Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The White Sox have a 3% chance of winning the World Series.

AL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Twins Twins20-15	—	57%	41%
White Sox White Sox16-17	3.0	55%	38%
Guardians Guardians16-17	3.0	31%	18%
Royals Royals12-20	6.5	3%	1%
Tigers Tigers12-23	8.0	2%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/16Monday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–2	=1525	54%
5/16Monday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1461	+12	+21	=1494	46%
5/17Tuesday, May 172:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1528	+16	+0	=1544	59%
5/17Tuesday, May 172:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1461	–5	+24	=1480	41%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	44%
5/18Wednesday, May 188:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1528	–34	+0	=1494	49%
5/18Wednesday, May 188:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1461	+13	+24	=1498	51%
5/19Thursday, May 192:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–37	+0	=1491	52%
5/19Thursday, May 192:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Hernandez	1461	–11	+24	=1474	48%
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1528	+13	–3	=1538	41%
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1573	+8	+22	=1603	59%
5/21Saturday, May 211:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	40%
5/21Saturday, May 211:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1573	–2	+24	=1595	60%
5/22Sunday, May 227 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1528	+16	+0	=1544	43%
5/22Sunday, May 227 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Taillon	1573	–3	+24	=1594	57%
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1521	–10	–1	=1510	49%
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1528	–34	+23	=1517	51%
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1521	–3	+0	=1518	50%
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–37	+24	=1515	50%
5/26Thursday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1521	+0	+0	=1521	44%
5/26Thursday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1528	+13	+24	=1565	56%
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1478	+1	+0	=1479	39%
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+26	=1553	61%
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1478	+1	+0	=1479	40%
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	60%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	44%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+22	=1566	56%
6/1Wednesday, June 17:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	44%
6/1Wednesday, June 17:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	56%
6/2Thursday, June 23:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	44%
6/2Thursday, June 23:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+24	=1568	56%
6/3Friday, June 37:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–3	=1524	46%
6/3Friday, June 37:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1530	+1	+21	=1552	54%
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	46%
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	54%
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	46%
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	54%
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1587	+0	–2	=1585	55%
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+23	=1550	45%
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1587	+0	+0	=1587	55%
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	45%
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1587	+0	+0	=1587	55%
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	45%
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	38%
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	62%
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	38%
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	62%
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+0	=1468	38%
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	62%
6/13Monday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–2	=1525	56%
6/13Monday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+24	=1484	44%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+24	=1484	44%
6/15Wednesday, June 151:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
6/15Wednesday, June 151:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+24	=1484	44%
6/17Friday, June 178:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–1	=1526	42%
6/17Friday, June 178:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+24	=1579	58%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	43%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+24	=1579	57%
6/19Sunday, June 192:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	43%
6/19Sunday, June 192:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+24	=1579	57%
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	–2	=1542	49%
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+21	=1548	51%
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	49%
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	51%
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1544	+0	+0	=1544	49%
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	51%
6/23Thursday, June 238:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	–3	=1429	33%
6/23Thursday, June 238:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	67%
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+0	=1432	34%
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	66%
6/25Saturday, June 252:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+0	=1432	34%
6/25Saturday, June 252:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	66%
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+0	=1432	34%
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	66%
6/27Monday, June 279:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–4	=1523	45%
6/27Monday, June 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+24	=1561	55%
6/28Tuesday, June 289:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	45%
6/28Tuesday, June 289:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+24	=1561	55%
6/29Wednesday, June 299:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	45%
6/29Wednesday, June 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+24	=1561	55%
7/1Friday, July 110:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	47%
7/1Friday, July 110:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1524	+0	+26	=1550	53%
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	47%
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1524	+0	+24	=1548	53%
7/3Sunday, July 34:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	47%
7/3Sunday, July 34:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1524	+0	+24	=1548	53%
7/4Monday, July 48:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	–2	=1517	46%
7/4Monday, July 48:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+20	=1547	54%
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	45%
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	55%
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	45%
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	55%
7/7Thursday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	–2	=1458	37%
7/7Thursday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	37%
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
7/9Saturday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	37%
7/9Saturday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	37%
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–2	=1525	51%
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+21	=1520	49%
7/12Tuesday, July 121:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	51%
7/12Tuesday, July 121:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	49%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	51%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	49%
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	51%
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	49%
7/14Thursday, July 147:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–3	=1524	47%
7/14Thursday, July 147:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+24	=1543	53%
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	48%
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+24	=1543	52%
7/16Saturday, July 162:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	48%
7/16Saturday, July 162:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+24	=1543	52%
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	48%
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+24	=1543	52%
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+5	=1504	43%
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+29	=1556	57%
7/23Saturday, July 231:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	43%
7/23Saturday, July 231:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	57%
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	43%
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	57%
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	43%
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	57%
7/26Tuesday, July 268:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–1	=1526	56%
7/26Tuesday, July 268:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1461	+0	+21	=1482	44%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	44%
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	–2	=1451	36%
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+23	=1550	64%
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+0	=1453	36%
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	64%
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+0	=1453	36%
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	64%
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	–3	=1458	37%
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	37%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	37%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–3	=1524	55%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	45%
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	55%
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	45%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	55%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	45%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	55%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1468	+0	+24	=1492	45%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+26	=1487	44%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	44%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	44%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	44%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	–2	=1458	37%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+22	=1549	63%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	37%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	37%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	–3	=1552	50%
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	50%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+0	=1555	51%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	49%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+0	=1555	51%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	49%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1554	+1	+0	=1555	51%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	49%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–2	=1525	50%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+26	=1525	50%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 206:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	51%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 206:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	49%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 2112 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	51%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 2112 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+24	=1523	49%
8/22Monday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–3	=1524	56%
8/22Monday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+21	=1482	44%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–3	=1524	59%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+26	=1458	41%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	60%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+24	=1456	40%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	60%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+24	=1456	40%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1464	+0	+0	=1464	38%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+21	=1548	62%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1464	+0	+0	=1464	38%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	62%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1464	+0	+0	=1464	38%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	62%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	37%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+26	=1553	63%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	37%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 12:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	37%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 12:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	45%
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	55%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	45%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	55%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	45%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	55%
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–4	=1523	50%
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+22	=1522	50%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	50%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+24	=1524	50%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	50%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1498	+2	+24	=1524	50%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–3	=1524	57%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+24	=1477	43%
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	57%
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+24	=1477	43%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	57%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+24	=1477	43%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	57%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1453	+0	+24	=1477	43%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1461	+0	–1	=1460	37%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+22	=1549	63%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1461	+0	+0	=1461	37%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+26	=1486	44%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+24	=1484	44%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+24	=1484	44%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	–2	=1497	42%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	58%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	43%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	57%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1499	+0	+0	=1499	43%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	57%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	–1	=1459	37%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	37%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	37%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	63%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	47%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+26	=1545	53%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	48%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+24	=1543	52%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	48%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+24	=1543	52%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–4	=1523	44%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1538	+2	+24	=1564	56%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 18:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	45%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 18:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1538	+2	+24	=1564	55%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	45%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1538	+2	+24	=1564	55%
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	–2	=1517	46%
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+20	=1547	54%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	45%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	55%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	+0	=1519	45%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+24	=1551	55%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1571	+4	+0	=1575	51%	5
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1529	+12	+24	=1565	49%	1
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1572	–3	+0	=1569	58%	2
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–40	+24	=1512	42%	3
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1570	+17	+0	=1587	59%	10
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1530	–28	+24	=1526	41%	4
5/12Thursday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Gil	1567	–22	–3	=1542	45%	15
5/12Thursday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1533	+19	+26	=1578	55%	7
5/10Tuesday, May 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1501	+6	+0	=1507	40%	1
5/10Tuesday, May 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1532	+22	+24	=1578	60%	4
5/9Monday, May 98:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Plesac	1499	–11	–2	=1486	39%	12
5/9Monday, May 98:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1534	+6	+21	=1561	61%	9
5/8Sunday, May 811:35 a.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1533	–44	+0	=1489	41%	3
5/8Sunday, May 811:35 a.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1518	+7	+24	=1549	59%	2
5/7Saturday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1532	+20	+0	=1552	54%	3
5/7Saturday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1519	–20	+24	=1523	46%	1
5/6Friday, May 67:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1530	–30	–1	=1499	41%	4
5/6Friday, May 67:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1521	+15	+24	=1560	59%	2
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1529	+24	+0	=1553	58%	4
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1478	–4	+24	=1498	42%	3
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1528	+5	–1	=1532	55%	3
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Effross	1479	–8	+25	=1496	45%	1
5/2Monday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1527	+7	+0	=1534	46%	0
5/2Monday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1527	+14	+24	=1565	54%	3
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1526	+1	+0	=1527	52%	6
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–40	+24	=1512	48%	5
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1528	–26	+0	=1502	48%	0
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1526	–34	+24	=1516	52%	4
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Herget	1525	–17	–4	=1504	39%	5
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1528	+28	+24	=1580	61%	1
4/28Thursday, April 282:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1465	+7	+0	=1472	37%	5
4/28Thursday, April 282:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1530	+7	+24	=1561	63%	2
4/27Wednesday, April 272:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1466	+11	+0	=1477	38%	3
4/27Wednesday, April 272:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1529	+13	+24	=1566	62%	7
4/26Tuesday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1463	–11	–2	=1450	41%	6
4/26Tuesday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1532	–39	+24	=1517	59%	0
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1534	+29	+0	=1563	54%	4
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Archer	1514	–2	+24	=1536	46%	6
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1536	–31	+0	=1505	46%	2
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1511	–2	+24	=1533	54%	9
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1537	+1	–3	=1535	49%	1
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ober	1510	+10	+22	=1542	51%	2
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1539	+16	+0	=1555	55%	3
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Plesac	1499	–7	+24	=1516	45%	6
4/20Wednesday, April 205:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lambert	1540	–18	+0	=1522	51%	1
4/20Wednesday, April 205:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1498	–5	+24	=1517	49%	2
4/20Wednesday, April 202:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1543	–31	+3	=1515	44%	1
4/20Wednesday, April 202:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1495	+30	+29	=1554	56%	11
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Feyereisen	1524	–18	+0	=1506	46%	9
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1545	–34	+24	=1535	54%	3
4/16Saturday, April 162:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1525	+12	+0	=1537	47%	2
4/16Saturday, April 162:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1545	–9	+24	=1560	53%	3
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1526	+12	–3	=1535	44%	2
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1544	+11	+24	=1579	56%	3
4/14Thursday, April 142:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1497	+7	+0	=1504	43%	5
4/14Thursday, April 142:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lambert	1546	–19	+24	=1551	57%	1
4/13Wednesday, April 137:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Ray	1499	+38	+0	=1537	50%	4
4/13Wednesday, April 137:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1545	–31	+24	=1538	50%	6
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Brash	1500	–12	–2	=1486	43%	2
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1544	–34	+24	=1534	57%	3
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1541	–11	+0	=1530	56%	10
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1470	–5	+24	=1489	44%	1
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1540	+9	+0	=1549	57%	5
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Mize	1472	+2	+24	=1498	43%	2
4/8Friday, April 81:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1541	+26	–2	=1565	58%	4
4/8Friday, April 81:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1471	+13	+24	=1508	42%	5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.