Updated Sep. 28, 2022, at 1:56 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Marlins are done for the season.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets97-5857%
BravesBraves97-5843%
PhilliesPhillies83-7013.074%
MarlinsMarlins64-9032.5
NationalsNationals53-10143.5

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14656+0=145936%
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155215+24=156164%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
1465123=145038%
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152613+24=153762%
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1465+37+0=150239%
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1526+27+24=157761%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
14658+0=145735%
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1526+15+24=156565%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14654+0=146141%
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152623+24=152759%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
1582103=156963%
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14656+21=148037%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
1582+8+0=159066%
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
146512+24=147734%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1582+24+0=160661%
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1465+37+24=152639%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
146351=145736%6
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155418+22=155864%4
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1439+17+0=145646%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
14655+24=148454%1
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14403+0=143738%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1464+33+24=152162%4
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
144121=143845%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
146314+26=147555%5
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1468+17+0=148551%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14648+24=148049%3
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14675+0=146247%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14656+24=148353%1
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1469+03=146648%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
14621+21=148252%10
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1461+32+0=149352%3
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1442+16+24=148248%1
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
146212+0=145048%3
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
14412+24=146352%5
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
146393=145148%4
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14401+26=146552%5
9/15Thursday, Sept. 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
153518+0=151756%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14628+24=147844%5
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153323+0=151053%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
1464+0+24=148847%1
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
1532211=151048%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1465+33+24=152252%1
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1472+21+0=149353%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
146312+24=147547%10
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Otto, Glenn
Otto
147123=146649%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
146414+24=147451%2
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
155620+0=153657%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14664+24=148643%3
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155425+0=152955%11
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14692+24=149145%3
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1556161=153958%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
14672+21=148642%6
9/8Thursday, Sept. 86:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1465+33+0=149845%6
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153119+24=153655%5
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
146619+0=144738%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153024+24=153062%4
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
146791=145734%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1529+23+22=157466%3
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14681+0=146729%1
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1577+21+24=162271%7
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
14692+0=146736%1
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
157635+24=156564%2
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1470+411=151037%1
ATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1574+7+24=160563%8
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1535+11+0=154660%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
147123+24=147240%1
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1533+301=156261%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
14739+24=148839%2
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Grove, Michael
Grove
162144+0=157762%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14743+24=149538%2
8/28Sunday, Aug. 2812:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1619+14+0=163368%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
1475+1+24=150032%1
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
162122+0=159959%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1474+37+24=153541%2
8/26Friday, Aug. 266:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
162052=161369%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Nance, Tommy
Nance
147526+22=147131%6
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
147610+0=146649%2
OAKOAKAthletics
Irvin, Cole
Irvin
1436+14+24=147451%3
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14744+0=147055%5
OAKOAKAthletics
Logue, Zach
Logue
143828+24=143445%3
8/22Monday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
147342=146754%3
OAKOAKAthletics
Oller, Adam
Oller
143923+24=144046%0
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1475+47+0=152239%3
LADLADDodgers
Pepiot, Ryan
Pepiot
161741+24=160061%10
8/20Saturday, Aug. 209:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hoeing, Bryan
Hoeing
147629+0=144727%0
LADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
161624+24=161673%7
8/19Friday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
1477162=145927%1
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
16155+20=163073%2
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1526+19+0=154556%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14791+24=150244%3
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
152720+0=150752%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
147811+24=149148%4
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1529+143=154049%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1476+43+24=154351%3
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
156436+0=152856%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
147716+24=148544%1
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
156220+0=154260%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Nance, Tommy
Nance
147928+24=147540%2
8/13Saturday, Aug. 131:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Muller, Kyle
Muller
156132+0=152956%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
148014+24=149044%2
8/12Friday, Aug. 126:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
1560121=154757%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
14811+21=150143%3
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
147918+0=146137%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
154114+24=155163%0
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1480+46+0=152647%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
154020+24=154453%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
1481131=146732%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1539+29+26=159468%4
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
147919+0=146046%3
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14686+24=148654%0
8/6Saturday, Aug. 62:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1481+4+0=148550%0
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14666+24=148450%4
8/5Friday, Aug. 52:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
1482261=145545%1
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
1465+3+22=149055%2
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 36:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147615+0=146138%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1481+45+24=155062%3
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 26:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
147513+0=146246%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
148214+24=149254%1
8/1Monday, Aug. 16:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147353=146547%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
148320+24=148753%1
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15532+0=155154%9
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1486+14+24=152446%3
7/30Saturday, July 306:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
155119+0=153257%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Neidert, Nick
Neidert
148730+24=148143%0
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1550+61=155549%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1489+49+21=155951%4
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
148834+0=145445%7
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
147410+24=148855%6
7/27Wednesday, July 276:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
148916+0=147341%3
CINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1473+41+24=153859%5
7/26Tuesday, July 266:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1488+8+0=149650%2
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14744+24=149450%1
7/25Monday, July 256:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1491162=147349%2
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
147116+24=147951%11
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1490+49+0=153961%6
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1437+2+24=146339%5
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Meyer, Max
Meyer
149132+0=145949%0
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1436+8+24=146851%1
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
1488203=146549%8
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1439+5+28=147251%1
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Gray, Jon
Gray
1475+24+4=150346%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1491+11+31=153354%0
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1535+22+0=155758%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149316+24=150142%0
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153212+0=152054%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Meyer, Max
Meyer
149629+24=149146%0
7/15Friday, July 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
1531171=151342%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1497+46+24=156758%1
7/14Thursday, July 1412:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1441+4+0=144543%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149727+24=149457%3
7/13Wednesday, July 136:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1442+5+0=144738%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1496+12+24=153262%5
7/12Tuesday, July 126:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Stratton, Chris
Stratton
14418+0=143342%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
149734+24=148758%2
7/11Monday, July 116:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
143843=143139%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
150014+21=150761%1
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1498+46+0=154447%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
15451+24=156853%0
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149927+0=147239%4
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
154419+24=154961%5
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1497+11+0=150840%5
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1546+6+24=157660%2
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
1499293=146741%0
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
154435+21=153059%10
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Ohtani, Shohei
Ohtani
1502+36+0=153854%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
150115+24=151046%2
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Syndergaard, Noah
Syndergaard
1503+41=150642%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1500+40+21=156158%2
7/4Monday, July 411:05 a.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149934+0=146551%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144813+24=145949%2
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1497+11+0=150854%7
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1450+6+24=148046%4
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
149627+0=146949%5
WSHWSHNationals
Tetreault, Jackson
Tetreault
1451+3+24=147851%3
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1494141=147948%6
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1453+12+26=149152%3
6/29Wednesday, June 297:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1493+42+0=153550%4
STLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151810+24=153250%3
6/28Tuesday, June 287:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149433+0=146139%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1517+0+24=154161%5
6/27Monday, June 277:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1497+153=150943%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1514+22+24=156057%9
6/26Sunday, June 2612:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154720+0=152756%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
149631+24=148944%3
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1546+8+0=155457%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149713+24=150843%3
6/24Friday, June 246:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
154551=153946%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1498+44+24=156654%3
6/23Thursday, June 2312:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1456+12+0=146847%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149734+24=148753%3
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14573+0=145439%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1496+12+24=153261%7
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145892=144744%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
149525+21=149156%9
6/20Monday, June 201:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149715+0=148241%0
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
154625+24=154559%6
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1495+41+0=153644%6
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1548+5+24=157756%2
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149631+0=146537%2
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
154811+24=156163%3
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1498+16+1=151543%4
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
15458+24=156157%10
6/15Wednesday, June 151:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Castano, Daniel
Castano
149934+0=146540%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152614+24=153660%3
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149711+0=148642%11
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
152813+24=153958%9
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1498+393=153445%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1527+16+24=156755%3
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
149920+0=147932%4
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1545+42+24=161168%9
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149640+0=145633%5
HOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
1548+4+24=157667%1
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1494+173=150841%7
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15501+26=157559%4
6/9Thursday, June 96:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Strasburg, Stephen
Strasburg
1457+45+0=150250%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149213+24=150350%7
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1458+7+0=146538%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+34+24=155062%2
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146161=145445%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
148925+26=149055%12
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
152019+0=150153%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149137+24=147847%1
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1521+19+0=154051%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1489+19+24=153249%5
6/3Friday, June 36:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Brebbia, John
Brebbia
151827+0=149150%15
MIAMIAMarlins
Bleier, Richard
Bleier
149329+24=148850%6
6/2Thursday, June 26:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
151993=150745%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1491+31+20=154255%3
6/1Wednesday, June 16:55 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
14926+0=148651%12
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1453+4+24=148149%13
6/1Wednesday, June 13:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Cabrera, Edward
Cabrera
148837+2=145345%14
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1457+4+26=148755%1
5/30Monday, May 304:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1491+173=150557%1
COLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145420+20=145443%7
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149129+0=146233%3
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1538+25+24=158767%6
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1490+26+0=151648%4
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
154032+24=153252%1
5/27Friday, May 277:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
14913+0=148839%4
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1539+1+24=156461%6
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
149120+0=147136%4
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1531+18+24=157364%5
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1493+19+0=151241%0
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1530+23+23=157659%4
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1542+1+0=154351%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+22+24=153849%4
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154122+0=151955%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149331+24=148645%3
5/20Friday, May 206:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+111=154954%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1494+2+26=152246%3
5/18Wednesday, May 186:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1460+2+0=146239%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1495+22+24=154161%4
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146210+0=145245%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
149429+24=148955%5
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146373=145339%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+18+24=153461%8
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1542+4+0=154658%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149328+24=148942%3
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15453+0=154254%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1491+1+24=151646%9
5/13Friday, May 136:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1544+381=158157%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+20+22=153443%1
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1489+16+0=150549%11
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1469+18+24=151151%3
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149118+0=147348%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14674+24=148752%9
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1492272=146349%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146619+24=147151%4
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1493+1+0=149439%2
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1538+10+24=157261%3
5/7Saturday, May 78:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1489+17+0=150641%8
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1541+1+24=156659%0
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1490+18+0=150842%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15403+24=156158%3
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
1491184=146944%1
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153947+20=151256%2
5/4Wednesday, May 412:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1463+1+0=146446%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149223+24=149354%7
5/3Tuesday, May 36:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146223+0=143938%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1494+5+24=152362%4
5/2Monday, May 26:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1460+233=148042%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1495+18+24=153758%4
5/1Sunday, May 11:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1506+16+0=152247%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1497+19+24=154053%3
4/30Saturday, April 306:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1508+31+0=153956%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149525+24=149444%3
4/29Friday, April 296:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
1509142=149351%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149426+21=148949%8
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1493+1+0=149454%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
145616+24=146446%2
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+16+0=150856%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
145714+24=146744%1
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1491+211=151153%5
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1459+4+26=148947%2
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
148926+0=146339%5
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154530+24=153961%4
4/23Saturday, April 237:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
148721+0=146635%9
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1547+1+24=157265%7
4/22Friday, April 227:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1489+13=148743%0
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154634+22=153457%3
4/21Thursday, April 216:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150818+0=149045%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1487+11+24=152255%5
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1507+7+0=151448%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1488+18+24=153052%0
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1505+271=153155%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149022+26=149445%1
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+32+0=155159%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
148621+24=148941%11
4/16Saturday, April 166:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1517+2+0=151949%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1489+10+24=152351%3
4/15Friday, April 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151917+0=150247%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1487+9+24=152053%7
4/14Thursday, April 146:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152063=151148%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1486+17+22=152552%4
4/12Tuesday, April 127:07 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
148628+0=145838%3
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1515+1+24=154062%4
4/11Monday, April 119:38 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1488192=146740%2
LAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
15141+24=153760%6
4/10Sunday, April 104:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1489+12+0=150144%2
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15171+24=154056%3
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1488+8+0=149641%2
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1519+15+24=155859%1
4/8Friday, April 84:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1488+204=150442%5
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1518+17+24=155958%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.