Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mets have a 5% chance of winning the World Series.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets23-1376%48%
BravesBraves16-196.559%29%
PhilliesPhillies17-185.546%18%
MarlinsMarlins15-197.014%5%
NationalsNationals12-2411.02%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/16Monday, May 167:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1508+173=152252%
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
153345+24=151248%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150812+0=149645%
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153327+24=153055%
5/18Wednesday, May 187:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150816+0=149237%
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1533+31+24=158863%
5/19Thursday, May 191:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1508+1+0=150941%
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1533+12+24=156959%
5/20Friday, May 208:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1533184=151153%
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1461+6+26=149347%
5/21Saturday, May 218:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153157%
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1461+1+24=148643%
5/22Sunday, May 223:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153327+0=150653%
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1461+0+24=148547%
5/23Monday, May 239:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1533+313=156153%
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152411+24=153747%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1533+12+0=154548%
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1524+14+24=156252%
5/25Wednesday, May 253:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153318+0=151549%
SFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
152424+24=152451%
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152146%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+22=155354%
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152446%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155554%
5/29Sunday, May 297 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152446%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155554%
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146312=146037%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
6/2Thursday, June 210:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153324=152738%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161162%
6/3Friday, June 310:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153139%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161161%
6/4Saturday, June 410:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153139%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161161%
6/5Sunday, June 54:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153139%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161161%
6/6Monday, June 69:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153321=153046%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+20=156054%
6/7Tuesday, June 79:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156455%
6/8Wednesday, June 89:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156455%
6/10Friday, June 109:38 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+1=153246%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156154%
6/11Saturday, June 1110:07 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153146%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156154%
6/12Sunday, June 124:07 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153146%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156154%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154549%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+22=155351%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154549%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155551%
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154549%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155551%
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+1=149241%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155559%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149141%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155559%
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149141%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155559%
6/20Monday, June 201:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149141%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155559%
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153323=152842%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+26=158158%
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153143%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157957%
6/24Friday, June 246:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153321=153052%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151548%
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153152%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151548%
6/26Sunday, June 2612:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153152%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151548%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+1=155650%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+23=155450%
6/29Wednesday, June 291:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155550%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155550%
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+01=146737%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+26=155763%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146838%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155562%
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146838%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155562%
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153323=152854%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150246%
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153154%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150246%
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153154%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150246%
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
149213=148841%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+21=155259%
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149141%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155559%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149141%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155559%
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149141%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155559%
7/11Monday, July 117:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153323=152845%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156255%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156255%
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156255%
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153323=152854%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150346%
7/15Friday, July 152:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153154%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150346%
7/16Saturday, July 162:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153154%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150346%
7/17Sunday, July 172:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153154%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150346%
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+3=154348%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+28=155952%
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154048%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155552%
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154048%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155552%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157452%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+26=155748%
7/27Wednesday, July 277:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+0=157453%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155547%
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153321=153053%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+21=151247%
7/30Saturday, July 306:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153152%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151548%
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153152%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151548%
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153323=152856%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153156%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 34:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153156%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153913=153548%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+22=155352%
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153848%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155552%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 61:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153848%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155552%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153848%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155552%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153848%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155552%
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+13=147539%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155561%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147839%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155561%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147839%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155561%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+01=152345%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+26=155755%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152446%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155554%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152446%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155554%
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153323=152845%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+21=155955%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156255%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156255%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156255%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153323=152847%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153147%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153147%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153147%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154853%
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153321=153040%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159860%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153141%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159859%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+04=145736%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+25=155664%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146137%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+03=158454%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+26=155746%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158755%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155545%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158755%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155545%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146312=146037%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
9/5Monday, Sept. 512:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153322=152959%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146641%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153159%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146641%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153159%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146641%
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153321=153053%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+21=151247%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153152%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151548%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153152%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151548%
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+13=147639%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+21=155261%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147939%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155561%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147939%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155561%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+03=143934%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155566%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144234%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155566%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144234%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155566%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144234%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155566%
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153323=152844%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156956%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156955%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 212:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156955%
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153322=152957%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147743%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153158%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147742%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153158%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147742%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
149211=149041%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+22=155359%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149141%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155559%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153321=153045%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+23=156155%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156255%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153145%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156255%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146312=146037%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+21=155263%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1497+30+0=152748%8
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153415+24=154352%7
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14983+0=149540%4
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1533+11+24=156860%5
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
149622=149237%2
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1535+29+22=158663%1
5/12Thursday, May 121:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153332+0=150153%4
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146510+24=147947%1
5/11Wednesday, May 117:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153619+0=151756%3
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14629+24=147744%8
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153418+0=151656%4
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146412+22=147444%2
5/8Sunday, May 84:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1532+10+0=154256%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Sanchez, Cristopher
Sanchez
151640+24=150044%1
5/8Sunday, May 812:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1534+30+5=156955%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15157+29=153745%3
5/5Thursday, May 56:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1532281=150344%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1516+7+24=154756%7
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1540+3+0=154351%9
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153522+24=153749%2
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154220+0=152248%0
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153324+24=153352%3
5/3Tuesday, May 33:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1543+8+0=155154%4
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153231+24=152546%5
5/2Monday, May 27:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1542+263=156550%5
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1534+8+24=156650%2
5/1Sunday, May 17 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152015+0=150538%6
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1533+33+24=159062%10
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15197+0=151248%4
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153431+24=152752%1
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+61=152549%0
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153326+23=153051%3
4/27Wednesday, April 271:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153518+0=151749%5
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15054+24=152551%10
4/26Tuesday, April 267:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1533+5+0=153854%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150719+24=151246%0
4/25Monday, April 257:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1532+293=155853%5
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1508+9+22=153947%2
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153028+0=150253%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1458+1+24=148347%2
4/23Saturday, April 238:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
153245+0=148754%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
145617+24=146346%5
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1531344=149350%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1457+19+20=149650%5
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15265+0=152149%2
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
152921+24=153251%6
4/20Wednesday, April 207:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1525+20+0=154547%5
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1531+9+24=156453%2
4/19Tuesday, April 197:30 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1526+20+0=154645%1
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1530+26+24=158055%3
4/19Tuesday, April 193:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152712+0=151548%4
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152927+26=152852%5
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
145718+0=143939%0
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
152736+24=151561%5
4/16Saturday, April 161:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1455+21+0=147643%3
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
152824+24=152857%2
4/15Friday, April 151:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
1457282=142732%3
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1527+9+25=156168%10
4/13Wednesday, April 131:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1525+27+0=155251%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
15221+24=154549%6
4/12Tuesday, April 126:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152330+0=149338%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1523+30+24=157762%0
4/11Monday, April 116:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1524312=149141%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1523+5+24=155259%5
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
152626+0=150054%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146415+24=147346%4
4/9Saturday, April 97:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1524+7+0=153156%5
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
14664+24=148644%0
4/8Friday, April 87:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1522+30+0=155260%7
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14677+24=148440%3
4/7Thursday, April 77:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
1520332=148550%5
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146911+24=148250%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.