Updated May 22, 2022, at 5:18 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mariners have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros26-1593%72%
AngelsAngels25-171.570%25%
MarinersMariners17-259.511%2%
RangersRangers18-217.08%1%
AthleticsAthletics17-259.51%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
145243=144540%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1492+3+20=151560%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14522+0=145042%
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14929+24=150758%
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
14525+0=144736%
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1492+28+24=154464%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1553+472=159862%
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14926+26=151238%
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155314+0=153951%
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1492+17+24=153349%
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15535+0=154854%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1492+3+24=151946%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
149292=148153%
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1433+7+22=146247%
6/1Wednesday, June 17:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1492+28+0=152060%
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14336+24=145140%
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149455%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145645%
6/3Friday, June 38:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+23=149149%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149851%
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149449%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149851%
6/5Sunday, June 52:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149449%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149851%
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+22=149238%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+21=157562%
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149438%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149438%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
6/10Friday, June 1010:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
152723=152251%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+22=151649%
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15272+0=152551%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151849%
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15272+0=152551%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151849%
6/13Monday, June 1310:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+13=152150%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151850%
6/14Tuesday, June 1410:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152451%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151849%
6/15Wednesday, June 154:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+0=152451%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151849%
6/16Thursday, June 1610:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152852%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151848%
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153152%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151848%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153152%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151848%
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153152%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151848%
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153152%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151848%
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+21=149352%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+26=147948%
6/22Wednesday, June 229:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149452%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147748%
6/23Thursday, June 233:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149452%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147748%
6/24Friday, June 249:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+22=149241%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+26=155759%
6/25Saturday, June 2510:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149441%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155559%
6/26Sunday, June 264:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149441%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155559%
6/27Monday, June 2710:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143314=142838%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+21=151562%
6/28Tuesday, June 2810:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143238%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151862%
6/29Wednesday, June 294:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143238%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151862%
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+14=144940%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151860%
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145341%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151859%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145341%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151859%
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145341%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151859%
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+23=149140%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+23=156460%
7/5Tuesday, July 54:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149440%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156560%
7/7Thursday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1545+03=154254%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+23=151746%
7/8Friday, July 810:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+0=154554%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151846%
7/9Saturday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+0=154554%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151846%
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1545+0+0=154554%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151846%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+22=149251%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14622+23=148349%
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149451%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14622+24=148449%
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+23=149149%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149851%
7/15Friday, July 158:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149449%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149851%
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149449%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149851%
7/17Sunday, July 172:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149449%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149851%
7/22Friday, July 2210:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+14=155054%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+27=152146%
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155455%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151845%
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155455%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151845%
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+03=147143%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151857%
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147444%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151856%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147444%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151856%
7/28Thursday, July 288:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+24=149038%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+20=157462%
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149438%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
7/30Saturday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149438%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149438%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+23=149135%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159965%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149435%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159965%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149435%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159965%
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152852%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+22=151648%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153152%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151848%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153152%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151848%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153152%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151848%
8/8Monday, Aug. 810:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+14=157158%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151842%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157558%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151842%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157558%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151842%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+22=149249%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+22=149651%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149449%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149851%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149449%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149851%
8/15Monday, Aug. 159:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+23=149141%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155559%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 169:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149441%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155559%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149441%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155559%
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149453%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+20=147347%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149452%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147748%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149452%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147748%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146221=145942%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+23=151758%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14622+0=146042%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151858%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 254:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1496+03=149347%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151853%
8/26Friday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1496+0+0=149647%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151853%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1496+0+0=149647%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151853%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1496+0+0=149647%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151853%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+22=149251%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+23=148249%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149451%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+24=148349%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 11:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149451%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+24=148349%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+21=149346%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1496+0+24=152054%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149446%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1496+0+24=152054%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 4SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149446%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1496+0+24=152054%
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+04=152351%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+22=151649%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152751%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151849%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152751%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151849%
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154011=153853%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+26=152047%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 109:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15401+0=153953%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151847%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15401+0=153953%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151847%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+01=154053%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+26=152047%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+0=154153%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151847%
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+21=149341%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+22=155359%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 179:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149441%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155559%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149441%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155559%
9/19Monday, Sept. 194:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149441%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155559%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+22=149252%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+22=147548%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149452%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147748%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149452%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147748%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+24=149051%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148249%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149452%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148248%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+0=149452%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148248%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+02=147244%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+22=151656%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147444%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151856%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147444%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151856%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+13=145040%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151860%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145341%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151859%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145341%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151859%
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1459+04=145541%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151859%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+0=145942%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151858%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+0=145942%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151858%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1459+0+0=145942%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1492+2+24=151858%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1493+17+0=151044%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1526+0+24=155056%8
5/21Saturday, May 214:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14941+0=149344%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152517+24=153256%6
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+28+0=152448%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15236+24=154152%7
5/19Thursday, May 197:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
149842=149243%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15212+24=154357%12
5/18Wednesday, May 187:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1495+0+0=149536%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+21+24=159264%1
5/17Tuesday, May 177:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1496+13+0=150941%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+2+24=157259%3
5/16Monday, May 167:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1498+02=149643%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154424+21=154157%6
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1497+30+0=152748%8
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153415+24=154352%7
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14983+0=149540%4
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1533+11+24=156860%5
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
149622=149237%2
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1535+29+22=158663%1
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
151740+0=147741%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1498+15+24=153759%2
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1518+10+0=152847%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1497+30+24=155153%5
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
151474=150346%9
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1501+5+24=153054%0
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153420+0=151450%1
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
149911+24=151250%2
5/7Saturday, May 79:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1532+17+0=154953%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1502+1+24=152747%2
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1531+0+0=153148%8
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1503+17+24=154452%7
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+183=154549%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1504+30+20=155451%3
5/4Wednesday, May 42:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
150525+0=148032%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1543+45+24=161268%7
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1507+3+0=151042%0
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1541+4+24=156958%4
5/2Monday, May 28:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1508+33=150845%0
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154018+21=154355%3
5/1Sunday, May 11:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1506+16+0=152247%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1497+19+24=154053%3
4/30Saturday, April 306:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1508+31+0=153956%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149525+24=149444%3
4/29Friday, April 296:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
1509142=149351%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149426+21=148949%8
4/28Thursday, April 281:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1510+0+0=151045%1
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
152810+24=154255%2
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1511+3+0=151444%2
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1527+8+24=155956%3
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1509+112=151844%8
TBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1530+0+26=155656%4
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
1464+2+0=146636%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1508+31+24=156364%5
4/23Saturday, April 239:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14665+0=146142%7
SEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
15069+24=152158%13
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1467+94=147242%1
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15052+24=152758%4
4/21Thursday, April 219:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14602+0=145839%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1507+8+24=153961%6
4/20Wednesday, April 209:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1462+13+0=147541%2
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1505+8+24=153759%4
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1463+192=148039%2
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1504+30+26=156061%6
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1545+0+0=154554%2
SEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
15029+24=151746%7
4/16Saturday, April 169:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1544+39+0=158358%4
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15032+24=152542%0
4/15Friday, April 159:42 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1547131=153351%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1500+5+20=152549%11
4/14Thursday, April 142:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1497+7+0=150443%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
154619+24=155157%1
4/13Wednesday, April 137:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1499+38+0=153750%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154531+24=153850%6
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
1500122=148643%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
154434+24=153457%3
4/11Monday, April 117:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1501+0+0=150145%0
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15145+24=153355%4
4/10Sunday, April 102:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1503+13+0=151645%4
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1512+13+24=154955%10
4/9Saturday, April 92:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1502+2+0=150442%4
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1513+23+24=156058%3
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1501+373=153549%2
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1514+5+24=154351%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.