2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Giants have a 3% chance of winning the World Series.
NL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | DodgersDodgers21-12 | — | 97% | 70% | ||
![]() | PadresPadres22-13 | — | 81% | 20% | ||
![]() | GiantsGiants20-14 | 1.5 | 62% | 9% | ||
![]() | DbacksDiamondbacks18-17 | 4.0 | 7% | <1% | ||
![]() | RockiesRockies17-17 | 4.5 | 5% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/16Monday, May 168:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –6 | –3 | =1515 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 46% | ||
5/17Tuesday, May 178:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –11 | +0 | =1513 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 46% | ||
5/18Wednesday, May 183:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +14 | +0 | =1538 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +3 | +24 | =1488 | 43% | ||
5/20Friday, May 2010:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | –42 | –4 | =1492 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –24 | +23 | =1523 | 55% | ||
5/21Saturday, May 214:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +4 | +0 | =1542 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +19 | +24 | =1567 | 54% | ||
5/22Sunday, May 224:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +12 | +0 | =1550 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –6 | +24 | =1542 | 49% | ||
5/23Monday, May 239:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | +31 | –3 | =1561 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –11 | +24 | =1537 | 47% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 249:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | +12 | +0 | =1545 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +14 | +24 | =1562 | 52% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 253:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –18 | +0 | =1515 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –24 | +24 | =1524 | 51% | ||
5/27Friday, May 276:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 284:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 2911:35 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +24 | =1502 | 47% | ||
5/30Monday, May 304:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +23 | =1547 | 54% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 316:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 53% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 16:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 53% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 26:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –3 | =1521 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +20 | =1511 | 49% | ||
6/3Friday, June 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +24 | =1515 | 49% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +24 | =1515 | 49% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 51:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –1 | +24 | =1515 | 49% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 79:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –1 | =1460 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +22 | =1546 | 62% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 89:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 93:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
6/10Friday, June 1010:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | –4 | =1583 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 45% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 117:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 44% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 124:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 44% | ||
6/13Monday, June 139:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –4 | =1457 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 63% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 149:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 153:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
6/17Friday, June 177:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +23 | =1465 | 42% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 184:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +24 | =1466 | 42% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +24 | =1466 | 42% | ||
6/20Monday, June 207:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | +21 | =1559 | 56% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 217:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 227:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 2312:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | +24 | =1562 | 56% | ||
6/24Friday, June 2410:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | –4 | =1474 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +20 | =1544 | 60% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 60% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 264:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1477 | +1 | +0 | =1478 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 60% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 289:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | –1 | =1459 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +26 | =1550 | 63% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 293:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +0 | =1460 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
7/1Friday, July 110:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +26 | =1550 | 53% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 53% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 34:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | –1 | +0 | =1527 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 53% | ||
7/4Monday, July 49:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –3 | =1521 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +21 | =1485 | 45% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 69:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +26 | =1566 | 56% | ||
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 97:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
7/11Monday, July 119:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | –3 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +22 | =1546 | 62% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 129:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 133:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 149:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | –4 | =1541 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 51% | ||
7/15Friday, July 1510:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +0 | =1545 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 167:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +0 | =1545 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 174:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +0 | =1545 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 50% | ||
7/21Thursday, July 2110:09 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +5 | =1529 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +30 | =1617 | 62% | ||
7/22Friday, July 2210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 62% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 237:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 62% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 62% | ||
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | ||
7/28Thursday, July 289:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | –2 | =1477 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +21 | =1545 | 60% | ||
7/29Friday, July 2910:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +0 | =1479 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 60% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 309:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +0 | =1479 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 60% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 314:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +0 | =1479 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 60% | ||
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | –3 | =1584 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 45% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 29:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 44% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 44% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 43:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 44% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +1 | =1525 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1453 | +0 | +24 | =1477 | 43% | ||
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +23 | =1563 | 56% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 104:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 1210:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | –3 | =1439 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 65% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 139:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +0 | =1442 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 65% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 144:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1442 | +0 | +0 | =1442 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 65% | ||
8/15Monday, Aug. 159:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | –3 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 169:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 179:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 183:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –3 | =1521 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +21 | =1482 | 44% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 213:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 237:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –1 | =1523 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +26 | =1486 | 45% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 241:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 44% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –1 | =1523 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +21 | =1540 | 52% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 53% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +1 | +24 | =1543 | 53% | ||
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | –4 | =1536 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +20 | =1544 | 51% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 51% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 313:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +0 | =1540 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 51% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 210:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –1 | =1523 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +26 | =1550 | 54% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 34:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 53% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 53% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 62% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 62% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 74:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +24 | =1611 | 62% | ||
9/8Thursday, Sept. 84:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –4 | =1520 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +21 | =1566 | 56% | ||
9/8Thursday, Sept. 87:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1544 | +1 | +24 | =1569 | 56% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 94:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –1 | =1523 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 47% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 102:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 47% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 112:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +1 | +24 | =1503 | 47% | ||
9/12Monday, Sept. 129:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | –3 | =1535 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +20 | =1544 | 51% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | +0 | =1538 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 51% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 143:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1539 | –1 | +0 | =1538 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 51% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 1610:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | –1 | =1586 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +26 | =1550 | 45% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 179:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 44% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1587 | +0 | +0 | =1587 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 44% | ||
9/19Monday, Sept. 198:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –3 | =1521 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +21 | =1482 | 44% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 44% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –3 | =1521 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +22 | =1486 | 45% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +24 | =1488 | 45% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | –1 | =1460 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +23 | =1547 | 62% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | –2 | =1462 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +0 | +0 | =1464 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | –2 | =1522 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 49:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | +0 | +0 | =1524 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1538 | +2 | +24 | =1564 | 56% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/15Sunday, May 157 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +28 | +0 | =1556 | 50% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | +24 | +24 | =1553 | 50% | 15 | |
5/14Saturday, May 142:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | –27 | +0 | =1502 | 47% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1503 | +0 | +24 | =1527 | 53% | 4 | |
5/13Friday, May 138:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +11 | –2 | =1536 | 54% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | –18 | +24 | =1512 | 46% | 2 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 113:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +2 | +0 | =1465 | 40% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –14 | +24 | =1535 | 60% | 7 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 109:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | +2 | +0 | =1467 | 40% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –7 | +24 | =1540 | 60% | 9 | |
5/9Monday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | +0 | –3 | =1464 | 35% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +28 | +24 | =1574 | 65% | 8 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +3 | +0 | =1511 | 49% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | –27 | +24 | =1518 | 51% | 4 | |
5/7Saturday, May 77:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | –3 | +0 | =1507 | 43% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +14 | +24 | =1557 | 57% | 13 | |
5/6Friday, May 610:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –25 | +0 | =1484 | 44% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –16 | +24 | =1528 | 56% | 2 | |
5/5Thursday, May 59:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +13 | –4 | =1515 | 50% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –30 | +22 | =1515 | 50% | 1 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –7 | +0 | =1518 | 38% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1589 | –10 | +24 | =1603 | 62% | 9 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 310:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | +28 | +0 | =1554 | 41% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1588 | +5 | +26 | =1619 | 59% | 3 | |
5/1Sunday, May 14:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1459 | +2 | +0 | =1461 | 38% | 11 |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | –10 | +24 | =1543 | 62% | 5 | |
4/30Saturday, April 304:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | –9 | +0 | =1451 | 34% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +16 | +24 | =1568 | 66% | 9 | |
4/29Friday, April 2910:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1455 | –4 | –4 | =1447 | 35% | 14 |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –5 | +26 | =1554 | 65% | 4 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 279:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –16 | +0 | =1445 | 38% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –26 | +24 | =1532 | 62% | 0 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 269:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –7 | +1 | =1457 | 34% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | +23 | +20 | =1576 | 66% | 8 | |
4/25Monday, April 256:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1531 | –26 | –3 | =1502 | 37% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1540 | +33 | +21 | =1594 | 63% | 2 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +16 | +0 | =1544 | 59% | 12 |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –5 | +24 | =1480 | 41% | 3 | |
4/23Saturday, April 231:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –6 | +0 | =1521 | 55% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | –3 | +24 | =1484 | 45% | 2 | |
4/22Friday, April 227:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –29 | –2 | =1493 | 52% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –11 | +24 | =1478 | 48% | 1 | |
4/21Thursday, April 211:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –5 | +0 | =1521 | 49% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | –21 | +24 | =1532 | 51% | 6 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 207:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | +20 | +0 | =1545 | 47% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +9 | +24 | =1564 | 53% | 2 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 197:30 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1526 | +20 | +0 | =1546 | 45% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1530 | +26 | +24 | =1580 | 55% | 3 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 193:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | –12 | +0 | =1515 | 48% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1529 | –27 | +26 | =1528 | 52% | 5 | |
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –10 | +0 | =1514 | 50% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1498 | –11 | +24 | =1511 | 50% | 1 | |
4/16Saturday, April 166:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –6 | +0 | =1517 | 49% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1499 | +2 | +24 | =1525 | 51% | 2 | |
4/15Friday, April 157:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1521 | +16 | –2 | =1535 | 52% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | –5 | +24 | =1520 | 48% | 1 | |
4/13Wednesday, April 133:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +9 | +0 | =1541 | 47% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +17 | +24 | =1561 | 53% | 2 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 129:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | +0 | +0 | =1536 | 51% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –11 | +24 | =1530 | 49% | 13 | |
4/11Monday, April 119:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –49 | –3 | =1482 | 42% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | –7 | +24 | =1535 | 58% | 2 | |
4/10Sunday, April 104:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1489 | +12 | +0 | =1501 | 44% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –1 | +24 | =1540 | 56% | 3 | |
4/9Saturday, April 94:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1488 | +8 | +0 | =1496 | 41% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +15 | +24 | =1558 | 59% | 1 | |
4/8Friday, April 84:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1488 | +20 | –4 | =1504 | 42% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1518 | +17 | +24 | =1559 | 58% | 6 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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