Updated Sep. 29, 2022, at 4:17 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Nationals are done for the season.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets98-5874%
BravesBraves97-591.026%
PhilliesPhillies83-7114.056%
MarlinsMarlins64-9133.5
NationalsNationals54-10143.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Friday, Sept. 301:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
1527233=150156%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14398+26=145744%
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
152720+0=150757%
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14397+24=145643%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 11:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152726+0=150153%
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1439+18+24=148147%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 21:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1527+27+0=155463%
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1439+0+24=146337%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1439+82=144535%
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155322+21=155265%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1439+1+0=144033%
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155316+24=156167%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14398+0=143124%
NYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1553+52+24=162976%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
158229+0=155363%2
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14373+24=145837%3
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
158035+0=154560%8
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1439+9+24=147240%2
9/26Monday, Sept. 267:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
1578202=155663%8
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1441+2+21=146437%0
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1439+17+0=145646%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
14655+24=148454%1
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14403+0=143738%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1464+33+24=152162%4
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
144121=143845%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
146314+26=147555%5
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2112:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1440+8+0=144832%3
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
158126+24=157968%2
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 207:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14408+0=143227%2
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1581+3+24=160873%3
9/19Monday, Sept. 197:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1441+73=144530%2
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
158015+24=158970%5
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1461+32+0=149352%3
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1442+16+24=148248%1
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
146212+0=145048%3
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14412+24=146352%5
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
146393=145148%4
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14401+26=146552%5
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1487+9+0=149656%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144213+24=145344%2
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:05 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Kremer, Dean
Kremer
1486+1+1=148852%4
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1443+10+24=147748%3
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1443+17+0=146033%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1531+27+24=158267%7
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1444+1+0=144535%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15303+24=155165%8
9/9Friday, Sept. 97:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
1445123=143035%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
153017+24=153765%5
9/8Thursday, Sept. 81:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1442+2+0=144431%11
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1536+20+24=158069%6
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1443+5+0=144832%5
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1536+20+24=158068%6
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1444+7+0=145136%1
STLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15348+24=155064%4
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1440+123=144934%6
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1538+3+24=156566%0
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14362+0=143432%7
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
156020+24=156468%1
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143216+0=141623%7
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1565+38+24=162777%1
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1433+102=144132%3
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
156416+24=157268%7
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Waldichuk, Ken
Waldichuk
143911+0=142845%5
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1432+7+24=146355%7
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14407+0=143345%1
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1430+11+24=146555%5
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:05 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1438+192=145549%10
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1432+4+26=146251%6
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:35 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
1473+6+0=147956%2
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143120+24=143544%3
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
147115+0=145649%6
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1433+7+24=146451%2
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:05 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
1469142=145348%7
WSHWSHNationals
Cavalli, Cade
Cavalli
1435+9+22=146652%3
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 244:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1433+8+0=144135%3
SEASEAMariners
Kirby, George
Kirby
1520+4+24=154865%1
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1434+31=143632%2
SEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1519+21+23=156368%4
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143419+0=141534%1
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152421+24=152766%2
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1435+12+0=144734%1
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1523+13+24=156066%2
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1432+8+0=144033%6
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1526+15+24=156567%3
8/18Thursday, Aug. 189:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1430+64=143232%3
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1528+18+20=156668%1
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 171:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1470+1+0=147152%3
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1431+4+24=145948%2
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1469+7+0=147655%7
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143219+24=143745%5
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:05 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1470+202=148853%4
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1431+12+24=146747%5
8/14Sunday, Aug. 1412:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1527+10+0=153760%6
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1433+10+24=146740%0
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1528+19+0=154762%3
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1432+8+24=146438%4
8/12Friday, Aug. 127:05 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1527+192=154462%10
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1433+3+23=145938%5
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 102:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1434+11+0=144543%2
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1466+5+24=149557%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1433+9+0=144240%6
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1468+22+24=151460%5
8/8Monday, Aug. 88:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1435+123=144445%3
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14668+24=148255%6
8/7Sunday, Aug. 71:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1437+18+0=145532%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1537+22+24=158368%13
8/6Saturday, Aug. 66:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
143814+0=142432%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15357+24=155268%11
8/5Friday, Aug. 57:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1440+12+0=145238%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153420+24=153862%7
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1440+72=144537%4
PHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
153316+21=153863%5
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 34:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1553+2+0=155561%9
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1442+10+24=147639%5
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
deGrom, Jacob
deGrom
1556+60+0=161670%1
WSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1439+8+24=147130%5
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1555+413=159370%7
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144016+24=144830%3
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151319+0=149452%5
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1442+12+24=147848%0
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15141+0=151356%6
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1441+9+24=147444%7
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1513+19+0=153258%6
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1442+12+22=147642%2
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144311+0=143227%1
LADLADDodgers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
159915+24=160873%7
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1440+11+0=145130%8
LADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
160230+24=159670%3
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1436+72=144124%4
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1605+8+24=163776%1
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1435+0+0=143549%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Martin, Corbin
Martin
146645+24=144551%3
7/23Saturday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1437+12+0=144945%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14645+24=148355%7
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144011+3=143239%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1461+19+29=150961%10
7/17Sunday, July 171:35 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1562+7+0=156965%3
WSHWSHNationals
Ramirez, Erasmo
Ramirez
1437+1+24=146235%7
7/16Saturday, July 164:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1561+27+0=158866%6
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1438+7+24=146934%3
7/15Friday, July 157:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
155918+0=154162%8
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14398+24=145538%4
7/14Thursday, July 147:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
1559163=154059%5
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1440+13+24=147741%4
7/13Wednesday, July 136:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Swanson, Erik
Swanson
151232+0=148052%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14411+24=146448%1
7/13Wednesday, July 1312:05 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
15115+1=150754%6
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1442+14+26=148246%4
7/10Sunday, July 101:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1443+5+0=144834%3
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
156120+24=156566%4
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14438+0=143532%3
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
156016+24=156868%4
7/8Friday, July 87:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1445+73=144931%2
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1559+10+24=159369%12
7/7Thursday, July 74:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
144617+0=142938%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153443+24=151562%5
7/6Wednesday, July 67:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1445+9+0=145432%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1536+25+24=158568%2
7/5Tuesday, July 57:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1447+62=145140%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Sanchez, Cristopher
Sanchez
153340+26=151960%11
7/4Monday, July 411:05 a.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149934+0=146551%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144813+24=145949%2
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1497+11+0=150854%7
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1450+6+24=148046%4
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
149627+0=146949%5
WSHWSHNationals
Tetreault, Jackson
Tetreault
1451+3+24=147851%3
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1494141=147948%6
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1453+12+26=149152%3
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1435+1+0=143643%8
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1454+8+24=148657%7
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1436+7+0=144348%1
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
145320+24=145752%3
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Yajure, Miguel
Yajure
143783=142643%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1452+5+21=147857%3
6/26Sunday, June 262:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Tetreault, Jackson
Tetreault
14514+0=144743%6
TEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14828+24=149857%4
6/25Saturday, June 254:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1452+10+0=146247%2
TEXTEXRangers
Martin, Brett
Martin
148123+24=148253%3
6/24Friday, June 248:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1450+101=145942%2
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1482+8+26=151658%1
6/22Wednesday, June 227:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
145217+0=143541%0
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1446+26+24=149659%7
6/21Tuesday, June 217:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1451+2+1=145447%3
BALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1448+2+26=147653%0
6/19Sunday, June 1912:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
153316+0=151757%3
WSHWSHNationals
Tetreault, Jackson
Tetreault
14486+24=146643%9
6/18Saturday, June 184:35 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1532+18+0=155060%2
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1449+7+24=148040%1
6/17Friday, June 177:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153146+0=148550%8
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1450+13+24=148750%7
6/17Friday, June 171:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153013+0=151758%5
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
145113+24=146242%3
6/16Thursday, June 167:05 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1527+302=155562%10
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14538+24=146938%1
6/15Wednesday, June 157:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
155317+0=153658%8
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1455+2+24=148142%2
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1551+28+0=157963%10
WSHWSHNationals
Tetreault, Jackson
Tetreault
1457+5+24=148637%4
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
155053=154257%9
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1458+10+24=149243%5
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
152830+0=149851%4
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1460+8+24=149249%1
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15292+0=152758%6
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14589+24=147342%8
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
1532263=150354%5
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14551+21=147546%11
6/9Thursday, June 96:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1457+45+0=150250%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149213+24=150350%7
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1458+7+0=146538%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+34+24=155062%2
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146161=145445%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
148925+26=149055%12
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
145912+0=144737%5
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1479+33+24=153663%4
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14582+0=145641%10
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1481+13+24=151859%8
6/3Friday, June 36:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1456+2+0=145841%8
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
1483+11+24=151859%5
6/2Thursday, June 26:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
145843=145143%1
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1481+1+21=150357%8
6/1Wednesday, June 11:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Lee, Evan
Lee
1459+2+0=146137%0
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154411+24=155763%5
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14627+0=145539%0
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
154236+24=153061%10
5/30Monday, May 307:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1464+42=146639%5
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154021+24=154361%13
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1455+8+0=146347%5
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14632+24=148553%6
5/28Saturday, May 286:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14545+0=144946%3
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146410+24=147854%2
5/28Saturday, May 2812:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1457+4+2=146348%7
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146211+26=147752%13
5/26Thursday, May 267:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1458+32=145948%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146011+24=147352%7
5/25Wednesday, May 254:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1596+2+0=159866%0
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14591+24=148234%1
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1595+8+0=160366%9
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1460+4+24=148834%4
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
1592282=156262%10
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
14627+21=147638%1
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
145811+0=144732%8
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1547+7+24=157868%2
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14609+0=145134%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
15461+24=156966%5
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146161=145435%0
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15448+26=156265%7
5/18Wednesday, May 186:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1460+2+0=146239%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1495+22+24=154161%4
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146210+0=145245%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
149429+24=148955%5
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146373=145339%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+18+24=153461%8
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1553+46+0=159966%8
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
14658+24=148134%0
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Javier, Cristian
Javier
1556+1+0=155761%6
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14626+24=148039%13
5/13Friday, May 137:05 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1554113=154057%6
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1463+3+24=149043%1
5/12Thursday, May 121:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153332+0=150153%4
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146510+24=147947%1
5/11Wednesday, May 117:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153619+0=151756%3
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14629+24=147744%8
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153418+0=151656%4
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146412+22=147444%2
5/8Sunday, May 84:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14649+0=145536%4
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1527+5+24=155664%5
5/7Saturday, May 79:07 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1462+5+0=146738%7
LAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
1530+1+24=155562%3
5/6Friday, May 69:38 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
1463113=144939%0
LAALAAAngels
Diaz, Jhonathan
Diaz
152925+20=152461%3
5/5Thursday, May 53:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14646+0=145845%7
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1467+4+24=149555%9
5/4Wednesday, May 48:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146515+0=145045%2
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14662+24=148855%5
5/3Tuesday, May 38:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1462141=144742%10
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1469+7+26=150258%2
5/1Sunday, May 14:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1459+2+0=146138%11
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152910+24=154362%5
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
14609+0=145134%3
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1528+16+24=156866%9
4/29Friday, April 2910:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
145544=144735%14
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15335+26=155465%4
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1493+1+0=149454%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
145616+24=146446%2
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+16+0=150856%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
145714+24=146744%1
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1491+211=151153%5
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1459+4+26=148947%2
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1528+16+0=154459%12
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
14615+24=148041%3
4/23Saturday, April 231:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15276+0=152155%5
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14633+24=148445%2
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Long, Sam
Long
1524292=149352%7
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146511+24=147848%1
4/21Thursday, April 214:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
145534+0=142141%4
WSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
14665+24=148559%3
4/20Wednesday, April 207:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1452+14+0=146648%11
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
147012+24=148252%2
4/19Tuesday, April 197:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
1453+1+0=145447%0
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146917+24=147653%1
4/19Tuesday, April 191:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1455+3+0=145846%1
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14673+24=148854%6
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146814+0=145448%3
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
14482+24=147052%5
4/16Saturday, April 166:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
14692+0=146750%4
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1446+0+24=147050%6
4/15Friday, April 156:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146713+0=145448%7
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14496+24=146752%2
4/14Thursday, April 146:35 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146982=145948%4
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1447+0+24=147152%9
4/13Wednesday, April 1312:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
146710+0=145732%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1550+17+24=159168%1
4/12Tuesday, April 127:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
147010+0=146039%4
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154730+24=154161%16
4/11Monday, April 117:20 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
1465103=145235%11
ATLATLBraves
Ynoa, Huascar
Ynoa
155214+24=156265%2
4/10Sunday, April 101:35 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
152626+0=150054%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
146415+24=147346%4
4/9Saturday, April 97:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1524+7+0=153156%5
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
14664+24=148644%0
4/8Friday, April 87:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1522+30+0=155260%7
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14677+24=148440%3
4/7Thursday, April 77:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
1520332=148550%5
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146911+24=148250%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.