Updated Oct. 1, 2022, at 1:19 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Yankees have a 14% chance of winning the World Series.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees96-60
Blue JaysBlue Jays88-698.5
RaysRays86-7110.5
OriolesOrioles81-7615.5
Red SoxRed Sox75-8221.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1487+2+0=148933%
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1576+15+24=161567%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1487+0+0=148734%
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1576+2+24=160266%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
157643=156958%
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1464+27+21=151242%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 42:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1576+14+0=159062%
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1464+18+24=150638%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1576+7+0=158362%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1464+12+24=150038%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157610+0=156661%
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14643+24=148539%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
148672=147734%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157811+24=159166%1
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1576+14+0=159057%8
TORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154628+24=154243%3
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15746+0=156852%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
154717+24=155448%2
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1575+32=157649%2
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+17+21=158451%3
9/25Sunday, Sept. 257 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
150510+0=149534%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1574+13+24=161166%2
9/24Saturday, Sept. 241:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1506+1+0=150739%5
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15749+24=158961%7
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15075+0=150234%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1573+17+24=161466%5
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1508+223=152741%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15729+24=158759%5
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1429+15+0=144429%2
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1570+3+24=159771%14
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
1429+3+1=143327%8
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1570+15+23=160873%9
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1568+21+0=158961%12
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
152636+24=151439%8
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15708+0=156249%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1525+22+24=157151%4
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1571111=155955%6
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152422+24=152645%7
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1570+11+0=158159%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
151013+24=152141%3
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1569+22+0=159158%7
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1511+3+24=153842%6
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
154131+0=151040%4
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156810+24=158260%10
9/10Saturday, Sept. 101:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15433+0=154045%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
156512+24=157755%10
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1542+101=155145%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15678+24=158355%2
9/8Thursday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1507+21+0=152840%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1568+10+24=160260%3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:55 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1509+7+0=151637%1
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1566+20+24=161063%7
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
150919+2=149237%4
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15669+26=158363%5
9/5Monday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
151163=150240%2
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
156511+21=157560%5
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
156411+0=155353%2
TBTBRays
Armstrong, Shawn
Armstrong
153932+24=153147%1
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
156542+0=152345%1
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15398+24=155555%2
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156882=155850%0
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15351+24=155850%9
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1569+22+0=159160%2
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1493+6+24=152340%3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15688+0=156060%7
LAALAAAngels
Mayers, Mike
Mayers
149429+24=148940%4
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:38 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1569102=155759%3
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
149318+20=149541%4
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
157142+0=152962%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Martinez, Adrian
Martinez
143618+24=144238%4
8/27Saturday, Aug. 279:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157315+0=155867%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
143524+24=143533%3
8/26Friday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1572+19+0=159167%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Sears, JP
Sears
1435+10+24=146933%2
8/25Thursday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
157082=156064%13
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
1437+1+24=146236%4
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
156317+0=154645%2
NYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
156911+24=158255%4
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1564+401=160354%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156717+24=157446%4
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:53 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1545+22+0=156745%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1566+9+24=159955%4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154314+0=152938%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1568+21+24=161362%2
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1541+17+0=155846%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15717+24=158854%0
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1538112=152541%9
NYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15747+24=159159%2
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
15267+0=151941%7
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157317+24=158059%8
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15242+0=152238%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1575+7+24=160662%1
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1521+13=151936%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1577+19+22=161864%0
8/14Sunday, Aug. 147 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15798+0=157154%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1512+7+24=154346%3
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
15787+0=157155%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
15132+24=153545%2
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
1579192=155852%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1512+9+24=154548%3
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1581+8+0=158954%3
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1513+20+24=155746%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1582+17+0=159953%0
SEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1512+38+24=157447%1
8/8Monday, Aug. 810:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
158074=156953%9
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1514+10+24=154847%4
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1581+1+0=158252%9
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1522+25+24=157148%12
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158221+0=156151%0
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1520+11+24=155549%1
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1584+71=159057%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15195+24=153843%4
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1514+38+0=155239%7
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1586+20+24=163061%3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1512+16+0=152839%8
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15885+24=160761%6
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
151453=150638%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158622+24=158862%7
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1449+6+0=145530%8
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15888+24=160470%6
7/30Saturday, July 302:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
144915+0=143426%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1588+5+24=161774%8
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14508+0=144225%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1587+20+24=163175%11
7/28Thursday, July 287:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1451+163=146431%0
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
158610+23=159969%1
7/27Wednesday, July 277 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158722+0=156543%2
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1549+39+24=161257%3
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15892+0=158752%3
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1547+1+26=157448%6
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1587+1+0=158864%6
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14707+24=148736%0
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1589+23+0=161267%3
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1468+1+24=149333%6
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
158993=157758%7
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1469+24+28=152142%6
7/21Thursday, July 216:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
159020+0=157049%5
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15608+24=157651%7
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15916+4=158949%2
HOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1559+2+31=159251%3
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Sale, Chris
Sale
1534+15+0=154938%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1589+19+24=163262%13
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1537+6+0=154342%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
158512+24=159758%14
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1535+153=154742%5
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15873+24=160858%4
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1470+36+0=150635%7
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15882+24=161065%6
7/13Wednesday, July 137:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
14716+0=146529%6
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1587+8+24=161971%7
7/12Tuesday, July 127:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
146981=146028%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1589+14+24=162772%3
7/10Sunday, July 107 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15918+0=158351%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1538+12+24=157449%11
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15935+0=158858%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
153730+24=153142%6
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1591+1+0=159259%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
153936+24=152741%5
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1590+152=160358%6
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
154019+24=154542%5
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1587+4+0=159168%16
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14382+24=146032%0
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15906+0=158465%2
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1435+12+26=147335%5
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15918+0=158358%0
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1499+2+24=152542%2
7/2Saturday, July 26:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15902+0=158861%6
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
150116+24=150939%1
7/2Saturday, July 212:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1588+161=160365%13
CLECLEGuardians
McCarty, Kirk
McCarty
150335+26=149435%4
6/30Thursday, June 306:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1589+23=158853%1
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15578+21=157047%2
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
14291+0=142826%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15884+24=160874%5
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1429+36+0=146535%1
NYYNYYYankees
Sears, JP
Sears
158838+24=157465%2
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1430+03=142727%5
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15877+24=160473%9
6/26Sunday, June 261:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
155420+0=153439%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15861+24=160961%6
6/25Saturday, June 251:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1552+0+0=155240%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1588+14+24=162660%0
6/24Friday, June 247:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1550+32+0=158245%3
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1589+3+24=161655%1
6/23Thursday, June 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1551+33=155141%6
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1589+1+21=161159%7
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15883+0=158557%5
TBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
152814+24=153843%4
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1589+2+0=159155%4
TBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1527+2+24=155345%5
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1588+73=159252%4
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+29+21=157848%2
6/19Sunday, June 191:37 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1589+3+0=159257%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154729+24=154243%10
6/18Saturday, June 183:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15874+0=158347%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+29+24=160253%0
6/17Friday, June 177:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
158452=157751%12
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
15538+24=156949%3
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks (open)
1531+2+0=153347%1
NYYNYYYankees
Schmidt, Clarke
Schmidt
158352+24=155553%2
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1531+31+0=156243%3
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1582+3+24=160957%4
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1532+51=153639%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1581+6+26=161361%2
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
147117+0=145430%4
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15791+24=160270%18
6/11Saturday, June 117:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Swarmer, Matt
Swarmer
14732+0=147133%0
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15778+24=159367%8
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1474+4+3=148133%1
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1577+4+21=160267%2
6/9Thursday, June 97:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1575+18+0=159360%10
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
152019+24=152540%7
6/8Wednesday, June 87:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1578+6+0=158457%1
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15177+24=153443%8
6/7Tuesday, June 77:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1577+21=157858%10
MINMINTwins
Sands, Cole
Sands
151924+23=151842%4
6/5Sunday, June 511:35 a.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
146226+0=143630%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
157613+24=158770%5
6/4Saturday, June 41:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146225+0=143729%0
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
15755+24=159471%3
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Elvin
Rodriguez
1464142=144828%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1574+13+24=161172%13
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
152011+0=150938%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15731+24=159662%2
6/2Thursday, June 21:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1522+26+2=155042%1
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1571+6+26=160358%6
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1524+32=152542%1
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156912+23=158058%9
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
15701+0=156949%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+24+24=157851%4
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1572+14+0=158655%1
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+0+24=155345%3
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15704+0=156652%2
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15301+24=155348%0
5/26Thursday, May 266:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1568+53=157055%7
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153219+24=153745%2
5/25Wednesday, May 257:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1436+8+0=144435%0
NYYNYYYankees
Sears, JP
Sears
156839+24=155365%2
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1437+2+0=143931%6
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156710+24=158169%7
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1434+62=143827%6
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1569+16+24=160973%4
5/22Sunday, May 227 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1529+13+0=154242%5
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1572+0+24=159658%0
5/22Sunday, May 223:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
152716+0=151139%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15745+24=159361%1
5/21Saturday, May 211:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
1528381=148934%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1573+8+24=160566%7
5/19Thursday, May 1912:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15757+0=156865%6
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1431+3+24=145835%9
5/18Wednesday, May 187:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1575+16+0=159168%3
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1431+1+24=145632%2
5/17Tuesday, May 177:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15744+0=157069%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143227+24=142931%4
5/16Monday, May 167:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
157323=156866%6
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1433+1+22=145634%2
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1571+4+0=157551%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1529+12+24=156549%1
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15723+0=156958%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
152840+24=151242%3
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1570+17+0=158759%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
153028+24=152641%4
5/12Thursday, May 128:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Gil, Luis
Gil
1567223=154245%15
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1533+19+26=157855%7
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1547+5+0=155245%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15663+24=158755%5
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154827+0=152140%5
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
15651+24=158860%6
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1471+8+0=147935%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15642+24=158665%1
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14697+0=146233%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15663+24=158767%2
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1470+15+6=149133%1
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1566+17+29=161267%2
5/4Wednesday, May 47:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1567+1+0=156854%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155032+24=154246%2
5/3Tuesday, May 37:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15645+0=155944%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1553+23+24=160056%1
5/2Monday, May 27:07 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156343=155649%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155414+24=156451%2
5/1Sunday, May 12:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1562+4+0=156662%6
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14645+24=148338%4
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1561+15+0=157662%3
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
14652+24=148738%0
4/29Friday, April 298:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1558+23=155761%12
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146712+22=147739%2
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1429+2+0=143130%5
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15574+24=157770%10
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14303+0=142730%2
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15565+24=157570%5
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1431+42=143329%8
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1555+5+26=158671%12
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149913+0=148636%2
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1553+11+24=158864%10
4/23Saturday, April 231:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1500+2+0=150239%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1553+0+24=157761%5
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Morgan, Eli
Morgan
1501182=148137%1
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15522+22=157263%4
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15536+0=154757%0
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1467+8+24=149943%3
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1552+8+0=156059%5
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1468+7+24=149941%3
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1552+16+0=156861%4
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14682+26=149239%2
4/17Sunday, April 171:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15555+0=155064%0
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14275+24=144636%5
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15542+0=155264%5
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14283+24=144936%2
4/15Friday, April 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
155572=154663%1
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1427+0+26=145337%2
4/14Thursday, April 147:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1553+11+0=156447%0
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1553+5+24=158253%3
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1551+16+0=156746%6
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1555+18+24=159754%4
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155323+0=153044%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15538+24=156956%4
4/11Monday, April 117:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1551+192=156848%3
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15551+24=157852%0
4/10Sunday, April 107 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1529+9+0=153845%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15565+24=157555%3
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15308+0=152241%2
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1555+8+24=158759%4
4/8Friday, April 81:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1530+142=154242%5
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1554+21+24=159958%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.