2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Athletics are done for the season.
AL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AstrosAstros106-56 | — | ✓ | ✓ | |||
MarinersMariners90-72 | 16.0 | ✓ | — | |||
AngelsAngels73-89 | 33.0 | — | — | |||
RangersRangers68-94 | 38.0 | — | — | |||
AthleticsAthletics60-102 | 46.0 | — | — |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1498 | +40 | +0 | =1538 | 61% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1438 | –2 | +24 | =1460 | 39% | 3 | |
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1499 | –11 | +0 | =1488 | 53% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1437 | +3 | +24 | =1464 | 47% | 2 | |
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1500 | +3 | –2 | =1501 | 59% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1436 | –16 | +21 | =1441 | 41% | 5 | |
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1432 | +12 | +0 | =1444 | 33% | 10 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1525 | +16 | +24 | =1565 | 67% | 3 | |
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1433 | –15 | +0 | =1418 | 29% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Castillo | 1524 | +24 | +24 | =1572 | 71% | 5 | |
9/30Friday, Sept. 309:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1433 | –7 | –3 | =1423 | 32% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1523 | +8 | +24 | =1555 | 68% | 2 | |
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:38 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1434 | +7 | +0 | =1441 | 34% | 2 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1495 | +38 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | 4 | |
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:38 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1435 | –16 | +0 | =1419 | 37% | 1 |
LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1494 | –10 | +24 | =1508 | 63% | 4 | |
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:38 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1436 | +12 | +0 | =1448 | 39% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1493 | +7 | +22 | =1522 | 61% | 4 | |
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:07 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Scherzer | 1552 | +44 | +0 | =1596 | 69% | 13 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1438 | –2 | +24 | =1460 | 31% | 4 | |
9/24Saturday, Sept. 244:07 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | deGrom | 1557 | +59 | +0 | =1616 | 72% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1434 | –9 | +24 | =1449 | 28% | 10 | |
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern | NYMMets | Bassitt | 1555 | +4 | –2 | =1557 | 62% | 9 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1435 | +12 | +24 | =1471 | 38% | 2 | |
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1526 | +10 | +0 | =1536 | 63% | 9 |
OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1437 | –18 | +24 | =1443 | 37% | 5 | |
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1527 | +12 | +0 | =1539 | 61% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1435 | +3 | +24 | =1462 | 39% | 2 | |
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1529 | +31 | –2 | =1558 | 65% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1433 | –9 | +22 | =1446 | 35% | 4 | |
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1434 | –5 | +0 | =1429 | 26% | 2 |
HOUAstros | Valdez | 1573 | +11 | +24 | =1608 | 74% | 11 | |
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1432 | +15 | +0 | =1447 | 31% | 8 |
HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1576 | –16 | +24 | =1584 | 69% | 5 | |
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1433 | –13 | +0 | =1420 | 23% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1575 | +32 | +24 | =1631 | 77% | 5 | |
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:20 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1433 | +1 | –2 | =1432 | 29% | 2 |
HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1574 | –3 | +21 | =1592 | 71% | 5 | |
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1432 | –4 | +0 | =1428 | 40% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1471 | +6 | +24 | =1501 | 60% | 7 | |
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1433 | –3 | –2 | =1428 | 42% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Ragans | 1470 | –9 | +21 | =1482 | 58% | 8 | |
9/11Sunday, Sept. 114:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1520 | +2 | +0 | =1522 | 58% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1430 | +12 | +24 | =1466 | 42% | 10 | |
9/10Saturday, Sept. 104:07 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1518 | +15 | +0 | =1533 | 61% | 10 |
OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1432 | +0 | +24 | =1456 | 39% | 2 | |
9/9Friday, Sept. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Giolito | 1516 | –14 | +0 | =1502 | 57% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1433 | –5 | +24 | =1452 | 43% | 3 | |
9/8Thursday, Sept. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1514 | +36 | –3 | =1547 | 61% | 14 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1436 | +10 | +24 | =1470 | 39% | 2 | |
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:37 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Strider | 1579 | +21 | +0 | =1600 | 70% | 7 |
OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1437 | –7 | +24 | =1454 | 30% | 3 | |
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern | ATLBraves | Wright | 1578 | –10 | –2 | =1566 | 63% | 10 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1437 | +16 | +22 | =1475 | 37% | 9 | |
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1434 | –9 | +0 | =1425 | 39% | 5 |
BALOrioles | Watkins | 1496 | –14 | +24 | =1506 | 61% | 0 | |
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1436 | –11 | +0 | =1425 | 37% | 1 |
BALOrioles | Voth | 1494 | +1 | +24 | =1519 | 63% | 8 | |
9/2Friday, Sept. 27:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1437 | +5 | –1 | =1441 | 40% | 2 |
BALOrioles | Kremer | 1493 | –3 | +22 | =1512 | 60% | 5 | |
9/1Thursday, Sept. 14:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Waldichuk | 1439 | –11 | +0 | =1428 | 45% | 5 |
WSHNationals | Espino | 1432 | +7 | +24 | =1463 | 55% | 7 | |
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1440 | –7 | +0 | =1433 | 45% | 1 |
WSHNationals | Sanchez | 1430 | +11 | +24 | =1465 | 55% | 5 | |
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1438 | +19 | –2 | =1455 | 49% | 10 |
WSHNationals | Fedde | 1432 | +4 | +26 | =1462 | 51% | 6 | |
8/28Sunday, Aug. 284:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Schmidt | 1571 | –42 | +0 | =1529 | 62% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1436 | –18 | +24 | =1442 | 38% | 4 | |
8/27Saturday, Aug. 279:07 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | German | 1573 | –15 | +0 | =1558 | 67% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Oller | 1435 | –24 | +24 | =1435 | 33% | 3 | |
8/26Friday, Aug. 269:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Cole | 1572 | +19 | +0 | =1591 | 67% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1435 | +10 | +24 | =1469 | 33% | 2 | |
8/25Thursday, Aug. 259:40 p.m. Eastern | NYYYankees | Taillon | 1570 | –8 | –2 | =1560 | 64% | 13 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1437 | +1 | +24 | =1462 | 36% | 4 | |
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:37 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Luzardo | 1476 | –10 | +0 | =1466 | 49% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1436 | +14 | +24 | =1474 | 51% | 3 | |
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 239:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Lopez | 1474 | –4 | +0 | =1470 | 55% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Logue | 1438 | –28 | +24 | =1434 | 45% | 3 | |
8/22Monday, Aug. 229:40 p.m. Eastern | MIAMarlins | Cabrera | 1473 | –4 | –2 | =1467 | 54% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Oller | 1439 | –23 | +24 | =1440 | 46% | 0 | |
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:07 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Castillo | 1521 | +41 | +0 | =1562 | 63% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1437 | +10 | +24 | =1471 | 37% | 5 | |
8/20Saturday, Aug. 207:15 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1522 | +2 | +0 | =1524 | 59% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1436 | +2 | +24 | =1462 | 41% | 4 | |
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1519 | –12 | +0 | =1507 | 54% | 10 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1439 | +18 | +20 | =1477 | 46% | 2 | |
8/18Thursday, Aug. 182:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Logue | 1440 | –21 | +0 | =1419 | 38% | 3 |
TEXRangers | Dunning | 1472 | +10 | +24 | =1506 | 62% | 10 | |
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 178:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1438 | –33 | +0 | =1405 | 39% | 7 |
TEXRangers | Ragans | 1475 | –18 | +24 | =1481 | 61% | 2 | |
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 168:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Sears | 1436 | +6 | +0 | =1442 | 45% | 5 |
TEXRangers | Arihara | 1477 | –25 | +24 | =1476 | 55% | 1 | |
8/15Monday, Aug. 158:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1436 | +1 | –2 | =1435 | 42% | 1 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1476 | –10 | +24 | =1490 | 58% | 2 | |
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1437 | +21 | +0 | =1458 | 32% | 3 |
HOUAstros | Javier | 1565 | –1 | +24 | =1588 | 68% | 6 | |
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Logue | 1439 | –16 | +0 | =1423 | 28% | 0 |
HOUAstros | McCullers Jr. | 1563 | +2 | +24 | =1589 | 72% | 8 | |
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1439 | –37 | –2 | =1400 | 27% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Garcia | 1563 | –12 | +24 | =1575 | 73% | 7 | |
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 103:37 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Toussaint | 1495 | –27 | +0 | =1468 | 50% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Sears | 1440 | +1 | +24 | =1465 | 50% | 4 | |
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1493 | +34 | +0 | =1527 | 58% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1442 | +3 | +24 | =1469 | 42% | 1 | |
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Suarez | 1492 | –23 | –3 | =1466 | 47% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1443 | +17 | +24 | =1484 | 53% | 0 | |
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Webb | 1507 | +11 | +0 | =1518 | 60% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1444 | –20 | +24 | =1448 | 40% | 4 | |
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. Eastern | SFGiants | Rodon | 1506 | +26 | +1 | =1533 | 64% | 7 |
OAKAthletics | Oller | 1445 | –33 | +24 | =1436 | 36% | 3 | |
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1444 | –9 | +0 | =1435 | 41% | 8 |
LAAAngels | Junk | 1491 | –18 | +24 | =1497 | 59% | 7 | |
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:38 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1442 | +1 | +0 | =1443 | 35% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Ohtani | 1493 | +36 | +24 | =1553 | 65% | 1 | |
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 29:38 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1443 | +17 | –2 | =1458 | 45% | 1 |
LAAAngels | Suarez | 1492 | –28 | +26 | =1490 | 55% | 3 | |
7/31Sunday, July 312:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1444 | –37 | +0 | =1407 | 27% | 1 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cease | 1522 | +33 | +24 | =1579 | 73% | 4 | |
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1444 | –12 | +0 | =1432 | 34% | 2 |
CHWWhite Sox | Cueto | 1521 | +2 | +24 | =1547 | 66% | 3 | |
7/29Friday, July 298:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1442 | –2 | –2 | =1438 | 34% | 7 |
CHWWhite Sox | Lynn | 1524 | +8 | +23 | =1555 | 66% | 3 | |
7/27Wednesday, July 273:37 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1563 | +3 | +0 | =1566 | 62% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1440 | +17 | +24 | =1481 | 38% | 4 | |
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Garcia | 1564 | –6 | +0 | =1558 | 59% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1438 | +31 | +24 | =1493 | 41% | 5 | |
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Odorizzi | 1566 | –17 | –3 | =1546 | 67% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Oller | 1436 | –37 | +24 | =1423 | 33% | 7 | |
7/24Sunday, July 244:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1476 | +16 | +0 | =1492 | 55% | 11 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1438 | –3 | +24 | =1459 | 45% | 8 | |
7/23Saturday, July 239:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Bush (open) | 1477 | +0 | +0 | =1477 | 53% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1436 | –6 | +24 | =1454 | 47% | 3 | |
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Howard | 1478 | –28 | –4 | =1446 | 46% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1435 | +11 | +24 | =1470 | 54% | 5 | |
7/21Thursday, July 217:15 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Hill | 1457 | –15 | +0 | =1442 | 43% | 0 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1433 | +31 | +24 | =1488 | 57% | 5 | |
7/21Thursday, July 213:37 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1455 | +12 | +3 | =1470 | 54% | 7 |
OAKAthletics | Logue | 1435 | –18 | +27 | =1444 | 46% | 2 | |
7/17Sunday, July 172:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1434 | –37 | +0 | =1397 | 27% | 4 |
HOUAstros | Odorizzi | 1561 | –16 | +24 | =1569 | 73% | 3 | |
7/16Saturday, July 164:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Koenig | 1434 | –19 | +0 | =1415 | 24% | 0 |
HOUAstros | Verlander | 1560 | +31 | +24 | =1615 | 76% | 5 | |
7/15Friday, July 158:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1432 | +8 | +0 | =1440 | 32% | 5 |
HOUAstros | Odorizzi | 1563 | –17 | +21 | =1567 | 68% | 1 | |
7/13Wednesday, July 138:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1433 | –1 | +0 | =1432 | 37% | 2 |
TEXRangers | Gray | 1479 | +19 | +24 | =1522 | 63% | 5 | |
7/12Tuesday, July 128:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1429 | –5 | +0 | =1424 | 40% | 14 |
TEXRangers | Otto | 1482 | –12 | +24 | =1494 | 60% | 7 | |
7/11Monday, July 118:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1430 | –16 | –4 | =1410 | 40% | 8 |
TEXRangers | Howard | 1482 | –27 | +24 | =1479 | 60% | 10 | |
7/10Sunday, July 104:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Odorizzi | 1563 | –21 | +0 | =1542 | 61% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1432 | +5 | +24 | =1461 | 39% | 1 | |
7/9Saturday, July 94:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1564 | +4 | +0 | =1568 | 69% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Logue | 1430 | –23 | +24 | =1431 | 31% | 3 | |
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Urquidy | 1563 | –14 | –4 | =1545 | 62% | 8 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1432 | +3 | +26 | =1461 | 38% | 3 | |
7/6Wednesday, July 63:37 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Berrios | 1540 | –5 | +0 | =1535 | 62% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1433 | –6 | +24 | =1451 | 38% | 1 | |
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Kikuchi | 1542 | –24 | +0 | =1518 | 61% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1431 | –14 | +24 | =1441 | 39% | 5 | |
7/4Monday, July 49:07 p.m. Eastern | TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1545 | +33 | –4 | =1574 | 67% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1428 | –1 | +21 | =1448 | 33% | 5 | |
7/3Sunday, July 34:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1429 | +37 | +0 | =1466 | 38% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1498 | +28 | +24 | =1550 | 62% | 2 | |
7/2Saturday, July 24:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1429 | +0 | +0 | =1429 | 39% | 1 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1498 | –18 | +24 | =1504 | 61% | 2 | |
7/1Friday, July 110:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1427 | –8 | +0 | =1419 | 35% | 3 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 65% | 1 | |
6/30Thursday, June 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1428 | –3 | –4 | =1421 | 33% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Gilbert | 1499 | +19 | +24 | =1542 | 67% | 8 | |
6/29Wednesday, June 291:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1429 | –1 | +0 | =1428 | 26% | 3 |
NYYYankees | Taillon | 1588 | –4 | +24 | =1608 | 74% | 5 | |
6/28Tuesday, June 287:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1429 | +36 | +0 | =1465 | 35% | 1 |
NYYYankees | Sears | 1588 | –38 | +24 | =1574 | 65% | 2 | |
6/27Monday, June 277:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1430 | +0 | –3 | =1427 | 27% | 5 |
NYYYankees | Montgomery | 1587 | –7 | +24 | =1604 | 73% | 9 | |
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1429 | –10 | +0 | =1419 | 40% | 5 |
KCRoyals | Singer | 1451 | +11 | +24 | =1486 | 60% | 3 | |
6/25Saturday, June 254:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Koenig | 1427 | –15 | +0 | =1412 | 40% | 9 |
KCRoyals | Keller | 1452 | +4 | +24 | =1480 | 60% | 7 | |
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1428 | +2 | –4 | =1426 | 43% | 1 |
KCRoyals | Greinke | 1451 | +3 | +23 | =1477 | 57% | 3 | |
6/23Thursday, June 233:37 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Ray | 1496 | +20 | +0 | =1516 | 55% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1429 | +31 | +24 | =1484 | 45% | 1 | |
6/22Wednesday, June 229:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Kirby | 1493 | –9 | +0 | =1484 | 53% | 9 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1432 | +8 | +24 | =1464 | 47% | 0 | |
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. Eastern | SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1491 | +1 | –1 | =1491 | 56% | 8 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1434 | –12 | +26 | =1448 | 44% | 2 | |
6/19Sunday, June 194:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Singer | 1451 | +12 | +0 | =1463 | 54% | 0 |
OAKAthletics | Koenig | 1432 | –20 | +24 | =1436 | 46% | 4 | |
6/18Saturday, June 184:07 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Keller | 1450 | +1 | +0 | =1451 | 49% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1433 | –1 | +24 | =1456 | 51% | 0 | |
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. Eastern | KCRoyals | Lynch | 1447 | –6 | +1 | =1442 | 43% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1436 | +37 | +20 | =1493 | 57% | 1 | |
6/16Thursday, June 161:35 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1434 | +7 | +0 | =1441 | 35% | 4 |
BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1540 | –12 | +24 | =1552 | 65% | 3 | |
6/15Wednesday, June 157:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1436 | –7 | +0 | =1429 | 37% | 1 |
BOSRed Sox | Winckowski | 1538 | –39 | +24 | =1523 | 63% | 10 | |
6/14Tuesday, June 147:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Koenig | 1437 | –13 | –1 | =1423 | 31% | 1 |
BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1537 | +4 | +22 | =1563 | 69% | 6 | |
6/12Sunday, June 1211:35 a.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1438 | –4 | +0 | =1434 | 36% | 3 |
CLEGuardians | Quantrill | 1503 | +5 | +24 | =1532 | 64% | 6 | |
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1436 | +38 | +0 | =1474 | 43% | 10 |
CLEGuardians | Plesac | 1506 | –10 | +24 | =1520 | 57% | 5 | |
6/10Friday, June 107:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1436 | –1 | +0 | =1435 | 36% | 2 |
CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1505 | +9 | +24 | =1538 | 64% | 3 | |
6/9Thursday, June 97:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1438 | –7 | –3 | =1428 | 39% | 4 |
CLEGuardians | Pilkington | 1504 | –24 | +24 | =1504 | 61% | 8 | |
6/8Wednesday, June 87:20 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Koenig | 1440 | –11 | +0 | =1429 | 32% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Anderson | 1544 | –5 | +24 | =1563 | 68% | 13 | |
6/7Tuesday, June 77:20 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1440 | –3 | –2 | =1435 | 34% | 2 |
ATLBraves | Wright | 1543 | –12 | +23 | =1554 | 66% | 3 | |
6/5Sunday, June 54:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Hill | 1532 | –13 | +0 | =1519 | 52% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1442 | +40 | +24 | =1506 | 48% | 2 | |
6/4Saturday, June 44:07 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Pivetta | 1530 | +3 | +0 | =1533 | 59% | 8 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1444 | +1 | +24 | =1469 | 41% | 0 | |
6/3Friday, June 39:40 p.m. Eastern | BOSRed Sox | Eovaldi | 1528 | +7 | –2 | =1533 | 60% | 7 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1446 | –7 | +26 | =1465 | 40% | 2 | |
6/1Wednesday, June 13:37 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Verlander | 1552 | +38 | +0 | =1590 | 67% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1447 | –5 | +24 | =1466 | 33% | 4 | |
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Javier | 1551 | +3 | +0 | =1554 | 56% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1448 | +39 | +24 | =1511 | 44% | 1 | |
5/30Monday, May 304:07 p.m. Eastern | HOUAstros | Valdez | 1549 | –3 | –3 | =1543 | 60% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1449 | +1 | +24 | =1474 | 40% | 1 | |
5/29Sunday, May 294:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Dunning | 1481 | +12 | +0 | =1493 | 53% | 5 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1448 | –3 | +24 | =1469 | 47% | 6 | |
5/28Saturday, May 284:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Hearn | 1478 | –13 | +0 | =1465 | 51% | 11 |
OAKAthletics | Logue | 1451 | –15 | +24 | =1460 | 49% | 4 | |
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Gray | 1476 | +9 | +0 | =1485 | 52% | 8 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1452 | –8 | +24 | =1468 | 48% | 5 | |
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1474 | +13 | –2 | =1485 | 46% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1454 | +35 | +21 | =1510 | 54% | 1 | |
5/25Wednesday, May 254:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1452 | –2 | +0 | =1450 | 37% | 4 |
SEAMariners | Ray | 1491 | +29 | +24 | =1544 | 63% | 2 | |
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1451 | +0 | +0 | =1451 | 42% | 7 |
SEAMariners | Kirby | 1492 | –8 | +24 | =1508 | 58% | 5 | |
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Logue | 1451 | –4 | –3 | =1444 | 40% | 6 |
SEAMariners | Gonzales | 1492 | +3 | +20 | =1515 | 60% | 7 | |
5/22Sunday, May 224:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1452 | –8 | +0 | =1444 | 34% | 1 |
LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1530 | +3 | +24 | =1557 | 66% | 4 | |
5/21Saturday, May 219:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1453 | +34 | +0 | =1487 | 41% | 3 |
LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1529 | +0 | +24 | =1553 | 59% | 5 | |
5/20Friday, May 209:38 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1452 | –5 | +0 | =1447 | 37% | 4 |
LAAAngels | Silseth | 1531 | –12 | +23 | =1542 | 63% | 2 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 183:37 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Gray | 1517 | +15 | +0 | =1532 | 60% | 14 |
OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1454 | –15 | +24 | =1463 | 40% | 4 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 179:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Bundy | 1519 | –13 | +0 | =1506 | 55% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1452 | –3 | +24 | =1473 | 45% | 5 | |
5/16Monday, May 169:40 p.m. Eastern | MINTwins | Archer | 1518 | –9 | –4 | =1505 | 55% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Logue | 1453 | –4 | +24 | =1473 | 45% | 1 | |
5/15Sunday, May 154:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Sandoval | 1535 | +0 | +0 | =1535 | 54% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1455 | +32 | +24 | =1511 | 46% | 1 | |
5/14Saturday, May 149:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Lorenzen | 1533 | –7 | +0 | =1526 | 61% | 9 |
OAKAthletics | Oller | 1457 | –32 | +24 | =1449 | 39% | 1 | |
5/14Saturday, May 144:07 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Diaz | 1534 | –22 | +0 | =1512 | 56% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1456 | –9 | +24 | =1471 | 44% | 4 | |
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. Eastern | LAAAngels | Silseth | 1533 | –21 | +0 | =1512 | 58% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1457 | –19 | +20 | =1458 | 42% | 0 | |
5/12Thursday, May 121:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1456 | –3 | +0 | =1453 | 48% | 5 |
DETTigers | Brieske | 1458 | –17 | +24 | =1465 | 52% | 3 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Logue | 1452 | –12 | +0 | =1440 | 46% | 9 |
DETTigers | Wentz | 1461 | –18 | +24 | =1467 | 54% | 0 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 104:50 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Martinez | 1450 | –12 | –4 | =1434 | 46% | 4 |
DETTigers | Faedo | 1463 | –20 | +20 | =1463 | 54% | 1 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 101:10 p.m. Eastern | DETTigers | Skubal | 1460 | +2 | –4 | =1458 | 43% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1453 | +36 | +20 | =1509 | 57% | 0 | |
5/9Monday, May 97:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1452 | –12 | –3 | =1437 | 42% | 2 |
DETTigers | Pineda | 1461 | +8 | +21 | =1490 | 58% | 0 | |
5/8Sunday, May 82:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1452 | –18 | +0 | =1434 | 35% | 3 |
MINTwins | Paddack | 1523 | –7 | +24 | =1540 | 65% | 4 | |
5/7Saturday, May 72:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1453 | –4 | +0 | =1449 | 35% | 0 |
MINTwins | Gray | 1522 | +12 | +24 | =1558 | 65% | 1 | |
5/6Friday, May 68:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Logue | 1454 | –11 | –2 | =1441 | 37% | 1 |
MINTwins | Winder | 1521 | –6 | +21 | =1536 | 63% | 2 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 43:37 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Kluber | 1528 | +12 | +0 | =1540 | 54% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1455 | +35 | +24 | =1514 | 46% | 0 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 39:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Yarbrough | 1527 | –14 | +0 | =1513 | 56% | 10 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1457 | –10 | +24 | =1471 | 44% | 7 | |
5/2Monday, May 29:40 p.m. Eastern | TBRays | Rasmussen | 1525 | +14 | –4 | =1535 | 59% | 6 |
OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1458 | –10 | +24 | =1472 | 41% | 1 | |
5/1Sunday, May 14:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | McKenzie | 1494 | –1 | +0 | =1493 | 51% | 7 |
OAKAthletics | Kaprielian | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 49% | 3 | |
4/30Saturday, April 304:07 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Bieber | 1493 | +33 | +0 | =1526 | 57% | 3 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1462 | –8 | +24 | =1478 | 43% | 1 | |
4/29Friday, April 299:40 p.m. Eastern | CLEGuardians | Civale | 1491 | –15 | –2 | =1474 | 42% | 9 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1463 | +38 | +25 | =1526 | 58% | 8 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 279:45 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1461 | –16 | +0 | =1445 | 38% | 1 |
SFGiants | Long | 1534 | –26 | +24 | =1532 | 62% | 0 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1463 | –7 | +1 | =1457 | 34% | 2 |
SFGiants | Rodon | 1533 | +23 | +20 | =1576 | 66% | 8 | |
4/24Sunday, April 244:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Richards | 1467 | –9 | +0 | =1458 | 48% | 0 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1461 | –12 | +24 | =1473 | 52% | 2 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:07 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Perez | 1465 | –8 | +0 | =1457 | 41% | 2 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1463 | +37 | +24 | =1524 | 59% | 0 | |
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern | TEXRangers | Otto | 1462 | –9 | –3 | =1450 | 48% | 8 |
OAKAthletics | Oller | 1466 | –24 | +24 | =1466 | 52% | 1 | |
4/21Thursday, April 213:37 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Wells | 1430 | –1 | +0 | =1429 | 44% | 4 |
OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1465 | –18 | +24 | =1471 | 56% | 6 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:07 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Lyles | 1428 | +0 | +0 | =1428 | 43% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1466 | –12 | +24 | =1478 | 57% | 0 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 199:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Ellis | 1429 | +10 | +0 | =1439 | 44% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1465 | –12 | +24 | =1477 | 56% | 2 | |
4/18Monday, April 189:40 p.m. Eastern | BALOrioles | Watkins | 1430 | –31 | –4 | =1395 | 33% | 1 |
OAKAthletics | Montas | 1464 | +36 | +20 | =1520 | 67% | 5 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:37 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1465 | –21 | +0 | =1444 | 29% | 3 |
TORBlue Jays | Manoah | 1550 | +22 | +24 | =1596 | 71% | 4 | |
4/16Saturday, April 163:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1463 | –20 | +0 | =1443 | 33% | 7 |
TORBlue Jays | Ryu | 1552 | –14 | +24 | =1562 | 67% | 5 | |
4/15Friday, April 157:07 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1464 | –11 | –3 | =1450 | 35% | 1 |
TORBlue Jays | Stripling | 1551 | –16 | +22 | =1557 | 65% | 4 | |
4/14Thursday, April 141:10 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1462 | –13 | +0 | =1449 | 39% | 6 |
TBRays | Fleming | 1528 | –26 | +24 | =1526 | 61% | 3 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 136:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1460 | +36 | +0 | =1496 | 39% | 4 |
TBRays | McClanahan | 1530 | +16 | +24 | =1570 | 61% | 2 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 126:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Oller | 1461 | –10 | +0 | =1451 | 38% | 8 |
TBRays | Romero | 1529 | –19 | +24 | =1534 | 62% | 9 | |
4/11Monday, April 116:40 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Blackburn | 1455 | –26 | –3 | =1426 | 34% | 13 |
TBRays | Patino | 1534 | –15 | +24 | =1543 | 66% | 2 | |
4/10Sunday, April 101:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Jefferies | 1453 | –17 | +0 | =1436 | 37% | 4 |
PHIPhillies | Eflin | 1525 | –21 | +24 | =1528 | 63% | 1 | |
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Irvin | 1454 | –10 | +0 | =1444 | 37% | 2 |
PHIPhillies | Gibson | 1524 | –13 | +24 | =1535 | 63% | 4 | |
4/8Friday, April 83:05 p.m. Eastern | OAKAthletics | Montas | 1456 | +38 | –4 | =1490 | 42% | 5 |
PHIPhillies | Nola | 1522 | +1 | +24 | =1547 | 58% | 9 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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