Updated May 22, 2022, at 3:09 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Orioles are done for the season.

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
YankeesYankees29-1097%75%
Blue JaysBlue Jays22-187.574%13%
RaysRays24-165.564%10%
Red SoxRed Sox18-2211.532%2%
OriolesOrioles16-2514.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1531+3+0=153465%
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143327+24=143035%
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1433+52=143626%
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1574+18+24=161674%
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1433+1+0=143429%
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15748+24=159071%
5/25Wednesday, May 257:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1433+7+0=144029%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159971%
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14336+0=142737%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Whitlock, Garrett
Whitlock
152624+21=152363%
5/28Saturday, May 2812:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143327+0=140630%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1526+0+24=155070%
5/28Saturday, May 286:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154866%
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1433+5+0=143834%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1526+2+24=155266%
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1433+1+0=143435%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15265+24=154565%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
149392=148253%
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1433+7+22=146247%
6/1Wednesday, June 17:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1493+29+0=152260%
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14336+24=145140%
6/2Thursday, June 27:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+0=149556%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145644%
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149856%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145644%
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149856%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145644%
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149856%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145644%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+01=147553%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+26=145847%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147653%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145647%
6/9Thursday, June 98:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142942%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148258%
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143243%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148257%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143243%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148257%
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143243%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1457+1+24=148257%
6/13Monday, June 137:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142931%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+22=156869%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
6/16Thursday, June 163:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
6/17Friday, June 176:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+12=153061%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+22=145439%
6/18Saturday, June 184:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153261%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153261%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
6/21Tuesday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+1=145750%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+26=145850%
6/22Wednesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145650%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145650%
6/23Thursday, June 238:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142933%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143233%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%
6/25Saturday, June 252:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143233%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143233%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155167%
6/27Monday, June 2710:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143314=142838%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+21=151662%
6/28Tuesday, June 2810:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143238%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+24=151962%
6/29Wednesday, June 294:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143238%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1493+2+24=151962%
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143311=143134%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+21=154566%
7/2Saturday, July 22:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154866%
7/3Sunday, July 32:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154866%
7/4Monday, July 41:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+02=147253%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+21=145347%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147453%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145647%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147453%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145647%
7/7Thursday, July 77:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152860%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145640%
7/8Friday, July 87:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
7/10Sunday, July 1012:05 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153161%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143311=143140%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+22=149860%
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143240%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150060%
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143311=143133%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155667%
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143233%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155667%
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143233%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155667%
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+13=157265%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+28=146035%
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157566%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145634%
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157566%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145634%
7/25Monday, July 257:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+13=152960%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145640%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153261%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
7/27Wednesday, July 277:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153261%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153261%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145639%
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143312=143039%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150461%
7/30Saturday, July 306:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143240%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150460%
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143240%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150460%
8/1Monday, Aug. 18:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142941%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+21=149559%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 28:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143241%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149859%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 32:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143241%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+24=149859%
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+12=143247%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+23=145553%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 65:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143447%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145653%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143447%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145653%
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+03=154362%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145638%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 117:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143312=143034%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154866%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142933%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+23=155567%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 134:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143233%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155667%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143233%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155667%
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142931%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 173:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
152622=152259%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145641%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 204:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152460%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145640%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 217 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152463%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143237%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+03=152459%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+26=145841%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 247:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152760%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145640%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152760%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145640%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143313=142930%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157870%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143230%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157870%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143230%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157870%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143311=143137%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+22=152063%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143237%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152263%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 16:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143237%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+24=152263%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+11=145250%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+22=145450%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145350%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145650%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+0=145350%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145650%
9/5Monday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+02=154462%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145638%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
152621=152359%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+26=145841%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 105:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152460%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145640%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+0=152460%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145640%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+1=143343%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148057%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143243%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148057%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 173:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:37 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143231%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157069%
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+02=145550%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+22=145450%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+0=145750%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145650%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1457+0+0=145750%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145650%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 227:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+13=155163%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
9/23Friday, Sept. 237:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155464%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145636%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155464%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145636%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+0=155464%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145636%
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143312=143034%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+22=154666%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154866%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154866%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143234%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154866%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
143312=143028%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159972%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143228%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159972%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143228%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+24=159972%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+02=154463%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+22=145437%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:05 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+0=154663%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145637%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Saturday, May 217:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
15307+0=152360%6
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14353+24=145640%1
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Beeks, Jalen
Beeks
1531461=148453%6
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1433+5+24=146247%8
5/19Thursday, May 1912:35 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15757+0=156865%6
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1431+3+24=145835%9
5/18Wednesday, May 187:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1575+16+0=159168%3
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1431+1+24=145632%2
5/17Tuesday, May 177:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15744+0=157069%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143227+24=142931%4
5/16Monday, May 167:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
157323=156866%6
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
1433+1+22=145634%2
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1435+10+0=144544%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1459+6+24=148956%5
5/14Saturday, May 144:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1436+4+0=144043%0
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1457+8+24=148957%3
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1437+02=143542%2
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1456+12+24=149258%4
5/12Thursday, May 121:15 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Baker, Bryan
Baker
14367+0=142937%3
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150711+24=152063%2
5/11Wednesday, May 117:45 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143723+0=141432%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1505+16+24=154568%10
5/10Tuesday, May 107:45 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
143693=142439%5
STLSTLCardinals
Naughton, Packy
Naughton
150731+22=149861%3
5/9Monday, May 912:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
14623+0=145949%1
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1433+5+24=146251%6
5/8Sunday, May 85:45 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14635+0=145850%2
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1432+2+24=145850%4
5/8Sunday, May 81:35 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1462+14+4=148052%6
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1433+0+29=146248%4
5/5Thursday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15234+0=151962%3
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143219+24=143738%5
5/4Wednesday, May 47:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15264+0=152260%4
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14294+24=144940%9
5/3Tuesday, May 37:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1524+22+0=154663%7
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1430+0+24=145437%2
5/2Monday, May 27:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1524103=151158%2
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1431+0+24=145542%1
5/1Sunday, May 11:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
152618+0=150858%5
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14292+24=145142%9
4/30Saturday, April 307:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1528+12+0=154066%1
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
142723+24=142834%2
4/29Friday, April 297:05 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
152782=151760%3
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14284+22=144640%1
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1429+2+0=143130%5
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15574+24=157770%10
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14303+0=142730%2
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15565+24=157570%5
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1431+42=143329%8
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1555+5+26=158671%12
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Ellis, Chris
Ellis
1432+11+0=144339%6
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
151923+24=152061%7
4/23Saturday, April 239:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143025+0=140530%5
LAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1520+11+24=155570%4
4/22Friday, April 229:38 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
142812=142537%5
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
152227+23=151863%3
4/21Thursday, April 213:37 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14301+0=142944%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
146518+24=147156%6
4/20Wednesday, April 206:07 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1428+0+0=142843%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Jefferies, Daulton
Jefferies
146612+24=147857%0
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Ellis, Chris
Ellis
1429+10+0=143944%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
146512+24=147756%2
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1430314=139533%1
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1464+36+20=152067%5
4/17Sunday, April 171:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
15555+0=155064%0
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14275+24=144636%5
4/16Saturday, April 167:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
15542+0=155264%5
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14283+24=144936%2
4/15Friday, April 157:05 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
155572=154663%1
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1427+0+26=145337%2
4/13Wednesday, April 137:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1536+31+0=156763%4
BALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1428+24+24=147637%2
4/12Tuesday, April 127:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153612+0=152464%5
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
142928+24=142536%4
4/11Monday, April 113:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
1538153=152061%0
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
14278+21=144039%2
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
14282+0=142631%0
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1533+10+24=156769%8
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1429+4+0=143331%3
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1532+12+24=156869%5
4/8Friday, April 83:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Means, John
Means
1430+243=145134%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1531+14+24=156966%2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.