, 7-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1437 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1477 |
W, 1-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1435 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1521 |
W, 3-2
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1433 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1434 | 1533 |
L, 4-0
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1435 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1444 | 1549 |
L, 3-2
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1435 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1439 | 1590 |
L, 2-1
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1436 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1438 | 1516 |
W, 7-5
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1434 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1426 | 1538 |
L, 6-5
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1435 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1440 | 1546 |
W, 4-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1433 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1444 |
W, 6-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1430 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1456 | 1492 |
W, 9-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1426 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1453 | 1469 |
L, 8-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1429 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1455 | 1447 |
L, 12-6
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1433 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1471 |
W, 6-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1430 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1459 | 1458 |
L, 15-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1434 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -40 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1436 | 1497 |
L, 7-4
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1436 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1442 | 1564 |
L, 10-2
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1438 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1452 | 1549 |
L, 3-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1440 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1498 |
L, 10-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1444 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1510 |
W, 8-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1441 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1509 |
W, 2-1
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1439 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1553 |
W, 6-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1436 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1509 |
W, 5-2
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1432 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1578 |
W, 5-3
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1430 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1436 | 1559 |
L, 3-0
28%
72%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1431 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1432 | 1594 |
L, 5-1
27%
73%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1432 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1429 | 1607 |
W, 4-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1430 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1439 | 1495 |
W, 6-5
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1428 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1426 | 1498 |
L, 9-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1431 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1443 | 1518 |
W, 5-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1428 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1446 | 1495 |
L, 9-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1431 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1506 |
L, 10-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1434 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1442 | 1506 |
L, 4-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1436 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1452 | 1496 |
L, 3-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1438 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1486 |
L, 6-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1440 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1456 | 1484 |
W, 6-5
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1438 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1498 |
L, 9-3
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1440 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1422 | 1527 |
L, 5-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1442 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1448 | 1466 |
W, 6-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1439 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1444 | 1522 |
L, 5-2
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1440 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1429 | 1519 |
L, 4-3
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1441 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1443 | 1560 |
L, 11-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1495 |
W, 5-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1443 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1463 |
L, 10-2
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +49 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1460 | 1602 |
L, 8-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | +1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1535 |
L, 3-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1482 |
L, 11-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1493 |
W, 6-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1493 |
W, 5-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1436 | 1508 |
W, 12-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1442 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1450 | 1501 |
L, 4-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1443 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1439 | 1519 |
L, 6-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1526 |
W, 8-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1442 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1440 | 1501 |
L, 9-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1438 | 1503 |
L, 7-6
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1453 | 1544 |
L, 7-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1495 |
L, 6-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1517 |
W, 5-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1518 |
W, 4-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1460 | 1474 |
W, 1-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1444 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1518 |
L, 11-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1485 |
L, 5-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1451 | 1483 |
L, 9-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1445 | 1498 |
L, 4-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1448 | 1494 |
L, 5-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1524 |
W, 6-0
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1449 | 1498 |
L, 3-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1450 | 1494 |
W, 5-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1439 | 1509 |
L, 5-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1540 |
W, 2-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1549 |
W, 7-6
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -40 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1481 |
L, 10-2
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1452 | 1560 |
L, 3-1
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1445 | 1595 |
W, 4-0
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1442 | 1568 |
L, 14-3
28%
72%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +50 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1630 |
NL West standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | DodgersDodgers104-58 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | DbacksDiamondbacks93-69 | 11.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RockiesRockies87-75 | 17.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | PadresPadres71-91 | 33.0 | — | — | ||
 | GiantsGiants64-98 | 40.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments