Updated Oct. 2, 2022, at 10:36 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Twins are done for the season.

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
GuardiansGuardians90-69
White SoxWhite Sox79-8011.0
TwinsTwins77-8213.0
TigersTigers65-9324.5
RoyalsRoyals64-9526.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/3Monday, Oct. 38:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1498+142=151048%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15053+20=152252%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 48:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
14989+0=148945%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
15058+24=152155%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
149816+0=148246%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
150520+24=150954%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
10/2Sunday, Oct. 212:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Woods Richardson, Simeon
Woods Richardson
150019+0=148149%2
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
1457+5+24=148651%5
10/1Saturday, Oct. 16:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
150118+0=148354%2
DETDETTigers
Hutchison, Drew
Hutchison
145622+24=145846%3
9/30Friday, Sept. 307:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1499+163=151256%7
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14589+24=147344%0
9/29Thursday, Sept. 291:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
150210+0=149248%4
MINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
150019+24=150552%3
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15041+0=150349%4
MINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
149811+24=151151%8
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1506+14+0=152048%0
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1496+9+26=153152%4
9/25Sunday, Sept. 252:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Suarez, Jose
Suarez
149015+0=147545%10
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
149911+24=151255%3
9/24Saturday, Sept. 247:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
14921+0=149143%4
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1498+18+24=154057%8
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1491+393=152753%4
MINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
149918+22=150347%2
9/22Thursday, Sept. 222:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
150010+0=149054%1
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
145213+24=146346%4
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1502+9+0=151157%2
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145010+24=146443%5
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1503103=149051%4
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1449+8+23=148049%5
9/19Monday, Sept. 191:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1506+26+0=153249%4
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1513+1+24=153851%11
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1504+11+0=151551%3
CLECLEGuardians
Morris, Cody
Morris
151530+24=150949%0
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
15057+0=149850%6
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
151436+24=150250%7
9/17Saturday, Sept. 171:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
150715+0=149239%1
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1512+37+24=157361%5
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1508+43=150943%3
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1512+24+24=156057%4
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14498+0=144139%2
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
150710+24=152161%3
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1450+11+0=146137%0
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1506+22+24=155263%4
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
14517+0=144437%3
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1505+6+26=153763%6
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1509+33+0=154252%4
MINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
15063+24=152748%1
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:15 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1507+20+0=152750%6
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15074+24=152750%4
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1506+3+0=150947%7
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15081+21=152853%6
9/8Thursday, Sept. 87:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1507+21+0=152840%4
NYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1568+10+24=160260%3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:55 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1509+7+0=151637%1
NYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1566+20+24=161063%7
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Varland, Louie
Varland
150919+2=149237%4
NYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
15669+26=158363%5
9/5Monday, Sept. 51:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
151163=150240%2
NYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
156511+21=157560%5
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15094+0=150547%5
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
151413+24=152553%1
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1512+18+0=153045%0
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1510+31+24=156555%13
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1513+23+0=153654%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
150923+24=151046%4
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
1504+17+0=152146%6
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1514+10+24=154854%5
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
150619+0=148744%5
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15136+24=153156%10
8/29Monday, Aug. 297:40 p.m. EasternBOSBOSRed Sox
Bello, Brayan
Bello
1507253=147943%2
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15115+24=153057%4
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
150013+0=148748%3
MINMINTwins
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
150930+24=150352%8
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
15015+0=149642%2
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1509+20+24=155358%3
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
1503101=149244%0
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1506+6+21=153356%9
8/25Thursday, Aug. 258:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15072+0=150541%3
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
156921+24=157259%6
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15086+0=150237%3
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1568+3+24=159563%5
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
1509313=147530%2
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1567+32+23=162270%4
8/22Monday, Aug. 227:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Ragans, Cole
Ragans
147820+0=145836%2
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1510+21+24=155564%1
8/21Sunday, Aug. 212:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Arihara, Kohei
Arihara
147426+0=144837%7
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1514+3+24=154163%0
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
14739+0=146440%4
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15153+24=153660%3
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1474+193=149044%1
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15147+26=153356%2
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 171:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1456+0+0=145636%0
MINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1513+19+24=155664%4
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1458+5+0=146337%0
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1511+19+24=155463%9
8/15Monday, Aug. 157:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
145932=145438%2
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1510+6+20=153662%4
8/14Sunday, Aug. 144:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15111+0=151054%2
LAALAAAngels
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
149535+24=148446%4
8/13Saturday, Aug. 139:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15138+0=150547%3
LAALAAAngels
Detmers, Reid
Detmers
1494+5+24=152353%5
8/12Friday, Aug. 129:38 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1511+19+1=153151%4
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1496+1+24=152149%0
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1512+22+0=153440%5
LADLADDodgers
Pepiot, Ryan
Pepiot
161433+24=160560%8
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1514+112=152333%3
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1612+9+26=164767%10
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1548+17+0=156554%3
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15153+24=153646%2
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
White, Mitch
White
155018+0=153251%3
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15139+24=152849%7
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:10 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15511+0=155049%5
MINMINTwins
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1512+20+24=155651%6
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:40 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Manoah, Alek
Manoah
1549+263=157252%9
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1514+20+24=155848%3
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14566+0=145036%1
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1513+10+24=154764%4
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Manning, Matt
Manning
14547+0=144737%5
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15153+24=153663%3
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1455+173=146945%3
MINMINTwins
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
151427+20=150755%5
7/31Sunday, July 314:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15157+0=150846%2
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152616+24=153454%3
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1513+22+0=153545%7
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1528+18+24=157055%4
7/29Friday, July 299:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1516+212=153548%1
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1525+1+22=154852%10
7/27Wednesday, July 272:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
1517+0+0=151738%4
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1532+44+24=160062%10
7/26Tuesday, July 268:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15197+0=151249%6
MILMILBrewers
Small, Ethan
Small
153134+24=152151%7
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1516+15+0=153159%9
DETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
14547+24=147141%1
7/23Saturday, July 236:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1515+18+4=153758%8
DETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1455+0+22=147742%4
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1523+26+0=154951%11
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
1518+1+24=154349%0
7/16Saturday, July 162:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1525+9+0=153450%3
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15177+24=153450%6
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1523+4+0=152749%6
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15196+24=153751%2
7/14Thursday, July 147:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1519+13=151743%12
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1523+21+24=156857%2
7/13Wednesday, July 131:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153536+0=149941%1
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1521+15+24=156059%4
7/12Tuesday, July 127:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
153336+0=149743%6
MINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
1523+1+23=154757%3
7/10Sunday, July 102:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15228+0=151450%6
TEXTEXRangers
Dunning, Dane
Dunning
1483+9+24=151650%5
7/9Saturday, July 94:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1523+1+0=152450%7
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
1481+17+24=152250%9
7/8Friday, July 88:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1525+221=154653%5
TEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1480+20+23=152347%6
7/6Wednesday, July 62:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1525+15+0=154047%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Lynn, Lance
Lynn
1519+21+24=156453%9
7/5Tuesday, July 58:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
15231+0=152245%8
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1522+13+24=155955%2
7/4Monday, July 48:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1521132=150645%6
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
15236+20=153755%3
7/3Sunday, July 32:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1454+26+0=148040%3
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1522+3+24=154960%1
7/2Saturday, July 22:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Lyles, Jordan
Lyles
1455+1+0=145634%3
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1522+24+24=157066%4
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
1455241=143033%2
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1521+9+21=155167%3
6/30Thursday, June 301:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15223+0=151945%3
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1502+30+24=155655%5
6/29Wednesday, June 297:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
152313+0=151048%6
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
1501+3+24=152852%7
6/28Tuesday, June 287:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
15216+0=151552%6
CLECLEGuardians
Pilkington, Konnor
Pilkington
150324+24=150348%0
6/28Tuesday, June 281:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15221+0=152150%2
CLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
15025+24=152150%3
6/27Monday, June 277:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1519+233=153951%11
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1505+5+24=153449%1
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145417+0=143733%3
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1518+16+24=155867%6
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1456+7+0=146340%0
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15165+24=153560%6
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1455+14=145239%1
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
151713+24=152861%0
6/23Thursday, June 231:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Plesac, Zach
Plesac
15119+0=150245%0
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15165+24=153555%1
6/22Wednesday, June 227:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1510+11+0=152143%11
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1518+29+24=157157%10
6/21Tuesday, June 217:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
1509182=148940%6
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1519+18+23=156060%5
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15223+0=151953%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1463+11+24=149847%7
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
151818+0=150051%11
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14671+24=149049%1
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1521+61=152655%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14641+26=148945%7
6/15Wednesday, June 154:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1519+27+0=154654%5
SEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1498+0+24=152246%0
6/14Tuesday, June 1410:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1521+24+0=154551%0
SEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1496+21+24=154149%5
6/13Monday, June 1310:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
152043=151349%3
SEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
14973+24=151851%2
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1530+6+0=153653%6
MINMINTwins
Sands, Cole
Sands
152229+24=151747%0
6/11Saturday, June 112:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Baz, Shane
Baz
153117+0=151449%5
MINMINTwins
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
152126+24=151951%6
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1533+113=154148%4
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1519+8+24=155152%9
6/9Thursday, June 97:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cole, Gerrit
Cole
1575+18+0=159360%10
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
152019+24=152540%7
6/8Wednesday, June 87:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1578+6+0=158457%1
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15177+24=153443%8
6/7Tuesday, June 77:40 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Taillon, Jameson
Taillon
1577+21=157858%10
MINMINTwins
Sands, Cole
Sands
151924+23=151842%4
6/5Sunday, June 51:37 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1517+11+0=152840%8
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1554+20+24=159860%6
6/4Saturday, June 43:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
152014+0=150640%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15523+24=157360%12
6/3Friday, June 37:07 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
1517282=148740%9
TORTORBlue Jays
Kikuchi, Yusei
Kikuchi
155518+24=156160%3
6/2Thursday, June 21:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
151813+0=150554%2
DETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
146310+24=147746%3
6/1Wednesday, June 17:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1520+5+0=152554%0
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1461+15+24=150046%5
5/31Tuesday, May 317:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Sands, Cole
Sands
152222+0=150056%0
DETDETTigers
Wentz, Joey
Wentz
145926+24=145744%4
5/31Tuesday, May 311:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1521+5+0=152659%8
DETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
146023+24=146141%2
5/30Monday, May 301:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1522143=150556%5
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
145922+24=146144%7
5/29Sunday, May 292:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1456+7+0=146336%3
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1521+18+24=156364%7
5/28Saturday, May 282:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1453+16+0=146941%7
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
152311+24=153659%3
5/27Friday, May 278:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1455+13+0=146838%7
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1522+6+24=155262%10
5/26Thursday, May 267:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
145311=145137%3
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15235+24=154263%2
5/25Wednesday, May 251:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
145725+0=143236%4
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
152515+24=153464%2
5/24Tuesday, May 247:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
145823+0=143532%0
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1524+14+24=156268%2
5/23Monday, May 237:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Elvin
Rodriguez
1459173=143936%4
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
152410+22=153664%5
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1523+7+0=153056%7
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1457+10+24=149144%6
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1521+19+0=154056%9
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1459+12+24=149544%2
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
152052=151354%6
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1460+0+24=148446%4
5/18Wednesday, May 183:37 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1517+15+0=153260%14
OAKOAKAthletics
Jefferies, Daulton
Jefferies
145415+24=146340%4
5/17Tuesday, May 179:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
151913+0=150655%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14523+24=147345%5
5/16Monday, May 169:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
151894=150555%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
14534+24=147345%1
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1500+8+0=150843%1
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1517+17+24=155857%3
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1499+26+0=152549%3
MINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
15187+24=153551%2
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Civale, Aaron
Civale
150017+3=148640%8
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1516+17+24=155760%12
5/12Thursday, May 124 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15523+0=154950%5
MINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
1518+3+24=154550%0
5/11Wednesday, May 117:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Urquidy, Jose
Urquidy
15499+0=154050%11
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15215+24=154050%3
5/10Tuesday, May 107:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1547+421=158853%5
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1523+21+26=157047%0
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Jefferies, Daulton
Jefferies
145218+0=143435%3
MINMINTwins
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
15237+24=154065%4
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Kaprielian, James
Kaprielian
14534+0=144935%0
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1522+12+24=155865%1
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. EasternOAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
1454112=144137%1
MINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
15216+21=153663%2
5/5Thursday, May 57:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15234+0=151962%3
BALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143219+24=143738%5
5/4Wednesday, May 47:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15264+0=152260%4
BALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
14294+24=144940%9
5/3Tuesday, May 37:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1524+22+0=154663%7
BALBALOrioles
Zimmermann, Bruce
Zimmermann
1430+0+24=145437%2
5/2Monday, May 27:05 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
1524103=151158%2
BALBALOrioles
Wells, Tyler
Wells
1431+0+24=145542%1
5/1Sunday, May 11:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Winder, Josh
Winder
152118+0=150347%9
TBTBRays
Fleming, Josh
Fleming
152831+24=152153%3
4/30Saturday, April 304:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15175+0=151241%9
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1531+19+24=157459%1
4/29Friday, April 297:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
1519+03=151644%1
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1529+6+24=155956%6
4/28Thursday, April 281:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
1467+2+0=146938%1
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1517+9+24=155062%7
4/27Wednesday, April 277:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pineda, Michael
Pineda
1468+11+0=147940%0
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1516+13+24=155360%5
4/26Tuesday, April 267:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Rodriguez, Eduardo
Rodriguez
1469+71=147542%4
MINMINTwins
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
151511+26=153058%5
4/24Sunday, April 242:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Giolito, Lucas
Giolito
1534+29+0=156354%4
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15142+24=153646%6
4/23Saturday, April 234:05 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Velasquez, Vince
Velasquez
153631+0=150546%2
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15112+24=153354%9
4/22Friday, April 228:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Kopech, Michael
Kopech
1537+13=153549%1
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1510+10+22=154251%2
4/21Thursday, April 212:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1509+7+0=151652%1
KCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1468+10+24=150248%0
4/20Wednesday, April 208:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
151111+0=150054%0
KCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
146716+24=147546%2
4/19Tuesday, April 198:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
1512+13=151052%3
KCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
1466+3+29=149848%4
4/18Monday, April 1811:10 a.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15093+0=150643%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Hill, Rich
Hill
15334+24=155357%3
4/17Sunday, April 171:35 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1512+9+0=152147%1
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
153014+24=154053%8
4/16Saturday, April 164:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1513+19+0=153246%0
BOSBOSRed Sox
Houck, Tanner
Houck
1528+7+24=155954%4
4/15Friday, April 152:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1511+31=151345%8
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
15308+23=154555%4
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1580+9+0=158959%7
MINMINTwins
Paddack, Chris
Paddack
15139+24=152841%0
4/12Tuesday, April 127:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
1578161=156153%7
MINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
1515+0+24=153947%2
4/11Monday, April 117:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Flexen, Chris
Flexen
1501+0+0=150145%0
MINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
15145+24=153355%4
4/10Sunday, April 102:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gonzales, Marco
Gonzales
1503+13+0=151645%4
MINMINTwins
Ober, Bailey
Ober
1512+13+24=154955%10
4/9Saturday, April 92:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1502+2+0=150442%4
MINMINTwins
Gray, Sonny
Gray
1513+23+24=156058%3
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1501+373=153549%2
MINMINTwins
Ryan, Joe
Ryan
1514+5+24=154351%1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.