Updated May 22, 2022, at 3:09 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Dodgers have a 23% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers27-12	—	99%	76%
Padres Padres26-14	1.5	88%	19%
Giants Giants22-17	5.0	57%	4%
Dbacks Diamondbacks21-21	7.5	7%	<1%
Rockies Rockies19-20	8.0	4%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1594	–1	+0	=1593	59%
5/22Sunday, May 221:35 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1520	–16	+24	=1528	41%
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1594	–27	–2	=1565	63%
5/23Monday, May 237:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Adon	1458	–8	+21	=1471	37%
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1594	+10	+0	=1604	66%
5/24Tuesday, May 247:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1458	+4	+24	=1486	34%
5/25Wednesday, May 254:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1594	+4	+0	=1598	67%
5/25Wednesday, May 254:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Fedde	1458	–4	+24	=1478	33%
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–4	=1588	65%
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1466	–14	+26	=1478	35%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1594	–1	+0	=1593	64%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1466	+0	+24	=1490	36%
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1594	–27	+0	=1567	60%
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1466	+8	+24	=1498	40%
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1594	+10	+0	=1604	69%
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1466	–25	+24	=1465	31%
5/30Monday, May 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+1	–1	=1433	25%
5/30Monday, May 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1594	+4	+22	=1620	75%
5/31Tuesday, May 3110:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Thompson	1433	+9	+0	=1442	27%
5/31Tuesday, May 3110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	73%
6/1Wednesday, June 18:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Quintana	1433	+11	+0	=1444	27%
6/1Wednesday, June 18:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1594	–1	+24	=1617	73%
6/2Thursday, June 210:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	–4	=1528	38%
6/2Thursday, June 210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	62%
6/3Friday, June 310:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+0	=1532	38%
6/3Friday, June 310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	62%
6/4Saturday, June 410:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+0	=1532	38%
6/4Saturday, June 410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	62%
6/5Sunday, June 54:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+0	=1532	38%
6/5Sunday, June 54:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	62%
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–2	=1590	56%
6/7Tuesday, June 78:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+23	=1550	44%
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	56%
6/8Wednesday, June 88:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+24	=1551	44%
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	56%
6/9Thursday, June 92:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+24	=1551	44%
6/10Friday, June 1010:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–4	=1588	56%
6/10Friday, June 1010:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	44%
6/11Saturday, June 117:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	56%
6/11Saturday, June 117:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	44%
6/12Sunday, June 124:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	56%
6/12Sunday, June 124:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	44%
6/14Tuesday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+1	=1532	38%
6/14Tuesday, June 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	62%
6/15Wednesday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+0	=1531	38%
6/15Wednesday, June 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	62%
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1498	+0	–3	=1495	33%
6/17Friday, June 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+26	=1618	67%
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1498	+0	+0	=1498	34%
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	66%
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1498	+0	+0	=1498	34%
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	66%
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–2	=1590	62%
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1478	+2	+26	=1506	38%
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	62%
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1478	+2	+24	=1504	38%
6/23Thursday, June 2312:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	62%
6/23Thursday, June 2312:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1478	+2	+24	=1504	38%
6/24Friday, June 247:20 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–2	=1590	53%
6/24Friday, June 247:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+24	=1565	47%
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	54%
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+24	=1565	46%
6/26Sunday, June 261:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	54%
6/26Sunday, June 261:35 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+24	=1565	46%
6/27Monday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–3	=1589	65%
6/27Monday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+21	=1483	35%
6/28Tuesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
6/28Tuesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	35%
6/29Wednesday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
6/29Wednesday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	35%
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	–2	=1541	40%
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+21	=1613	60%
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	40%
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	60%
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	40%
7/2Saturday, July 27:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	60%
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	40%
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	60%
7/4Monday, July 410:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–3	=1459	29%
7/4Monday, July 410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
7/5Tuesday, July 510:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
7/5Tuesday, July 510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
7/6Wednesday, July 610:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
7/6Wednesday, July 610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
7/7Thursday, July 710:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1476	+0	–4	=1472	31%
7/7Thursday, July 710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	69%
7/8Friday, July 810:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1476	+0	+0	=1476	31%
7/8Friday, July 810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	69%
7/9Saturday, July 910:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1476	+0	+0	=1476	31%
7/9Saturday, July 910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	69%
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1476	+0	+0	=1476	31%
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	69%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–2	=1590	58%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	+24	=1536	42%
7/13Wednesday, July 137:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	58%
7/13Wednesday, July 137:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	+24	=1536	42%
7/14Thursday, July 147:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	58%
7/14Thursday, July 147:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	+24	=1536	42%
7/15Friday, July 159:38 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–4	=1588	55%
7/15Friday, July 159:38 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	45%
7/16Saturday, July 1610:07 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	55%
7/16Saturday, July 1610:07 p.m. Eastern	LAAAngels	—	1530	+1	+24	=1555	45%
7/21Thursday, July 2110:09 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+5	=1528	37%
7/21Thursday, July 2110:09 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+30	=1622	63%
7/22Friday, July 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+0	=1523	37%
7/22Friday, July 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	63%
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+0	=1523	37%
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	63%
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+0	=1523	37%
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	63%
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1458	–2	–2	=1454	28%
7/25Monday, July 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	72%
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1458	–2	+0	=1456	29%
7/26Tuesday, July 2610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	—	1458	–2	+0	=1456	29%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
7/28Thursday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–3	=1589	64%
7/28Thursday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	36%
7/29Friday, July 298:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
7/29Friday, July 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	35%
7/30Saturday, July 308:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
7/30Saturday, July 308:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	35%
7/31Sunday, July 313:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
7/31Sunday, July 313:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	35%
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–3	=1589	56%
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	44%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 29:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	56%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 29:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	44%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	56%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	44%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 43:45 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	56%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 43:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	44%
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	–1	=1542	40%
8/5Friday, Aug. 510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+22	=1614	60%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 69:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	40%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 69:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	60%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	40%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	60%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+1	–2	=1522	37%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+26	=1618	63%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+1	+0	=1524	37%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	63%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–1	=1591	65%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	35%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	35%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	—	1457	+1	+24	=1482	35%
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–2	=1590	53%
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+22	=1570	47%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	53%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+24	=1572	47%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	53%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+24	=1572	47%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	53%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+24	=1572	47%
8/19Friday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	–2	=1490	33%
8/19Friday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+20	=1612	67%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 209:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+0	=1492	33%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 209:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	67%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+0	=1492	33%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	67%
8/22Monday, Aug. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	–4	=1544	40%
8/22Monday, Aug. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	60%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+0	=1548	40%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	60%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 249 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+0	=1548	40%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 249 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	60%
8/26Friday, Aug. 266:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–2	=1590	61%
8/26Friday, Aug. 266:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+22	=1514	39%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	61%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+24	=1516	39%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 2812:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	61%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 2812:05 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+24	=1516	39%
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	61%
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+24	=1516	39%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–3	=1589	54%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+26	=1558	46%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	55%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+24	=1556	45%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	55%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+24	=1556	45%
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	40%
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+20	=1612	60%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	40%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 39:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	60%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	40%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	60%
9/5Monday, Sept. 510:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	–2	=1521	37%
9/5Monday, Sept. 510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	63%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 610:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+0	=1523	37%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	63%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+0	=1523	37%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	63%
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+1	=1593	53%
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+26	=1569	47%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	53%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	47%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	53%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	47%
9/12Monday, Sept. 129:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–2	=1590	64%
9/12Monday, Sept. 129:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+21	=1487	36%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	64%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+24	=1490	36%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	64%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+24	=1490	36%
9/16Friday, Sept. 1610:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–1	=1591	56%
9/16Friday, Sept. 1610:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+26	=1549	44%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 179:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	56%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 179:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	44%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	56%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	44%
9/19Monday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	–2	=1464	30%
9/19Monday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+22	=1614	70%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 203:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+0	=1466	30%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 203:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	70%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+0	=1466	30%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	70%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+0	=1466	30%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	70%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+0	=1466	30%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	70%
9/23Friday, Sept. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	–1	=1511	35%
9/23Friday, Sept. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	65%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 249:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	+0	=1512	36%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 249:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	64%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	+0	=1512	36%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	64%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+1	=1593	54%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+23	=1566	46%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	53%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	47%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	53%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	47%
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–2	=1460	29%
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+23	=1615	71%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
10/3Monday, Oct. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
10/3Monday, Oct. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
5/21Saturday, May 216:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	White	1592	–34	+0	=1558	51%	7
5/21Saturday, May 216:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1521	+8	+24	=1553	49%	4
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1591	+0	–2	=1589	57%	4
5/20Friday, May 207:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1523	–4	+24	=1543	43%	1
5/18Wednesday, May 184:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1461	–22	+0	=1439	25%	3
5/18Wednesday, May 184:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1590	+12	+24	=1626	75%	5
5/17Tuesday, May 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1463	+16	+0	=1479	35%	3
5/17Tuesday, May 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1588	–29	+24	=1583	65%	12
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gilbert	1464	–2	+0	=1462	33%	6
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Pepiot	1587	–30	+24	=1581	67%	7
5/16Monday, May 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1464	–4	–2	=1458	30%	4
5/16Monday, May 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1587	–2	+24	=1609	70%	5
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1525	+8	+0	=1533	44%	4
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1586	–32	+24	=1578	56%	5
5/14Saturday, May 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1522	–2	+0	=1520	36%	8
5/14Saturday, May 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1589	+6	+24	=1619	64%	3
5/13Friday, May 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1520	–5	+0	=1515	34%	12
5/13Friday, May 1310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1591	+14	+24	=1629	66%	10
5/12Thursday, May 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1518	+26	–3	=1541	44%	9
5/12Thursday, May 1210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1593	–29	+20	=1584	56%	7
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Pepiot	1595	–37	+0	=1558	63%	3
5/11Wednesday, May 1112:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Peters	1441	–2	+24	=1463	37%	5
5/10Tuesday, May 106:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1593	–9	+0	=1584	67%	11
5/10Tuesday, May 106:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Wilson	1443	–6	+24	=1461	33%	1
5/9Monday, May 96:35 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1596	+6	–2	=1600	68%	1
5/9Monday, May 96:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Quintana	1440	+3	+22	=1465	32%	5
5/8Sunday, May 87 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1594	+10	+0	=1604	67%	7
5/8Sunday, May 87 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1474	–13	+24	=1485	33%	1
5/7Saturday, May 77:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1593	–30	+0	=1563	59%	6
5/7Saturday, May 77:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Norris	1475	+3	+24	=1502	41%	2
5/7Saturday, May 71:05 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1591	+10	+1	=1602	64%	7
5/7Saturday, May 71:05 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Smyly	1477	+0	+29	=1506	36%	0
5/4Wednesday, May 410:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1525	–7	+0	=1518	38%	1
5/4Wednesday, May 410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1589	–10	+24	=1603	62%	9
5/3Tuesday, May 310:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1526	+28	+0	=1554	41%	1
5/3Tuesday, May 310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1588	+5	+26	=1619	59%	3
5/1Sunday, May 14:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Rodriguez	1467	+10	+0	=1477	30%	3
5/1Sunday, May 14:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1587	+12	+24	=1623	70%	6
4/30Saturday, April 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Brieske	1464	–17	+0	=1447	26%	5
4/30Saturday, April 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1590	+10	+24	=1624	74%	1
4/29Friday, April 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Alexander	1465	–8	–4	=1453	32%	1
4/29Friday, April 2910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1589	–30	+24	=1583	68%	5
4/27Wednesday, April 273:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1591	+4	+0	=1595	63%	1
4/27Wednesday, April 273:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1457	+20	+24	=1501	37%	3
4/26Tuesday, April 269:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1593	–8	+0	=1585	69%	3
4/26Tuesday, April 269:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1455	–32	+24	=1447	31%	5
4/25Monday, April 259:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1592	+6	–2	=1596	64%	4
4/25Monday, April 259:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1456	+14	+24	=1494	36%	0
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1589	+12	+0	=1601	55%	10
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1537	+8	+24	=1569	45%	2
4/23Saturday, April 238:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1590	–27	+0	=1563	51%	2
4/23Saturday, April 238:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1535	–6	+24	=1553	49%	3
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1589	+4	+1	=1594	61%	6
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Martinez	1537	–49	+26	=1514	39%	1
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1547	+16	+0	=1563	45%	1
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1587	–10	+24	=1601	55%	5
4/19Tuesday, April 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1546	+18	+0	=1564	42%	3
4/19Tuesday, April 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1589	+10	+24	=1623	58%	1
4/18Monday, April 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Ynoa	1547	–17	–1	=1529	36%	4
4/18Monday, April 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1587	+15	+24	=1626	64%	7
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Mahle	1494	+18	+0	=1512	38%	1
4/17Sunday, April 174:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Heaney	1585	–15	+24	=1594	62%	9
4/16Saturday, April 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1495	–10	+0	=1485	33%	2
4/16Saturday, April 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1584	+2	+24	=1610	67%	5
4/15Friday, April 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Gutierrez	1496	–12	+0	=1484	34%	1
4/15Friday, April 1510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1584	–9	+24	=1599	66%	3
4/14Thursday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Cessa	1497	–15	–4	=1478	31%	3
4/14Thursday, April 1410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1582	+13	+20	=1615	69%	9
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1580	+9	+0	=1589	59%	7
4/13Wednesday, April 131:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Paddack	1513	–9	+24	=1528	41%	0
4/12Tuesday, April 127:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Heaney	1578	–16	–1	=1561	53%	7
4/12Tuesday, April 127:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Archer	1515	+0	+24	=1539	47%	2
4/10Sunday, April 103:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1581	+10	+0	=1591	63%	4
4/10Sunday, April 103:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1465	+8	+24	=1497	37%	9
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1582	–9	+0	=1573	60%	2
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1463	+15	+24	=1502	40%	3
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1581	+13	–3	=1591	63%	5
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1464	+7	+24	=1495	37%	3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.