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The Yankees are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Masahiro Tanaka | 57.5 | +19 |
 | Luis Severino | 56.2 | +13 |
 | CC Sabathia | 53.6 | +0 |
 | Sonny Gray | 52.1 | -7 |
Completed games
L, 4-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1574 | 1568 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1577 | 1587 |
L, 7-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1578 | 1564 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +44 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1631 |
W, 5-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1574 | 1568 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1611 | 1588 |
W, 6-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1572 | 1570 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1587 | 1567 |
W, 8-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1567 | 1575 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1592 | 1575 |
L, 2-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1569 | 1574 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1586 | 1637 |
L, 2-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1570 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +27 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1582 | 1616 |
W, 5-2
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1566 | 1602 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1567 | 1663 |
W, 7-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1562 | 1605 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1603 | 1594 |
W, 1-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1607 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1593 | 1615 |
L, 9-8
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1606 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +45 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1675 |
L, 4-0
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1563 | 1604 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +31 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1618 |
W, 8-4
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1611 | 1539 |
L, 2-1
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1563 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1585 | 1462 |
W, 2-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1562 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1515 |
W, 4-0
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1586 | 1474 |
L, 9-6
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1563 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1501 |
W, 6-1
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1610 | 1486 |
W, 6-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1580 | 1506 |
W, 11-3
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1579 | 1497 |
L, 9-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1535 |
W, 5-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1492 |
L, 8-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1567 | 1521 |
W, 11-3
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1608 | 1479 |
W, 5-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1512 |
W, 2-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1529 |
L, 6-4
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1590 | 1481 |
W, 9-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1494 |
W, 8-2
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1602 | 1502 |
W, 13-5
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1581 | 1496 |
W, 3-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1510 |
L, 2-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1500 |
W, 5-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1488 |
W, 16-7
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1541 |
W, 3-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1561 |
L, 11-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1542 |
W, 9-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1556 |
L, 7-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1533 |
W, 7-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1565 |
W, 9-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +47 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1576 | 1598 |
W, 5-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1554 |
L, 4-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1525 |
W, 6-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1547 |
L, 9-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1570 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1546 |
L, 2-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1569 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1553 |
L, 6-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1567 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1582 | 1613 |
W, 10-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1500 |
W, 6-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1565 | 1493 |
L, 2-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1514 |
L, 10-6
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1532 |
W, 10-2
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1485 |
W, 13-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1491 |
L, 5-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1566 |
W, 4-3
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +55 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1635 |
L, 9-6
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1579 |
W, 7-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1520 |
W, 5-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1492 |
W, 5-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +43 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1534 |
W, 4-2
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1470 |
L, 3-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +52 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1604 |
L, 10-5
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1548 |
W, 5-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1543 |
L, 4-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1522 |
W, 11-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1502 |
L, 4-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1531 |
W, 8-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1572 |
W, 2-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1570 |
L, 7-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1559 |
L, 5-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1622 |
L, 2-0
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1473 |
L, 4-3
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1571 | 1480 |
W, 7-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1521 |
L, 5-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1510 |
W, 5-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1492 |
W, 6-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1496 |
W, 6-5
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1523 |
W, 9-5
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1456 |
W, 4-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1472 |
W, 6-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1524 |
L, 6-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1545 |
W, 5-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1529 |
W, 4-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1540 |
L, 6-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1499 |
W, 6-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1473 |
L, 4-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1503 |
L, 3-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1571 |
W, 3-0
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1558 |
W, 4-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +47 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1618 |
L, 5-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +7 | +30 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1574 |
L, 5-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1517 |
W, 5-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1499 |
L, 9-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1562 | 1508 |
L, 7-6
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1502 |
L, 4-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1571 | 1515 |
W, 6-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1508 |
L, 8-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1578 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1595 |
L, 7-6
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1577 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1580 |
W, 13-4
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1583 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1633 |
L, 4-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1477 |
W, 12-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1524 |
L, 4-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1528 |
W, 6-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1500 |
L, 7-6
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1497 |
L, 8-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1508 |
W, 2-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1556 |
L, 10-5
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1495 |
W, 8-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1501 |
L, 8-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1493 |
L, 4-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1486 |
L, 5-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1496 |
L, 7-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1525 |
L, 8-7
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1490 |
L, 7-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1544 |
L, 3-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1522 |
W, 5-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1527 |
W, 14-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1497 |
W, 16-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1500 |
W, 8-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1522 |
W, 9-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1551 |
W, 8-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1539 |
L, 5-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1536 |
L, 3-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1546 |
W, 7-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1528 |
L, 7-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1523 |
W, 12-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1574 |
L, 10-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1524 |
W, 8-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1535 |
L, 3-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1541 |
W, 9-5
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1562 | 1489 |
W, 3-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1464 |
L, 4-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1489 |
W, 3-0
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1447 |
L, 6-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1464 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1482 |
W, 4-2
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1565 | 1476 |
W, 3-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1555 |
L, 9-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1532 |
L, 5-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1540 |
L, 5-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1464 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1500 |
W, 11-7
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1509 |
W, 7-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1477 |
L, 10-7
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1546 |
W, 11-6
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1541 |
L, 5-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1572 |
L, 3-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1583 |
L, 5-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1510 |
W, 10-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1489 |
W, 5-4
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1609 |
W, 11-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1565 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -51 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1538 |
W, 3-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1566 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1614 |
W, 8-6
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1511 |
W, 11-5
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1482 |
L, 7-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1524 |
L, 7-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1513 |
W, 12-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1504 |
W, 14-11
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1510 |
W, 3-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1534 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +43 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1601 |
W, 3-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +3 | +27 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1566 |
L, 2-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1529 |
W, 11-5
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1549 |
L, 6-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1491 |
W, 9-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1469 |
L, 4-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1488 |
W, 7-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1480 |
W, 9-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1487 |
W, 3-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1520 |
W, 4-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1490 |
W, 3-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1495 |
W, 8-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1505 |
W, 8-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1512 |
W, 7-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1521 |
L, 5-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1546 |
L, 6-5
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1530 |
L, 4-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1532 |
W, 5-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1547 |
L, 7-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1553 |
AL East standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Red SoxRed Sox93-69 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | YankeesYankees91-71 | 2.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RaysRays80-82 | 13.0 | — | — | ||
 | Blue JaysBlue Jays76-86 | 17.0 | — | — | ||
 | OriolesOrioles75-87 | 18.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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