2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Angels have a 4% chance of winning the World Series.
AL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | AstrosAstros26-15 | — | 92% | 72% | ||
![]() | AngelsAngels25-17 | 1.5 | 69% | 25% | ||
![]() | MarinersMariners17-24 | 9.0 | 13% | 2% | ||
![]() | RangersRangers18-21 | 7.0 | 8% | 1% | ||
![]() | AthleticsAthletics17-25 | 9.5 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/22Sunday, May 224:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –8 | +0 | =1444 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +15 | –1 | =1488 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | –1 | +26 | =1555 | 60% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 259:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | –19 | +0 | =1455 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | –9 | +24 | =1545 | 63% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 269:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –20 | –2 | =1524 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +26 | +24 | =1580 | 58% | ||
5/27Friday, May 279:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +23 | +0 | =1569 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +6 | +24 | =1560 | 49% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 2810:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –21 | +0 | =1525 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +3 | +24 | =1557 | 55% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +3 | +0 | =1549 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | –1 | +24 | =1553 | 51% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | –9 | –2 | =1519 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | –8 | +23 | =1589 | 60% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 17:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +26 | +0 | =1556 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +7 | +24 | =1605 | 57% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +24 | =1599 | 59% | ||
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –1 | =1530 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +26 | =1546 | 52% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 52% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 52% | ||
6/6Monday, June 69:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | –2 | =1522 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +20 | =1551 | 54% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 79:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +0 | =1524 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 54% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 89:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +0 | =1524 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 54% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 99:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +0 | =1524 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 54% | ||
6/10Friday, June 109:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +1 | =1533 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 53% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 1110:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 53% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 124:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 53% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +1 | =1532 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 62% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 62% | ||
6/16Thursday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 49% | ||
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 48% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 48% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 48% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 48% | ||
6/20Monday, June 209:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | –2 | =1456 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +21 | =1552 | 64% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 219:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 229:49 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
6/24Friday, June 249:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | –2 | =1493 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +26 | =1557 | 59% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 2510:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 59% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 264:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 59% | ||
6/27Monday, June 279:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | –4 | =1523 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 55% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 289:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +0 | =1527 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 54% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 299:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +0 | =1527 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 54% | ||
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –1 | =1530 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 32:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –1 | =1530 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 47% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 48% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 40% | ||
7/8Friday, July 87:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 39% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 39% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 1012:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 39% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 129:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +22 | =1553 | 50% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 139:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 50% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 148:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 50% | ||
7/15Friday, July 159:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –4 | =1588 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 45% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 1610:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 45% | ||
7/22Friday, July 227:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +3 | =1534 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +28 | =1569 | 55% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 237:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 55% | ||
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 43% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 43% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 43% | ||
7/28Thursday, July 289:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | –3 | =1471 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +21 | =1552 | 61% | ||
7/29Friday, July 299:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 309:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 314:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 29:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +26 | =1557 | 65% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +22 | =1517 | 48% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 48% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 48% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +24 | =1519 | 48% | ||
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 42% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 103:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 42% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 129:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +1 | =1525 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 54% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 139:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +0 | =1524 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 55% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 144:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +0 | =1524 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 55% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 159:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | –3 | =1492 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 59% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 169:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 59% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 59% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –2 | =1529 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +25 | =1482 | 43% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +24 | =1481 | 43% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +24 | =1481 | 43% | ||
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 54% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 54% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 54% | ||
8/25Thursday, Aug. 251:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 54% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +22 | =1568 | 56% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 273:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 56% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 56% | ||
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | –2 | =1573 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +20 | =1551 | 47% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 47% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 47% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –1 | =1553 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +26 | =1557 | 51% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 50% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 50% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 59:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | –4 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +0 | =1457 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +0 | +0 | =1457 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –1 | =1530 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +26 | =1580 | 57% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 57% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +21 | =1519 | 49% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 49% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +24 | =1522 | 49% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | –1 | =1494 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +22 | =1553 | 59% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 179:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 59% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 59% | ||
9/19Monday, Sept. 194:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +2 | +0 | =1495 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 59% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +23 | =1497 | 46% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 45% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 45% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +22 | =1546 | 52% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +24 | =1548 | 52% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +24 | =1548 | 52% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +22 | =1553 | 64% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | –3 | =1471 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –2 | =1529 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +21 | =1474 | 42% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 42% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 42% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/21Saturday, May 219:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +34 | +0 | =1487 | 41% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 59% | 5 | |
5/20Friday, May 209:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –5 | +0 | =1447 | 37% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –12 | +23 | =1542 | 63% | 2 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +26 | +0 | =1558 | 57% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | +16 | +24 | =1512 | 43% | 6 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –6 | +0 | =1529 | 56% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1469 | –7 | +24 | =1486 | 44% | 10 | |
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +5 | –4 | =1537 | 55% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +9 | +24 | =1501 | 45% | 7 | |
5/15Sunday, May 154:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1535 | +0 | +0 | =1535 | 54% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1455 | +32 | +24 | =1511 | 46% | 1 | |
5/14Saturday, May 149:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –7 | +0 | =1526 | 61% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | –32 | +24 | =1449 | 39% | 1 | |
5/14Saturday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –22 | +0 | =1512 | 56% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1456 | –9 | +24 | =1471 | 44% | 4 | |
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –21 | +0 | =1512 | 58% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | –19 | +20 | =1458 | 42% | 0 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +19 | +0 | =1546 | 45% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | +26 | +24 | =1584 | 55% | 2 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 109:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +15 | +0 | =1545 | 51% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –19 | +24 | =1536 | 49% | 12 | |
5/9Monday, May 99:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –10 | –3 | =1520 | 44% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +9 | +24 | =1561 | 56% | 11 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | –9 | +0 | =1455 | 36% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +5 | +24 | =1556 | 64% | 5 | |
5/7Saturday, May 79:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +5 | +0 | =1467 | 38% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 62% | 3 | |
5/6Friday, May 69:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –11 | –3 | =1449 | 39% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | –25 | +20 | =1524 | 61% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 51:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | +23 | +0 | =1549 | 51% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –8 | +24 | =1539 | 49% | 0 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 47:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –19 | +0 | =1505 | 47% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –22 | +24 | =1528 | 53% | 5 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 37:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | +10 | –3 | =1532 | 49% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –9 | +24 | =1539 | 51% | 4 | |
5/2Monday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +7 | +0 | =1534 | 46% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +14 | +24 | =1565 | 54% | 3 | |
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | +1 | +0 | =1527 | 52% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –40 | +24 | =1512 | 48% | 5 | |
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –26 | +0 | =1502 | 48% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –34 | +24 | =1516 | 52% | 4 | |
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –17 | –4 | =1504 | 39% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +28 | +24 | =1580 | 61% | 1 | |
4/28Thursday, April 284:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +4 | +0 | =1497 | 46% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –24 | +24 | =1524 | 54% | 4 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 279:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –3 | +0 | =1491 | 39% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +25 | +24 | =1571 | 61% | 9 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 269:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | –2 | +0 | =1494 | 42% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +2 | +24 | =1547 | 58% | 4 | |
4/25Monday, April 259:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +33 | –4 | =1526 | 48% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –2 | +24 | =1541 | 52% | 3 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1432 | +11 | +0 | =1443 | 39% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –23 | +24 | =1520 | 61% | 7 | |
4/23Saturday, April 239:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1430 | –25 | +0 | =1405 | 30% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +11 | +24 | =1555 | 70% | 4 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1428 | –1 | –2 | =1425 | 37% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –27 | +23 | =1518 | 63% | 3 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +22 | +0 | =1542 | 49% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –15 | +24 | =1551 | 51% | 0 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +3 | +0 | =1520 | 44% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –6 | +24 | =1563 | 56% | 2 | |
4/18Monday, April 188:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +5 | –2 | =1522 | 45% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1543 | –3 | +20 | =1560 | 55% | 8 | |
4/17Sunday, April 172:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –21 | +0 | =1496 | 52% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –9 | +24 | =1480 | 48% | 3 | |
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +10 | +0 | =1525 | 55% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –3 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | 2 | |
4/15Friday, April 158:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | –24 | +0 | =1489 | 50% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –5 | +24 | =1487 | 50% | 6 | |
4/14Thursday, April 148:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +26 | –1 | =1541 | 55% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +13 | +26 | =1505 | 45% | 10 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1486 | –28 | +0 | =1458 | 38% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +1 | +24 | =1540 | 62% | 4 | |
4/11Monday, April 119:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1488 | –19 | –2 | =1467 | 40% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –1 | +24 | =1537 | 60% | 6 | |
4/10Sunday, April 104:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –1 | +0 | =1545 | 54% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | –22 | +24 | =1517 | 46% | 1 | |
4/9Saturday, April 99:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1548 | +40 | +0 | =1588 | 56% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | +7 | +24 | =1545 | 44% | 2 | |
4/8Friday, April 89:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –12 | +0 | =1533 | 52% | 13 |
![]() | ![]() | 1516 | –23 | +24 | =1517 | 48% | 6 | |
4/7Thursday, April 79:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | –10 | –3 | =1531 | 45% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +26 | +24 | =1568 | 55% | 1 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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