Updated Oct. 1, 2022, at 1:19 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mets have a 9% chance of winning the World Series.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets98-5959%
BravesBraves98-5941%
PhilliesPhillies84-7213.562%
MarlinsMarlins65-9233.0
NationalsNationals54-10243.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1551+44+0=159550%
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
158211+24=159550%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 27 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1551+7+0=155843%
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1582+0+24=160657%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1437+82=144335%
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155122+21=155065%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1437+1+0=143833%
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155116+24=155967%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14376+0=143125%
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1551+50+24=162575%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1553+521=160446%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1581+24+23=162854%5
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14656+0=145936%4
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155215+24=156164%5
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
146351=145736%6
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155418+22=155864%4
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1552+44+0=159669%13
OAKOAKAthletics
Sears, JP
Sears
14382+24=146031%4
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1557+59+0=161672%4
OAKOAKAthletics
Waldichuk, Ken
Waldichuk
14349+24=144928%10
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1555+42=155762%9
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1435+12+24=147138%2
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 212:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155715+0=154253%0
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152126+24=151947%6
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155619+0=153753%7
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
152331+24=151647%5
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1554+383=158952%7
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1525+30+24=157948%2
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
143012+0=141822%3
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1553+62+24=163978%7
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143121+0=141027%1
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1552+3+24=157973%5
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1431+7+0=143833%3
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155215+24=156167%4
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:20 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1433+33=143333%1
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155019+24=155567%7
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1469+3+0=147238%6
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
155318+24=155962%3
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14669+0=145725%4
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1556+64+24=164475%1
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
146393=145131%5
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1558+8+21=158769%2
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155620+0=153657%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14664+24=148643%3
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155425+0=152955%11
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14692+24=149145%3
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1556161=153958%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
14672+21=148642%6
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1554+62+0=161674%10
PITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
142312+24=143526%0
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 712:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1553+7+0=156066%5
PITPITPirates
Underwood Jr., Duane
Underwood Jr.
14252+24=144734%1
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155616+0=154063%2
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1421+0+26=144737%8
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14362+0=143432%7
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
156020+24=156468%1
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143216+0=141623%7
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1565+38+24=162777%1
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1433+102=144132%3
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
156416+24=157268%7
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1621+5+0=162655%3
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1562+4+24=159045%5
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
16224+0=161846%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1561+59+24=164454%2
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1621173=160154%4
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
156218+26=157046%3
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1451+15+0=146629%1
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1564+37+24=162571%0
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1452+12+0=146435%0
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
156317+24=157065%3
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
145214+0=143829%6
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1562+8+24=159471%7
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
1453114=143823%1
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1562+62+25=164977%3
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
156317+0=154645%2
NYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
156911+24=158255%4
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1564+401=160354%2
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
156717+24=157446%4
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Butto, Jose
Butto
156338+0=152547%10
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153516+24=154353%9
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
156519+0=154655%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153444+24=151445%4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
156237+0=152542%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1536+21+24=158158%2
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1560+63=156346%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1539+25+24=158854%2
8/18Thursday, Aug. 187:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1561+61+0=162250%2
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1569+27+24=162050%3
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1560+40+0=160053%9
ATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157018+24=157647%7
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
156118+0=154342%0
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1568+8+24=160058%5
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1564163=154543%1
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1565+8+21=159457%13
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1539+26+0=156546%0
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1562+5+24=159154%6
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1540+21+0=156138%0
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1561+58+24=164362%1
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153881=152936%2
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1563+41+26=163064%1
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 101:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Zeuch, T.J.
Zeuch
147512+0=146335%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
156118+24=156765%10
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147614+0=146235%2
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
156015+24=156965%6
8/8Monday, Aug. 87:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
147773=146733%1
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1559+4+24=158767%5
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1558+14+0=157240%2
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1557+59+24=164060%5
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1560+28+0=158846%2
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1556+39+24=161954%6
8/6Saturday, Aug. 61:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
156112+0=154948%5
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
155417+24=156152%8
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
156020+0=154045%9
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15566+24=157455%6
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
1561153=154347%4
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155515+22=156253%6
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 34:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1553+2+0=155561%9
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1442+10+24=147639%5
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1556+60+0=161670%1
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1439+8+24=147130%5
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1555+413=159370%7
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144016+24=144830%3
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15532+0=155154%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1486+14+24=152446%3
7/30Saturday, July 306:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155119+0=153257%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
148730+24=148143%0
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1550+61=155549%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1489+49+21=155951%4
7/27Wednesday, July 277 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158722+0=156543%2
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1549+39+24=161257%3
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15892+0=158752%3
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1547+1+26=157448%6
7/24Sunday, July 247 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1530+19+0=154950%5
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154620+24=155050%8
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
15292+0=152743%2
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1547+3+24=157457%1
7/22Friday, July 227:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1527+14+3=154439%4
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1549+41+28=161861%1
7/17Sunday, July 172:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
155020+0=153058%2
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14597+24=147642%3
7/16Saturday, July 168:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1550+42+0=159266%4
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14594+24=147934%3
7/16Saturday, July 162:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1549+1+2=155257%2
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1460+18+26=150443%1
7/14Thursday, July 148:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1546213=152255%8
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
1463+1+24=148845%0
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1544+4+0=154843%7
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1561+11+24=159657%3
7/12Tuesday, July 127:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154521+0=152441%1
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1560+6+24=159059%4
7/11Monday, July 117:20 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1543+413=158145%4
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1561+29+24=161455%1
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1498+46+0=154447%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15451+24=156853%0
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149927+0=147239%4
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154419+24=154961%5
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1497+11+0=150840%5
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1546+6+24=157660%2
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
1499293=146741%0
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
154435+21=153059%10
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154216+0=152656%8
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14668+24=148244%3
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1543+40+0=158365%0
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
146412+24=147635%1
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1542+03=153958%7
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14664+24=148642%4
7/3Sunday, July 31:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1485+21+0=150644%1
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154018+24=154656%4
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1482+17+0=149945%7
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
154329+24=153855%3
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
1483141=146838%3
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154216+26=155262%4
6/29Wednesday, June 291:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1556+29+0=158553%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15435+24=156247%0
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1553+1+1=155550%9
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154615+23=155450%1
6/26Sunday, June 2612:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154720+0=152756%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
149631+24=148944%3
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1546+8+0=155457%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149713+24=150843%3
6/24Friday, June 246:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
154551=153946%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1498+44+24=156654%3
6/22Wednesday, June 222:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154610+0=153645%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15503+24=157155%5
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
1548293=151644%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
154820+26=155456%8
6/20Monday, June 201:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149715+0=148241%0
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154625+24=154559%6
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1495+41+0=153644%6
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1548+5+24=157756%2
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149631+0=146537%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
154811+24=156163%3
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1498+16+1=151543%4
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
15458+24=156157%10
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153033+0=149743%4
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
154522+24=154757%5
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1528+36+0=156452%10
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154722+24=154948%2
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152918+0=151142%0
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
15461+22=156758%4
6/12Sunday, June 127 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
154415+0=152948%4
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1512+5+24=154152%1
6/11Saturday, June 1110:07 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
15464+0=154250%6
LAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1510+8+24=154250%11
6/10Friday, June 109:38 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
154421+1=152450%7
LAALAAAngels
Diaz, Jhonathan
Diaz
151215+24=152150%3
6/8Wednesday, June 89:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1548+4+0=155248%2
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15432+24=156552%13
6/7Tuesday, June 79:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155017+0=153346%0
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15412+24=156354%7
6/6Monday, June 69:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154891=153846%11
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1543+0+20=156354%5
6/5Sunday, June 54:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
154632+0=151436%5
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1592+0+24=161664%4
6/4Saturday, June 410:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154323+0=152036%9
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1595+2+24=162164%4
6/3Friday, June 310:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1545+5+0=155043%1
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159318+24=159957%6
6/2Thursday, June 210:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1546184=152437%0
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1592+3+24=161963%2
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Lee, Evan
Lee
1459+2+0=146137%0
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154411+24=155763%5
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14627+0=145539%0
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
154236+24=153061%10
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1464+42=146639%5
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154021+24=154361%13
5/29Sunday, May 297 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+30+0=154948%4
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1539+2+24=156552%5
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152112+0=150945%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153617+24=154355%8
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
1522383=148141%6
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153511+22=154659%8
5/25Wednesday, May 253:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Szapucki, Thomas
Szapucki
153836+0=150248%3
SFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
151722+24=151952%9
5/24Tuesday, May 249:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1539+7+0=154648%12
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1516+19+24=155952%13
5/23Monday, May 239:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1535283=150446%13
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152013+24=153154%3
5/22Sunday, May 223:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153427+0=150753%2
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1462+1+24=148747%0
5/21Saturday, May 218:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
153741+0=149659%3
COLCOLRockies
Blach, Ty
Blach
145847+24=143541%11
5/21Saturday, May 213:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1536172=151753%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1460+6+29=149547%1
5/19Thursday, May 191:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1506+1+0=150741%6
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1535+12+24=157159%7
5/18Wednesday, May 187:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150816+0=149237%4
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1533+31+24=158863%11
5/17Tuesday, May 176:50 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150712+0=149545%4
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153427+24=153155%3
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1508+171=152452%1
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
153345+26=151448%3
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1497+30+0=152748%8
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153415+24=154352%7
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
14983+0=149540%4
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1533+11+24=156860%5
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
149622=149237%2
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1535+29+22=158663%1
5/12Thursday, May 121:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153332+0=150153%4
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146510+24=147947%1
5/11Wednesday, May 117:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153619+0=151756%3
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14629+24=147744%8
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153418+0=151656%4
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146412+22=147444%2
5/8Sunday, May 84:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1532+10+0=154256%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Sanchez, Cristopher
Sanchez
151640+24=150044%1
5/8Sunday, May 812:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1534+30+5=156955%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15157+29=153745%3
5/5Thursday, May 56:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1532281=150344%8
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1516+7+24=154756%7
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1540+3+0=154351%9
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153522+24=153749%2
5/3Tuesday, May 36:45 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154220+0=152248%0
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153324+24=153352%3
5/3Tuesday, May 33:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1543+8+0=155154%4
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
153231+24=152546%5
5/2Monday, May 27:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1542+263=156550%5
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1534+8+24=156650%2
5/1Sunday, May 17 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152015+0=150538%6
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1533+33+24=159062%10
4/30Saturday, April 307:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15197+0=151248%4
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153431+24=152752%1
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1520+61=152549%0
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153326+23=153051%3
4/27Wednesday, April 271:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153518+0=151749%5
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15054+24=152551%10
4/26Tuesday, April 267:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1533+5+0=153854%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150719+24=151246%0
4/25Monday, April 257:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1532+293=155853%5
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1508+9+22=153947%2
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153028+0=150253%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1458+1+24=148347%2
4/23Saturday, April 238:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
153245+0=148754%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
145617+24=146346%5
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1531344=149350%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1457+19+20=149650%5
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15265+0=152149%2
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
152921+24=153251%6
4/20Wednesday, April 207:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1525+20+0=154547%5
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1531+9+24=156453%2
4/19Tuesday, April 197:30 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1526+20+0=154645%1
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1530+26+24=158055%3
4/19Tuesday, April 193:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152712+0=151548%4
NYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152927+26=152852%5
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
145718+0=143939%0
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
152736+24=151561%5
4/16Saturday, April 161:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1455+21+0=147643%3
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
152824+24=152857%2
4/15Friday, April 151:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
1457282=142732%3
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1527+9+25=156168%10
4/13Wednesday, April 131:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1525+27+0=155251%9
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
15221+24=154549%6
4/12Tuesday, April 126:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
152330+0=149338%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1523+30+24=157762%0
4/11Monday, April 116:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
1524312=149141%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1523+5+24=155259%5
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
152626+0=150054%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146415+24=147346%4
4/9Saturday, April 97:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1524+7+0=153156%5
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
14664+24=148644%0
4/8Friday, April 87:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1522+30+0=155260%7
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14677+24=148440%3
4/7Thursday, April 77:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
1520332=148550%5
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146911+24=148250%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.