Updated Sep. 29, 2022, at 4:39 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Red Sox are done for the season.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees96-59
Blue JaysBlue Jays87-699.5
RaysRays85-7011.0>99%
OriolesOrioles80-7616.5<1%
Red SoxRed Sox75-8121.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1506+02=150436%
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1544+36+26=160664%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 13:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
15065+0=150139%
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1544+9+24=157761%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:37 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1506+14+0=152040%
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1544+19+24=158760%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Glasnow, Tyler
Glasnow
1535+214=155253%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
1506+2+22=153047%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1535+7+0=154250%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1506+11+24=154150%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1535+15+0=155053%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1506+0+24=153047%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Baumann, Mike
Baumann
148715+0=147240%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1505+10+24=153960%5
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1488+5+0=149345%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15032+24=152555%3
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1489+6+0=149543%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1502+22+24=154857%13
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
148762=147948%14
BOSBOSRed Sox
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
150437+22=148952%8
9/25Sunday, Sept. 257 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
150510+0=149534%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1574+13+24=161166%2
9/24Saturday, Sept. 241:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1506+1+0=150739%5
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15749+24=158961%7
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15075+0=150234%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1573+17+24=161466%5
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1508+223=152741%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15729+24=158759%5
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
150939+0=147049%1
CINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
146411+24=147751%5
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
1508101=149748%5
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1466+23+24=151352%3
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145111+0=144037%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1506+2+24=153263%13
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1448+32+0=148043%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15094+24=152957%0
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
1448193=142632%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1509+19+26=155468%2
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1570+11+0=158159%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
151013+24=152141%3
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1569+22+0=159158%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1511+3+24=153842%6
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15107+0=150350%1
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14875+24=150650%0
9/10Saturday, Sept. 105:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1506+20+0=152652%17
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14912+24=151348%4
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
1507151=149146%2
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1490+1+26=151754%3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1508+3+0=151142%0
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1541+1+24=156658%1
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15092+0=150742%4
TBTBRays
Chargois, JT
Chargois (open)
1540+3+24=156758%8
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1510+193=152649%3
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
153831+24=153151%4
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1472+9+0=148148%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
150934+24=149952%5
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Santana, Dennis
Santana
147415+0=145943%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
150824+24=150857%5
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
147550+0=142535%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1506+4+24=153465%9
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147664=146641%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
1505+2+21=152859%9
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1504+17+0=152146%6
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1514+10+24=154854%5
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
150619+0=148744%5
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15136+24=153156%10
8/29Monday, Aug. 297:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
1507253=147943%2
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15115+24=153057%4
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15306+0=152447%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1510+7+24=154153%4
8/27Saturday, Aug. 274:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15321+0=153151%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15085+24=152749%5
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Chargois, JT
Chargois
1533323=149843%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1507+18+24=154957%9
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+19+0=156657%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
150817+24=151543%5
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154610+0=153655%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
150931+24=150245%2
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1544+7+0=155157%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
151130+24=150543%3
8/21Sunday, Aug. 217 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1512+6+0=151856%3
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14846+0=147844%5
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1512+16+0=152855%4
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
148517+24=149245%3
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
1514+02=151251%10
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1482+0+24=150649%15
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
151723+0=149455%2
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1429+3+24=145645%8
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15159+0=150657%8
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
14301+24=145343%3
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1514+0+0=151457%5
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1432+7+22=146143%3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 147 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15798+0=157154%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1512+7+24=154346%3
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15787+0=157155%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
15132+24=153545%2
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1579192=155852%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1512+9+24=154548%3
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
148110+0=147144%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
151122+24=151356%4
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155817+0=154150%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1513+1+24=153850%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1557+12+0=156955%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15144+23=153345%7
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
1517+2+0=151957%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
14513+24=147243%13
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1519+10+0=152958%4
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14502+24=147242%5
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
151725+0=149252%7
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1451+6+24=148148%4
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1519+13=151757%3
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14494+22=146743%7
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15212+0=151942%1
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
156112+24=157358%6
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
15204+0=151640%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
15633+24=158460%1
8/1Monday, Aug. 18 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1518+74=152142%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
156410+24=157858%2
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153832+0=150649%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
151626+24=151451%7
7/30Saturday, July 304:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153512+0=152347%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1519+4+24=154753%4
7/29Friday, July 297:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1534+181=155151%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Davis, Austin
Davis (open)
1520+0+24=154449%1
7/28Thursday, July 287:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1503+19+0=152248%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
15198+24=153552%4
7/27Wednesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15022+0=150042%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1520+9+24=155358%6
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Shaw, Bryan
Shaw
149925+0=147442%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
152318+24=152958%3
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
150073=149042%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1522+3+24=154958%3
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1547+1+0=154854%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
152330+24=151746%4
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+31+0=157656%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
152516+24=153344%1
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1539+14+5=155848%28
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1531+15+29=157552%5
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1534+15+0=154938%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1589+19+24=163262%13
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1537+6+0=154342%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
158512+24=159758%14
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1535+153=154742%5
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15873+24=160858%4
7/14Thursday, July 147:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
153624+0=151244%4
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1531+0+24=155556%5
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
153824+0=151439%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+37+24=159161%4
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1539+12+0=155149%2
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+5+24=155851%3
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
1541293=150944%5
TBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1527+2+21=155056%10
7/10Sunday, July 107 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15918+0=158351%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1538+12+24=157449%11
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15935+0=158858%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
153730+24=153142%6
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1591+1+0=159259%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
153936+24=152741%5
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1590+152=160358%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
154019+24=154542%5
7/6Wednesday, July 67:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1530+0+0=153049%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
154230+24=153651%1
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15271+0=152642%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1545+12+24=158158%4
7/4Monday, July 41:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1529+32=153046%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Davis, Austin
Davis (open)
15436+21=155854%4
7/3Sunday, July 32:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
154241+0=150152%4
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14683+24=148948%2
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
154325+0=151856%1
CHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
146612+24=147844%3
7/1Friday, July 12:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
154411+0=153357%5
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14657+24=148243%6
6/29Wednesday, June 297:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1543+12+0=155543%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+30+24=160357%5
6/28Tuesday, June 287:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15443+0=154146%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15482+24=157054%6
6/27Monday, June 277:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
1546352=150940%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+11+22=158060%7
6/26Sunday, June 261:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
154414+0=153052%8
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
150715+24=151648%3
6/25Saturday, June 256:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
154230+0=151243%4
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1509+30+24=156357%2
6/24Friday, June 247:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1541+111=155153%6
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1511+2+21=153447%3
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1455+17+0=147238%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15394+24=155962%6
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
1455+1+0=145637%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
153913+24=155063%5
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
1456123=144138%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
153833+24=152962%5
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151812+0=150641%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1537+7+24=156859%6
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1514+6+0=152048%11
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
154033+24=153152%2
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1515+261=154048%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15395+24=155852%6
6/16Thursday, June 161:35 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1434+7+0=144135%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
154012+24=155265%3
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14367+0=142937%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
153839+24=152363%10
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Koenig, Jared
Koenig
1437131=142331%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1537+4+22=156369%6
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
153539+0=149644%2
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1498+15+24=153756%0
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1537+0+0=153752%6
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14971+24=152048%7
6/10Friday, June 1010:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
1536113=152250%4
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1498+2+22=152250%3
6/9Thursday, June 99:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1537+5+0=154248%2
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1510+19+24=155352%5
6/8Wednesday, June 89:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1536+7+0=154352%1
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
15118+24=152748%0
6/7Tuesday, June 79:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
153519+0=151651%6
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
151230+24=150649%5
6/6Monday, June 69:38 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
153472=152549%1
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1513+0+20=153351%0
6/5Sunday, June 54:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
153213+0=151952%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1442+40+24=150648%2
6/4Saturday, June 44:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1530+3+0=153359%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1444+1+24=146941%0
6/3Friday, June 39:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1528+72=153360%7
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14467+26=146540%2
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
148214+0=146841%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152720+24=153159%7
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1481+291=150945%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15288+24=154455%1
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1437+13+0=145036%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15325+24=155164%0
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1439+1+0=144034%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1530+3+24=155766%12
5/28Saturday, May 286:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Reyes, Denyi
Reyes
14374+0=143337%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
153230+24=152663%2
5/28Saturday, May 2812:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1438+8+0=144634%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1531+4+24=155966%5
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14355+0=143036%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
153424+21=153164%8
5/26Thursday, May 268:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15316+0=152552%16
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152842+24=151048%7
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15326+0=152643%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1527+22+24=157357%3
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1527+11=152744%16
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1532+16+23=157156%3
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1493+17+0=151044%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1526+0+24=155056%8
5/21Saturday, May 214:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14941+0=149344%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152517+24=153256%6
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+28+0=152448%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15236+24=154152%7
5/19Thursday, May 197:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
149842=149243%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15212+24=154357%12
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
1556+0+0=155653%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15197+24=153647%5
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15539+0=154448%13
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1522+11+24=155752%4
5/16Monday, May 167:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1554152=153753%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152122+20=151947%6
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Davis, Austin
Davis
152333+0=149049%1
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1465+5+24=149451%7
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15214+0=151755%11
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14687+24=148545%3
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1518141=150349%7
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1470+16+24=151051%1
5/11Wednesday, May 117:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1519+12+0=153145%3
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1542+2+24=156855%5
5/10Tuesday, May 107:20 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
1517171=149943%9
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154421+26=154957%4
5/8Sunday, May 811:35 a.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153344+0=148941%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1518+7+24=154959%2
5/7Saturday, May 74:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1532+20+0=155254%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151920+24=152346%1
5/6Friday, May 67:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1530301=149941%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1521+15+24=156059%2
5/5Thursday, May 51:35 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1526+23+0=154951%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15238+24=153949%0
5/4Wednesday, May 47:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
152419+0=150547%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152622+24=152853%5
5/3Tuesday, May 37:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1525+103=153249%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15249+24=153951%4
5/1Sunday, May 11:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152618+0=150858%5
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14292+24=145142%9
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1528+12+0=154066%1
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
142723+24=142834%2
4/29Friday, April 297:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
152782=151760%3
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14284+22=144640%1
4/28Thursday, April 283:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152720+0=150737%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1554+19+24=159763%1
4/27Wednesday, April 277:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152511+0=151443%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155716+24=156557%1
4/26Tuesday, April 267:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152518+0=150737%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1556+16+24=159663%6
4/25Monday, April 257:07 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1527+133=153743%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1554+13+21=158857%6
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15287+0=152143%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+19+24=157157%5
4/23Saturday, April 236:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152927+0=150243%2
TBTBRays
Feyereisen, J.P.
Feyereisen (open)
1527+0+24=155157%3
4/22Friday, April 227:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
152893=151643%4
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+13+23=156557%3
4/21Thursday, April 211:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1552+12+0=156450%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1529+11+24=156450%2
4/20Wednesday, April 207:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1550+12+0=156253%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
153113+24=154247%1
4/19Tuesday, April 197:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155125+0=152644%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1530+13+24=156756%2
4/18Monday, April 1811:10 a.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15093+0=150643%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15334+24=155357%3
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1512+9+0=152147%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
153014+24=154053%8
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1513+19+0=153246%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1528+7+24=155954%4
4/15Friday, April 152:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1511+31=151345%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15308+23=154555%4
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1529+14+0=154356%9
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1468+12+24=150444%7
4/12Tuesday, April 121:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15283+0=152555%5
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14694+24=148945%3
4/11Monday, April 115:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1530162=151256%1
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146820+24=147244%3
4/10Sunday, April 107 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1529+9+0=153845%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15565+24=157555%3
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15308+0=152241%2
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1555+8+24=158759%4
4/8Friday, April 81:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1530+142=154242%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1554+21+24=159958%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.