Updated Oct. 2, 2022, at 10:36 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Orioles are done for the season.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees97-61
Blue JaysBlue Jays90-697.5
RaysRays86-7311.5
OriolesOrioles82-7715.5
Red SoxRed Sox75-8422.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1550192=152953%
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1487+2+22=151147%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
155030+0=152053%
BALBALOrioles
Baumann, Mike
Baumann
148714+24=149747%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1550+11+0=156157%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
1487+1+24=151243%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1486+1+0=148741%3
NYYNYYYankees
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
157851+24=155159%1
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1487+2+0=148933%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1576+15+24=161567%8
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
148672=147734%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
157811+24=159166%1
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Baumann, Mike
Baumann
148715+0=147240%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1505+10+24=153960%5
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1488+5+0=149345%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15032+24=152555%3
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1489+6+0=149543%9
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1502+22+24=154857%13
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
148762=147948%14
BOSBOSRed Sox
Seabold, Connor
Seabold
150437+22=148952%8
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1576+5+0=158160%6
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14883+24=150940%3
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1576+11+0=158763%11
BALBALOrioles
Baumann, Mike
Baumann
148918+24=149537%10
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
157921+0=155857%0
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14863+24=150743%6
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1580+343=161165%0
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14841+24=150735%2
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1449+4+0=145344%1
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14827+24=149956%8
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1448+1+0=144941%3
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1483+3+24=151059%2
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1443182=142337%11
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1488+9+22=151963%0
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:37 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1486+0+0=148634%5
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1546+32+24=160266%4
9/17Saturday, Sept. 173:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1488+1+0=148940%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15449+24=155960%6
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14898+0=148137%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Richards, Trevor
Richards (open)
1543+8+24=157563%6
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1487+9+0=149656%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144213+24=145344%2
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1486+1+1=148852%4
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1443+10+24=147748%3
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15107+0=150350%1
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14875+24=150650%0
9/10Saturday, Sept. 105:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1506+20+0=152652%17
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14912+24=151348%4
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
1507151=149146%2
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1490+1+26=151754%3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1543+31+0=157457%4
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1491+9+24=152443%1
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
154423+0=152152%6
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14904+24=151048%9
9/5Monday, Sept. 55:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15439+0=153455%8
BALBALOrioles
Baumann, Mike
Baumann
149118+24=149745%4
9/5Monday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1541+192=155856%7
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14933+24=151444%3
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Martinez, Adrian
Martinez
14349+0=142539%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
149614+24=150661%0
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
143611+0=142537%1
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1494+1+24=151963%8
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Sears, JP
Sears
1437+51=144140%2
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14933+22=151260%5
9/1Thursday, Sept. 16:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
149110+0=148138%3
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1512+31+24=156762%0
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14885+0=148339%4
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1515+21+24=156061%0
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1490101=147942%1
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1513+2+22=153758%5
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14901+0=148931%1
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1566+36+24=162669%3
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14886+0=148236%3
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15689+24=158364%1
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1486173=146633%2
HOUHOUAstros
McCullers Jr., Lance
McCullers Jr.
15703+24=159167%0
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1516+6+0=152252%3
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14853+24=150648%4
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
151510+0=150550%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
14879+24=150250%3
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1516+303=154354%3
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1485+3+26=151446%5
8/21Sunday, Aug. 217 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1512+6+0=151856%3
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14846+0=147844%5
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1512+16+0=152855%4
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
148517+24=149245%3
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
1514+02=151251%10
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1482+0+24=150649%15
8/18Thursday, Aug. 183:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
147181=146245%3
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
148311+22=149455%2
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 173:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14851+0=148439%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1536+5+24=156561%6
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14837+0=147634%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1538+29+24=159166%2
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1481153=146339%7
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154128+24=153761%3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1482+3+0=148541%1
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1520+6+24=155059%4
8/13Saturday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Hall, DL
Hall
148312+0=147135%2
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1518+34+24=157665%8
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
148033=147440%10
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1522+0+23=154560%3
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
148110+0=147144%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
151122+24=151356%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1547+28+0=157563%5
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
148017+24=148737%6
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
1549273=151952%4
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1478+4+24=150648%7
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143317+0=141639%8
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
148111+24=149461%1
8/6Saturday, Aug. 65:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1434+2+0=143641%3
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14803+24=150159%6
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1435+62=143943%0
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
147914+23=148857%1
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
147723+0=145441%6
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1474+22+24=152059%3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1475+2+0=147750%8
TEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
147726+24=147550%2
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1472123=145741%7
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1479+23+21=152359%2
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14733+0=147048%2
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
147211+24=148552%3
7/30Saturday, July 306:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14756+0=146944%2
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1470+19+24=151356%8
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1473272=144444%6
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147312+24=148556%2
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
152825+0=150351%0
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1471+0+24=149549%3
7/27Wednesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1527+3+0=153052%6
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1473+22+24=151948%4
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+42+0=157062%3
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
147112+24=148338%5
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1531+53=153356%1
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14693+24=149044%5
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1587+1+0=158864%6
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14707+24=148736%0
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1589+23+0=161267%3
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1468+1+24=149333%6
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
158993=157758%7
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1469+24+28=152142%6
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1470+6+0=147638%5
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1531+7+24=156262%7
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14687+0=146140%6
TBTBRays
Yarbrough, Ryan
Yarbrough
153329+24=152860%4
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1469+231=149144%4
TBTBRays
Patino, Luis
Patino
153226+24=153056%5
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
146617+0=144943%7
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1466+5+24=149557%1
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1464+51=146848%4
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14676+22=148352%2
7/10Sunday, July 1012:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
150026+0=147449%5
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14636+24=148151%9
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1501+2+0=150354%0
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14619+24=147646%1
7/8Friday, July 87:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
150213+0=148946%4
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1461+29+24=151454%5
7/7Thursday, July 77:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Silseth, Chase
Silseth
1504233=147849%1
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1459+3+24=148651%4
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
148116+0=146551%1
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
145820+24=146249%2
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Howard, Spencer
Howard
148228+0=145447%9
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14575+24=147653%10
7/4Monday, July 41:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1483+112=149253%6
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14565+21=147247%7
7/3Sunday, July 32:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1454+26+0=148040%3
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1522+3+24=154960%1
7/2Saturday, July 22:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1455+1+0=145634%3
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1522+24+24=157066%4
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1455241=143033%2
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1521+9+21=155167%3
6/29Wednesday, June 294:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14572+0=145542%3
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14977+24=151458%9
6/28Tuesday, June 2810:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
14587+0=145137%0
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+24+24=154463%2
6/27Monday, June 2710:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1455+264=147744%9
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14992+21=151856%2
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1456+2+0=145836%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1517+21+24=156264%4
6/25Saturday, June 252:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
145326+0=142731%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1519+20+24=156369%2
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
14511+0=145034%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1522+18+24=156466%1
6/23Thursday, June 238:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
144883=143735%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15241+24=154765%0
6/22Wednesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
145217+0=143541%0
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1446+26+24=149659%7
6/21Tuesday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1451+2+1=145447%3
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1448+2+26=147653%0
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+6+0=153559%1
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1446+0+24=147041%2
6/18Saturday, June 184:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1528+10+0=153861%7
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
144712+24=145939%6
6/17Friday, June 176:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
1530242=150457%0
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
144612+22=145643%1
6/16Thursday, June 163:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1442+24+0=146632%10
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1557+12+24=159368%2
6/15Wednesday, June 157:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
144211+0=143129%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1556+5+24=158571%7
6/14Tuesday, June 147:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1441+1+0=144234%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155827+24=155566%5
6/13Monday, June 137:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
144283=143127%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1556+24+22=160273%11
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
144015+0=142542%10
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1450+8+24=148258%7
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1439+22+0=146149%6
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14516+24=146951%4
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14416+0=143545%1
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
14493+24=147055%8
6/9Thursday, June 98:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1442+51=144647%5
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14487+24=146553%7
6/7Tuesday, June 77:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
147661=146952%3
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
144010+26=145648%9
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
150215+0=148756%3
BALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
144117+24=144844%2
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1503+10+0=151354%4
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1439+22+24=148546%5
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1502+25+0=152760%6
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14416+24=145940%3
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14935+0=148852%7
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1442+7+24=147348%6
6/1Wednesday, June 17:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1496+24+0=152060%2
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
143813+24=144940%9
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1493122=147952%10
BALBALOrioles
Baker, Bryan
Baker
1441+0+22=146348%0
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1437+13+0=145036%10
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15325+24=155164%0
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1439+1+0=144034%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1530+3+24=155766%12
5/28Saturday, May 286:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Reyes, Denyi
Reyes
14374+0=143337%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
153230+24=152663%2
5/28Saturday, May 2812:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1438+8+0=144634%3
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1531+4+24=155966%5
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14355+0=143036%12
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
153424+21=153164%8
5/25Wednesday, May 257:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1436+8+0=144435%0
NYYNYYYankees
Sears, JP
Sears
156839+24=155365%2
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1437+2+0=143931%6
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
156710+24=158169%7
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1434+62=143827%6
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1569+16+24=160973%4
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1531+3+0=153465%6
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143327+24=143035%7
5/21Saturday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15307+0=152360%6
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14353+24=145640%1
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
1531461=148453%6
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1433+5+24=146247%8
5/19Thursday, May 1912:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15757+0=156865%6
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1431+3+24=145835%9
5/18Wednesday, May 187:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1575+16+0=159168%3
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1431+1+24=145632%2
5/17Tuesday, May 177:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15744+0=157069%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143227+24=142931%4
5/16Monday, May 167:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
157323=156866%6
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1433+1+22=145634%2
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1435+10+0=144544%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1459+6+24=148956%5
5/14Saturday, May 144:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1436+4+0=144043%0
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1457+8+24=148957%3
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1437+02=143542%2
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1456+12+24=149258%4
5/12Thursday, May 121:15 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Baker, Bryan
Baker
14367+0=142937%3
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150711+24=152063%2
5/11Wednesday, May 117:45 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143723+0=141432%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1505+16+24=154568%10
5/10Tuesday, May 107:45 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
143693=142439%5
STLSTLCardinals
Naughton, Packy
Naughton
150731+22=149861%3
5/9Monday, May 912:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
14623+0=145949%1
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1433+5+24=146251%6
5/8Sunday, May 85:45 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14635+0=145850%2
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1432+2+24=145850%4
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1462+14+4=148052%6
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1433+0+29=146248%4
5/5Thursday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15234+0=151962%3
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143219+24=143738%5
5/4Wednesday, May 47:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15264+0=152260%4
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14294+24=144940%9
5/3Tuesday, May 37:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1524+22+0=154663%7
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1430+0+24=145437%2
5/2Monday, May 27:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1524103=151158%2
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1431+0+24=145542%1
5/1Sunday, May 11:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152618+0=150858%5
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14292+24=145142%9
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1528+12+0=154066%1
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
142723+24=142834%2
4/29Friday, April 297:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
152782=151760%3
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14284+22=144640%1
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1429+2+0=143130%5
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15574+24=157770%10
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14303+0=142730%2
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15565+24=157570%5
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1431+42=143329%8
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1555+5+26=158671%12
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Ellis, Chris
Ellis
1432+11+0=144339%6
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
151923+24=152061%7
4/23Saturday, April 239:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143025+0=140530%5
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1520+11+24=155570%4
4/22Friday, April 229:38 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
142812=142537%5
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
152227+23=151863%3
4/21Thursday, April 213:37 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14301+0=142944%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
146518+24=147156%6
4/20Wednesday, April 206:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1428+0+0=142843%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Jefferies, Daulton
Jefferies
146612+24=147857%0
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Ellis, Chris
Ellis
1429+10+0=143944%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
146512+24=147756%2
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1430314=139533%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1464+36+20=152067%5
4/17Sunday, April 171:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15555+0=155064%0
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14275+24=144636%5
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15542+0=155264%5
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14283+24=144936%2
4/15Friday, April 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
155572=154663%1
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1427+0+26=145337%2
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1536+31+0=156763%4
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1428+24+24=147637%2
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153612+0=152464%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
142928+24=142536%4
4/11Monday, April 113:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1538153=152061%0
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14278+21=144039%2
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14282+0=142631%0
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1533+10+24=156769%8
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1429+4+0=143331%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1532+12+24=156869%5
4/8Friday, April 83:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1430+243=145134%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1531+14+24=156966%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.