Updated Oct. 1, 2022, at 1:19 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The White Sox are done for the season.

AL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Guardians Guardians89-68	—	✓	✓
White Sox White Sox78-79	11.0	—	—
Twins Twins77-80	12.0	—	—
Tigers Tigers63-93	25.5	—	—
Royals Royals63-94	26.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
10/1Saturday, Oct. 18:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1506	+37	+0	=1543	50%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 18:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1524	–3	+24	=1545	50%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1506	+10	+0	=1516	43%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1524	+20	+24	=1568	57%
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ober	1501	+14	–2	=1513	49%
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1506	–4	+20	=1522	51%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Winder	1501	–10	+0	=1491	46%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1506	–9	+24	=1521	54%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Varland	1501	–16	+0	=1485	47%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1506	–21	+24	=1509	53%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1504	–27	–4	=1473	35%	3
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1526	+34	+24	=1584	65%	1
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1502	–10	+0	=1492	48%	4
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Varland	1500	–19	+24	=1505	52%	3
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1504	–1	+0	=1503	49%	4
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Winder	1498	–11	+24	=1511	51%	8
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1506	+14	+0	=1520	48%	0
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ober	1496	+9	+26	=1531	52%	4
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Alexander	1452	–12	+0	=1440	32%	4
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1509	+36	+24	=1569	68%	1
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Hutchison	1449	–22	+0	=1427	38%	7
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1511	–27	+24	=1508	62%	2
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1447	+10	–1	=1456	40%	5
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1513	–12	+24	=1525	60%	3
9/22Thursday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1520	+38	+0	=1558	53%	4
9/22Thursday, Sept. 228:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1514	–1	+24	=1537	47%	2
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1518	+23	+0	=1541	47%	8
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1517	+18	+24	=1559	53%	2
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Civale	1516	–12	–2	=1502	39%	10
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1519	+35	+24	=1578	61%	7
9/18Sunday, Sept. 1812:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1517	–36	+0	=1481	54%	11
9/18Sunday, Sept. 1812:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Hutchison	1445	–19	+24	=1450	46%	5
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1516	–4	+0	=1512	55%	4
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1446	+7	+24	=1477	45%	3
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1517	–13	–1	=1503	54%	2
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Manning	1445	+1	+26	=1472	46%	3
9/15Thursday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1515	+17	–2	=1530	55%	8
9/15Thursday, Sept. 151:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Gaddis	1514	–41	+24	=1497	45%	2
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1455	+17	+0	=1472	35%	3
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1517	+38	+24	=1579	65%	0
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1456	–16	–1	=1439	37%	2
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1516	–6	+22	=1532	63%	4
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1520	+2	+0	=1522	58%	3
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1430	+12	+24	=1466	42%	10
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1518	+15	+0	=1533	61%	10
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Martinez	1432	+0	+24	=1456	39%	2
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1516	–14	+0	=1502	57%	5
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1433	–5	+24	=1452	43%	3
9/8Thursday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1514	+36	–3	=1547	61%	14
9/8Thursday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Sears	1436	+10	+24	=1470	39%	2
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1511	–4	+0	=1507	39%	9
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Castillo	1531	+33	+24	=1588	61%	6
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1513	+2	+0	=1515	44%	0
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1530	+1	+24	=1555	56%	3
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1512	+11	–4	=1519	48%	3
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1531	–16	+20	=1535	52%	2
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1509	–4	+0	=1505	47%	5
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1514	–13	+24	=1525	53%	1
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Mahle	1512	+18	+0	=1530	45%	0
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1510	+31	+24	=1565	55%	13
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1513	+23	+0	=1536	54%	3
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1509	–23	+24	=1510	46%	4
9/1Thursday, Sept. 12:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Mengden	1454	–1	+0	=1453	39%	1
9/1Thursday, Sept. 12:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1507	+3	+24	=1534	61%	7
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bubic	1455	–11	+0	=1444	36%	2
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 318:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1507	+10	+24	=1541	64%	4
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1454	+33	+0	=1487	44%	9
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 308:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1508	–7	+26	=1527	56%	7
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1475	–14	+0	=1461	36%	3
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1510	+29	+24	=1563	64%	2
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1473	+26	+0	=1499	47%	10
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1512	–16	+24	=1520	53%	5
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1470	–10	+0	=1460	38%	7
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1515	+7	+21	=1543	62%	2
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1516	+6	+0	=1522	52%	3
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lyles	1485	–3	+24	=1506	48%	4
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1515	–10	+0	=1505	50%	5
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Watkins	1487	–9	+24	=1502	50%	3
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1516	+30	–3	=1543	54%	3
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Voth	1485	+3	+26	=1514	46%	5
8/22Monday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1518	+4	–1	=1521	57%	4
8/22Monday, Aug. 222:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1452	+1	+21	=1474	43%	6
8/20Saturday, Aug. 206:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1516	+3	+0	=1519	43%	2
8/20Saturday, Aug. 206:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1513	+32	+24	=1569	57%	0
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1517	+5	–2	=1520	44%	2
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1511	+22	+26	=1559	56%	5
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1564	–16	+0	=1548	51%	21
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1522	–6	+24	=1540	49%	5
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1563	+4	+0	=1567	52%	3
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1523	+3	+24	=1550	48%	2
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1564	+33	+0	=1597	53%	3
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1522	+32	+24	=1578	47%	4
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1566	–12	–3	=1551	51%	2
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1520	–2	+24	=1542	49%	4
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Alexander	1449	–1	+0	=1448	36%	3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1519	+3	+24	=1546	64%	5
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Manning	1450	–5	+0	=1445	37%	4
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1519	–4	+24	=1539	63%	6
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Norris	1451	–1	–2	=1448	37%	0
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1518	+0	+22	=1540	63%	2
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1519	+34	+0	=1553	60%	3
8/11Thursday, Aug. 112:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1457	+3	+24	=1484	40%	5
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1522	+1	+0	=1523	57%	3
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Bubic	1455	–2	+24	=1477	43%	8
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:30 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1521	–19	+0	=1502	56%	3
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:30 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1456	–22	+24	=1458	44%	2
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 94:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1522	+7	+0	=1529	54%	2
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 94:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1454	+20	+26	=1500	46%	4
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1520	–4	+0	=1516	57%	8
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:35 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Howard	1476	–31	+24	=1469	43%	2
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1524	+3	+0	=1527	54%	0
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1473	+1	+24	=1498	46%	8
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1523	+32	+0	=1555	60%	2
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1473	–15	+24	=1482	40%	1
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1524	+0	–3	=1521	56%	2
8/4Thursday, Aug. 48:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Ragans	1472	–16	+24	=1480	44%	3
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1450	+24	+0	=1474	39%	1
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1523	+5	+24	=1552	61%	4
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1452	+2	+0	=1454	38%	2
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1521	–3	+24	=1542	62%	9
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1451	–7	–3	=1441	35%	2
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1522	+5	+24	=1551	65%	1
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Oller	1444	–37	+0	=1407	27%	1
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1522	+33	+24	=1579	73%	4
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1444	–12	+0	=1432	34%	2
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1521	+2	+24	=1547	66%	3
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1442	–2	–2	=1438	34%	7
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1524	+8	+23	=1555	66%	3
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1525	–2	+0	=1523	56%	5
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1460	+0	+24	=1484	44%	6
7/26Tuesday, July 268:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1524	+3	–1	=1526	55%	2
7/26Tuesday, July 268:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1461	+7	+21	=1489	45%	1
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1502	+31	+0	=1533	43%	3
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1523	+32	+24	=1579	57%	6
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Pilkington	1502	–34	+0	=1468	38%	4
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1522	+5	+24	=1551	62%	5
7/23Saturday, July 231:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1500	+16	+0	=1516	45%	7
7/23Saturday, July 231:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1524	+3	+24	=1551	55%	4
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1497	–3	+5	=1499	41%	8
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1527	+5	+29	=1561	59%	2
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1523	+26	+0	=1549	51%	11
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Archer	1518	+1	+24	=1543	49%	0
7/16Saturday, July 162:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1525	+9	+0	=1534	50%	3
7/16Saturday, July 162:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1517	–7	+24	=1534	50%	6
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1523	+4	+0	=1527	49%	6
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Smeltzer	1519	–6	+24	=1537	51%	2
7/14Thursday, July 147:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1519	+1	–3	=1517	43%	12
7/14Thursday, July 147:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1523	+21	+24	=1568	57%	2
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1518	+4	+0	=1522	52%	2
7/13Wednesday, July 137:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Civale	1494	–12	+24	=1506	48%	1
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1516	+25	+0	=1541	57%	7
7/12Tuesday, July 127:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Pilkington	1496	–31	+24	=1489	43%	0
7/12Tuesday, July 121:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1517	–14	+0	=1503	44%	1
7/12Tuesday, July 121:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1494	+27	+24	=1545	56%	4
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1519	+17	–2	=1534	53%	4
7/11Monday, July 117:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1492	–3	+21	=1510	47%	8
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Hutchison	1464	–30	+0	=1434	34%	2
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1519	+5	+24	=1548	66%	4
7/9Saturday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Hill	1466	–13	+0	=1453	38%	0
7/9Saturday, July 92:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1517	–5	+24	=1536	62%	8
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1464	+7	+0	=1471	39%	7
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1518	+5	+24	=1547	61%	5
7/7Thursday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Brieske	1463	–5	–2	=1456	34%	2
7/7Thursday, July 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1520	+24	+24	=1568	66%	1
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1525	+15	+0	=1540	47%	8
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1519	+21	+24	=1564	53%	9
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Winder	1523	–1	+0	=1522	45%	8
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1522	+13	+24	=1559	55%	2
7/4Monday, July 48:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1521	–13	–2	=1506	45%	6
7/4Monday, July 48:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1523	–6	+20	=1537	55%	3
7/3Sunday, July 34:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1520	+0	+0	=1520	47%	13
7/3Sunday, July 34:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1518	+0	+24	=1542	53%	4
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1518	+24	+0	=1542	47%	5
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1520	+22	+24	=1566	53%	3
7/1Friday, July 110:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1517	+18	+0	=1535	51%	1
7/1Friday, July 110:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1521	–16	+26	=1531	49%	0
6/29Wednesday, June 299:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1519	+17	+0	=1536	46%	1
6/29Wednesday, June 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1507	+32	+24	=1563	54%	4
6/28Tuesday, June 289:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1516	–3	+0	=1513	51%	11
6/28Tuesday, June 289:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Silseth	1509	–25	+24	=1508	49%	4
6/27Monday, June 279:38 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1517	–2	–4	=1511	47%	3
6/27Monday, June 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1508	+0	+24	=1532	53%	4
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lyles	1456	+2	+0	=1458	36%	3
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1517	+21	+24	=1562	64%	4
6/25Saturday, June 252:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Watkins	1453	–26	+0	=1427	31%	6
6/25Saturday, June 252:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1519	+20	+24	=1563	69%	2
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Voth	1451	–1	+0	=1450	34%	4
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1522	+18	+24	=1564	66%	1
6/23Thursday, June 238:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Kremer	1448	–8	–3	=1437	35%	4
6/23Thursday, June 238:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1524	–1	+24	=1547	65%	0
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Stripling	1547	–7	+0	=1540	48%	9
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1527	+5	+24	=1556	52%	5
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1548	+8	+0	=1556	49%	6
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1526	+14	+24	=1564	51%	7
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1549	+8	–2	=1555	48%	7
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1525	+22	+21	=1568	52%	8
6/19Sunday, June 197 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1526	+21	+0	=1547	46%	3
6/19Sunday, June 197 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1547	+1	+24	=1572	54%	4
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1522	–7	+0	=1515	36%	7
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1550	+40	+24	=1614	64%	0
6/17Friday, June 178:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1525	+13	–1	=1537	45%	3
6/17Friday, June 178:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1548	+3	+24	=1575	55%	13
6/15Wednesday, June 151:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1521	–31	+0	=1490	51%	13
6/15Wednesday, June 151:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Faedo	1459	–1	+24	=1482	49%	0
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1520	+13	+0	=1533	62%	5
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Hutchison	1460	–38	+24	=1446	38%	1
6/13Monday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lynn	1518	+27	–2	=1543	61%	9
6/13Monday, June 137:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Garcia	1462	–21	+24	=1465	39%	5
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1479	+7	+0	=1486	39%	8
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1520	+22	+24	=1566	61%	6
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1477	+21	+0	=1498	41%	11
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1522	+15	+24	=1561	59%	9
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Bush (open)	1479	+1	+0	=1480	44%	3
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1520	–19	+24	=1525	56%	8
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1590	–14	+0	=1576	53%	11
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1521	+14	+24	=1559	47%	9
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1588	+6	+0	=1594	58%	4
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1522	–11	+24	=1535	42%	1
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	White	1590	–33	–2	=1555	49%	0
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1520	+16	+23	=1559	51%	4
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1519	+21	+0	=1540	51%	6
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Yarbrough	1530	–17	+24	=1537	49%	5
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1518	+16	+0	=1534	46%	3
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1531	+8	+24	=1563	54%	2
6/3Friday, June 37:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1519	–15	–3	=1501	39%	3
6/3Friday, June 37:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1530	+25	+21	=1576	61%	6
6/2Thursday, June 23:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1521	–12	+0	=1509	37%	3
6/2Thursday, June 23:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1553	+24	+24	=1601	63%	8
6/1Wednesday, June 17:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1523	+22	+0	=1545	48%	3
6/1Wednesday, June 17:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ryu	1551	–18	+24	=1557	52%	7
5/31Tuesday, May 317:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1524	+24	+0	=1548	43%	5
5/31Tuesday, May 317:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1550	+22	+22	=1594	57%	6
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1479	+19	+0	=1498	42%	4
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1523	+10	+24	=1557	58%	5
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Thompson	1477	–9	+0	=1468	40%	5
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1525	–12	+26	=1539	60%	1
5/26Thursday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Wacha	1531	–6	+0	=1525	52%	16
5/26Thursday, May 268:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–42	+24	=1510	48%	7
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1532	–6	+0	=1526	43%	1
5/25Wednesday, May 258:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1527	+22	+24	=1573	57%	3
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1527	+1	–1	=1527	44%	16
5/24Tuesday, May 248:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1532	+16	+23	=1571	56%	3
5/22Sunday, May 227 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1529	+13	+0	=1542	42%	5
5/22Sunday, May 227 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1572	+0	+24	=1596	58%	0
5/22Sunday, May 223:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1527	–16	+0	=1511	39%	3
5/22Sunday, May 223:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Taillon	1574	–5	+24	=1593	61%	1
5/21Saturday, May 211:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–38	–1	=1489	34%	5
5/21Saturday, May 211:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1573	+8	+24	=1605	66%	7
5/19Thursday, May 192:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1527	–35	+0	=1492	53%	7
5/19Thursday, May 192:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Hernandez	1462	–14	+24	=1472	47%	4
5/18Wednesday, May 188:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1529	+23	+0	=1552	58%	2
5/18Wednesday, May 188:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1460	+11	+24	=1495	42%	6
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1530	–25	+0	=1505	53%	1
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1459	+4	+24	=1487	47%	2
5/17Tuesday, May 172:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1529	+15	+0	=1544	59%	3
5/17Tuesday, May 172:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1460	–5	+24	=1479	41%	0
5/16Monday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1528	–22	–2	=1504	51%	5
5/16Monday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1461	+12	+21	=1494	49%	3
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1571	+4	+0	=1575	51%	5
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1529	+12	+24	=1565	49%	1
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1572	–3	+0	=1569	58%	2
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–40	+24	=1512	42%	3
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1570	+17	+0	=1587	59%	10
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1530	–28	+24	=1526	41%	4
5/12Thursday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Gil	1567	–22	–3	=1542	45%	15
5/12Thursday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1533	+19	+26	=1578	55%	7
5/10Tuesday, May 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1501	+6	+0	=1507	40%	1
5/10Tuesday, May 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1532	+22	+24	=1578	60%	4
5/9Monday, May 98:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Plesac	1499	–11	–2	=1486	39%	12
5/9Monday, May 98:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1534	+6	+21	=1561	61%	9
5/8Sunday, May 811:35 a.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1533	–44	+0	=1489	41%	3
5/8Sunday, May 811:35 a.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Houck	1518	+7	+24	=1549	59%	2
5/7Saturday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1532	+20	+0	=1552	54%	3
5/7Saturday, May 74:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1519	–20	+24	=1523	46%	1
5/6Friday, May 67:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1530	–30	–1	=1499	41%	4
5/6Friday, May 67:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1521	+15	+24	=1560	59%	2
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1529	+24	+0	=1553	58%	4
5/4Wednesday, May 47:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1478	–4	+24	=1498	42%	3
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1528	+5	–1	=1532	55%	3
5/3Tuesday, May 37:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Effross	1479	–8	+25	=1496	45%	1
5/2Monday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1527	+7	+0	=1534	46%	0
5/2Monday, May 22:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1527	+14	+24	=1565	54%	3
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1526	+1	+0	=1527	52%	6
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–40	+24	=1512	48%	5
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Suarez	1528	–26	+0	=1502	48%	0
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1526	–34	+24	=1516	52%	4
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Herget	1525	–17	–4	=1504	39%	5
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1528	+28	+24	=1580	61%	1
4/28Thursday, April 282:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1465	+7	+0	=1472	37%	5
4/28Thursday, April 282:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1530	+7	+24	=1561	63%	2
4/27Wednesday, April 272:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1466	+11	+0	=1477	38%	3
4/27Wednesday, April 272:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1529	+13	+24	=1566	62%	7
4/26Tuesday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1463	–11	–2	=1450	41%	6
4/26Tuesday, April 267:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1532	–39	+24	=1517	59%	0
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1534	+29	+0	=1563	54%	4
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Archer	1514	–2	+24	=1536	46%	6
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1536	–31	+0	=1505	46%	2
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1511	–2	+24	=1533	54%	9
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1537	+1	–3	=1535	49%	1
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ober	1510	+10	+22	=1542	51%	2
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1539	+16	+0	=1555	55%	3
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Plesac	1499	–7	+24	=1516	45%	6
4/20Wednesday, April 205:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lambert	1540	–18	+0	=1522	51%	1
4/20Wednesday, April 205:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1498	–5	+24	=1517	49%	2
4/20Wednesday, April 202:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1543	–31	+3	=1515	44%	1
4/20Wednesday, April 202:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1495	+30	+29	=1554	56%	11
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Feyereisen	1524	–18	+0	=1506	46%	9
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1545	–34	+24	=1535	54%	3
4/16Saturday, April 162:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1525	+12	+0	=1537	47%	2
4/16Saturday, April 162:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1545	–9	+24	=1560	53%	3
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1526	+12	–3	=1535	44%	2
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1544	+11	+24	=1579	56%	3
4/14Thursday, April 142:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1497	+7	+0	=1504	43%	5
4/14Thursday, April 142:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Lambert	1546	–19	+24	=1551	57%	1
4/13Wednesday, April 137:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Ray	1499	+38	+0	=1537	50%	4
4/13Wednesday, April 137:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1545	–31	+24	=1538	50%	6
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Brash	1500	–12	–2	=1486	43%	2
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1544	–34	+24	=1534	57%	3
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1541	–11	+0	=1530	56%	10
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1470	–5	+24	=1489	44%	1
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1540	+9	+0	=1549	57%	5
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Mize	1472	+2	+24	=1498	43%	2
4/8Friday, April 81:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1541	+26	–2	=1565	58%	4
4/8Friday, April 81:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1471	+13	+24	=1508	42%	5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.