2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Athletics have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
AL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | AstrosAstros26-15 | — | 93% | 72% | ||
![]() | AngelsAngels25-17 | 1.5 | 70% | 25% | ||
![]() | MarinersMariners17-25 | 9.5 | 11% | 2% | ||
![]() | RangersRangers18-21 | 7.0 | 8% | 1% | ||
![]() | AthleticsAthletics17-25 | 9.5 | 1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/22Sunday, May 224:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –8 | +0 | =1444 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | ||
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –4 | –3 | =1445 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +3 | +20 | =1515 | 60% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –2 | +0 | =1450 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –9 | +24 | =1507 | 58% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –5 | +0 | =1447 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +28 | +24 | =1544 | 64% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +13 | –2 | =1485 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +33 | +21 | =1506 | 53% | ||
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +9 | +0 | =1483 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –8 | +24 | =1468 | 48% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | –11 | +0 | =1463 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –4 | +24 | =1472 | 51% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +15 | +0 | =1489 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –2 | +24 | =1474 | 48% | ||
5/30Monday, May 304:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –5 | –3 | =1545 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –5 | +24 | =1471 | 39% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | –2 | +0 | =1551 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +33 | +24 | =1509 | 44% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 13:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +47 | +0 | =1600 | 68% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –8 | +24 | =1468 | 32% | ||
6/3Friday, June 39:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –2 | –2 | =1523 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +26 | =1479 | 44% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 44:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –2 | +0 | =1525 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 54:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –2 | +0 | =1525 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 77:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –1 | +23 | =1562 | 65% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 87:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –1 | +24 | =1563 | 65% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –3 | =1450 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +0 | +24 | =1520 | 60% | ||
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +0 | +24 | =1520 | 60% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +0 | +24 | =1520 | 60% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 1211:35 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1496 | +0 | +24 | =1520 | 60% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –1 | =1452 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –2 | +22 | =1547 | 63% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –2 | +24 | =1549 | 64% | ||
6/16Thursday, June 161:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –2 | +24 | =1549 | 64% | ||
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +1 | =1459 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +20 | =1473 | 52% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 184:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 53% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 194:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +0 | =1458 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 53% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | –1 | =1493 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +26 | =1479 | 48% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 233:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –4 | =1449 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +23 | =1481 | 55% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 54% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 54% | ||
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –3 | =1450 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +24 | =1599 | 70% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +24 | =1599 | 70% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +24 | =1599 | 70% | ||
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –4 | =1449 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +24 | =1518 | 60% | ||
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +24 | =1518 | 59% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +24 | =1518 | 59% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +24 | =1518 | 59% | ||
7/4Monday, July 49:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | +0 | –4 | =1541 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +21 | =1474 | 41% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | +0 | +0 | =1545 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 40% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 63:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | +0 | +0 | =1545 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 40% | ||
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –4 | =1550 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +26 | =1479 | 40% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 94:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 39% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 104:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 39% | ||
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –4 | =1449 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 57% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 56% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 56% | ||
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +21 | =1575 | 67% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
7/21Thursday, July 213:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1459 | +0 | +3 | =1462 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +27 | =1480 | 53% | ||
7/21Thursday, July 217:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1459 | +0 | +0 | =1459 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 53% | ||
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | –4 | =1470 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 51% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 50% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 50% | ||
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | –3 | =1551 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 39% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 39% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 273:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +0 | =1554 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 39% | ||
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +23 | =1550 | 64% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 64% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 64% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 29:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +26 | =1557 | 65% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +1 | =1524 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –3 | =1528 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 42% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 103:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 42% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 57% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 56% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 56% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 56% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +0 | =1494 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +20 | =1473 | 47% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
8/22Monday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | –2 | =1491 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +0 | +0 | =1493 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
8/25Thursday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | –2 | =1573 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 37% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 36% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 279:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 36% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 36% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –2 | +26 | =1486 | 55% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –2 | +24 | =1484 | 55% | ||
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –2 | +24 | =1484 | 55% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –1 | =1452 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +22 | =1454 | 50% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 50% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 50% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –1 | –2 | =1537 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +22 | =1475 | 41% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –1 | +0 | =1539 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 41% | ||
9/8Thursday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | –3 | =1524 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +0 | =1527 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +0 | =1527 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +0 | =1527 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +21 | =1495 | 56% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +24 | =1498 | 56% | ||
9/15Thursday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –2 | =1451 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +21 | =1575 | 67% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 67% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | –2 | =1492 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +22 | =1475 | 48% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +0 | =1494 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | –2 | =1530 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 42% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 42% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 42% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +22 | =1553 | 64% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 64% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | –3 | =1450 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +24 | =1518 | 60% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +24 | =1518 | 59% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +0 | =1453 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +2 | +24 | =1518 | 59% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –2 | =1529 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +21 | =1474 | 42% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 42% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 42% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/21Saturday, May 219:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +34 | +0 | =1487 | 41% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 59% | 5 | |
5/20Friday, May 209:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –5 | +0 | =1447 | 37% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –12 | +23 | =1542 | 63% | 2 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 183:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +15 | +0 | =1532 | 60% | 14 |
![]() | ![]() | 1454 | –15 | +24 | =1463 | 40% | 4 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 179:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –13 | +0 | =1506 | 55% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –3 | +24 | =1473 | 45% | 5 | |
5/16Monday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –9 | –4 | =1505 | 55% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | –4 | +24 | =1473 | 45% | 1 | |
5/15Sunday, May 154:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1535 | +0 | +0 | =1535 | 54% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1455 | +32 | +24 | =1511 | 46% | 1 | |
5/14Saturday, May 149:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –7 | +0 | =1526 | 61% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | –32 | +24 | =1449 | 39% | 1 | |
5/14Saturday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –22 | +0 | =1512 | 56% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1456 | –9 | +24 | =1471 | 44% | 4 | |
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –21 | +0 | =1512 | 58% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | –19 | +20 | =1458 | 42% | 0 | |
5/12Thursday, May 121:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1456 | –3 | +0 | =1453 | 48% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –17 | +24 | =1465 | 52% | 3 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –12 | +0 | =1440 | 46% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –18 | +24 | =1467 | 54% | 0 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 104:50 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1450 | –12 | –4 | =1434 | 46% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –20 | +20 | =1463 | 54% | 1 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 101:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +2 | –4 | =1458 | 43% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +36 | +20 | =1509 | 57% | 0 | |
5/9Monday, May 97:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –12 | –3 | =1437 | 42% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +8 | +21 | =1490 | 58% | 0 | |
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1452 | –18 | +0 | =1434 | 35% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –7 | +24 | =1540 | 65% | 4 | |
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | –4 | +0 | =1449 | 35% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +12 | +24 | =1558 | 65% | 1 | |
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | –11 | –2 | =1441 | 37% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | –6 | +21 | =1536 | 63% | 2 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 43:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +12 | +0 | =1540 | 54% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1455 | +35 | +24 | =1514 | 46% | 0 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –14 | +0 | =1513 | 56% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | –10 | +24 | =1471 | 44% | 7 | |
5/2Monday, May 29:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | +14 | –4 | =1535 | 59% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –10 | +24 | =1472 | 41% | 1 | |
5/1Sunday, May 14:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –1 | +0 | =1493 | 51% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 49% | 3 | |
4/30Saturday, April 304:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +33 | +0 | =1526 | 57% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –8 | +24 | =1478 | 43% | 1 | |
4/29Friday, April 299:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | –15 | –2 | =1474 | 42% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +38 | +25 | =1526 | 58% | 8 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 279:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –16 | +0 | =1445 | 38% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –26 | +24 | =1532 | 62% | 0 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –7 | +1 | =1457 | 34% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | +23 | +20 | =1576 | 66% | 8 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –9 | +0 | =1458 | 48% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –12 | +24 | =1473 | 52% | 2 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –8 | +0 | =1457 | 41% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +37 | +24 | =1524 | 59% | 0 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –9 | –3 | =1450 | 48% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –24 | +24 | =1466 | 52% | 1 | |
4/21Thursday, April 213:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1430 | –1 | +0 | =1429 | 44% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –18 | +24 | =1471 | 56% | 6 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1428 | +0 | +0 | =1428 | 43% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –12 | +24 | =1478 | 57% | 0 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1429 | +10 | +0 | =1439 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –12 | +24 | =1477 | 56% | 2 | |
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1430 | –31 | –4 | =1395 | 33% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +36 | +20 | =1520 | 67% | 5 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –21 | +0 | =1444 | 29% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1550 | +22 | +24 | =1596 | 71% | 4 | |
4/16Saturday, April 163:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –20 | +0 | =1443 | 33% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1552 | –14 | +24 | =1562 | 67% | 5 | |
4/15Friday, April 157:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | –11 | –3 | =1450 | 35% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1551 | –16 | +22 | =1557 | 65% | 4 | |
4/14Thursday, April 141:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –13 | +0 | =1449 | 39% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –26 | +24 | =1526 | 61% | 3 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 136:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +36 | +0 | =1496 | 39% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +16 | +24 | =1570 | 61% | 2 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 126:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –10 | +0 | =1451 | 38% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | –19 | +24 | =1534 | 62% | 9 | |
4/11Monday, April 116:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1455 | –26 | –3 | =1426 | 34% | 13 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –15 | +24 | =1543 | 66% | 2 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1453 | –17 | +0 | =1436 | 37% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –21 | +24 | =1528 | 63% | 1 | |
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1454 | –10 | +0 | =1444 | 37% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –13 | +24 | =1535 | 63% | 4 | |
4/8Friday, April 83:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1456 | +38 | –4 | =1490 | 42% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +1 | +24 | =1547 | 58% | 9 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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