Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Yankees have a 16% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees25-997%74%
Blue JaysBlue Jays18-177.569%12%
RaysRays21-144.564%12%
Red SoxRed Sox13-2112.023%2%
OriolesOrioles14-2111.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/16Monday, May 167:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
157323=156866%
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1433+1+22=145634%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15733+0=157069%
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143328+24=142931%
5/18Wednesday, May 187:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1573+16+0=158968%
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1433+0+24=145732%
5/19Thursday, May 1912:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15736+0=156765%
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1433+3+24=146035%
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1528+133=153841%
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1573+8+22=160359%
5/21Saturday, May 211:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152740%
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
15732+24=159560%
5/22Sunday, May 227 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1528+16+0=154443%
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15733+24=159457%
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1433+02=143126%
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1573+16+24=161374%
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1433+3+0=143629%
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15736+24=159171%
5/25Wednesday, May 257:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1433+5+0=143828%
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1573+8+24=160572%
5/26Thursday, May 266:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
157323=156854%
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153016+24=153846%
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+12=153541%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+23=159759%
6/1Wednesday, June 17:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153741%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153741%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145831%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
6/4Saturday, June 41:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146031%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
6/5Sunday, June 511:35 a.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146031%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+11=157354%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+23=154246%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154346%
6/9Thursday, June 97:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154346%
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147934%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+21=159566%
6/11Saturday, June 117:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147934%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159866%
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147934%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159866%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+11=153040%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+26=160060%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
6/17Friday, June 177:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157250%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156850%
6/18Saturday, June 183:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157451%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156849%
6/19Sunday, June 191:37 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157451%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156849%
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+13=157153%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+21=155247%
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
6/23Thursday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+13=155244%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+21=159556%
6/24Friday, June 247:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155544%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159856%
6/25Saturday, June 251:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155544%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159856%
6/26Sunday, June 261:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155544%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159856%
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+03=145030%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159870%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145330%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159870%
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145330%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159870%
6/30Thursday, June 306:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+13=157149%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+21=157651%
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+13=157157%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152343%
7/2Saturday, July 26:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157457%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152343%
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157457%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152343%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157465%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+26=146835%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157465%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146635%
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157254%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
7/10Sunday, July 107 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+11=147733%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159867%
7/13Wednesday, July 137:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147833%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159867%
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147833%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159867%
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+03=151839%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+4=157849%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+31=158651%
7/21Thursday, July 216:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157449%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157951%
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+13=157165%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+28=146035%
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157466%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145634%
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157466%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145634%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157452%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+26=155748%
7/27Wednesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155547%
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+03=145831%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+23=159769%
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146131%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
7/30Saturday, July 302:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146131%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146131%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+23=149736%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159864%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150036%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159864%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150036%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159864%
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+11=157356%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153344%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157456%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153344%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157456%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153344%
8/8Monday, Aug. 810:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+14=157057%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152443%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157457%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152443%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157457%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152443%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157254%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 14NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152840%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159860%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+02=154242%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159858%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154442%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159858%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154442%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159858%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154442%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159858%
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153321=153040%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159860%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157263%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147737%
8/26Friday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157463%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147737%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 279:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157463%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147737%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157463%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147737%
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157252%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+20=155748%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157452%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156148%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157452%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156148%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157252%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155548%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+24=155547%
9/5Monday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151639%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+21=159561%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151939%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+11=153040%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159860%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 101:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157454%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154546%
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+11=157351%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156949%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157451%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156949%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157451%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156949%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+1=144329%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+23=159771%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144229%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159871%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+03=151839%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 241:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+0=152139%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159861%
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+12=157251%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+21=156549%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157451%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156849%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157451%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156849%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143312=143028%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159872%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143228%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159872%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143228%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159872%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+13=157161%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+21=148939%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157462%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149238%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157462%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149238%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157462%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149238%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1571+4+0=157551%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1529+12+24=156549%1
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15723+0=156958%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152840+24=151242%3
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1570+17+0=158759%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
153028+24=152641%4
5/12Thursday, May 128:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Gil, Luis
Gil
1567223=154245%15
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1533+19+26=157855%7
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1547+5+0=155245%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15663+24=158755%5
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154827+0=152140%5
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
15651+24=158860%6
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1471+8+0=147935%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15642+24=158665%1
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14697+0=146233%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15663+24=158767%2
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1470+15+6=149133%1
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1566+17+29=161267%2
5/4Wednesday, May 47:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1567+1+0=156854%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155032+24=154246%2
5/3Tuesday, May 37:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15645+0=155944%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1553+23+24=160056%1
5/2Monday, May 27:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156343=155649%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155414+24=156451%2
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1562+4+0=156662%6
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14645+24=148338%4
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1561+15+0=157662%3
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
14652+24=148738%0
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1558+23=155761%12
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146712+22=147739%2
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1429+2+0=143130%5
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15574+24=157770%10
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14303+0=142730%2
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15565+24=157570%5
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1431+42=143329%8
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1555+5+26=158671%12
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149913+0=148636%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1553+11+24=158864%10
4/23Saturday, April 231:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1500+2+0=150239%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1553+0+24=157761%5
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
1501182=148137%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15522+22=157263%4
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15536+0=154757%0
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1467+8+24=149943%3
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1552+8+0=156059%5
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1468+7+24=149941%3
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1552+16+0=156861%4
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14682+26=149239%2
4/17Sunday, April 171:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15555+0=155064%0
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14275+24=144636%5
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15542+0=155264%5
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14283+24=144936%2
4/15Friday, April 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
155572=154663%1
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1427+0+26=145337%2
4/14Thursday, April 147:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1553+11+0=156447%0
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1553+5+24=158253%3
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1551+16+0=156746%6
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1555+18+24=159754%4
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155323+0=153044%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15538+24=156956%4
4/11Monday, April 117:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1551+192=156848%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15551+24=157852%0
4/10Sunday, April 107 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1529+9+0=153845%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15565+24=157555%3
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15308+0=152241%2
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1555+8+24=158759%4
4/8Friday, April 81:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1530+142=154242%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1554+21+24=159958%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.