Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Red Sox have a 1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees25-997%74%
Blue JaysBlue Jays18-177.569%12%
RaysRays21-144.564%12%
Red SoxRed Sox13-2112.023%2%
OriolesOrioles14-2111.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/16Monday, May 167:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1554152=153753%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152122+20=151947%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15549+0=154549%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1521+11+24=155651%
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15541+0=155353%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152110+24=153547%
5/19Thursday, May 197:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
149832=149343%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15213+24=154257%
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1498+28+0=152647%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154553%
5/21Saturday, May 214:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1498+0+0=149846%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152122+24=152354%
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1498+13+0=151144%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1521+11+24=155656%
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1521101=151049%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
152834+23=151751%
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15213+0=151850%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152837+24=151550%
5/26Thursday, May 268:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152144%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1528+13+24=156556%
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143235%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+21=154265%
5/28Saturday, May 2812:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154566%
5/28Saturday, May 286:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154566%
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154566%
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154566%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+11=147740%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154560%
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147841%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154559%
6/3Friday, June 39:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+02=151956%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+26=147944%
6/4Saturday, June 44:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152156%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147744%
6/5Sunday, June 54:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152156%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147744%
6/6Monday, June 69:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+02=151944%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+20=155756%
6/7Tuesday, June 79:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152144%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156156%
6/8Wednesday, June 89:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152144%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156156%
6/9Thursday, June 99:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152144%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156156%
6/10Friday, June 1010:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+03=151849%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+22=152251%
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152150%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152450%
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152150%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152450%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+01=145237%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+22=154363%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145337%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154563%
6/16Thursday, June 161:35 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145337%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154563%
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+11=150845%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154555%
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150945%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154555%
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150945%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154555%
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+03=145738%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154562%
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146038%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154562%
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146038%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154562%
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+01=152050%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+21=152050%
6/25Saturday, June 256:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152150%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152350%
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152150%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152350%
6/27Monday, June 277:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+02=151943%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+22=156657%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152143%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
6/29Wednesday, June 297:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152143%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
7/1Friday, July 12:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152153%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150347%
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152153%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150347%
7/3Sunday, July 32:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152153%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150347%
7/4Monday, July 41:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+12=152948%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+21=154252%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157254%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
7/10Sunday, July 107 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+03=151845%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+21=155255%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152145%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152145%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
7/14Thursday, July 147:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152145%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+03=151839%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+5=154950%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+29=155050%
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154450%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154550%
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154450%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154550%
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+03=149643%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154557%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149943%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154557%
7/27Wednesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149943%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154557%
7/28Thursday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149943%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154557%
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+11=154450%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154550%
7/30Saturday, July 304:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154550%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154550%
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154550%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154550%
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+04=151741%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157959%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152142%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157958%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152142%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157958%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+03=151855%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+22=148345%
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152155%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148545%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152155%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148545%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152155%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148545%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153849%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+23=154451%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153849%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154551%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143312=143034%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154566%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157254%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 14NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+3=152458%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+22=146442%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152158%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152158%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146642%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+02=151959%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145641%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152159%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145641%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 217 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152162%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143238%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154450%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154550%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154450%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154550%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154450%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154550%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152848%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 28TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
8/29Monday, Aug. 297:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+01=152047%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154353%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152147%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154353%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152147%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154353%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+04=146439%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+21=154261%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146839%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154561%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146839%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154561%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146839%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154561%
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+03=151845%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152145%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152145%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155555%
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+01=152059%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+26=145841%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 105:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152159%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145641%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152159%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145641%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145838%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+26=154762%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146138%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154562%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146138%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154562%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+01=152053%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150247%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152153%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150247%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+03=151839%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 241:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143312=143034%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+22=154366%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154566%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154566%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154566%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+02=151942%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+26=157058%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152143%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152143%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156857%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+14=152748%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+22=154352%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153148%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154552%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Davis, Austin
Davis
152333+0=149049%1
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1465+5+24=149451%7
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15214+0=151755%11
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14687+24=148545%3
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1518141=150349%7
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1470+16+24=151051%1
5/11Wednesday, May 117:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1519+12+0=153145%3
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1542+2+24=156855%5
5/10Tuesday, May 107:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
1517171=149943%9
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154421+26=154957%4
5/8Sunday, May 811:35 a.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153344+0=148941%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1518+7+24=154959%2
5/7Saturday, May 74:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1532+20+0=155254%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151920+24=152346%1
5/6Friday, May 67:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1530301=149941%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1521+15+24=156059%2
5/5Thursday, May 51:35 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1526+23+0=154951%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15238+24=153949%0
5/4Wednesday, May 47:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
152419+0=150547%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152622+24=152853%5
5/3Tuesday, May 37:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1525+103=153249%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15249+24=153951%4
5/1Sunday, May 11:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152618+0=150858%5
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14292+24=145142%9
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1528+12+0=154066%1
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
142723+24=142834%2
4/29Friday, April 297:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
152782=151760%3
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14284+22=144640%1
4/28Thursday, April 283:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152720+0=150737%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1554+19+24=159763%1
4/27Wednesday, April 277:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152511+0=151443%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155716+24=156557%1
4/26Tuesday, April 267:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152518+0=150737%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1556+16+24=159663%6
4/25Monday, April 257:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1527+133=153743%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1554+13+21=158857%6
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15287+0=152143%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+19+24=157157%5
4/23Saturday, April 236:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152927+0=150243%2
TBTBRays
Feyereisen, J.P.
Feyereisen (open)
1527+0+24=155157%3
4/22Friday, April 227:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152893=151643%4
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+13+23=156557%3
4/21Thursday, April 211:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1552+12+0=156450%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1529+11+24=156450%2
4/20Wednesday, April 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1550+12+0=156253%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
153113+24=154247%1
4/19Tuesday, April 197:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155125+0=152644%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1530+13+24=156756%2
4/18Monday, April 1811:10 a.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15093+0=150643%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15334+24=155357%3
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1512+9+0=152147%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
153014+24=154053%8
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1513+19+0=153246%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1528+7+24=155954%4
4/15Friday, April 152:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1511+31=151345%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15308+23=154555%4
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1529+14+0=154356%9
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1468+12+24=150444%7
4/12Tuesday, April 121:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15283+0=152555%5
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14694+24=148945%3
4/11Monday, April 115:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1530162=151256%1
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146820+24=147244%3
4/10Sunday, April 107 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1529+9+0=153845%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15565+24=157555%3
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15308+0=152241%2
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1555+8+24=158759%4
4/8Friday, April 81:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1530+142=154242%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1554+21+24=159958%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.