Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Tigers have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
TwinsTwins20-1557%41%
White SoxWhite Sox16-173.055%38%
GuardiansGuardians16-173.031%18%
RoyalsRoyals12-206.53%1%
TigersTigers12-238.02%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
1460163=144134%
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1530+3+24=155766%
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146017+0=144332%
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+23+24=157768%
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1460+12+0=147236%
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1530+18+24=157264%
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145944%
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149921+26=150456%
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1460+10+0=147039%
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1499+25+24=154861%
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146040%
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1499+9+24=153260%
5/23Monday, May 237:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
1460173=144037%
MINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
15184+22=153663%
5/24Tuesday, May 247:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1460+12+0=147238%
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1518+15+24=155762%
5/25Wednesday, May 251:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146038%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154362%
5/26Thursday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1499+253=152154%
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1460+10+21=149146%
5/27Friday, May 277:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
5/30Monday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151655%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148445%
5/31Tuesday, May 311:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151955%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148445%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151955%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148445%
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151955%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148445%
6/2Thursday, June 21:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151955%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148445%
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145831%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
6/4Saturday, June 41:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146031%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
6/5Sunday, June 511:35 a.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146031%
NYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1573+1+24=159869%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146049%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+26=146851%
6/8Wednesday, June 812:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146049%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146651%
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+01=154358%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148442%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154459%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148441%
6/12Sunday, June 121:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+0=154459%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148441%
6/13Monday, June 137:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
152812=152556%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148444%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148444%
6/15Wednesday, June 151:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148444%
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+03=146547%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146848%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148452%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146848%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148452%
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+0=146848%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148452%
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+03=145738%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154562%
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146038%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154562%
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146038%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
1521+0+24=154562%
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145846%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
6/28Tuesday, June 289:45 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145937%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+26=155063%
6/29Wednesday, June 293:45 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146038%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
7/1Friday, July 17:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+01=146047%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+22=148253%
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
7/3Sunday, July 312:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
7/4Monday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+01=149852%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
7/6Wednesday, July 61:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
7/7Thursday, July 78:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145837%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146037%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
7/9Saturday, July 92:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146037%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146037%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
7/11Monday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145846%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
7/11Monday, July 118:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
7/13Wednesday, July 132:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145941%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+26=152559%
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
7/21Thursday, July 213:37 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+3=146347%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+27=148053%
7/21Thursday, July 217:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146047%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+24=147753%
7/23Saturday, July 236:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+4=152356%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+22=148244%
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151955%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148445%
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153858%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148442%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148442%
7/27Wednesday, July 271:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148442%
7/28Thursday, July 287:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145835%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156865%
7/29Friday, July 297:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146035%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156865%
7/30Saturday, July 303:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146035%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156865%
7/31Sunday, July 3112:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146035%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1544+0+24=156865%
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+03=145738%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+20=153962%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146038%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154362%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146038%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+24=154362%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+13=152857%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+21=148143%
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153157%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153157%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153157%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148443%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+1=150052%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+26=148648%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+0=149952%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145837%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+22=154963%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146037%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146037%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145841%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+22=152159%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152359%
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+12=153557%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+25=148543%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153758%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148442%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+0=153758%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148442%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+01=152355%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+26=148645%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148444%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145945%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+23=149155%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146045%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149255%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146045%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149255%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+22=149852%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+23=148348%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150052%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 11:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150052%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148448%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+02=145946%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148454%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
9/5Monday, Sept. 59:38 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+04=145635%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156165%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:38 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146036%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156164%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146036%
LAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1536+1+24=156164%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145946%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+26=148754%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148554%
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+13=155260%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+21=148140%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155560%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148440%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+0=155560%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148440%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+26=148644%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148444%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+0=152756%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148444%
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145851%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+22=145449%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146051%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145649%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146051%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145649%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+01=145937%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146037%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146037%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155163%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+01=146047%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146147%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148453%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+13=151655%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148445%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 16:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151955%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148445%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151955%
DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+24=148445%
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+04=145640%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152460%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152459%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152459%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5DETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146041%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152459%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1435+10+0=144544%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1459+6+24=148956%5
5/14Saturday, May 144:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1436+4+0=144043%0
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1457+8+24=148957%3
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1437+02=143542%2
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1456+12+24=149258%4
5/12Thursday, May 121:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14563+0=145348%5
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
145817+24=146552%3
5/11Wednesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
145212+0=144046%9
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
146118+24=146754%0
5/10Tuesday, May 104:50 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Martinez, Adrian
Martinez
1450124=143446%4
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
146320+20=146354%1
5/10Tuesday, May 101:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1460+24=145843%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1453+36+20=150957%0
5/9Monday, May 97:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1452123=143742%2
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1461+8+21=149058%0
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14639+0=145436%0
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154616+24=155464%5
5/7Saturday, May 74:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1463+9+0=147238%2
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15459+24=156062%3
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146414+0=145034%2
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15455+24=156466%3
5/5Thursday, May 58:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1465+13=146336%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15448+24=156064%3
5/4Wednesday, May 44:30 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1440+3+0=144345%7
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
146716+24=147555%2
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14402+3=144142%2
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1466+9+25=150058%3
5/1Sunday, May 14:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1467+10+0=147730%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1587+12+24=162370%6
4/30Saturday, April 3010:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146417+0=144726%5
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1590+10+24=162474%1
4/29Friday, April 2910:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146584=145332%1
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
158930+24=158368%5
4/28Thursday, April 281:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1467+2+0=146938%1
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1517+9+24=155062%7
4/27Wednesday, April 277:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1468+11+0=147940%0
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1516+13+24=155360%5
4/26Tuesday, April 267:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1469+71=147542%4
MINMINTwins
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
151511+26=153058%5
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14687+0=146146%6
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14715+24=149054%2
4/23Saturday, April 236:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14679+0=145847%3
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
147220+24=147653%2
4/23Saturday, April 231:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1471+8+2=148148%0
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14684+26=149052%13
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15536+0=154757%0
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1467+8+24=149943%3
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1552+8+0=156059%5
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1468+7+24=149941%3
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1552+16+0=156861%4
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14682+26=149239%2
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147015+0=145546%1
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14655+24=148454%3
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14687+0=146145%2
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1466+8+24=149855%1
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+13=146545%4
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1467+11+24=150255%2
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1529+14+0=154356%9
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1468+12+24=150444%7
4/12Tuesday, April 121:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15283+0=152555%5
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14694+24=148945%3
4/11Monday, April 115:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1530162=151256%1
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146820+24=147244%3
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
154111+0=153056%10
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14705+24=148944%1
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1540+9+0=154957%5
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1472+2+24=149843%2
4/8Friday, April 81:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1541+262=156558%4
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1471+13+24=150842%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.