Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Nationals have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets23-1376%48%
BravesBraves16-196.559%29%
PhilliesPhillies17-185.546%18%
MarlinsMarlins15-197.014%5%
NationalsNationals12-2411.02%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146373=145339%
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+18+24=153461%
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146311+0=145245%
MIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
149228+24=148855%
5/18Wednesday, May 186:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1463+1+0=146439%
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+24+24=154061%
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146361=145635%
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15446+26=156465%
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14639+0=145434%
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1544+1+24=156966%
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14637+0=145634%
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1544+3+24=157166%
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1587292=155662%
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146311+21=147338%
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1587+11+0=159865%
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1463+1+24=148835%
5/25Wednesday, May 254:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1587+0+0=158765%
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14636+24=148135%
5/26Thursday, May 267:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1461+12=146047%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14639+24=147853%
5/27Friday, May 277:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146146%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148654%
5/28Saturday, May 284:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146146%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148654%
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146146%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148654%
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146312=146037%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
6/2Thursday, June 26:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146313=145944%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+21=149956%
6/3Friday, June 36:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150256%
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150256%
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150256%
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146311=146142%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+26=151758%
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146242%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151558%
6/9Thursday, June 96:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146242%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151558%
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+13=154258%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+21=148342%
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154558%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154558%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153913=153557%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148643%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153858%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153858%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+02=152255%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148645%
6/17Friday, June 171:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
6/17Friday, June 177:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
6/18Saturday, June 184:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
6/19Sunday, June 1912:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
6/21Tuesday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+1=146351%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+26=145849%
6/22Wednesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146251%
BALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+24=145649%
6/24Friday, June 248:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146311=146145%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+26=149455%
6/25Saturday, June 254:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146246%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149254%
6/26Sunday, June 262:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146246%
TEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1468+0+24=149254%
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+03=143944%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+21=148356%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144244%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148656%
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144244%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148656%
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
149211=149050%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+26=148850%
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149151%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148649%
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149151%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148649%
7/4Monday, July 411:05 a.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149151%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148649%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146312=146037%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+26=155063%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
7/7Thursday, July 74:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
7/8Friday, July 87:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146313=145936%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156264%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146236%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156264%
7/10Sunday, July 101:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146236%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156264%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+22=149852%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+23=148548%
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+0=150052%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148648%
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153913=153557%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148643%
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153858%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153858%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153858%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+3=146546%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+29=149354%
7/23Saturday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146246%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146246%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146312=146030%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161170%
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146230%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161170%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146230%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161170%
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150954%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+22=148446%
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150953%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148647%
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150953%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148647%
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153323=152856%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153156%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 34:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+0=153156%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146312=146038%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+21=154562%
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
8/8Monday, Aug. 88:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146313=145944%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150356%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146244%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150356%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146244%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150356%
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+22=153857%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+23=148543%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 1412:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154058%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+12=147749%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148651%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147949%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148651%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 171:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+0=147949%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148651%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146314=145836%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+20=156064%
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146311=146141%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+23=152359%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146241%
SEASEAMariners
Pitcher TBD
1498+2+24=152459%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+12=147649%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+22=148451%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147849%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148651%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147849%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148651%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+02=145145%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+26=148855%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145345%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148655%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1453+0+0=145345%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148655%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146312=146037%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146313=145940%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153360%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146240%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153360%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146240%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153360%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 81:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146240%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+24=153360%
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146313=145937%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154863%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+1=143342%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148658%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Pitcher TBD
14331+0=143242%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148658%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
149213=148850%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+26=148850%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149151%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148649%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+0=149151%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148649%
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146313=145936%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156264%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146236%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156264%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2112:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146236%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156264%
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146311=146142%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+26=151758%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146242%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151558%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146242%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
14921+24=151558%
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153912=153658%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+21=148342%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153858%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153858%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148642%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152155%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+26=148845%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152456%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+24=148644%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
146312=146037%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+21=155263%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15332+24=155563%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1553+46+0=159966%8
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14658+24=148134%0
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1556+1+0=155761%6
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14626+24=148039%13
5/13Friday, May 137:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1554113=154057%6
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1463+3+24=149043%1
5/12Thursday, May 121:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153332+0=150153%4
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146510+24=147947%1
5/11Wednesday, May 117:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153619+0=151756%3
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14629+24=147744%8
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153418+0=151656%4
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146412+22=147444%2
5/8Sunday, May 84:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14649+0=145536%4
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1527+5+24=155664%5
5/7Saturday, May 79:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1462+5+0=146738%7
LAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1530+1+24=155562%3
5/6Friday, May 69:38 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
1463113=144939%0
LAALAAAngels
Diaz, Jhonathan
Diaz
152925+20=152461%3
5/5Thursday, May 53:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14646+0=145845%7
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1467+4+24=149555%9
5/4Wednesday, May 48:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146515+0=145045%2
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14662+24=148855%5
5/3Tuesday, May 38:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1462141=144742%10
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1469+7+26=150258%2
5/1Sunday, May 14:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1459+2+0=146138%11
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152910+24=154362%5
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
14609+0=145134%3
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1528+16+24=156866%9
4/29Friday, April 2910:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
145544=144735%14
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15335+26=155465%4
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1493+1+0=149454%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
145616+24=146446%2
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+16+0=150856%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
145714+24=146744%1
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1491+211=151153%5
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1459+4+26=148947%2
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1528+16+0=154459%12
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
14615+24=148041%3
4/23Saturday, April 231:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15276+0=152155%5
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14633+24=148445%2
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Long, Sam
Long
1524292=149352%7
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146511+24=147848%1
4/21Thursday, April 214:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
145534+0=142141%4
WSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
14665+24=148559%3
4/20Wednesday, April 207:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1452+14+0=146648%11
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
147012+24=148252%2
4/19Tuesday, April 197:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
1453+1+0=145447%0
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146917+24=147653%1
4/19Tuesday, April 191:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1455+3+0=145846%1
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14673+24=148854%6
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146814+0=145448%3
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14482+24=147052%5
4/16Saturday, April 166:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
14692+0=146750%4
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1446+0+24=147050%6
4/15Friday, April 156:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146713+0=145448%7
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14496+24=146752%2
4/14Thursday, April 146:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146982=145948%4
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1447+0+24=147152%9
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
146710+0=145732%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1550+17+24=159168%1
4/12Tuesday, April 127:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
147010+0=146039%4
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154730+24=154161%16
4/11Monday, April 117:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
1465103=145235%11
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
155214+24=156265%2
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
152626+0=150054%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146415+24=147346%4
4/9Saturday, April 97:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1524+7+0=153156%5
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
14664+24=148644%0
4/8Friday, April 87:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1522+30+0=155260%7
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14677+24=148440%3
4/7Thursday, April 77:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
1520332=148550%5
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146911+24=148250%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.