Updated May 22, 2022, at 3:09 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Angels have a 4% chance of winning the World Series.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Astros Astros26-15	—	92%	72%
Angels Angels25-17	1.5	69%	25%
Mariners Mariners17-24	9.0	13%	2%
Rangers Rangers18-21	7.0	8%	1%
Athletics Athletics17-25	9.5	<1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/22Sunday, May 224:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1452	–8	+0	=1444	34%
5/22Sunday, May 224:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1530	+3	+24	=1557	66%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1474	+15	–1	=1488	40%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1530	–1	+26	=1555	60%
5/25Wednesday, May 259:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1474	–19	+0	=1455	37%
5/25Wednesday, May 259:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1530	–9	+24	=1545	63%
5/26Thursday, May 269:38 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ryu	1546	–20	–2	=1524	42%
5/26Thursday, May 269:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1530	+26	+24	=1580	58%
5/27Friday, May 279:38 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1546	+23	+0	=1569	51%
5/27Friday, May 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1530	+6	+24	=1560	49%
5/28Saturday, May 2810:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1546	–21	+0	=1525	45%
5/28Saturday, May 2810:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1530	+3	+24	=1557	55%
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1546	+3	+0	=1549	49%
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1530	–1	+24	=1553	51%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1530	–9	–2	=1519	40%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1574	–8	+23	=1589	60%
6/1Wednesday, June 17:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1530	+26	+0	=1556	43%
6/1Wednesday, June 17:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1574	+7	+24	=1605	57%
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	41%
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1574	+1	+24	=1599	59%
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–1	=1530	48%
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1520	+0	+26	=1546	52%
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	48%
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1520	+0	+24	=1544	52%
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	48%
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	—	1520	+0	+24	=1544	52%
6/6Monday, June 69:38 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1526	–2	–2	=1522	46%
6/6Monday, June 69:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+20	=1551	54%
6/7Tuesday, June 79:38 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1526	–2	+0	=1524	46%
6/7Tuesday, June 79:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	54%
6/8Wednesday, June 89:38 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1526	–2	+0	=1524	46%
6/8Wednesday, June 89:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	54%
6/9Thursday, June 99:38 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1526	–2	+0	=1524	46%
6/9Thursday, June 99:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	54%
6/10Friday, June 109:38 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+1	=1533	47%
6/10Friday, June 109:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	53%
6/11Saturday, June 1110:07 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+0	=1532	47%
6/11Saturday, June 1110:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	53%
6/12Sunday, June 124:07 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+0	=1532	47%
6/12Sunday, June 124:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	53%
6/14Tuesday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+1	=1532	38%
6/14Tuesday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	62%
6/15Wednesday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	38%
6/15Wednesday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	62%
6/16Thursday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	51%
6/16Thursday, June 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+24	=1519	49%
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	52%
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+24	=1519	48%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	52%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+24	=1519	48%
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	52%
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+24	=1519	48%
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	52%
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+24	=1519	48%
6/20Monday, June 209:38 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	–2	=1456	36%
6/20Monday, June 209:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+21	=1552	64%
6/21Tuesday, June 219:38 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	36%
6/21Tuesday, June 219:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
6/22Wednesday, June 229:49 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	36%
6/22Wednesday, June 229:49 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
6/24Friday, June 249:38 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	–2	=1493	41%
6/24Friday, June 249:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+26	=1557	59%
6/25Saturday, June 2510:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+0	=1495	41%
6/25Saturday, June 2510:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	59%
6/26Sunday, June 264:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+0	=1495	41%
6/26Sunday, June 264:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	59%
6/27Monday, June 279:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	–4	=1523	45%
6/27Monday, June 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	55%
6/28Tuesday, June 289:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+0	=1527	46%
6/28Tuesday, June 289:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	54%
6/29Wednesday, June 299:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+0	=1527	46%
6/29Wednesday, June 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	54%
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–1	=1530	43%
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	57%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	43%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	57%
7/3Sunday, July 32:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	43%
7/3Sunday, July 32:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	57%
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–1	=1530	53%
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+21	=1513	47%
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	52%
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+24	=1516	48%
7/7Thursday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	60%
7/7Thursday, July 77:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+24	=1456	40%
7/8Friday, July 87:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	61%
7/8Friday, July 87:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+24	=1456	39%
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	61%
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+24	=1456	39%
7/10Sunday, July 1012:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	61%
7/10Sunday, July 1012:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+24	=1456	39%
7/12Tuesday, July 129:38 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+0	=1554	50%
7/12Tuesday, July 129:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+22	=1553	50%
7/13Wednesday, July 139:38 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+0	=1554	50%
7/13Wednesday, July 139:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	50%
7/14Thursday, July 148:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+0	=1554	50%
7/14Thursday, July 148:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	50%
7/15Friday, July 159:38 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–4	=1588	55%
7/15Friday, July 159:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	45%
7/16Saturday, July 1610:07 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	55%
7/16Saturday, July 1610:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	45%
7/22Friday, July 227:20 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+3	=1534	45%
7/22Friday, July 227:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+28	=1569	55%
7/23Saturday, July 237:20 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	45%
7/23Saturday, July 237:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+24	=1565	55%
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	45%
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+24	=1565	55%
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	57%
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	43%
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	57%
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	43%
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	57%
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	43%
7/28Thursday, July 289:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	–3	=1471	39%
7/28Thursday, July 289:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+21	=1552	61%
7/29Friday, July 299:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+0	=1474	38%
7/29Friday, July 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	62%
7/30Saturday, July 309:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+0	=1474	38%
7/30Saturday, July 309:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	62%
7/31Sunday, July 314:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+0	=1474	38%
7/31Sunday, July 314:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	62%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 29:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–2	=1451	35%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 29:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+26	=1557	65%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	52%
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+22	=1517	48%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	52%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+24	=1519	48%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	52%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+24	=1519	48%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	52%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+24	=1519	48%
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	57%
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	43%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	58%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	42%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 103:37 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	58%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 103:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	42%
8/12Friday, Aug. 129:38 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+1	+1	=1525	46%
8/12Friday, Aug. 129:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	54%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 139:07 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+1	+0	=1524	45%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 139:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	55%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 144:07 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+1	+0	=1524	45%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 144:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	55%
8/15Monday, Aug. 159:38 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	–3	=1492	41%
8/15Monday, Aug. 159:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	59%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 169:38 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+0	=1495	41%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 169:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	59%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+0	=1495	41%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	59%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–2	=1529	57%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1457	+0	+25	=1482	43%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	57%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1457	+0	+24	=1481	43%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	57%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1457	+0	+24	=1481	43%
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	46%
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1531	+1	+24	=1556	54%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	46%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1531	+1	+24	=1556	54%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	46%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1531	+1	+24	=1556	54%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 251:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	46%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 251:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1531	+1	+24	=1556	54%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	44%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1546	+0	+22	=1568	56%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 273:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	44%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 273:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1546	+0	+24	=1570	56%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:37 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	44%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:37 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1546	+0	+24	=1570	56%
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:38 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1574	+1	–2	=1573	53%
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+20	=1551	47%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:38 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1574	+1	+0	=1575	53%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	47%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:38 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1574	+1	+0	=1575	53%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	47%
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:38 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	–1	=1553	49%
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+26	=1557	51%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+0	=1554	50%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	50%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+0	=1554	50%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	50%
9/5Monday, Sept. 59:38 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1457	+0	–4	=1453	36%
9/5Monday, Sept. 59:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:38 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1457	+0	+0	=1457	36%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:07 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1457	+0	+0	=1457	36%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–1	=1530	43%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+26	=1580	57%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	43%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	57%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	43%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	57%
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	51%
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1498	+0	+21	=1519	49%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	51%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1498	+0	+24	=1522	49%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	51%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1498	+0	+24	=1522	49%
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:38 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	–1	=1494	41%
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+22	=1553	59%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 179:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+0	=1495	41%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 179:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	59%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+0	=1495	41%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	59%
9/19Monday, Sept. 194:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1493	+2	+0	=1495	41%
9/19Monday, Sept. 194:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	59%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	54%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+23	=1497	46%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	55%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+24	=1498	45%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	55%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+24	=1498	45%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	48%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+1	+22	=1546	52%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	48%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+1	+24	=1548	52%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	48%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+1	+24	=1548	52%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+22	=1553	64%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:38 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	–3	=1471	38%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	62%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+0	=1474	38%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	62%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+0	=1474	38%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	62%
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–2	=1529	58%
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+21	=1474	42%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	58%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	42%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	58%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	42%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
5/21Saturday, May 219:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1453	+34	+0	=1487	41%	3
5/21Saturday, May 219:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1529	+0	+24	=1553	59%	5
5/20Friday, May 209:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1452	–5	+0	=1447	37%	4
5/20Friday, May 209:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Silseth	1531	–12	+23	=1542	63%	2
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1532	+26	+0	=1558	57%	5
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1472	+16	+24	=1512	43%	6
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1535	–6	+0	=1529	56%	5
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1469	–7	+24	=1486	44%	10
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1536	+5	–4	=1537	55%	4
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1468	+9	+24	=1501	45%	7
5/15Sunday, May 154:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1535	+0	+0	=1535	54%	4
5/15Sunday, May 154:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1455	+32	+24	=1511	46%	1
5/14Saturday, May 149:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1533	–7	+0	=1526	61%	9
5/14Saturday, May 149:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Oller	1457	–32	+24	=1449	39%	1
5/14Saturday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Diaz	1534	–22	+0	=1512	56%	3
5/14Saturday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1456	–9	+24	=1471	44%	4
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Silseth	1533	–21	+0	=1512	58%	2
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1457	–19	+20	=1458	42%	0
5/11Wednesday, May 117:07 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1527	+19	+0	=1546	45%	4
5/11Wednesday, May 117:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1534	+26	+24	=1584	55%	2
5/10Tuesday, May 109:38 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1530	+15	+0	=1545	51%	0
5/10Tuesday, May 109:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1531	–19	+24	=1536	49%	12
5/9Monday, May 99:38 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Springs	1533	–10	–3	=1520	44%	3
5/9Monday, May 99:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1528	+9	+24	=1561	56%	11
5/8Sunday, May 84:07 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Fedde	1464	–9	+0	=1455	36%	4
5/8Sunday, May 84:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1527	+5	+24	=1556	64%	5
5/7Saturday, May 79:07 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1462	+5	+0	=1467	38%	7
5/7Saturday, May 79:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1530	+1	+24	=1555	62%	3
5/6Friday, May 69:38 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Adon	1463	–11	–3	=1449	39%	0
5/6Friday, May 69:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Diaz	1529	–25	+20	=1524	61%	3
5/5Thursday, May 51:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1526	+23	+0	=1549	51%	8
5/5Thursday, May 51:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1523	–8	+24	=1539	49%	0
5/4Wednesday, May 47:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1524	–19	+0	=1505	47%	10
5/4Wednesday, May 47:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1526	–22	+24	=1528	53%	5
5/3Tuesday, May 37:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1525	+10	–3	=1532	49%	0
5/3Tuesday, May 37:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1524	–9	+24	=1539	51%	4
5/2Monday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1527	+7	+0	=1534	46%	0
5/2Monday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1527	+14	+24	=1565	54%	3
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1526	+1	+0	=1527	52%	6
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–40	+24	=1512	48%	5
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1528	–26	+0	=1502	48%	0
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1526	–34	+24	=1516	52%	4
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Herget	1525	–17	–4	=1504	39%	5
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1528	+28	+24	=1580	61%	1
4/28Thursday, April 284:07 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1493	+4	+0	=1497	46%	1
4/28Thursday, April 284:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1524	–24	+24	=1524	54%	4
4/27Wednesday, April 279:38 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Plesac	1494	–3	+0	=1491	39%	5
4/27Wednesday, April 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1522	+25	+24	=1571	61%	9
4/26Tuesday, April 269:38 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1496	–2	+0	=1494	42%	1
4/26Tuesday, April 269:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1521	+2	+24	=1547	58%	4
4/25Monday, April 259:38 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1497	+33	–4	=1526	48%	0
4/25Monday, April 259:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1519	–2	+24	=1541	52%	3
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Ellis	1432	+11	+0	=1443	39%	6
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1519	–23	+24	=1520	61%	7
4/23Saturday, April 239:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Watkins	1430	–25	+0	=1405	30%	5
4/23Saturday, April 239:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1520	+11	+24	=1555	70%	4
4/22Friday, April 229:38 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Zimmermann	1428	–1	–2	=1425	37%	5
4/22Friday, April 229:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1522	–27	+23	=1518	63%	3
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1520	+22	+0	=1542	49%	6
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1542	–15	+24	=1551	51%	0
4/19Tuesday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1517	+3	+0	=1520	44%	7
4/19Tuesday, April 198:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1545	–6	+24	=1563	56%	2
4/18Monday, April 188:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1519	+5	–2	=1522	45%	3
4/18Monday, April 188:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1543	–3	+20	=1560	55%	8
4/17Sunday, April 172:35 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1517	–21	+0	=1496	52%	8
4/17Sunday, April 172:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	–9	+24	=1480	48%	3
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1515	+10	+0	=1525	55%	7
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1467	–3	+24	=1488	45%	2
4/15Friday, April 158:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1513	–24	+0	=1489	50%	9
4/15Friday, April 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bush	1468	–5	+24	=1487	50%	6
4/14Thursday, April 148:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1516	+26	–1	=1541	55%	5
4/14Thursday, April 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1466	+13	+26	=1505	45%	10
4/12Tuesday, April 127:07 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1486	–28	+0	=1458	38%	3
4/12Tuesday, April 127:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1515	+1	+24	=1540	62%	4
4/11Monday, April 119:38 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1488	–19	–2	=1467	40%	2
4/11Monday, April 119:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1514	–1	+24	=1537	60%	6
4/10Sunday, April 104:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1546	–1	+0	=1545	54%	4
4/10Sunday, April 104:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1515	–22	+24	=1517	46%	1
4/9Saturday, April 99:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1548	+40	+0	=1588	56%	0
4/9Saturday, April 99:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1514	+7	+24	=1545	44%	2
4/8Friday, April 89:38 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1545	–12	+0	=1533	52%	13
4/8Friday, April 89:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1516	–23	+24	=1517	48%	6
4/7Thursday, April 79:38 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1544	–10	–3	=1531	45%	3
4/7Thursday, April 79:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1518	+26	+24	=1568	55%	1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.