2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Dodgers have a 23% chance of winning the World Series.
NL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | DodgersDodgers27-12 | — | 99% | 76% | ||
![]() | PadresPadres26-14 | 1.5 | 88% | 19% | ||
![]() | GiantsGiants22-17 | 5.0 | 57% | 4% | ||
![]() | DbacksDiamondbacks21-21 | 7.5 | 7% | <1% | ||
![]() | RockiesRockies19-20 | 8.0 | 4% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –1 | +0 | =1593 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –16 | +24 | =1528 | 41% | ||
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –27 | –2 | =1565 | 63% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –8 | +21 | =1471 | 37% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | +10 | +0 | =1604 | 66% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | +4 | +24 | =1486 | 34% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 254:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | +4 | +0 | =1598 | 67% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –4 | +24 | =1478 | 33% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –4 | =1588 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –14 | +26 | =1478 | 35% | ||
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –1 | +0 | =1593 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 36% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –27 | +0 | =1567 | 60% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +8 | +24 | =1498 | 40% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | +10 | +0 | =1604 | 69% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –25 | +24 | =1465 | 31% | ||
5/30Monday, May 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | –1 | =1433 | 25% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | +4 | +22 | =1620 | 75% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 3110:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +9 | +0 | =1442 | 27% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 73% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 18:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +11 | +0 | =1444 | 27% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –1 | +24 | =1617 | 73% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | –4 | =1528 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 62% | ||
6/3Friday, June 310:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 62% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 62% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 62% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –2 | =1590 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +23 | =1550 | 44% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 44% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 44% | ||
6/10Friday, June 1010:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –4 | =1588 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 44% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 117:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 44% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 124:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 44% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +1 | =1532 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 62% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 62% | ||
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | –3 | =1495 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +26 | =1618 | 67% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +0 | =1498 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 66% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +0 | =1498 | 34% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 66% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –2 | =1590 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +26 | =1506 | 38% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 38% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 2312:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 62% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 38% | ||
6/24Friday, June 247:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –2 | =1590 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 47% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 46% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 261:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 46% | ||
6/27Monday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –3 | =1589 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +21 | =1483 | 35% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 35% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 35% | ||
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | –2 | =1541 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +21 | =1613 | 60% | ||
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
7/4Monday, July 410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –3 | =1459 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 710:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | –4 | =1472 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 69% | ||
7/8Friday, July 810:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 69% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 910:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 69% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 31% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 69% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 127:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –2 | =1590 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 42% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 137:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 42% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 147:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 42% | ||
7/15Friday, July 159:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –4 | =1588 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 45% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 1610:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +24 | =1555 | 45% | ||
7/21Thursday, July 2110:09 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +5 | =1528 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +30 | =1622 | 63% | ||
7/22Friday, July 2210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 63% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 63% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 63% | ||
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | –2 | =1454 | 28% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 72% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
7/28Thursday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –3 | =1589 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 36% | ||
7/29Friday, July 298:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 35% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 308:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 35% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 313:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 35% | ||
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –3 | =1589 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 44% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 29:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 44% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 44% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 43:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 44% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | –1 | =1542 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +22 | =1614 | 60% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 69:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | –2 | =1522 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +26 | =1618 | 63% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +0 | =1524 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 63% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –1 | =1591 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 35% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 35% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +1 | +24 | =1482 | 35% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –2 | =1590 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +22 | =1570 | 47% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 47% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 47% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 47% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –2 | =1490 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +20 | =1612 | 67% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 209:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 67% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 67% | ||
8/22Monday, Aug. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –4 | =1544 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 249 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 266:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –2 | =1590 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +22 | =1514 | 39% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 39% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 2812:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 39% | ||
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 39% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –3 | =1589 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +26 | =1558 | 46% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 45% | ||
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 45% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +20 | =1612 | 60% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 60% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | –2 | =1521 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 63% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 63% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 63% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +1 | =1593 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +26 | =1569 | 47% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 47% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 47% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 129:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –2 | =1590 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +21 | =1487 | 36% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 36% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 149:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 36% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 1610:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –1 | =1591 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +26 | =1549 | 44% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 179:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 44% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 44% | ||
9/19Monday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | –2 | =1464 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +22 | =1614 | 70% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 203:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 70% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 70% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 70% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 30% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 70% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –1 | =1511 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 65% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 249:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 64% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 64% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +1 | =1593 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +23 | =1566 | 46% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 47% | ||
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 47% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –2 | =1460 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +23 | =1615 | 71% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 310:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/21Saturday, May 216:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1592 | –34 | +0 | =1558 | 51% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +8 | +24 | =1553 | 49% | 4 | |
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1591 | +0 | –2 | =1589 | 57% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –4 | +24 | =1543 | 43% | 1 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 184:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –22 | +0 | =1439 | 25% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1590 | +12 | +24 | =1626 | 75% | 5 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 1710:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +16 | +0 | =1479 | 35% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1588 | –29 | +24 | =1583 | 65% | 12 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | –2 | +0 | =1462 | 33% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | –30 | +24 | =1581 | 67% | 7 | |
5/16Monday, May 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | –4 | –2 | =1458 | 30% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | –2 | +24 | =1609 | 70% | 5 | |
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | +8 | +0 | =1533 | 44% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1586 | –32 | +24 | =1578 | 56% | 5 | |
5/14Saturday, May 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1522 | –2 | +0 | =1520 | 36% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1589 | +6 | +24 | =1619 | 64% | 3 | |
5/13Friday, May 1310:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –5 | +0 | =1515 | 34% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1591 | +14 | +24 | =1629 | 66% | 10 | |
5/12Thursday, May 1210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +26 | –3 | =1541 | 44% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1593 | –29 | +20 | =1584 | 56% | 7 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1595 | –37 | +0 | =1558 | 63% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1441 | –2 | +24 | =1463 | 37% | 5 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 106:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1593 | –9 | +0 | =1584 | 67% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1443 | –6 | +24 | =1461 | 33% | 1 | |
5/9Monday, May 96:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1596 | +6 | –2 | =1600 | 68% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1440 | +3 | +22 | =1465 | 32% | 5 | |
5/8Sunday, May 87 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | +10 | +0 | =1604 | 67% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1474 | –13 | +24 | =1485 | 33% | 1 | |
5/7Saturday, May 77:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1593 | –30 | +0 | =1563 | 59% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1475 | +3 | +24 | =1502 | 41% | 2 | |
5/7Saturday, May 71:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1591 | +10 | +1 | =1602 | 64% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +0 | +29 | =1506 | 36% | 0 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –7 | +0 | =1518 | 38% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1589 | –10 | +24 | =1603 | 62% | 9 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 310:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | +28 | +0 | =1554 | 41% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1588 | +5 | +26 | =1619 | 59% | 3 | |
5/1Sunday, May 14:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | +10 | +0 | =1477 | 30% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +12 | +24 | =1623 | 70% | 6 | |
4/30Saturday, April 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | –17 | +0 | =1447 | 26% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1590 | +10 | +24 | =1624 | 74% | 1 | |
4/29Friday, April 2910:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –8 | –4 | =1453 | 32% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1589 | –30 | +24 | =1583 | 68% | 5 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 273:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1591 | +4 | +0 | =1595 | 63% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +20 | +24 | =1501 | 37% | 3 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 269:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1593 | –8 | +0 | =1585 | 69% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1455 | –32 | +24 | =1447 | 31% | 5 | |
4/25Monday, April 259:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1592 | +6 | –2 | =1596 | 64% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1456 | +14 | +24 | =1494 | 36% | 0 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1589 | +12 | +0 | =1601 | 55% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +8 | +24 | =1569 | 45% | 2 | |
4/23Saturday, April 238:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1590 | –27 | +0 | =1563 | 51% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –6 | +24 | =1553 | 49% | 3 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1589 | +4 | +1 | =1594 | 61% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | –49 | +26 | =1514 | 39% | 1 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +16 | +0 | =1563 | 45% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | –10 | +24 | =1601 | 55% | 5 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 1910:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +18 | +0 | =1564 | 42% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1589 | +10 | +24 | =1623 | 58% | 1 | |
4/18Monday, April 1810:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –17 | –1 | =1529 | 36% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +15 | +24 | =1626 | 64% | 7 | |
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1494 | +18 | +0 | =1512 | 38% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1585 | –15 | +24 | =1594 | 62% | 9 | |
4/16Saturday, April 1610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1495 | –10 | +0 | =1485 | 33% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1584 | +2 | +24 | =1610 | 67% | 5 | |
4/15Friday, April 1510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1496 | –12 | +0 | =1484 | 34% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1584 | –9 | +24 | =1599 | 66% | 3 | |
4/14Thursday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1497 | –15 | –4 | =1478 | 31% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1582 | +13 | +20 | =1615 | 69% | 9 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1580 | +9 | +0 | =1589 | 59% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | –9 | +24 | =1528 | 41% | 0 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1578 | –16 | –1 | =1561 | 53% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +0 | +24 | =1539 | 47% | 2 | |
4/10Sunday, April 103:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1581 | +10 | +0 | =1591 | 63% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | +8 | +24 | =1497 | 37% | 9 | |
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1582 | –9 | +0 | =1573 | 60% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +15 | +24 | =1502 | 40% | 3 | |
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1581 | +13 | –3 | =1591 | 63% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +7 | +24 | =1495 | 37% | 3 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments