Updated Oct. 2, 2022, at 10:36 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mariners have a 1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros104-55
MarinersMariners87-7116.5
AngelsAngels73-8631.0
RangersRangers66-9237.5
AthleticsAthletics57-10247.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Bryan
Garcia
145964=144936%
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1521+7+24=155264%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1459+11+0=147042%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152118+24=152758%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1459+2+0=146139%
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15219+24=153661%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14598+0=145135%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1521+13+24=155865%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1432+12+0=144433%10
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1525+16+24=156567%3
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
143315+0=141829%1
SEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1524+24+24=157271%5
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Waldichuk, Ken
Waldichuk
143373=142332%1
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1523+8+24=155568%2
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1467+24+0=149144%9
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152215+24=153156%10
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1468+26+0=149442%1
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1521+5+24=155058%3
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Tinoco, Jesus
Tinoco
1465142=144934%5
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1524+18+22=156466%0
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1526+29+0=155561%12
KCKCRoyals
Castillo, Max
Castillo
14554+24=147539%13
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1525+10+0=153560%6
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145616+24=146440%5
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1527154=150849%1
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1454+35+24=151351%5
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1526+10+0=153663%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Martinez, Adrian
Martinez
143718+24=144337%5
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1527+12+0=153961%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1435+3+24=146239%2
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1529+312=155865%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Sears, JP
Sears
14339+22=144635%4
9/19Monday, Sept. 194:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1527+5+0=153254%9
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
149512+24=150746%1
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152913+0=151650%1
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
14933+24=151450%5
9/17Saturday, Sept. 179:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1530+8+0=153848%1
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1492+37+24=155352%2
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1531+171=154756%7
LAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
149111+22=150244%8
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 144:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1520+10+0=153043%1
SEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1529+28+24=158157%6
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1518+271=154448%2
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1530+4+26=156052%0
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157922+0=155753%7
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152916+24=153747%8
9/10Saturday, Sept. 109:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1581+25+0=160657%1
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1528+5+24=155743%3
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1580+71=158651%6
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1529+23+26=157849%4
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
15114+0=150739%9
SEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1531+33+24=158861%6
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1513+2+0=151544%0
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1530+1+24=155556%3
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1512+114=151948%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
153116+20=153552%2
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1529+5+0=153450%6
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1507+6+24=153750%3
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1528+22+0=155057%4
CLECLEGuardians
Curry, Xzavion
Curry
150832+24=150043%0
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1526+331=155858%6
CLECLEGuardians
Morris, Cody
Morris
151030+24=150442%1
9/1Thursday, Sept. 11:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
15232+0=152154%7
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1453+14+24=149146%0
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152213+0=150956%5
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145413+24=146544%3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1520+42=152256%9
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1456+2+23=148144%3
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
151511+0=150441%0
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1519+21+24=156459%4
8/27Saturday, Aug. 2710:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
151319+0=149438%4
SEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1520+35+24=157962%3
8/26Friday, Aug. 2610:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1515+30+0=154550%2
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1519+0+24=154350%3
8/25Thursday, Aug. 254:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1516+243=153751%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151813+24=152949%3
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1433+8+0=144135%3
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1520+4+24=154865%1
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1434+31=143632%2
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1519+21+23=156368%4
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1521+41+0=156263%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Sears, JP
Sears
1437+10+24=147137%5
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1522+2+0=152459%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1436+2+24=146241%4
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151912+0=150754%10
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1439+18+20=147746%2
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1518+4+0=152254%11
LAALAAAngels
Toussaint, Touki
Toussaint
149324+24=149346%7
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 169:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1515+20+0=153555%8
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
149519+24=150045%2
8/15Monday, Aug. 159:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1513+423=155250%6
LAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1497+34+24=155550%2
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1515+2+0=151750%3
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1475+18+24=151750%5
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15169+0=150750%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1473+10+24=150750%7
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1515+22=151555%6
TEXTEXRangers
Sborz, Josh
Sborz
147515+22=148245%2
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1581+8+0=158954%3
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1513+20+24=155746%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1582+17+0=159953%0
SEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1512+38+24=157447%1
8/8Monday, Aug. 810:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
158074=156953%9
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1514+10+24=154847%4
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
149325+0=146842%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15139+24=152858%6
8/6Saturday, Aug. 610:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
1491+3+0=149444%7
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15161+24=153956%1
8/6Saturday, Aug. 64:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Barria, Jaime
Barria
149115+0=147641%1
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
15152+24=153759%2
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1490+03=148740%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+18+22=155660%3
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1514+38+0=155239%7
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1586+20+24=163061%3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1512+16+0=152839%8
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15885+24=160761%6
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151453=150638%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158622+24=158862%7
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
15156+0=150942%2
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156322+24=156558%3
7/30Saturday, July 307:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15132+0=151139%5
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1564+4+24=159261%4
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+21+0=153738%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1562+35+24=162162%11
7/28Thursday, July 288:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1517+144=152744%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
156112+20=156956%4
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1476+26+0=150246%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15168+24=153254%4
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1476+3+0=147943%4
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
151512+24=152757%5
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
1477133=146139%3
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15142+24=153661%4
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1565+3+0=156850%8
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1516+31+24=157150%5
7/23Saturday, July 234:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1564+32+0=159656%3
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1517+12+24=155344%1
7/22Friday, July 2210:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1562154=154350%5
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15184+27=154150%2
7/17Sunday, July 172:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15174+0=151354%6
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147714+24=148746%2
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1516+8+0=152457%3
TEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
147728+24=147343%2
7/15Friday, July 158:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1514+30+0=154456%8
TEXTEXRangers
Bush, Matt
Bush (open)
1479+0+24=150344%3
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1513+03=151049%6
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1480+14+24=151851%5
7/13Wednesday, July 136:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
151232+0=148052%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14411+24=146448%1
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15115+1=150754%6
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1442+14+26=148246%4
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Castillo, Max
Castillo
153623+0=151345%5
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1510+10+24=154455%6
7/9Saturday, July 910:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1537+29+0=156651%1
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1509+29+24=156249%2
7/8Friday, July 810:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15391+0=153852%2
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
150710+24=152148%5
7/7Thursday, July 710:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Banda, Anthony
Banda
1541253=151348%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
15051+23=152752%8
7/5Tuesday, July 54:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1502+13+0=151540%6
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1538+24+24=158660%2
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
149993=148739%8
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15421+23=156461%2
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1429+37+0=146638%1
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1498+28+24=155062%2
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1429+0+0=142939%1
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
149818+24=150461%2
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14278+0=141935%3
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1499+2+24=152565%1
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Martinez, Adrian
Martinez
142834=142133%6
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1499+19+24=154267%8
6/29Wednesday, June 294:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14572+0=145542%3
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14977+24=151458%9
6/28Tuesday, June 2810:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14587+0=145137%0
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+24+24=154463%2
6/27Monday, June 2710:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1455+264=147744%9
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14992+21=151856%2
6/26Sunday, June 264:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1500+1+0=150148%1
LAALAAAngels
Wantz, Andrew
Wantz
150720+24=151152%2
6/25Saturday, June 2510:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1498+21+0=151947%5
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1509+6+24=153953%3
6/24Friday, June 249:38 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
149782=148743%4
LAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1510+2+26=153857%3
6/23Thursday, June 233:37 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+20+0=151655%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1429+31+24=148445%1
6/22Wednesday, June 229:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14939+0=148453%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1432+8+24=146447%0
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1491+11=149156%8
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
143412+26=144844%2
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Rosenberg, Kenny
Rosenberg
151020+0=149043%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1494+21+24=153957%0
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
150830+0=147847%3
SEASEAMariners
Murfee, Penn
Murfee
149517+24=150253%0
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1507+6+0=151350%4
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14977+24=151450%2
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1510+10+0=152048%1
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1494+18+24=153652%8
6/16Thursday, June 1610:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1508+223=152752%4
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14969+24=151148%1
6/15Wednesday, June 154:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1519+27+0=154654%5
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1498+0+24=152246%0
6/14Tuesday, June 1410:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1521+24+0=154551%0
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1496+21+24=154149%5
6/13Monday, June 1310:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
152043=151349%3
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14973+24=151851%2
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
153539+0=149644%2
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1498+15+24=153756%0
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1537+0+0=153752%6
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14971+24=152048%7
6/10Friday, June 1010:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
1536113=152250%4
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1498+2+22=152250%3
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1496+22+0=151844%6
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155218+24=155856%3
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14975+0=149233%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1551+38+24=161367%4
6/6Monday, June 68:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1495+202=151341%7
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1553+1+21=157559%4
6/5Sunday, June 52:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14944+0=149045%6
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1481+19+24=152455%5
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1495+0+0=149550%2
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
148010+24=149450%3
6/3Friday, June 38:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1494+203=151150%4
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1481+7+24=151250%3
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14935+0=148852%7
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1442+7+24=147348%6
6/1Wednesday, June 17:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+24+0=152060%2
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
143813+24=144940%9
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1493122=147952%10
BALBALOrioles
Baker, Bryan
Baker
1441+0+22=146348%0
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15485+0=154354%2
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
14941+24=151746%1
5/28Saturday, May 2810:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155111+0=154051%0
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1492+17+24=153349%6
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1554+462=159862%1
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14895+26=151038%6
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
14522+0=145037%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1491+29+24=154463%2
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1451+0+0=145142%7
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14928+24=150858%5
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
145143=144440%6
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1492+3+20=151560%7
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1493+17+0=151044%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1526+0+24=155056%8
5/21Saturday, May 214:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14941+0=149344%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152517+24=153256%6
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+28+0=152448%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15236+24=154152%7
5/19Thursday, May 197:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
149842=149243%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15212+24=154357%12
5/18Wednesday, May 187:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1495+0+0=149536%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1547+21+24=159264%1
5/17Tuesday, May 177:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1496+13+0=150941%0
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+2+24=157259%3
5/16Monday, May 167:07 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1498+02=149643%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154424+21=154157%6
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1497+30+0=152748%8
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153415+24=154352%7
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14983+0=149540%4
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1533+11+24=156860%5
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
149622=149237%2
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1535+29+22=158663%1
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
151740+0=147741%4
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1498+15+24=153759%2
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1518+10+0=152847%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1497+30+24=155153%5
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
151474=150346%9
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1501+5+24=153054%0
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153420+0=151450%1
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
149911+24=151250%2
5/7Saturday, May 79:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1532+17+0=154953%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1502+1+24=152747%2
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1531+0+0=153148%8
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1503+17+24=154452%7
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+183=154549%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1504+30+20=155451%3
5/4Wednesday, May 42:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
150525+0=148032%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1543+45+24=161268%7
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1507+3+0=151042%0
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1541+4+24=156958%4
5/2Monday, May 28:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1508+33=150845%0
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154018+21=154355%3
5/1Sunday, May 11:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1506+16+0=152247%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1497+19+24=154053%3
4/30Saturday, April 306:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1508+31+0=153956%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149525+24=149444%3
4/29Friday, April 296:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
1509142=149351%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149426+21=148949%8
4/28Thursday, April 281:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1510+0+0=151045%1
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
152810+24=154255%2
4/27Wednesday, April 276:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1511+3+0=151444%2
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1527+8+24=155956%3
4/26Tuesday, April 266:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1509+112=151844%8
TBTBRays
Wisler, Matt
Wisler (open)
1530+0+26=155656%4
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
1464+2+0=146636%4
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1508+31+24=156364%5
4/23Saturday, April 239:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14665+0=146142%7
SEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
15069+24=152158%13
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1467+94=147242%1
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15052+24=152758%4
4/21Thursday, April 219:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14602+0=145839%8
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1507+8+24=153961%6
4/20Wednesday, April 209:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1462+13+0=147541%2
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1505+8+24=153759%4
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1463+192=148039%2
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1504+30+26=156061%6
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
1545+0+0=154554%2
SEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
15029+24=151746%7
4/16Saturday, April 169:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1544+39+0=158358%4
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15032+24=152542%0
4/15Friday, April 159:42 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1547131=153351%1
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1500+5+20=152549%11
4/14Thursday, April 142:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1497+7+0=150443%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lambert, Jimmy
Lambert
154619+24=155157%1
4/13Wednesday, April 137:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1499+38+0=153750%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
154531+24=153850%6
4/12Tuesday, April 124:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
1500122=148643%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
154434+24=153457%3
4/11Monday, April 117:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1501+0+0=150145%0
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15145+24=153355%4
4/10Sunday, April 102:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1503+13+0=151645%4
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1512+13+24=154955%10
4/9Saturday, April 92:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1502+2+0=150442%4
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1513+23+24=156058%3
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1501+373=153549%2
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1514+5+24=154351%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.