Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1463	–7	–3	=1453	39%
	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1492	+18	+24	=1534	61%
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Faedo	1460	–16	–3	=1441	34%
	TBRays	Kluber	1530	+3	+24	=1557	66%
5/16Monday, May 167:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Severino	1573	–2	–3	=1568	66%
	BALOrioles	Bradish	1433	+1	+22	=1456	34%
5/16Monday, May 167:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1498	+0	–2	=1496	43%
	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1544	–24	+21	=1541	57%
5/16Monday, May 167:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1554	–15	–2	=1537	53%
	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1521	–22	+20	=1519	47%
5/16Monday, May 167:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1508	+17	–3	=1522	52%
	NYMMets	Williams	1533	–45	+24	=1512	48%
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Peters	1442	–1	–2	=1439	42%
	CHCCubs	Miley	1478	–4	+20	=1494	58%
5/16Monday, May 167:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1539	–1	–3	=1535	45%
	MILBrewers	Peralta	1544	+3	+21	=1568	55%
5/16Monday, May 168:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1536	+5	–4	=1537	55%
	TEXRangers	Gray	1468	+9	+24	=1501	45%
5/16Monday, May 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	–2	=1525	54%
	KCRoyals	Keller	1461	+12	+21	=1494	46%
5/16Monday, May 168:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1524	–6	–3	=1515	54%
	COLRockies	Senzatela	1461	+0	+24	=1485	46%
5/16Monday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Archer	1518	–9	–4	=1505	55%
	OAKAthletics	Logue	1453	–4	+24	=1473	45%
5/16Monday, May 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1464	–4	–2	=1458	30%
	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1587	–2	+24	=1609	70%
5/17Tuesday, May 172:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1528	+16	+0	=1544	59%
	KCRoyals	Heasley	1461	–5	+24	=1480	41%
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1464	+14	+0	=1478	32%
	LADDodgers	—	1587	+0	+24	=1611	68%
5/17Tuesday, May 176:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Overton	1477	+6	+0	=1483	46%
	CLEGuardians	Plesac	1499	–10	+23	=1512	54%
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Adon	1463	–11	+0	=1452	45%
	MIAMarlins	Poteet	1492	–28	+24	=1488	55%
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Brieske	1460	–17	+0	=1443	32%
	TBRays	McClanahan	1530	+23	+24	=1577	68%
5/17Tuesday, May 176:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1538	+21	–1	=1558	52%
	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+0	+22	=1546	48%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Taillon	1573	–3	+0	=1570	69%
	BALOrioles	Watkins	1433	–28	+24	=1429	31%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1498	+13	+0	=1511	42%
	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1544	+3	+24	=1571	58%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1554	–9	+0	=1545	49%
	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1521	+11	+24	=1556	51%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	56%
	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	44%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1508	–12	+0	=1496	45%
	NYMMets	Walker	1533	–27	+24	=1530	55%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1442	+1	+0	=1443	41%
	CHCCubs	—	1478	+1	+24	=1503	59%
5/17Tuesday, May 177:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1539	–1	+0	=1538	49%
	MILBrewers	Houser	1544	–19	+24	=1549	51%
5/17Tuesday, May 178:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Detmers	1536	–8	+0	=1528	56%
	TEXRangers	Hearn	1468	–6	+24	=1486	44%
5/17Tuesday, May 178:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1524	–11	+0	=1513	54%
	COLRockies	Kuhl	1461	+0	+24	=1485	46%
5/17Tuesday, May 179:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Winder	1518	–4	+0	=1514	56%
	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1453	–3	+24	=1474	44%
5/17Tuesday, May 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1464	+0	+0	=1464	34%
	LADDodgers	Anderson	1587	–29	+24	=1582	66%
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1539	+25	+0	=1564	44%
	MILBrewers	Burnes	1544	+39	+24	=1607	56%
5/18Wednesday, May 181:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1460	+12	+0	=1472	36%
	TBRays	Rasmussen	1530	+18	+24	=1572	64%
5/18Wednesday, May 183:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1524	+14	+0	=1538	57%
	COLRockies	Freeland	1461	+3	+24	=1488	43%
5/18Wednesday, May 183:37 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Gray	1518	+15	+0	=1533	60%
	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1453	–15	+24	=1462	40%
5/18Wednesday, May 184:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1464	–26	+0	=1438	26%
	LADDodgers	Buehler	1587	+11	+24	=1622	74%
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1554	–1	+0	=1553	53%
	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1521	–10	+24	=1535	47%
5/18Wednesday, May 186:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Mahle	1477	+17	+0	=1494	45%
	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1499	+5	+24	=1528	55%
5/18Wednesday, May 186:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1463	+1	+0	=1464	39%
	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1492	+24	+24	=1540	61%
5/18Wednesday, May 186:45 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1538	+7	+0	=1545	46%
	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1524	+24	+24	=1572	54%
5/18Wednesday, May 187:05 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1573	+16	+0	=1589	68%
	BALOrioles	Lyles	1433	+0	+24	=1457	32%
5/18Wednesday, May 187:07 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1498	+0	+0	=1498	37%
	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1544	+23	+24	=1591	63%
5/18Wednesday, May 187:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Hicks	1508	–16	+0	=1492	37%
	NYMMets	Scherzer	1533	+31	+24	=1588	63%
5/18Wednesday, May 187:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1442	–11	+0	=1431	40%
	CHCCubs	Smyly	1478	–4	+24	=1498	60%
5/18Wednesday, May 188:05 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1536	+24	+0	=1560	58%
	TEXRangers	Dunning	1468	+16	+24	=1508	42%
5/18Wednesday, May 188:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1528	–34	+0	=1494	49%
	KCRoyals	Greinke	1461	+13	+24	=1498	51%
5/19Thursday, May 1912:35 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1573	–6	+0	=1567	65%
	BALOrioles	Zimmermann	1433	+3	+24	=1460	35%
5/19Thursday, May 191:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1538	–4	+0	=1534	50%
	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1524	–11	+24	=1537	50%
5/19Thursday, May 191:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Hudson	1508	+1	+0	=1509	41%
	NYMMets	Bassitt	1533	+12	+24	=1569	59%
5/19Thursday, May 192:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–37	+0	=1491	52%
	KCRoyals	Hernandez	1461	–11	+24	=1474	48%
5/19Thursday, May 197:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1498	–3	–2	=1493	43%
	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1521	–3	+24	=1542	57%
5/19Thursday, May 197:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1464	+27	–4	=1487	48%
	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1478	+3	+24	=1505	52%
5/19Thursday, May 198:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1468	–19	–2	=1447	33%
	HOUAstros	Valdez	1554	–7	+20	=1567	67%
5/20Friday, May 202:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1464	–17	+0	=1447	43%
	CHCCubs	Steele	1478	–5	+24	=1497	57%
5/20Friday, May 206:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1508	+24	–2	=1530	59%
	PITPirates	Thompson	1442	+5	+24	=1471	41%
5/20Friday, May 206:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1539	+12	–1	=1550	54%
	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1492	+3	+26	=1521	46%
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Yarbrough	1530	–16	–1	=1513	57%
	BALOrioles	Wells	1433	+5	+24	=1462	43%
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1528	+13	–3	=1538	41%
	NYYYankees	Cortes	1573	+8	+22	=1603	59%
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1587	+0	–2	=1585	55%
	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1524	–2	+24	=1546	45%
5/20Friday, May 207:07 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Castillo	1477	+31	+0	=1508	44%
	TORBlue Jays	Ryu	1544	–21	+26	=1549	56%
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Ray	1498	+28	+0	=1526	47%
	BOSRed Sox	—	1521	+0	+24	=1545	53%
5/20Friday, May 207:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	–1	=1459	44%
	CLEGuardians	Civale	1499	–21	+26	=1504	56%
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1468	+8	+0	=1476	30%
	HOUAstros	Verlander	1554	+46	+24	=1624	70%
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1518	+1	–2	=1517	54%
	KCRoyals	Lynch	1461	+2	+24	=1487	46%
5/20Friday, May 208:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Fedde	1463	–6	–1	=1456	35%
	MILBrewers	Lauer	1544	–6	+26	=1564	65%
5/20Friday, May 208:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1533	–18	–4	=1511	53%
	COLRockies	Marquez	1461	+6	+26	=1493	47%
5/20Friday, May 209:38 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1453	–6	+0	=1447	35%
	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1536	–2	+23	=1557	65%
5/20Friday, May 2010:15 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1538	–42	–4	=1492	45%
	SFGiants	Junis	1524	–24	+23	=1523	55%
5/21Saturday, May 211:05 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1528	–1	+0	=1527	40%
	NYYYankees	Severino	1573	–2	+24	=1595	60%
5/21Saturday, May 212:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1464	–4	+0	=1460	45%
	CHCCubs	Miley	1478	–4	+24	=1498	55%
5/21Saturday, May 213:07 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1477	–8	+0	=1469	33%
	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1544	+23	+24	=1591	67%
5/21Saturday, May 214:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1538	+4	+0	=1542	46%
	SFGiants	Rodon	1524	+19	+24	=1567	54%
5/21Saturday, May 214:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Flexen	1498	+0	+0	=1498	46%
	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1521	–22	+24	=1523	54%
5/21Saturday, May 216:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1587	+0	+0	=1587	54%
	PHIPhillies	Nola	1524	+9	+24	=1557	46%
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1460	+10	+0	=1470	39%
	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1499	+25	+24	=1548	61%
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Wright	1539	–21	+0	=1518	55%
	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1492	–31	+24	=1485	45%
5/21Saturday, May 216:35 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1508	+17	+0	=1525	57%
	PITPirates	Quintana	1442	+11	+24	=1477	43%
5/21Saturday, May 217:05 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Springs	1530	–5	+0	=1525	59%
	BALOrioles	Bradish	1433	+1	+24	=1458	41%
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1468	+9	+0	=1477	38%
	HOUAstros	Odorizzi	1554	–15	+24	=1563	62%
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Ryan	1518	+20	+0	=1538	56%
	KCRoyals	Keller	1461	+12	+24	=1497	44%
5/21Saturday, May 217:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1463	–9	+0	=1454	34%
	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1544	+1	+24	=1569	66%
5/21Saturday, May 218:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1533	–2	+0	=1531	57%
	COLRockies	Gomber	1461	+1	+24	=1486	43%
5/21Saturday, May 219:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Montas	1453	+33	+0	=1486	39%
	LAAAngels	—	1536	+1	+24	=1561	61%
5/22Sunday, May 2211:35 a.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Matz	1508	–12	+0	=1496	56%
	PITPirates	Wilson	1442	–11	+24	=1455	44%
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1530	+3	+0	=1533	64%
	BALOrioles	Watkins	1433	–28	+24	=1429	36%
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1498	+13	+0	=1511	44%
	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1521	+11	+24	=1556	56%
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1587	–2	+0	=1585	55%
	PHIPhillies	—	1524	+0	+24	=1548	45%
5/22Sunday, May 221:37 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Overton	1477	+6	+0	=1483	41%
	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1544	–24	+24	=1544	59%
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	—	1460	+0	+0	=1460	40%
	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1499	+9	+24	=1532	60%
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1539	–1	+0	=1538	57%
	MIAMarlins	Poteet	1492	–28	+24	=1488	43%
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1468	–6	+0	=1462	35%
	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1554	–9	+24	=1569	65%
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Archer	1518	–9	+0	=1509	53%
	KCRoyals	—	1461	+0	+24	=1485	47%
5/22Sunday, May 222:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1463	–7	+0	=1456	34%
	MILBrewers	Peralta	1544	+3	+24	=1571	66%
5/22Sunday, May 222:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1464	+14	+0	=1478	47%
	CHCCubs	—	1478	+1	+24	=1503	53%
5/22Sunday, May 223:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Walker	1533	–27	+0	=1506	53%
	COLRockies	Senzatela	1461	+0	+24	=1485	47%
5/22Sunday, May 224:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1538	+12	+0	=1550	51%
	SFGiants	Wood	1524	–6	+24	=1542	49%
5/22Sunday, May 224:07 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Logue	1453	–4	+0	=1449	34%
	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1536	+2	+24	=1562	66%
5/22Sunday, May 227 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1528	+16	+0	=1544	43%
	NYYYankees	Taillon	1573	–3	+24	=1594	57%
5/23Monday, May 236:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1461	+0	–3	=1458	49%
	PITPirates	Brubaker	1442	+1	+24	=1467	51%
5/23Monday, May 236:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Smyly	1478	–4	–2	=1472	44%
	CINReds	Mahle	1477	+17	+22	=1516	56%
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lyles	1433	+0	–2	=1431	26%
	NYYYankees	Cole	1573	+16	+24	=1613	74%

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Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
5/15Sunday, May 157 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1528	+28	+0	=1556	50%	6
	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1505	+24	+24	=1553	50%	15
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1525	+8	+0	=1533	44%	4
	LADDodgers	Grove	1586	–32	+24	=1578	56%	5
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1477	–10	+0	=1467	49%	3
	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1465	–18	+24	=1471	51%	2
5/15Sunday, May 154:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Sandoval	1535	+0	+0	=1535	54%	4
	OAKAthletics	Montas	1455	+32	+24	=1511	46%	1
5/15Sunday, May 153:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1460	–2	+0	=1458	46%	8
	COLRockies	Gomber	1462	+1	+24	=1487	54%	7
5/15Sunday, May 152:35 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Davis	1523	–33	+0	=1490	49%	1
	TEXRangers	Perez	1465	+5	+24	=1494	51%	7
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1500	+8	+0	=1508	43%	1
	MINTwins	Ryan	1517	+17	+24	=1558	57%	3
5/15Sunday, May 152:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cortes	1571	+4	+0	=1575	51%	5
	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1529	+12	+24	=1565	49%	1
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Manoah	1546	+24	+0	=1570	54%	0
	TBRays	Springs	1528	–10	+24	=1542	46%	3
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Ray	1497	+30	+0	=1527	48%	8
	NYMMets	Carrasco	1534	–15	+24	=1543	52%	7
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1542	+4	+0	=1546	58%	7
	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1493	–28	+24	=1489	42%	3
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Wells	1435	+10	+0	=1445	44%	1
	DETTigers	Skubal	1459	+6	+24	=1489	56%	5
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1553	+46	+0	=1599	66%	8
	WSHNationals	Corbin	1465	–8	+24	=1481	34%	0
5/15Sunday, May 151:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1478	–19	+0	=1459	48%	0
	PITPirates	Quintana	1441	+7	+24	=1472	52%	1
5/15Sunday, May 1511:35 a.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1536	+12	+0	=1548	51%	7
	ATLBraves	Wright	1541	–25	+24	=1540	49%	3
5/14Saturday, May 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1522	–2	+0	=1520	36%	8
	LADDodgers	Urias	1589	+6	+24	=1619	64%	3
5/14Saturday, May 149:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Lorenzen	1533	–7	+0	=1526	61%	9
	OAKAthletics	Oller	1457	–32	+24	=1449	39%	1
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Hernandez	1462	–5	+0	=1457	46%	4
	COLRockies	Marquez	1460	+4	+24	=1488	54%	10
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1475	+2	+0	=1477	45%	4
	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1467	+25	+24	=1516	55%	2
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Kirby	1498	–3	+0	=1495	40%	4
	NYMMets	Bassitt	1533	+11	+24	=1568	60%	5
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1499	+26	+0	=1525	49%	3
	MINTwins	Smeltzer	1518	–7	+24	=1535	51%	2
5/14Saturday, May 147:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1572	–3	+0	=1569	58%	2
	CHWWhite Sox	Keuchel	1528	–40	+24	=1512	42%	3
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Javier	1556	+1	+0	=1557	61%	6
	WSHNationals	Fedde	1462	–6	+24	=1480	39%	13
5/14Saturday, May 147:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Hill	1521	–4	+0	=1517	55%	11
	TEXRangers	Otto	1468	–7	+24	=1485	45%	3
5/14Saturday, May 146:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Castillo	1479	+34	+0	=1513	57%	1
	PITPirates	Thompson	1439	+2	+24	=1465	43%	3
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Ryu	1544	–22	+0	=1522	48%	5
	TBRays	Yarbrough	1530	–17	+24	=1537	52%	1
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1545	–3	+0	=1542	54%	3
	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1491	+1	+24	=1516	46%	9
5/14Saturday, May 144:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Zimmermann	1436	+4	+0	=1440	43%	0
	DETTigers	Pineda	1457	+8	+24	=1489	57%	3
5/14Saturday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Diaz	1534	–22	+0	=1512	56%	3
	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1456	–9	+24	=1471	44%	4
5/14Saturday, May 144:05 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1537	+2	+0	=1539	45%	5
	ATLBraves	Morton	1540	+9	+24	=1573	55%	6
5/14Saturday, May 142:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Junis	1529	–27	+0	=1502	47%	0
	STLCardinals	Hudson	1503	+0	+24	=1527	53%	4
5/13Friday, May 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1520	–5	+0	=1515	34%	12
	LADDodgers	Buehler	1591	+14	+24	=1629	66%	10
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	Silseth	1533	–21	+0	=1512	58%	2
	OAKAthletics	Jefferies	1457	–19	+20	=1458	42%	0
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Smyly	1477	–2	+0	=1475	51%	3
	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1466	–27	+26	=1465	49%	4
5/13Friday, May 138:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1460	+15	–3	=1472	47%	14
	COLRockies	Freeland	1462	+10	+23	=1495	53%	10
5/13Friday, May 138:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1527	+11	–2	=1536	54%	8
	STLCardinals	Hicks	1506	–18	+24	=1512	46%	2
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Civale	1500	–17	+3	=1486	40%	8
	MINTwins	Gray	1516	+17	+24	=1557	60%	12
5/13Friday, May 138:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Cole	1570	+17	+0	=1587	59%	10
	CHWWhite Sox	Velasquez	1530	–28	+24	=1526	41%	4
5/13Friday, May 138:05 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Pivetta	1518	–14	–1	=1503	49%	7
	TEXRangers	Dunning	1470	+16	+24	=1510	51%	1
5/13Friday, May 137:20 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1534	–1	–2	=1531	40%	11
	ATLBraves	Fried	1543	+30	+26	=1599	60%	6
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Gausman	1546	+23	–1	=1568	50%	2
	TBRays	Rasmussen	1528	+17	+22	=1567	50%	5
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1496	–2	–2	=1492	37%	2
	NYMMets	Scherzer	1535	+29	+22	=1586	63%	1
5/13Friday, May 137:10 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Lyles	1437	+0	–2	=1435	42%	2
	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1456	+12	+24	=1492	58%	4
5/13Friday, May 137:05 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1554	–11	–3	=1540	57%	6
	WSHNationals	Gray	1463	+3	+24	=1490	43%	1
5/13Friday, May 136:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1544	+38	–1	=1581	57%	2
	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1492	+20	+22	=1534	43%	1
5/13Friday, May 136:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Mahle	1477	+17	+0	=1494	55%	8
	PITPirates	Keller	1441	–7	+24	=1458	45%	2
5/12Thursday, May 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1518	+26	–3	=1541	44%	9
	LADDodgers	Anderson	1593	–29	+20	=1584	56%	7
5/12Thursday, May 128:10 p.m. Eastern	NYYYankees	Gil	1567	–22	–3	=1542	45%	15
	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1533	+19	+26	=1578	55%	7
5/12Thursday, May 128:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1461	–5	+0	=1456	46%	1
	TEXRangers	Hearn	1469	–12	+24	=1481	54%	3
5/12Thursday, May 126:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Overton	1475	+4	–2	=1477	51%	4
	PITPirates	Brubaker	1443	+3	+24	=1470	49%	0
5/12Thursday, May 124 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1552	–3	+0	=1549	50%	5
	MINTwins	Winder	1518	+3	+24	=1545	50%	0
5/12Thursday, May 121:15 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Baker	1436	–7	+0	=1429	37%	3
	STLCardinals	Matz	1507	–11	+24	=1520	63%	2
5/12Thursday, May 121:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Kaprielian	1456	–3	+0	=1453	48%	5
	DETTigers	Brieske	1458	–17	+24	=1465	52%	3
5/12Thursday, May 121:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Walker	1533	–32	+0	=1501	53%	4
	WSHNationals	Adon	1465	–10	+24	=1479	47%	1
5/11Wednesday, May 118:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Speier	1458	–5	+0	=1453	44%	8
	TEXRangers	Bush (open)	1472	+0	+24	=1496	56%	2
5/11Wednesday, May 117:45 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Watkins	1437	–23	+0	=1414	32%	1
	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1505	+16	+24	=1545	68%	10
5/11Wednesday, May 117:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Urquidy	1549	–9	+0	=1540	50%	11
	MINTwins	Archer	1521	–5	+24	=1540	50%	3
5/11Wednesday, May 117:20 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1519	+12	+0	=1531	45%	3
	ATLBraves	Anderson	1542	+2	+24	=1568	55%	5
5/11Wednesday, May 117:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Logue	1452	–12	+0	=1440	46%	9
	DETTigers	Wentz	1461	–18	+24	=1467	54%	0
5/11Wednesday, May 117:07 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	McClanahan	1527	+19	+0	=1546	45%	4
	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1534	+26	+24	=1584	55%	2
5/11Wednesday, May 117:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1536	–19	+0	=1517	56%	3
	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1462	–9	+24	=1477	44%	8
5/11Wednesday, May 114:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Thompson	1475	–14	+0	=1461	42%	7
	SDPadres	Martinez	1536	–42	+24	=1518	58%	5
5/11Wednesday, May 113:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1463	+2	+0	=1465	40%	1
	SFGiants	Cobb	1525	–14	+24	=1535	60%	7
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Falter	1517	–40	+0	=1477	41%	4
	SEAMariners	Gilbert	1498	+15	+24	=1537	59%	2
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1489	+16	+0	=1505	49%	11
	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1469	+18	+24	=1511	51%	3
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Pepiot	1595	–37	+0	=1558	63%	3
	PITPirates	Peters	1441	–2	+24	=1463	37%	5
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Berrios	1547	+5	+0	=1552	45%	3
	NYYYankees	Taillon	1566	–3	+24	=1587	55%	5
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Houser	1546	–15	+0	=1531	57%	11
	CINReds	Gutierrez	1473	–17	+24	=1480	43%	14
5/10Tuesday, May 109:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1465	+2	+0	=1467	40%	2
	SFGiants	Wood	1523	–7	+24	=1540	60%	9
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1518	+10	+0	=1528	47%	4
	SEAMariners	Ray	1497	+30	+24	=1551	53%	5
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Miley	1475	+0	+0	=1475	35%	4
	SDPadres	Clevinger	1535	+24	+24	=1583	65%	5
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1491	–18	+0	=1473	48%	3
	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1467	–4	+24	=1487	52%	9
5/10Tuesday, May 109:38 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Kluber	1530	+15	+0	=1545	51%	0
	LAAAngels	Detmers	1531	–19	+24	=1536	49%	12
5/10Tuesday, May 108:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1501	+6	+0	=1507	40%	1
	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1532	+22	+24	=1578	60%	4
5/10Tuesday, May 108:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Keller	1460	+15	–3	=1472	47%	4
	TEXRangers	Perez	1471	+2	+21	=1494	53%	6
5/10Tuesday, May 107:45 p.m. Eastern	BALOrioles	Bradish	1436	–9	–3	=1424	39%	5
	STLCardinals	Naughton	1507	–31	+22	=1498	61%	3
5/10Tuesday, May 107:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1547	+42	–1	=1588	53%	5
	MINTwins	Ryan	1523	+21	+26	=1570	47%	0
5/10Tuesday, May 107:20 p.m. Eastern	BOSRed Sox	Whitlock	1517	–17	–1	=1499	43%	9
	ATLBraves	Wright	1544	–21	+26	=1549	57%	4
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1534	–18	+0	=1516	56%	4
	WSHNationals	Corbin	1464	–12	+22	=1474	44%	2
5/10Tuesday, May 107:05 p.m. Eastern	TORBlue Jays	Kikuchi	1548	–27	+0	=1521	40%	5
	NYYYankees	Severino	1565	–1	+24	=1588	60%	6
5/10Tuesday, May 106:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Peralta	1545	–1	+0	=1544	60%	5
	CINReds	Greene	1474	–22	+24	=1476	40%	4
5/10Tuesday, May 106:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1593	–9	+0	=1584	67%	11
	PITPirates	Wilson	1443	–6	+24	=1461	33%	1
5/10Tuesday, May 104:50 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Martinez	1450	–12	–4	=1434	46%	4
	DETTigers	Faedo	1463	–20	+20	=1463	54%	1
5/10Tuesday, May 101:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1460	+2	–4	=1458	43%	6
	OAKAthletics	Montas	1453	+36	+20	=1509	57%	0
5/9Monday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1467	+0	–3	=1464	35%	5
	SFGiants	Rodon	1522	+28	+24	=1574	65%	8
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1514	–7	–4	=1503	46%	9
	SEAMariners	Flexen	1501	+5	+24	=1530	54%	0
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1472	–6	–4	=1462	38%	6
	SDPadres	Gore	1538	–12	+24	=1550	62%	0
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1492	–27	–2	=1463	49%	3
	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1466	–19	+24	=1471	51%	4
5/9Monday, May 99:38 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Springs	1533	–10	–3	=1520	44%	3
	LAAAngels	Syndergaard	1528	+9	+24	=1561	56%	11
5/9Monday, May 98:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Plesac	1499	–11	–2	=1486	39%	12
	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1534	+6	+21	=1561	61%	9
5/9Monday, May 97:10 p.m. Eastern	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1452	–12	–3	=1437	42%	2
	DETTigers	Pineda	1461	+8	+21	=1490	58%	0
5/9Monday, May 96:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1548	+8	–2	=1554	53%	5
	CINReds	Castillo	1472	+36	+24	=1532	47%	10
5/9Monday, May 96:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1596	+6	–2	=1600	68%	1
	PITPirates	Quintana	1440	+3	+22	=1465	32%	5
5/9Monday, May 91:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gray	1471	+8	+0	=1479	35%	0
	NYYYankees	Cortes	1564	–2	+24	=1586	65%	1
5/9Monday, May 912:05 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Hernandez	1462	–3	+0	=1459	49%	1
	BALOrioles	Wells	1433	+5	+24	=1462	51%	6
5/8Sunday, May 87 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1594	+10	+0	=1604	67%	7
	CHCCubs	Steele	1474	–13	+24	=1485	33%	1
5/8Sunday, May 85:45 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1463	–5	+0	=1458	50%	2
	BALOrioles	Zimmermann	1432	+2	+24	=1458	50%	4
5/8Sunday, May 85:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Otto	1469	–7	+0	=1462	33%	4
	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1566	–3	+24	=1587	67%	2
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern	TBRays	Yarbrough	1534	–20	+0	=1514	50%	1
	SEAMariners	Kirby	1499	–11	+24	=1512	50%	2
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1493	+1	+0	=1494	39%	2
	SDPadres	Musgrove	1538	+10	+24	=1572	61%	3

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How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.