2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Marlins have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
NL East standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | MetsMets27-15 | — | 80% | 53% | ||
![]() | BravesBraves19-21 | 7.0 | 63% | 32% | ||
![]() | PhilliesPhillies18-22 | 8.0 | 35% | 12% | ||
![]() | MarlinsMarlins17-22 | 8.5 | 12% | 4% | ||
![]() | NationalsNationals13-28 | 13.5 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +1 | +0 | =1543 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +22 | +24 | =1538 | 49% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +20 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +23 | +23 | =1577 | 59% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –4 | +0 | =1488 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +18 | +24 | =1573 | 62% | ||
5/27Friday, May 277:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –28 | +0 | =1464 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +1 | +24 | =1567 | 64% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +22 | +0 | =1514 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –27 | +24 | =1539 | 54% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +20 | +0 | =1512 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +23 | +24 | =1589 | 61% | ||
5/30Monday, May 304:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –4 | –3 | =1485 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +20 | =1482 | 50% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 318:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +4 | +24 | =1490 | 50% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 13:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –28 | +0 | =1464 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +1 | +24 | =1487 | 53% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 26:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | –3 | =1520 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +20 | =1512 | 49% | ||
6/3Friday, June 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 49% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 49% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 49% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | –1 | =1455 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +26 | =1518 | 59% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 58% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 96:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 58% | ||
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –3 | =1489 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +26 | =1580 | 63% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 62% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1553 | +1 | +24 | =1578 | 62% | ||
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –3 | =1489 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 58% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 57% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 151:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 57% | ||
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +1 | =1493 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 59% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 59% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 59% | ||
6/20Monday, June 201:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 59% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –2 | =1460 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 57% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 58% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 2312:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 58% | ||
6/24Friday, June 246:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | –1 | =1531 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 48% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 48% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 2612:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 48% | ||
6/27Monday, June 277:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –3 | =1489 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 57% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 287:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 56% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 297:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 56% | ||
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –1 | =1491 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +26 | =1482 | 49% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 48% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 48% | ||
7/4Monday, July 411:05 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 48% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | –1 | =1530 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 47% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +1 | +0 | =1531 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 48% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –3 | =1489 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +21 | =1553 | 59% | ||
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 59% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 59% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 59% | ||
7/11Monday, July 116:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | –3 | =1431 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 62% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 126:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 62% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 136:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 62% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 1412:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 62% | ||
7/15Friday, July 156:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | –1 | =1519 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 50% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 49% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 49% | ||
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +4 | =1478 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +31 | =1523 | 56% | ||
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –3 | =1489 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +28 | =1462 | 46% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 45% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 45% | ||
7/25Monday, July 256:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –2 | =1490 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 52% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 266:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 52% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 276:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 52% | ||
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 52% | ||
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | –1 | =1531 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 47% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 306:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 48% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 48% | ||
8/1Monday, Aug. 16:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | –3 | =1477 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 56% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 26:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 55% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 55% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 52:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –1 | =1491 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +22 | =1498 | 51% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 62:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 51% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 51% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –1 | =1491 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +26 | =1546 | 58% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 57% | ||
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 57% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 126:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –1 | =1540 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 46% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 131:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | –3 | =1540 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –2 | =1490 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +20 | =1612 | 67% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 209:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 67% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 33% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 67% | ||
8/22Monday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –2 | =1490 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1452 | +1 | +24 | =1477 | 48% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 266:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –2 | =1590 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +22 | =1514 | 39% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 39% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 2812:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 39% | ||
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 61% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 39% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +2 | =1534 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 47% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +0 | =1532 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 48% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –1 | =1491 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 60% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 60% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 60% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –1 | =1491 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +22 | =1542 | 57% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 57% | ||
9/8Thursday, Sept. 86:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 57% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | –1 | =1531 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 47% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 48% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +0 | =1532 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 48% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | –3 | =1471 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 56% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 56% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | –1 | =1519 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 50% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 49% | ||
9/15Thursday, Sept. 156:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 49% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –3 | =1489 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +26 | =1482 | 49% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 48% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 48% | ||
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | –3 | =1473 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 56% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 56% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 56% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | –1 | =1455 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +26 | =1518 | 59% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 58% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 58% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –1 | =1491 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +22 | =1554 | 59% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 59% | ||
9/29Thursday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –3 | =1489 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 62% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 61% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 61% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 61% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –3 | =1538 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 46% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 46% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –22 | +0 | =1519 | 55% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | –31 | +24 | =1486 | 45% | 3 | |
5/20Friday, May 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | +11 | –1 | =1549 | 54% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | +2 | +26 | =1522 | 46% | 3 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 186:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +2 | +0 | =1462 | 39% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | +22 | +24 | =1541 | 61% | 4 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –10 | +0 | =1452 | 45% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –29 | +24 | =1489 | 55% | 5 | |
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –7 | –3 | =1453 | 39% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +18 | +24 | =1534 | 61% | 8 | |
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | +4 | +0 | =1546 | 58% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1493 | –28 | +24 | =1489 | 42% | 3 | |
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –3 | +0 | =1542 | 54% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1491 | +1 | +24 | =1516 | 46% | 9 | |
5/13Friday, May 136:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +38 | –1 | =1581 | 57% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +20 | +22 | =1534 | 43% | 1 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1489 | +16 | +0 | =1505 | 49% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1469 | +18 | +24 | =1511 | 51% | 3 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | –18 | +0 | =1473 | 48% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –4 | +24 | =1487 | 52% | 9 | |
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –27 | –2 | =1463 | 49% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –19 | +24 | =1471 | 51% | 4 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +1 | +0 | =1494 | 39% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +10 | +24 | =1572 | 61% | 3 | |
5/7Saturday, May 78:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1489 | +17 | +0 | =1506 | 41% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +1 | +24 | =1566 | 59% | 0 | |
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1490 | +18 | +0 | =1508 | 42% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | –3 | +24 | =1561 | 58% | 3 | |
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | –18 | –4 | =1469 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –47 | +20 | =1512 | 56% | 2 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 412:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +1 | +0 | =1464 | 46% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –23 | +24 | =1493 | 54% | 7 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –23 | +0 | =1439 | 38% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | +5 | +24 | =1523 | 62% | 4 | |
5/2Monday, May 26:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +23 | –3 | =1480 | 42% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | +18 | +24 | =1537 | 58% | 4 | |
5/1Sunday, May 11:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +16 | +0 | =1522 | 47% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1497 | +19 | +24 | =1540 | 53% | 3 | |
4/30Saturday, April 306:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +31 | +0 | =1539 | 56% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1495 | –25 | +24 | =1494 | 44% | 3 | |
4/29Friday, April 296:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –14 | –2 | =1493 | 51% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1494 | –26 | +21 | =1489 | 49% | 8 | |
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1493 | +1 | +0 | =1494 | 54% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1456 | –16 | +24 | =1464 | 46% | 2 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +16 | +0 | =1508 | 56% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1457 | –14 | +24 | =1467 | 44% | 1 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1491 | +21 | –1 | =1511 | 53% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1459 | +4 | +26 | =1489 | 47% | 2 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1489 | –26 | +0 | =1463 | 39% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1545 | –30 | +24 | =1539 | 61% | 4 | |
4/23Saturday, April 237:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1487 | –21 | +0 | =1466 | 35% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% | 7 | |
4/22Friday, April 227:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1489 | +1 | –3 | =1487 | 43% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | –34 | +22 | =1534 | 57% | 3 | |
4/21Thursday, April 216:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | –18 | +0 | =1490 | 45% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1487 | +11 | +24 | =1522 | 55% | 5 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +7 | +0 | =1514 | 48% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1488 | +18 | +24 | =1530 | 52% | 0 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1505 | +27 | –1 | =1531 | 55% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1490 | –22 | +26 | =1494 | 45% | 1 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +32 | +0 | =1551 | 59% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | –21 | +24 | =1489 | 41% | 11 | |
4/16Saturday, April 166:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1517 | +2 | +0 | =1519 | 49% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1489 | +10 | +24 | =1523 | 51% | 3 | |
4/15Friday, April 156:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1519 | –17 | +0 | =1502 | 47% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1487 | +9 | +24 | =1520 | 53% | 7 | |
4/14Thursday, April 146:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –6 | –3 | =1511 | 48% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | +17 | +22 | =1525 | 52% | 4 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1486 | –28 | +0 | =1458 | 38% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | +1 | +24 | =1540 | 62% | 4 | |
4/11Monday, April 119:38 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1488 | –19 | –2 | =1467 | 40% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –1 | +24 | =1537 | 60% | 6 | |
4/10Sunday, April 104:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1489 | +12 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –1 | +24 | =1540 | 56% | 3 | |
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1488 | +8 | +0 | =1496 | 41% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +15 | +24 | =1558 | 59% | 1 | |
4/8Friday, April 84:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1488 | +20 | –4 | =1504 | 42% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +17 | +24 | =1559 | 58% | 6 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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