Updated Sep. 29, 2022, at 4:39 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Tigers are done for the season.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
GuardiansGuardians87-68
White SoxWhite Sox77-7910.5
TwinsTwins76-8011.5
TigersTigers63-9224.0
RoyalsRoyals63-9324.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1499+163=151256%
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14589+24=147344%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 16:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
149917+0=148253%
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145822+24=146047%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 212:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1499+10+0=150953%
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1458+5+24=148747%
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1458+14=145536%
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1522+6+24=155264%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1458+11+0=146941%
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152215+24=153159%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1458+1+0=145936%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1522+12+24=155864%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14589+0=144935%
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1522+7+24=155365%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
145410+0=144444%3
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1456+9+24=148956%10
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 286:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145510+0=144545%1
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1455+1+24=148055%2
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 276:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1456+61=146146%3
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1454+8+24=148654%4
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145212+0=144032%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1509+36+24=156968%1
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
144922+0=142738%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
151127+24=150862%2
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1447+101=145640%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
151312+24=152560%3
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 217:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1449+4+0=145344%1
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
14827+24=149956%8
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1448+1+0=144941%3
BALBALOrioles
Voth, Austin
Voth
1483+3+24=151059%2
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
1443182=142337%11
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1488+9+22=151963%0
9/18Sunday, Sept. 1812:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
151736+0=148154%11
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
144519+24=145046%5
9/17Saturday, Sept. 176:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15164+0=151255%4
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1446+7+24=147745%3
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1517131=150354%2
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1445+1+26=147246%3
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 141:10 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1573+0+0=157364%2
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1446+2+24=147236%1
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Brown, Hunter
Brown
157234+0=153862%6
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
144715+24=145638%3
9/12Monday, Sept. 126:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1571+83=157663%7
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1449+11+21=148137%0
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145016+0=143440%0
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1450+29+24=150360%4
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14483+0=144548%8
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
145214+24=146252%4
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
144581=143644%10
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14554+26=147756%2
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
144314+0=142936%5
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1495+8+24=152764%4
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:38 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1444+13+0=145747%4
LAALAAAngels
Mayers, Mike
Mayers
149441+24=147753%5
9/5Monday, Sept. 59:38 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
144794=143441%0
LAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
149215+24=150159%10
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Castillo, Max
Castillo
14553+0=145248%3
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14483+24=146952%2
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
145216+0=143645%12
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
14523+24=147355%2
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145312=145049%4
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145117+24=145851%5
9/1Thursday, Sept. 11:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
15232+0=152154%7
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1453+14+24=149146%0
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
152213+0=150956%5
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145413+24=146544%3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1520+42=152256%9
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
1456+2+23=148144%3
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145520+0=143543%9
TEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
147916+24=148757%8
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1452+12+0=146451%11
TEXTEXRangers
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
148249+24=145749%2
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145381=144442%6
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14828+23=149758%7
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1506+8+0=151456%1
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14504+24=147044%6
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1505+261=153061%3
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145123+26=145439%1
8/21Sunday, Aug. 211:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1491+33+0=152456%0
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1449+11+24=148444%4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 201:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
1492+3+0=149554%3
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14485+24=146746%4
8/19Friday, Aug. 197:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1491+02=148953%1
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14497+25=146747%0
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
1450+0+0=145038%4
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1510+3+24=153762%8
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
144917+0=143237%4
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
151112+24=152363%3
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:45 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Bryan
Garcia
14477+0=144040%7
CLECLEGuardians
Curry, Xzavion
Curry
151329+24=150860%5
8/15Monday, Aug. 153:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
1448242=142236%1
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
151215+22=151964%4
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14491+0=144836%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1519+3+24=154664%5
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14505+0=144537%4
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15194+24=153963%6
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Norris, Daniel
Norris
145112=144837%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1518+0+22=154063%2
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
150612+0=149455%4
DETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
145217+24=145945%3
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
150513+0=149256%3
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145325+24=145244%2
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1503+30+1=153458%5
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14544+26=147642%2
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1522+4+0=152658%7
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14569+24=147142%0
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1526+36+0=156264%1
DETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
145219+24=145736%9
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1525+1+0=152658%5
DETDETTigers
Garcia, Bryan
Garcia
14539+24=146842%3
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
152363=151458%6
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145522+21=145442%2
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14566+0=145036%1
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1513+10+24=154764%4
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14547+0=144737%5
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15153+24=153663%3
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1455+173=146945%3
MINMINTwins
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
151427+20=150755%5
7/31Sunday, July 3112:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
145617+0=143932%1
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15471+24=157068%4
7/30Saturday, July 303:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145725+0=143231%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
1547+2+24=157369%5
7/29Friday, July 297:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Bryan
Garcia
14559+0=144629%4
TORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+32+24=160571%2
7/28Thursday, July 287:07 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
145652=144937%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
154830+24=154263%5
7/27Wednesday, July 271:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1526+19+0=154557%3
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1454+16+24=149443%4
7/26Tuesday, July 267:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1525+22+0=154762%6
DETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
145516+24=146338%4
7/25Monday, July 257:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152862=152060%4
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145224+24=145240%12
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1516+15+0=153159%9
DETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
14547+24=147141%1
7/23Saturday, July 236:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1515+18+4=153758%8
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1455+0+22=147742%4
7/21Thursday, July 217:15 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
145715+0=144243%0
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1433+31+24=148857%5
7/21Thursday, July 213:37 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1455+12+3=147054%7
OAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
143518+27=144446%2
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1458+9+0=146743%0
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
14956+24=151357%10
7/15Friday, July 157:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145926+0=143338%5
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
14943+24=151562%6
7/14Thursday, July 147:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Elvin
Rodriguez
1460353=142235%0
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1493+10+24=152765%4
7/13Wednesday, July 132:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1461+10+0=147148%2
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1450+14+24=148852%5
7/12Tuesday, July 128:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
1460+4+0=146450%7
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145212+24=146450%5
7/11Monday, July 118:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
146218+0=144446%3
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14502+24=147254%7
7/11Monday, July 112:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1463+92=147049%1
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1449+6+24=147951%3
7/10Sunday, July 102:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
146430+0=143434%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1519+5+24=154866%4
7/9Saturday, July 92:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
146613+0=145338%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15175+24=153662%8
7/8Friday, July 88:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1464+7+0=147139%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1518+5+24=154761%5
7/7Thursday, July 78:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146352=145634%2
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1520+24+24=156866%1
7/6Wednesday, July 61:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1495+31+0=152654%2
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1460+11+24=149546%8
7/5Tuesday, July 57:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1498+3+0=150157%4
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145732+24=144943%11
7/4Monday, July 46:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
149929+0=147053%3
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145615+24=146547%5
7/4Monday, July 41:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
150111=149955%1
DETDETTigers
Hill, Garrett
Hill
145411+24=146745%4
7/3Sunday, July 312:05 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1447+13+0=146045%7
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1456+13+24=149355%4
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
144812+0=143645%3
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
14556+24=147355%4
7/1Friday, July 17:25 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1446+31=144844%3
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1456+13+22=149156%1
6/29Wednesday, June 293:45 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
145513+0=144237%3
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
152213+24=153363%2
6/28Tuesday, June 289:45 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1456+141=146935%3
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1522+28+26=157665%4
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
1458+1+0=145952%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
145935+24=144848%11
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145615+0=144145%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
14608+24=147655%3
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
1453202=143140%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1463+16+24=150360%1
6/22Wednesday, June 227:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1455+17+0=147238%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15394+24=155962%6
6/21Tuesday, June 217:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
1455+1+0=145637%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
153913+24=155063%5
6/20Monday, June 207:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
1456123=144138%2
BOSBOSRed Sox
Winckowski, Josh
Winckowski
153833+24=152962%5
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1480+14+0=149457%3
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145435+24=144343%7
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
148315+0=146852%7
DETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
145122+24=145348%14
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1480+10+0=149049%7
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1454+20+24=149851%0
6/16Thursday, June 167:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1479+133=148953%3
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
14559+24=147047%1
6/15Wednesday, June 151:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
152131+0=149051%13
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
14591+24=148249%0
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1520+13+0=153362%5
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
146038+24=144638%1
6/13Monday, June 137:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1518+272=154361%9
DETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
146221+24=146539%5
6/12Sunday, June 121:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Stripling, Ross
Stripling
155414+0=154054%6
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1464+22+24=151046%0
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1556+14+0=157064%1
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146218+24=146836%3
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1554+21=155564%10
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Elvin
Rodriguez
146432+24=145636%1
6/8Wednesday, June 812:35 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
14637+0=145650%3
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14438+24=145950%1
6/7Tuesday, June 77:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
146110+0=145146%5
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1444+10+26=148054%3
6/5Sunday, June 511:35 a.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
146226+0=143630%4
NYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
157613+24=158770%5
6/4Saturday, June 41:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146225+0=143729%0
NYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
15755+24=159471%3
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Elvin
Rodriguez
1464142=144828%0
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1574+13+24=161172%13
6/2Thursday, June 21:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
151813+0=150554%2
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
146310+24=147746%3
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1520+5+0=152554%0
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1461+15+24=150046%5
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Sands, Cole
Sands
152222+0=150056%0
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
145926+24=145744%4
5/31Tuesday, May 311:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1521+5+0=152659%8
DETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
146023+24=146141%2
5/30Monday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1522143=150556%5
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
145922+24=146144%7
5/29Sunday, May 291:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1498+11+0=150957%1
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Elvin
Rodriguez
145819+24=146343%2
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1496+25+2=152357%8
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
146011+26=147543%1
5/26Thursday, May 267:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
1497233=147147%3
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1459+15+21=149553%4
5/25Wednesday, May 251:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
145725+0=143236%4
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
152515+24=153464%2
5/24Tuesday, May 247:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
145823+0=143532%0
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1524+14+24=156268%2
5/23Monday, May 237:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Elvin
Rodriguez
1459173=143936%4
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
152410+22=153664%5
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145710+2=144936%4
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1498+24+26=154864%2
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1459+121=147046%1
CLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
149621+24=149954%6
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1460+12+0=147236%1
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1530+17+24=157164%6
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146217+0=144532%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1528+23+24=157568%8
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
1460163=144134%3
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1530+3+24=155766%2
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1435+10+0=144544%1
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1459+6+24=148956%5
5/14Saturday, May 144:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1436+4+0=144043%0
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1457+8+24=148957%3
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1437+02=143542%2
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1456+12+24=149258%4
5/12Thursday, May 121:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14563+0=145348%5
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
145817+24=146552%3
5/11Wednesday, May 117:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
145212+0=144046%9
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
146118+24=146754%0
5/10Tuesday, May 104:50 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Martinez, Adrian
Martinez
1450124=143446%4
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
146320+20=146354%1
5/10Tuesday, May 101:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1460+24=145843%6
OAKOAKAthletics
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1453+36+20=150957%0
5/9Monday, May 97:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Blackburn, Paul
Blackburn
1452123=143742%2
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1461+8+21=149058%0
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Peralta, Wily
Peralta
14639+0=145436%0
HOUHOUAstros
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
154616+24=155464%5
5/7Saturday, May 74:05 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1463+9+0=147238%2
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15459+24=156062%3
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146414+0=145034%2
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15455+24=156466%3
5/5Thursday, May 58:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1465+13=146336%2
HOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15448+24=156064%3
5/4Wednesday, May 44:30 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1440+3+0=144345%7
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
146716+24=147555%2
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Peters, Dillon
Peters
14402+3=144142%2
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1466+9+25=150058%3
5/1Sunday, May 14:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1467+10+0=147730%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1587+12+24=162370%6
4/30Saturday, April 3010:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
146417+0=144726%5
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1590+10+24=162474%1
4/29Friday, April 2910:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
146584=145332%1
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
158930+24=158368%5
4/28Thursday, April 281:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1467+2+0=146938%1
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1517+9+24=155062%7
4/27Wednesday, April 277:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1468+11+0=147940%0
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1516+13+24=155360%5
4/26Tuesday, April 267:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1469+71=147542%4
MINMINTwins
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
151511+26=153058%5
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14687+0=146146%6
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14715+24=149054%2
4/23Saturday, April 236:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14679+0=145847%3
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
147220+24=147653%2
4/23Saturday, April 231:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1471+8+2=148148%0
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14684+26=149052%13
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
15536+0=154757%0
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1467+8+24=149943%3
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Severino, Luis
Severino
1552+8+0=156059%5
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1468+7+24=149941%3
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1552+16+0=156861%4
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14682+26=149239%2
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
147015+0=145546%1
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14655+24=148454%3
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14687+0=146145%2
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1466+8+24=149855%1
4/14Thursday, April 148:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1467+13=146545%4
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1467+11+24=150255%2
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Eovaldi, Nathan
Eovaldi
1529+14+0=154356%9
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1468+12+24=150444%7
4/12Tuesday, April 121:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15283+0=152555%5
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14694+24=148945%3
4/11Monday, April 115:10 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1530162=151256%1
DETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
146820+24=147244%3
4/10Sunday, April 101:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
154111+0=153056%10
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14705+24=148944%1
4/9Saturday, April 91:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1540+9+0=154957%5
DETDETTigers
Mize, Casey
Mize
1472+2+24=149843%2
4/8Friday, April 81:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1541+262=156558%4
DETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1471+13+24=150842%5

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.