Updated May 22, 2022, at 5:18 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Athletics have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Astros Astros26-15	—	93%	72%
Angels Angels25-17	1.5	70%	25%
Mariners Mariners17-25	9.5	11%	2%
Rangers Rangers18-21	7.0	8%	1%
Athletics Athletics17-25	9.5	1%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/22Sunday, May 224:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1452	–8	+0	=1444	34%
5/22Sunday, May 224:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1530	+3	+24	=1557	66%
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Logue	1452	–4	–3	=1445	40%
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1492	+3	+20	=1515	60%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1452	–2	+0	=1450	42%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1492	–9	+24	=1507	58%
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1452	–5	+0	=1447	36%
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Ray	1492	+28	+24	=1544	64%
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1474	+13	–2	=1485	47%
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1452	+33	+21	=1506	53%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1474	+9	+0	=1483	52%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1452	–8	+24	=1468	48%
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1474	–11	+0	=1463	49%
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Logue	1452	–4	+24	=1472	51%
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Dunning	1474	+15	+0	=1489	52%
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1452	–2	+24	=1474	48%
5/30Monday, May 304:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1553	–5	–3	=1545	61%
5/30Monday, May 304:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1452	–5	+24	=1471	39%
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1553	–2	+0	=1551	56%
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1452	+33	+24	=1509	44%
6/1Wednesday, June 13:37 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1553	+47	+0	=1600	68%
6/1Wednesday, June 13:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1452	–8	+24	=1468	32%
6/3Friday, June 39:40 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1527	–2	–2	=1523	56%
6/3Friday, June 39:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+26	=1479	44%
6/4Saturday, June 44:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1527	–2	+0	=1525	57%
6/4Saturday, June 44:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	43%
6/5Sunday, June 54:07 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1527	–2	+0	=1525	57%
6/5Sunday, June 54:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	43%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:20 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–2	=1451	35%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1540	–1	+23	=1562	65%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:20 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	35%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1540	–1	+24	=1563	65%
6/9Thursday, June 97:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–3	=1450	40%
6/9Thursday, June 97:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1496	+0	+24	=1520	60%
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	40%
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1496	+0	+24	=1520	60%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	40%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1496	+0	+24	=1520	60%
6/12Sunday, June 1211:35 a.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	40%
6/12Sunday, June 1211:35 a.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1496	+0	+24	=1520	60%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–1	=1452	37%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1527	–2	+22	=1547	63%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1527	–2	+24	=1549	64%
6/16Thursday, June 161:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
6/16Thursday, June 161:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	—	1527	–2	+24	=1549	64%
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+1	=1459	48%
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+20	=1473	52%
6/18Saturday, June 184:07 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	47%
6/18Saturday, June 184:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	53%
6/19Sunday, June 194:07 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+0	=1458	47%
6/19Sunday, June 194:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	53%
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	–1	=1493	52%
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+26	=1479	48%
6/22Wednesday, June 229:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+0	=1494	52%
6/22Wednesday, June 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	48%
6/23Thursday, June 233:37 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+0	=1494	52%
6/23Thursday, June 233:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	48%
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–4	=1449	45%
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+23	=1481	55%
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	46%
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	54%
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	46%
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	54%
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–3	=1450	30%
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1574	+1	+24	=1599	70%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	30%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1574	+1	+24	=1599	70%
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	30%
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1574	+1	+24	=1599	70%
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–4	=1449	40%
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+24	=1518	60%
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	41%
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+24	=1518	59%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	41%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+24	=1518	59%
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	41%
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+24	=1518	59%
7/4Monday, July 49:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1545	+0	–4	=1541	59%
7/4Monday, July 49:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+21	=1474	41%
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1545	+0	+0	=1545	60%
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	40%
7/6Wednesday, July 63:37 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	—	1545	+0	+0	=1545	60%
7/6Wednesday, July 63:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	40%
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	–4	=1550	60%
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+26	=1479	40%
7/9Saturday, July 94:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+0	=1554	61%
7/9Saturday, July 94:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	39%
7/10Sunday, July 104:07 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+0	=1554	61%
7/10Sunday, July 104:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	39%
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–4	=1449	43%
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+24	=1498	57%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	44%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+24	=1498	56%
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	44%
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+24	=1498	56%
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	33%
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+21	=1575	67%
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	33%
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	67%
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	33%
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	67%
7/21Thursday, July 213:37 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1459	+0	+3	=1462	47%
7/21Thursday, July 213:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+27	=1480	53%
7/21Thursday, July 217:07 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1459	+0	+0	=1459	47%
7/21Thursday, July 217:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	53%
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	–4	=1470	49%
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	51%
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+0	=1474	50%
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	50%
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+0	=1474	50%
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	50%
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	–3	=1551	61%
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	39%
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+0	=1554	61%
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	39%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:37 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+0	=1554	61%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	39%
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–2	=1451	36%
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+23	=1550	64%
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+24	=1551	64%
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+24	=1551	64%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 29:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–2	=1451	35%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 29:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+26	=1557	65%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+1	=1524	57%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	43%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:07 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+0	=1523	57%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	43%
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–3	=1528	57%
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	43%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	58%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	42%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 103:37 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	58%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 103:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	42%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–2	=1451	33%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	67%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	33%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	67%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	33%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	67%
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–2	=1451	43%
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+24	=1498	57%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	44%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+24	=1498	56%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	44%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+24	=1498	56%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	44%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+24	=1498	56%
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+0	=1494	53%
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+20	=1473	47%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+0	=1494	52%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	48%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+0	=1494	52%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	48%
8/22Monday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	–2	=1491	52%
8/22Monday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	48%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+0	=1493	52%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	48%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1493	+0	+0	=1493	52%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	48%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1574	+1	–2	=1573	63%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	37%
8/26Friday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1574	+1	+0	=1575	64%
8/26Friday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	36%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 279:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1574	+1	+0	=1575	64%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 279:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	36%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	—	1574	+1	+0	=1575	64%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	36%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–2	=1451	45%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1462	–2	+26	=1486	55%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	45%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1462	–2	+24	=1484	55%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	45%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1462	–2	+24	=1484	55%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–1	=1452	50%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+22	=1454	50%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	50%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+24	=1456	50%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	50%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	—	1433	–1	+24	=1456	50%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1540	–1	–2	=1537	59%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+22	=1475	41%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:37 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1540	–1	+0	=1539	59%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	41%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	–3	=1524	57%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	43%
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+0	=1527	57%
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	43%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+0	=1527	57%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	43%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+0	=1527	57%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	43%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–2	=1451	44%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+21	=1495	56%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	44%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+24	=1498	56%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–2	=1451	33%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+21	=1575	67%
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	33%
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	67%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	33%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	67%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	33%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	—	1553	+1	+24	=1578	67%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	–2	=1492	52%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+22	=1475	48%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+0	=1494	52%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	48%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:37 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+0	=1494	52%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	48%
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	–2	=1530	58%
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	42%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+0	=1532	58%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	42%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+0	=1532	58%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	42%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+22	=1553	64%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	36%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	64%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	–3	=1450	40%
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+24	=1518	60%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	41%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+24	=1518	59%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+0	=1453	41%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	—	1492	+2	+24	=1518	59%
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	–2	=1529	58%
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+21	=1474	42%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	58%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	42%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	58%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	OAKAthletics	—	1452	+1	+24	=1477	42%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
5/21Saturday, May 219:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1453	+34	+0	=1487	41%	3
5/21Saturday, May 219:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1529	+0	+24	=1553	59%	5
5/20Friday, May 209:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1452	–5	+0	=1447	37%	4
5/20Friday, May 209:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Silseth	1531	–12	+23	=1542	63%	2
5/18Wednesday, May 183:37 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1517	+15	+0	=1532	60%	14
5/18Wednesday, May 183:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1454	–15	+24	=1463	40%	4
5/17Tuesday, May 179:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1519	–13	+0	=1506	55%	2
5/17Tuesday, May 179:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1452	–3	+24	=1473	45%	5
5/16Monday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Archer	1518	–9	–4	=1505	55%	3
5/16Monday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Logue	1453	–4	+24	=1473	45%	1
5/15Sunday, May 154:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1535	+0	+0	=1535	54%	4
5/15Sunday, May 154:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1455	+32	+24	=1511	46%	1
5/14Saturday, May 149:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1533	–7	+0	=1526	61%	9
5/14Saturday, May 149:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Oller	1457	–32	+24	=1449	39%	1
5/14Saturday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Diaz	1534	–22	+0	=1512	56%	3
5/14Saturday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1456	–9	+24	=1471	44%	4
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Silseth	1533	–21	+0	=1512	58%	2
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1457	–19	+20	=1458	42%	0
5/12Thursday, May 121:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1456	–3	+0	=1453	48%	5
5/12Thursday, May 121:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Brieske	1458	–17	+24	=1465	52%	3
5/11Wednesday, May 117:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Logue	1452	–12	+0	=1440	46%	9
5/11Wednesday, May 117:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Wentz	1461	–18	+24	=1467	54%	0
5/10Tuesday, May 104:50 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Martinez	1450	–12	–4	=1434	46%	4
5/10Tuesday, May 104:50 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Faedo	1463	–20	+20	=1463	54%	1
5/10Tuesday, May 101:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1460	+2	–4	=1458	43%	6
5/10Tuesday, May 101:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1453	+36	+20	=1509	57%	0
5/9Monday, May 97:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1452	–12	–3	=1437	42%	2
5/9Monday, May 97:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Pineda	1461	+8	+21	=1490	58%	0
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1452	–18	+0	=1434	35%	3
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Paddack	1523	–7	+24	=1540	65%	4
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1453	–4	+0	=1449	35%	0
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1522	+12	+24	=1558	65%	1
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Logue	1454	–11	–2	=1441	37%	1
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Winder	1521	–6	+21	=1536	63%	2
5/4Wednesday, May 43:37 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1528	+12	+0	=1540	54%	3
5/4Wednesday, May 43:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1455	+35	+24	=1514	46%	0
5/3Tuesday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Yarbrough	1527	–14	+0	=1513	56%	10
5/3Tuesday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1457	–10	+24	=1471	44%	7
5/2Monday, May 29:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Rasmussen	1525	+14	–4	=1535	59%	6
5/2Monday, May 29:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1458	–10	+24	=1472	41%	1
5/1Sunday, May 14:07 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1494	–1	+0	=1493	51%	7
5/1Sunday, May 14:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1460	+0	+24	=1484	49%	3
4/30Saturday, April 304:07 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1493	+33	+0	=1526	57%	3
4/30Saturday, April 304:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1462	–8	+24	=1478	43%	1
4/29Friday, April 299:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Civale	1491	–15	–2	=1474	42%	9
4/29Friday, April 299:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1463	+38	+25	=1526	58%	8
4/27Wednesday, April 279:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1461	–16	+0	=1445	38%	1
4/27Wednesday, April 279:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Long	1534	–26	+24	=1532	62%	0
4/26Tuesday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1463	–7	+1	=1457	34%	2
4/26Tuesday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1533	+23	+20	=1576	66%	8
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Richards	1467	–9	+0	=1458	48%	0
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1461	–12	+24	=1473	52%	2
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	–8	+0	=1457	41%	2
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1463	+37	+24	=1524	59%	0
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1462	–9	–3	=1450	48%	8
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Oller	1466	–24	+24	=1466	52%	1
4/21Thursday, April 213:37 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1430	–1	+0	=1429	44%	4
4/21Thursday, April 213:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1465	–18	+24	=1471	56%	6
4/20Wednesday, April 206:07 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lyles	1428	+0	+0	=1428	43%	1
4/20Wednesday, April 206:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1466	–12	+24	=1478	57%	0
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Ellis	1429	+10	+0	=1439	44%	1
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1465	–12	+24	=1477	56%	2
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Watkins	1430	–31	–4	=1395	33%	1
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1464	+36	+20	=1520	67%	5
4/17Sunday, April 171:37 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Oller	1465	–21	+0	=1444	29%	3
4/17Sunday, April 171:37 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1550	+22	+24	=1596	71%	4
4/16Saturday, April 163:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1463	–20	+0	=1443	33%	7
4/16Saturday, April 163:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ryu	1552	–14	+24	=1562	67%	5
4/15Friday, April 157:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1464	–11	–3	=1450	35%	1
4/15Friday, April 157:07 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Stripling	1551	–16	+22	=1557	65%	4
4/14Thursday, April 141:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1462	–13	+0	=1449	39%	6
4/14Thursday, April 141:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Fleming	1528	–26	+24	=1526	61%	3
4/13Wednesday, April 136:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1460	+36	+0	=1496	39%	4
4/13Wednesday, April 136:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1530	+16	+24	=1570	61%	2
4/12Tuesday, April 126:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Oller	1461	–10	+0	=1451	38%	8
4/12Tuesday, April 126:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Romero	1529	–19	+24	=1534	62%	9
4/11Monday, April 116:40 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1455	–26	–3	=1426	34%	13
4/11Monday, April 116:40 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Patino	1534	–15	+24	=1543	66%	2
4/10Sunday, April 101:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1453	–17	+0	=1436	37%	4
4/10Sunday, April 101:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1525	–21	+24	=1528	63%	1
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Irvin	1454	–10	+0	=1444	37%	2
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1524	–13	+24	=1535	63%	4
4/8Friday, April 83:05 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1456	+38	–4	=1490	42%	5
4/8Friday, April 83:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1522	+1	+24	=1547	58%	9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.