Updated May 22, 2022, at 3:09 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Marlins have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
MetsMets27-1580%53%
BravesBraves19-217.063%32%
PhilliesPhillies18-228.035%12%
MarlinsMarlins17-228.512%4%
NationalsNationals13-2813.5<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/22Sunday, May 221:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1542+1+0=154351%
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+22+24=153849%
5/24Tuesday, May 246:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+20+0=151241%
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1531+23+23=157759%
5/25Wednesday, May 256:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
14924+0=148838%
TBTBRays
Rasmussen, Drew
Rasmussen
1531+18+24=157362%
5/27Friday, May 277:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149228+0=146436%
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1542+1+24=156764%
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+22+0=151446%
ATLATLBraves
Davidson, Tucker
Davidson
154227+24=153954%
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+20+0=151239%
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1542+23+24=158961%
5/30Monday, May 304:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149243=148550%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+20=148250%
5/31Tuesday, May 318:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149250%
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1462+4+24=149050%
6/1Wednesday, June 13:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149228+0=146447%
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1462+1+24=148753%
6/2Thursday, June 26:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+03=152051%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+20=151249%
6/3Friday, June 36:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152351%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151649%
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152351%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151649%
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152351%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151649%
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
145821=145541%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+26=151859%
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145642%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151658%
6/9Thursday, June 96:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145642%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151658%
6/10Friday, June 108:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+03=148937%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+26=158063%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149238%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
6/12Sunday, June 122:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149238%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1553+1+24=157862%
6/13Monday, June 137:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+03=148942%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154458%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149243%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154457%
6/15Wednesday, June 151:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149243%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154457%
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+1=149341%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155659%
6/18Saturday, June 184:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149241%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155659%
6/19Sunday, June 191:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149241%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155659%
6/20Monday, June 201:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149241%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155659%
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+02=146043%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151357%
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146242%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151658%
6/23Thursday, June 2312:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146242%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151658%
6/24Friday, June 246:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153421=153152%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151648%
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153252%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151648%
6/26Sunday, June 2612:05 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153252%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151648%
6/27Monday, June 277:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+03=148943%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153657%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149244%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153656%
6/29Wednesday, June 297:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149244%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153656%
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+01=149151%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+26=148249%
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149252%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148048%
7/3Sunday, July 31:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149252%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148048%
7/4Monday, July 411:05 a.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149252%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148048%
7/5Tuesday, July 56:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+11=153053%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151347%
7/6Wednesday, July 66:40 p.m. EasternLAALAAAngels
Pitcher TBD
1530+1+0=153152%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151648%
7/7Thursday, July 77:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+03=148941%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+21=155359%
7/8Friday, July 87:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149241%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155659%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149241%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155659%
7/10Sunday, July 101:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149241%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155659%
7/11Monday, July 116:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+13=143138%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151362%
7/12Tuesday, July 126:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143438%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151662%
7/13Wednesday, July 136:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143438%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151662%
7/14Thursday, July 1412:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143438%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151662%
7/15Friday, July 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+01=151950%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151650%
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152051%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151649%
7/17Sunday, July 171:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152051%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151649%
7/21Thursday, July 211:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+4=147844%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+31=152356%
7/22Friday, July 227:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+03=148954%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+28=146246%
7/23Saturday, July 237:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149255%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145845%
7/24Sunday, July 241:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149255%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145845%
7/25Monday, July 256:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+02=149048%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150452%
7/26Tuesday, July 266:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149248%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150452%
7/27Wednesday, July 276:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149248%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150452%
7/28Thursday, July 2812:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149248%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150452%
7/29Friday, July 296:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153421=153153%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151347%
7/30Saturday, July 306:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153252%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151648%
7/31Sunday, July 311:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153252%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151648%
8/1Monday, Aug. 16:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+23=147744%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151656%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 26:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148045%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151655%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 36:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148045%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151655%
8/5Friday, Aug. 52:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+01=149149%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+22=149851%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 62:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149249%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150051%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149249%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150051%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 97:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+01=149142%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+26=154658%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 107:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149243%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154457%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 111:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149243%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154457%
8/12Friday, Aug. 126:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154211=154054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151346%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 131:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154154%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154154%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 141:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154154%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%
8/15Monday, Aug. 156:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+23=154054%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 166:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154354%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 174:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154354%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%
8/19Friday, Aug. 1910:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+02=149033%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+20=161267%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 209:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149233%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161667%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149233%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161667%
8/22Monday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+02=149052%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147748%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149252%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147748%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149252%
OAKOAKAthletics
Pitcher TBD
1452+1+24=147748%
8/26Friday, Aug. 266:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
159422=159061%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+22=151439%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 276:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159261%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151639%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 2812:05 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159261%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151639%
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159261%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151639%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+2=153453%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151647%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. EasternTBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+0=153252%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151648%
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+01=149140%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156560%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149240%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156560%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149240%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156560%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 66:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+01=149143%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+22=154257%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 76:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149243%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154457%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 86:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149243%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154457%
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
153421=153153%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151347%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153252%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151648%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+0=153252%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151648%
9/12Monday, Sept. 121:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+03=147144%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151656%
9/12Monday, Sept. 127:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147444%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151656%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 136:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+01=151950%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151650%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 146:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152051%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151649%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152051%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151649%
9/16Friday, Sept. 167:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+03=148951%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+26=148249%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 174:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149252%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148048%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 181:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149252%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148048%
9/19Monday, Sept. 196:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+03=147344%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151356%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 206:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147644%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151656%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 216:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147644%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151656%
9/23Friday, Sept. 236:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
145821=145541%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+26=151859%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 246:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145642%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151658%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 251:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145642%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151658%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+01=149141%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+22=155459%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149241%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155659%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 297:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+03=148938%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157262%
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149239%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157261%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149239%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157261%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149239%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157261%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154213=153854%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151346%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154154%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154154%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151646%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Saturday, May 216:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154122+0=151955%4
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149331+24=148645%3
5/20Friday, May 206:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1539+111=154954%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1494+2+26=152246%3
5/18Wednesday, May 186:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1460+2+0=146239%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1495+22+24=154161%4
5/17Tuesday, May 176:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146210+0=145245%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Poteet, Cody
Poteet
149429+24=148955%5
5/16Monday, May 166:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
146373=145339%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1492+18+24=153461%8
5/15Sunday, May 151:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1542+4+0=154658%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149328+24=148942%3
5/14Saturday, May 146:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15453+0=154254%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1491+1+24=151646%9
5/13Friday, May 136:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1544+381=158157%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+20+22=153443%1
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1489+16+0=150549%11
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1469+18+24=151151%3
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149118+0=147348%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14674+24=148752%9
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1492272=146349%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146619+24=147151%4
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1493+1+0=149439%2
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1538+10+24=157261%3
5/7Saturday, May 78:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1489+17+0=150641%8
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1541+1+24=156659%0
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1490+18+0=150842%2
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15403+24=156158%3
5/5Thursday, May 59:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
1491184=146944%1
SDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
153947+20=151256%2
5/4Wednesday, May 412:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1463+1+0=146446%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149223+24=149354%7
5/3Tuesday, May 36:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146223+0=143938%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1494+5+24=152362%4
5/2Monday, May 26:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1460+233=148042%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1495+18+24=153758%4
5/1Sunday, May 11:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Gilbert, Logan
Gilbert
1506+16+0=152247%7
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1497+19+24=154053%3
4/30Saturday, April 306:10 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Ray, Robbie
Ray
1508+31+0=153956%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149525+24=149444%3
4/29Friday, April 296:40 p.m. EasternSEASEAMariners
Brash, Matt
Brash
1509142=149351%6
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149426+21=148949%8
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1493+1+0=149454%3
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
145616+24=146446%2
4/27Wednesday, April 277:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1492+16+0=150856%2
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
145714+24=146744%1
4/26Tuesday, April 267:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1491+211=151153%5
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1459+4+26=148947%2
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
148926+0=146339%5
ATLATLBraves
Elder, Bryce
Elder
154530+24=153961%4
4/23Saturday, April 237:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
148721+0=146635%9
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
1547+1+24=157265%7
4/22Friday, April 227:20 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1489+13=148743%0
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
154634+22=153457%3
4/21Thursday, April 216:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150818+0=149045%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1487+11+24=152255%5
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1507+7+0=151448%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1488+18+24=153052%0
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1505+271=153155%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149022+26=149445%1
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+32+0=155159%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
148621+24=148941%11
4/16Saturday, April 166:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
1517+2+0=151949%10
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1489+10+24=152351%3
4/15Friday, April 156:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151917+0=150247%1
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1487+9+24=152053%7
4/14Thursday, April 146:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
152063=151148%3
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1486+17+22=152552%4
4/12Tuesday, April 127:07 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
148628+0=145838%3
LAALAAAngels
Sandoval, Patrick
Sandoval
1515+1+24=154062%4
4/11Monday, April 119:38 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1488192=146740%2
LAALAAAngels
Lorenzen, Michael
Lorenzen
15141+24=153760%6
4/10Sunday, April 104:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1489+12+0=150144%2
SFSFGiants
DeSclafani, Anthony
DeSclafani
15171+24=154056%3
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1488+8+0=149641%2
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1519+15+24=155859%1
4/8Friday, April 84:35 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1488+204=150442%5
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1518+17+24=155958%6

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.