Updated Oct. 1, 2022, at 1:19 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The White Sox are done for the season.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
GuardiansGuardians89-68
White SoxWhite Sox78-7911.0
TwinsTwins77-8012.0
TigersTigers63-9325.5
RoyalsRoyals63-9426.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/1Saturday, Oct. 18:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1506+37+0=154350%
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
15243+24=154550%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1506+10+0=151643%
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1524+20+24=156857%
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1501+142=151349%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15064+20=152251%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
150110+0=149146%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15069+24=152154%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
150116+0=148547%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
150621+24=150953%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
1504274=147335%3
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1526+34+24=158465%1
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
150210+0=149248%4
MINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
150019+24=150552%3
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15041+0=150349%4
MINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
149811+24=151151%8
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1506+14+0=152048%0
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1496+9+26=153152%4
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145212+0=144032%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1509+36+24=156968%1
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
144922+0=142738%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
151127+24=150862%2
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1447+101=145640%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
151312+24=152560%3
9/22Thursday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1520+38+0=155853%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15141+24=153747%2
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1518+23+0=154147%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1517+18+24=155953%2
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1516122=150239%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1519+35+24=157861%7
9/18Sunday, Sept. 1812:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
151736+0=148154%11
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
144519+24=145046%5
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15164+0=151255%4
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1446+7+24=147745%3
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1517131=150354%2
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1445+1+26=147246%3
9/15Thursday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1515+172=153055%8
CLECLEGuardians
Gaddis, Hunter
Gaddis
151441+24=149745%2
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 142:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1455+17+0=147235%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1517+38+24=157965%0
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1456161=143937%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
15166+22=153263%4
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1520+2+0=152258%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1430+12+24=146642%10
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1518+15+0=153361%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Martinez, Adrian
Martinez
1432+0+24=145639%2
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
151614+0=150257%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14335+24=145243%3
9/8Thursday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1514+363=154761%14
OAKOAKAthletics
Sears, JP
Sears
1436+10+24=147039%2
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
15114+0=150739%9
SEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1531+33+24=158861%6
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1513+2+0=151544%0
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1530+1+24=155556%3
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1512+114=151948%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
153116+20=153552%2
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15094+0=150547%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
151413+24=152553%1
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1512+18+0=153045%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1510+31+24=156555%13
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1513+23+0=153654%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
150923+24=151046%4
9/1Thursday, Sept. 12:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Mengden, Daniel
Mengden
14541+0=145339%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1507+3+24=153461%7
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145511+0=144436%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1507+10+24=154164%4
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1454+33+0=148744%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15087+26=152756%7
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
147514+0=146136%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1510+29+24=156364%2
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1473+26+0=149947%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
151216+24=152053%5
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
147010+0=146038%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1515+7+21=154362%2
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1516+6+0=152252%3
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14853+24=150648%4
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
151510+0=150550%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
14879+24=150250%3
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1516+303=154354%3
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1485+3+26=151446%5
8/22Monday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1518+41=152157%4
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1452+1+21=147443%6
8/20Saturday, Aug. 206:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1516+3+0=151943%2
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1513+32+24=156957%0
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1517+52=152044%2
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1511+22+26=155956%5
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
156416+0=154851%21
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15226+24=154049%5
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1563+4+0=156752%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1523+3+24=155048%2
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1564+33+0=159753%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1522+32+24=157847%4
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1566123=155151%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15202+24=154249%4
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14491+0=144836%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1519+3+24=154664%5
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14505+0=144537%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15194+24=153963%6
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
145112=144837%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1518+0+22=154063%2
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1519+34+0=155360%3
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1457+3+24=148440%5
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1522+1+0=152357%3
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14552+24=147743%8
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:30 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
152119+0=150256%3
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
145622+24=145844%2
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 94:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1522+7+0=152954%2
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1454+20+26=150046%4
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15204+0=151657%8
TEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
147631+24=146943%2
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1524+3+0=152754%0
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1473+1+24=149846%8
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1523+32+0=155560%2
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147315+24=148240%1
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1524+03=152156%2
TEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
147216+24=148044%3
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1450+24+0=147439%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1523+5+24=155261%4
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1452+2+0=145438%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15213+24=154262%9
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145173=144135%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1522+5+24=155165%1
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
144437+0=140727%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1522+33+24=157973%4
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
144412+0=143234%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1521+2+24=154766%3
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
144222=143834%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1524+8+23=155566%3
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15252+0=152356%5
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1460+0+24=148444%6
7/26Tuesday, July 268:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1524+31=152655%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1461+7+21=148945%1
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1502+31+0=153343%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1523+32+24=157957%6
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
150234+0=146838%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1522+5+24=155162%5
7/23Saturday, July 231:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1500+16+0=151645%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1524+3+24=155155%4
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14973+5=149941%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1527+5+29=156159%2
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1523+26+0=154951%11
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
1518+1+24=154349%0
7/16Saturday, July 162:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1525+9+0=153450%3
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15177+24=153450%6
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1523+4+0=152749%6
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15196+24=153751%2
7/14Thursday, July 147:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1519+13=151743%12
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1523+21+24=156857%2
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1518+4+0=152252%2
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149412+24=150648%1
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1516+25+0=154157%7
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
149631+24=148943%0
7/12Tuesday, July 121:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
151714+0=150344%1
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1494+27+24=154556%4
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1519+172=153453%4
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14923+21=151047%8
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
146430+0=143434%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1519+5+24=154866%4
7/9Saturday, July 92:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
146613+0=145338%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15175+24=153662%8
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1464+7+0=147139%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1518+5+24=154761%5
7/7Thursday, July 78:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146352=145634%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1520+24+24=156866%1
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1525+15+0=154047%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1519+21+24=156453%9
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
15231+0=152245%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1522+13+24=155955%2
7/4Monday, July 48:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1521132=150645%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15236+20=153755%3
7/3Sunday, July 34:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1520+0+0=152047%13
SFSFGiants
Brebbia, John
Brebbia (open)
1518+0+24=154253%4
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1518+24+0=154247%5
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1520+22+24=156653%3
7/1Friday, July 110:15 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1517+18+0=153551%1
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152116+26=153149%0
6/29Wednesday, June 299:38 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1519+17+0=153646%1
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1507+32+24=156354%4
6/28Tuesday, June 289:38 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15163+0=151351%11
LAALAAAngels
Silseth, Chase
Silseth
150925+24=150849%4
6/27Monday, June 279:38 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
151724=151147%3
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1508+0+24=153253%4
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1456+2+0=145836%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1517+21+24=156264%4
6/25Saturday, June 252:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
145326+0=142731%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1519+20+24=156369%2
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14511+0=145034%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1522+18+24=156466%1
6/23Thursday, June 238:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
144883=143735%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15241+24=154765%0
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15477+0=154048%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1527+5+24=155652%5
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1548+8+0=155649%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1526+14+24=156451%7
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1549+82=155548%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1525+22+21=156852%8
6/19Sunday, June 197 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1526+21+0=154746%3
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1547+1+24=157254%4
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15227+0=151536%7
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1550+40+24=161464%0
6/17Friday, June 178:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1525+131=153745%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1548+3+24=157555%13
6/15Wednesday, June 151:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
152131+0=149051%13
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
14591+24=148249%0
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1520+13+0=153362%5
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
146038+24=144638%1
6/13Monday, June 137:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1518+272=154361%9
DETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
146221+24=146539%5
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1479+7+0=148639%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1520+22+24=156661%6
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1477+21+0=149841%11
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1522+15+24=156159%9
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Bush, Matt
Bush (open)
1479+1+0=148044%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
152019+24=152556%8
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159014+0=157653%11
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1521+14+24=155947%9
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1588+6+0=159458%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152211+24=153542%1
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
1590332=155549%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1520+16+23=155951%4
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1519+21+0=154051%6
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153017+24=153749%5
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1518+16+0=153446%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1531+8+24=156354%2
6/3Friday, June 37:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
1519153=150139%3
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+25+21=157661%6
6/2Thursday, June 23:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152112+0=150937%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1553+24+24=160163%8
6/1Wednesday, June 17:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1523+22+0=154548%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Ryu, Hyun Jin
Ryu
155118+24=155752%7
5/31Tuesday, May 317:07 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1524+24+0=154843%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1550+22+22=159457%6
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1479+19+0=149842%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1523+10+24=155758%5
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14779+0=146840%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152512+26=153960%1
5/26Thursday, May 268:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15316+0=152552%16
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152842+24=151048%7
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15326+0=152643%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1527+22+24=157357%3
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1527+11=152744%16
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1532+16+23=157156%3
5/22Sunday, May 227 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1529+13+0=154242%5
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1572+0+24=159658%0
5/22Sunday, May 223:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152716+0=151139%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15745+24=159361%1
5/21Saturday, May 211:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1528381=148934%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1573+8+24=160566%7
5/19Thursday, May 192:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
152735+0=149253%7
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
146214+24=147247%4
5/18Wednesday, May 188:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1529+23+0=155258%2
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1460+11+24=149542%6
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
153025+0=150553%1
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1459+4+24=148747%2
5/17Tuesday, May 172:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1529+15+0=154459%3
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
14605+24=147941%0
5/16Monday, May 168:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1528222=150451%5
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1461+12+21=149449%3
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1571+4+0=157551%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1529+12+24=156549%1
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15723+0=156958%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152840+24=151242%3
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1570+17+0=158759%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
153028+24=152641%4
5/12Thursday, May 128:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Gil, Luis
Gil
1567223=154245%15
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1533+19+26=157855%7
5/10Tuesday, May 108:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1501+6+0=150740%1
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1532+22+24=157860%4
5/9Monday, May 98:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
1499112=148639%12
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1534+6+21=156161%9
5/8Sunday, May 811:35 a.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153344+0=148941%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1518+7+24=154959%2
5/7Saturday, May 74:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1532+20+0=155254%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
151920+24=152346%1
5/6Friday, May 67:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
1530301=149941%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1521+15+24=156059%2
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1529+24+0=155358%4
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
14784+24=149842%3
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1528+51=153255%3
CHCCHCCubs
Effross, Scott
Effross
14798+25=149645%1
5/2Monday, May 22:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1527+7+0=153446%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1527+14+24=156554%3
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1526+1+0=152752%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152840+24=151248%5
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
152826+0=150248%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
152634+24=151652%4
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Herget, Jimmy
Herget
1525174=150439%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1528+28+24=158061%1
4/28Thursday, April 282:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1465+7+0=147237%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1530+7+24=156163%2
4/27Wednesday, April 272:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1466+11+0=147738%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1529+13+24=156662%7
4/26Tuesday, April 267:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1463112=145041%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
153239+24=151759%0
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1534+29+0=156354%4
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15142+24=153646%6
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
153631+0=150546%2
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15112+24=153354%9
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1537+13=153549%1
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1510+10+22=154251%2
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1539+16+0=155555%3
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14997+24=151645%6
4/20Wednesday, April 205:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
154018+0=152251%1
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
14985+24=151749%2
4/20Wednesday, April 202:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154331+3=151544%1
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1495+30+29=155456%11
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Feyereisen, J.P.
Feyereisen
152418+0=150646%9
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
154534+24=153554%3
4/16Saturday, April 162:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1525+12+0=153747%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
15459+24=156053%3
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1526+123=153544%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1544+11+24=157956%3
4/14Thursday, April 142:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1497+7+0=150443%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
154619+24=155157%1
4/13Wednesday, April 137:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1499+38+0=153750%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154531+24=153850%6
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
1500122=148643%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
154434+24=153457%3
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
154111+0=153056%10
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14705+24=148944%1
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1540+9+0=154957%5
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1472+2+24=149843%2
4/8Friday, April 81:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1541+262=156558%4
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1471+13+24=150842%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.