2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Cardinals have a 2% chance of winning the World Series.
NL Central standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | BrewersBrewers26-14 | — | 91% | 77% | ||
![]() | CardinalsCardinals23-18 | 3.5 | 54% | 21% | ||
![]() | CubsCubs15-24 | 10.5 | 5% | 1% | ||
![]() | RedsReds11-28 | 14.5 | 3% | <1% | ||
![]() | PiratesPirates16-24 | 10.0 | <1% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/23Monday, May 237:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +3 | –3 | =1546 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +17 | +21 | =1549 | 50% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 247:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +18 | +0 | =1564 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 46% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 267:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –4 | –4 | =1539 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +26 | +26 | =1563 | 53% | ||
5/27Friday, May 278:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +0 | +24 | =1535 | 48% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 282:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +7 | +0 | =1554 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | –10 | +24 | =1525 | 46% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 292:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | –18 | +0 | =1529 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +17 | +24 | =1552 | 53% | ||
5/30Monday, May 302:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +0 | –4 | =1537 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 50% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 317:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +26 | +24 | =1561 | 52% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 11:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | –1 | +0 | =1540 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +0 | +24 | =1535 | 49% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 28:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –2 | =1510 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 49% | ||
6/3Friday, June 32:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 48% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 41:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 48% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 48% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 57 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 48% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –1 | =1511 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +26 | =1558 | 57% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 56% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 91:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1531 | +1 | +24 | =1556 | 56% | ||
6/10Friday, June 108:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | –2 | =1478 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +21 | =1533 | 58% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 112:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 122:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
6/13Monday, June 137:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | –2 | =1432 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 65% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 141:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 147:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 157:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –1 | =1511 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 55% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 55% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1526 | –2 | +24 | =1548 | 55% | ||
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –3 | =1509 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +22 | =1570 | 59% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 228:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 232:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
6/24Friday, June 248:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | –3 | =1473 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +22 | =1534 | 59% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 252:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 262:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
6/27Monday, June 277:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | –3 | =1489 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 57% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 287:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 56% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 297:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 56% | ||
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –1 | =1511 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 55% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 55% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 37 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +24 | =1544 | 55% | ||
7/4Monday, July 47:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –3 | =1509 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +22 | =1563 | 58% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 57:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 58% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 67:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 58% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 77:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 58% | ||
7/8Friday, July 88:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | –3 | =1517 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +22 | =1534 | 52% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 92:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 52% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 102:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 52% | ||
7/11Monday, July 117:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1520 | +0 | +0 | =1520 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 52% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 127:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –2 | =1590 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 42% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 137:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 42% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 147:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 42% | ||
7/15Friday, July 158:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | –3 | =1477 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 162:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 172:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
7/22Friday, July 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +5 | =1517 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +29 | =1509 | 49% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 49% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 49% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 267:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 58% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 277:07 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1546 | +0 | +24 | =1570 | 58% | ||
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +22 | =1478 | 45% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 46% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +24 | =1480 | 46% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | –2 | =1474 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +23 | =1535 | 59% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 37:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | –1 | =1574 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 45% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 45% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1574 | +1 | +0 | =1575 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 45% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –1 | =1511 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +23 | =1485 | 46% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 46% | ||
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 46% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +21 | =1533 | 48% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –1 | =1461 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +26 | =1538 | 61% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 60% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 181:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 60% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –3 | =1509 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +21 | =1487 | 47% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 47% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 47% | ||
8/22Monday, Aug. 228:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –4 | =1508 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 49% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 232:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 48% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 48% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 48% | ||
8/25Thursday, Aug. 252:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 48% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –1 | =1540 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +22 | =1534 | 49% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 49% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 49% | ||
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –2 | =1510 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +22 | =1502 | 49% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 49% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 49% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | –1 | =1475 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 59% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +0 | =1476 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | –3 | =1453 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 62% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 61% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 61% | ||
9/8Thursday, Sept. 81:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –2 | +0 | =1456 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 61% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –3 | =1509 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +26 | =1460 | 43% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 42% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 42% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +23 | =1535 | 48% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 48% | ||
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | –2 | =1478 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +0 | =1480 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 58% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –2 | =1510 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +0 | +24 | =1565 | 58% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +0 | +24 | =1565 | 58% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 224:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +0 | +24 | =1565 | 58% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 2310:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –1 | =1511 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 65% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 249:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 64% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 64% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –2 | =1510 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 41% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 59% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | –1 | =1433 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 64% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –3 | =1509 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +21 | =1455 | 42% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 42% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 42% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/22Sunday, May 2211:35 a.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | –10 | +0 | =1498 | 57% | 18 |
![]() | ![]() | 1436 | –10 | +24 | =1450 | 43% | 4 | |
5/21Saturday, May 216:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | –19 | +0 | =1488 | 52% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1437 | +12 | +24 | =1473 | 48% | 4 | |
5/20Friday, May 206:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +25 | –2 | =1529 | 59% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1438 | +6 | +24 | =1468 | 41% | 3 | |
5/19Thursday, May 191:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +1 | +0 | =1507 | 41% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | +12 | +24 | =1571 | 59% | 7 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 187:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | –16 | +0 | =1492 | 37% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | +31 | +24 | =1588 | 63% | 11 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 176:50 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | –12 | +0 | =1495 | 45% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –27 | +24 | =1531 | 55% | 3 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +17 | –1 | =1524 | 52% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1533 | –45 | +26 | =1514 | 48% | 3 | |
5/15Sunday, May 157 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1528 | +28 | +0 | =1556 | 50% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | +24 | +24 | =1553 | 50% | 15 | |
5/14Saturday, May 142:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1529 | –27 | +0 | =1502 | 47% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1503 | +0 | +24 | =1527 | 53% | 4 | |
5/13Friday, May 138:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +11 | –2 | =1536 | 54% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | –18 | +24 | =1512 | 46% | 2 | |
5/12Thursday, May 121:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1436 | –7 | +0 | =1429 | 37% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | –11 | +24 | =1520 | 63% | 2 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 117:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1437 | –23 | +0 | =1414 | 32% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | +16 | +24 | =1545 | 68% | 10 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 107:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1436 | –9 | –3 | =1424 | 39% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | –31 | +22 | =1498 | 61% | 3 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +3 | +0 | =1511 | 49% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1521 | –27 | +24 | =1518 | 51% | 4 | |
5/7Saturday, May 77:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | –3 | +0 | =1507 | 43% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +14 | +24 | =1557 | 57% | 13 | |
5/6Friday, May 610:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1509 | –25 | +0 | =1484 | 44% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1520 | –16 | +24 | =1528 | 56% | 2 | |
5/5Thursday, May 59:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +13 | –4 | =1515 | 50% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –30 | +22 | =1515 | 50% | 1 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1504 | +18 | +0 | =1522 | 57% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –13 | +24 | =1476 | 43% | 0 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +4 | –2 | =1508 | 52% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +11 | +22 | =1495 | 48% | 7 | |
5/2Monday, May 21:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +11 | –2 | =1472 | 43% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –6 | +24 | =1523 | 57% | 1 | |
5/1Sunday, May 12:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1461 | –33 | +0 | =1428 | 39% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1504 | –21 | +24 | =1507 | 61% | 7 | |
4/30Saturday, April 302:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1459 | +13 | +0 | =1472 | 40% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +12 | +24 | =1542 | 60% | 0 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1457 | +3 | +0 | =1460 | 37% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1509 | +20 | +24 | =1553 | 63% | 2 | |
4/28Thursday, April 287:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –14 | –3 | =1441 | 37% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +1 | +24 | =1532 | 63% | 8 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 271:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –18 | +0 | =1517 | 49% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –4 | +24 | =1525 | 51% | 10 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 267:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1533 | +5 | +0 | =1538 | 54% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1507 | –19 | +24 | =1512 | 46% | 0 | |
4/25Monday, April 257:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1532 | +29 | –3 | =1558 | 53% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1508 | +9 | +22 | =1539 | 47% | 2 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1510 | +24 | +0 | =1534 | 56% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1484 | –16 | +24 | =1492 | 44% | 4 | |
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | –3 | +0 | =1505 | 47% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1486 | +15 | +24 | =1525 | 53% | 0 | |
4/22Friday, April 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | –4 | –3 | =1499 | 49% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1488 | –5 | +22 | =1505 | 51% | 2 | |
4/21Thursday, April 216:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1508 | –18 | +0 | =1490 | 45% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1487 | +11 | +24 | =1522 | 55% | 5 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1507 | +7 | +0 | =1514 | 48% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1488 | +18 | +24 | =1530 | 52% | 0 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1505 | +27 | –1 | =1531 | 55% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1490 | –22 | +26 | =1494 | 45% | 1 | |
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1506 | +0 | +0 | =1506 | 48% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –38 | +24 | =1520 | 52% | 6 | |
4/16Saturday, April 167:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –8 | +0 | =1497 | 43% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1535 | –16 | +24 | =1543 | 57% | 1 | |
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +4 | +0 | =1505 | 41% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1539 | +1 | +24 | =1564 | 59% | 1 | |
4/14Thursday, April 145:14 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1503 | +32 | +0 | =1535 | 45% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1537 | +10 | +21 | =1568 | 55% | 5 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 127:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –11 | –2 | =1455 | 39% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1502 | +4 | +26 | =1532 | 61% | 6 | |
4/10Sunday, April 102:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1443 | +0 | +0 | =1443 | 38% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1505 | –2 | +24 | =1527 | 62% | 4 | |
4/9Saturday, April 92:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1444 | –5 | +2 | =1441 | 37% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1503 | +3 | +26 | =1532 | 63% | 6 | |
4/7Thursday, April 74:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1446 | +2 | –3 | =1445 | 35% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1501 | +28 | +24 | =1553 | 65% | 9 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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