Updated Sep. 28, 2022, at 1:56 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cardinals have a 2% chance of winning the World Series.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CardinalsCardinals90-65
BrewersBrewers82-727.528%
CubsCubs68-8621.5
RedsReds60-9530.0
PiratesPirates58-9732.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1531+9+0=154045%
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1526+28+24=157855%
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
143081=142132%
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15312+24=155368%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Ortiz, Luis
Ortiz
1430+10+0=144033%
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1531+10+24=156567%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1430+10+0=144033%
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1531+8+24=156367%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1531+113=153961%
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1430+8+21=145939%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1531+9+0=154065%
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143022+24=143235%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15312+0=152962%
PITPITPirates
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
14308+24=144638%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1529+82=153551%6
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
152823+24=152949%2
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1531+13+0=154442%1
LADLADDodgers
Grove, Michael
Grove
161844+24=159858%4
9/24Saturday, Sept. 249:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1532+16+0=154835%2
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1617+17+24=165865%6
9/23Friday, Sept. 2310:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1527+41=153036%11
LADLADDodgers
Heaney, Andrew
Heaney
162217+24=162964%0
9/22Thursday, Sept. 224:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
15263+0=152346%5
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1525+5+24=155454%4
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1527+5+0=153246%0
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1524+11+24=155954%1
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1529+162=154350%0
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1522+1+24=154750%5
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cessa, Luis
Cessa
146313+0=145033%3
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1532+19+24=157567%0
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
1464+7+0=147138%0
STLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15312+24=155362%1
9/17Saturday, Sept. 171:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
146516+0=144937%1
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15309+24=154563%5
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Cruz, Fernando
Cruz (open)
1466+0+0=146638%5
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1529+1+24=155462%6
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:45 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
1464142=144834%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1530+8+24=156266%2
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1525+30+0=155548%1
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1529+19+24=157252%4
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Bush, Matt
Bush
152331+0=149238%8
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1531+24+23=157862%4
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15315+0=152661%4
PITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1424+3+24=145139%3
9/10Saturday, Sept. 107:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1530+4+0=153461%7
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1425+7+24=145639%5
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1533+103=154061%2
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1422+14+26=146239%8
9/8Thursday, Sept. 81:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1442+2+0=144431%11
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1536+20+24=158069%6
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Abbott, Cory
Abbott
1443+5+0=144832%5
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1536+20+24=158068%6
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1444+7+0=145136%1
STLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15348+24=155064%4
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1440+123=144934%6
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1538+3+24=156566%0
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1467+16+0=148338%0
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1537+6+24=156762%2
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1469+7+0=147635%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1536+27+24=158765%8
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
1470121=145733%0
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1534+21+24=157967%8
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15337+0=152656%5
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
147111+24=148444%3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15357+0=152856%1
CINCINReds
Dunn, Justin
Dunn
14696+24=148744%5
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1533+92=154059%13
CINCINReds
Anderson, Chase
Anderson
147214+22=148041%4
8/28Sunday, Aug. 287 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Odorizzi, Jake
Odorizzi
157723+0=155446%3
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1531+24+24=157954%6
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1578+12+0=159052%5
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1530+23+24=157748%6
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1575+101=158456%11
STLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15328+22=154644%4
8/25Thursday, Aug. 252:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
153011+0=151950%8
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1474+19+24=151750%3
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1533+10+0=154357%1
CHCCHCCubs
Farrell, Luke
Farrell (open)
1471+2+24=149743%7
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Woodford, Jake
Woodford
153018+0=151253%13
CHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14747+24=149147%3
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 232:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1532+25+0=155761%0
CHCCHCCubs
Assad, Javier
Assad
147214+24=148239%2
8/22Monday, Aug. 228:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1531+174=154457%1
CHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
1473+1+24=149843%0
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15301+0=152951%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1471+29+24=152449%4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15279+0=151855%16
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
147418+24=148045%7
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+63=152856%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
147514+21=148244%1
8/18Thursday, Aug. 181:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1456+8+0=146435%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1523+23+24=157065%13
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1457+17+0=147438%1
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1521+16+24=156162%5
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1458+131=147039%4
STLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1521+2+26=154961%5
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153034+0=149643%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1519+5+24=154857%6
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1529+40+0=156951%3
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1520+20+24=156449%2
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15307+0=152345%1
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1519+15+21=155555%3
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15205+0=151553%6
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1459+15+24=149847%8
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1519+4+0=152353%9
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1461+16+24=150147%5
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1523+181=154062%5
COLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145623+23=145638%16
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Montas, Frankie
Montas
1581+1+0=158252%9
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1522+25+24=157148%12
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
German, Domingo
German
158221+0=156151%0
STLSTLCardinals
Montgomery, Jordan
Montgomery
1520+11+24=155549%1
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Cortes, Nestor
Cortes
1584+71=159057%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15195+24=153843%4
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Newcomb, Sean
Newcomb
146719+0=144837%2
STLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15183+24=153963%7
8/4Thursday, Aug. 41:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1468+23+2=149340%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1517+19+26=156260%4
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
146922=146537%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1515+23+23=156163%6
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151319+0=149452%5
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1442+12+24=147848%0
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15141+0=151356%6
WSHWSHNationals
Espino, Paolo
Espino
1441+9+24=147444%7
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1513+19+0=153258%6
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1442+12+22=147642%2
7/27Wednesday, July 277:07 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1510+21+0=153142%6
TORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1550+13+24=158758%1
7/26Tuesday, July 267:07 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151217+0=149539%3
TORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
15492+24=157161%10
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1514+25+0=153954%3
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1469+20+24=151346%6
7/23Saturday, July 236:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15128+0=150452%6
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
14706+24=148848%3
7/22Friday, July 226:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1515+26+5=154658%5
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
14688+29=148942%9
7/16Saturday, July 162:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
14709+0=146136%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1513+23+24=156064%11
7/15Friday, July 158:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147153=146342%3
STLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151117+24=151858%7
7/14Thursday, July 147:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159511+0=158457%4
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15131+24=153643%0
7/13Wednesday, July 137:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1595+15+0=161057%7
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1514+26+24=156443%6
7/12Tuesday, July 127:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
1596242=157058%6
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
151320+24=151742%7
7/11Monday, July 117:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1536+23+0=155951%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1510+22+24=155649%6
7/10Sunday, July 102:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nelson, Nick
Nelson
153743+0=149447%3
STLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
150915+24=151853%4
7/9Saturday, July 92:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153624+0=151247%1
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15104+24=153053%0
7/8Friday, July 88:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1535+323=156451%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1512+25+22=155949%0
7/7Thursday, July 77:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
151021+0=148937%3
ATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
15603+24=158163%2
7/6Wednesday, July 67 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1512+25+0=153739%0
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1559+29+24=161261%3
7/5Tuesday, July 57:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
15143+0=151143%1
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
155719+24=156257%7
7/4Monday, July 47:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1515+03=151243%3
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155515+22=156257%6
7/3Sunday, July 37 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1517+26+0=154344%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1531+30+24=158556%4
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
151519+0=149644%7
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153215+24=154156%6
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1517+241=154054%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153144+24=151146%5
6/29Wednesday, June 297:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1493+42+0=153550%4
STLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151810+24=153250%3
6/28Tuesday, June 287:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Garrett, Braxton
Garrett
149433+0=146139%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1517+0+24=154161%5
6/27Monday, June 277:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1497+153=150943%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1514+22+24=156057%9
6/26Sunday, June 262:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Mills, Alec
Mills
14606+0=145437%6
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1516+9+24=154963%5
6/25Saturday, June 252:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Sampson, Adrian
Sampson
14619+0=145235%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1515+22+24=156165%5
6/24Friday, June 248:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
145943=145238%3
STLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
15176+22=153362%0
6/23Thursday, June 232:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1519+6+0=152550%4
MILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
153228+24=152850%6
6/22Wednesday, June 228:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1517+25+0=154249%5
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
153311+24=154651%4
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1516+11+0=152751%6
MILMILBrewers
Gonzalez, Chi Chi
Gonzalez
153542+24=151749%2
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1517+193=153342%0
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1534+37+22=159358%2
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151812+0=150641%4
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pivetta, Nick
Pivetta
1537+7+24=156859%6
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1514+6+0=152048%11
BOSBOSRed Sox
Crawford, Kutter
Crawford
154033+24=153152%2
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1515+261=154048%5
BOSBOSRed Sox
Wacha, Michael
Wacha
15395+24=155852%6
6/15Wednesday, June 157:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1434+13+0=144735%6
STLSTLCardinals
Flaherty, Jack
Flaherty
1517+15+24=155665%4
6/14Tuesday, June 147:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143617+0=141931%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1516+14+24=155469%9
6/14Tuesday, June 141:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1437+1+0=143839%1
STLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
151524+24=151561%3
6/13Monday, June 137:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
143852=143137%5
STLSTLCardinals
Thompson, Zack
Thompson
151418+24=152063%7
6/12Sunday, June 122:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1476+13+0=148941%7
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1515+9+24=154859%6
6/11Saturday, June 112:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14761+0=147538%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1514+25+24=156362%5
6/10Friday, June 108:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1478+282=150448%0
STLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151317+21=151752%2
6/9Thursday, June 91:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1514+10+0=152442%1
TBTBRays
McClanahan, Shane
McClanahan
1532+26+24=158258%2
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Naughton, Packy
Naughton
151630+0=148639%3
TBTBRays
Kluber, Corey
Kluber
1530+6+24=156061%11
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1517+61=152245%2
TBTBRays
Springs, Jeffrey
Springs
1529+1+26=155655%4
6/5Sunday, June 57 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1516+28+0=154457%5
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14778+24=149343%3
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pallante, Andre
Pallante
151516+0=149951%7
CHCCHCCubs
Kilian, Caleb
Kilian
147910+24=149349%4
6/4Saturday, June 41:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Oviedo, Johan
Oviedo
151728+0=148949%1
CHCCHCCubs
Swarmer, Matt
Swarmer
14779+24=149251%6
6/3Friday, June 32:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1514+13+0=152750%14
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1480+22+24=152650%5
6/2Thursday, June 28:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
1515172=149650%5
CHCCHCCubs
Thompson, Keegan
Thompson
14797+24=149650%7
6/1Wednesday, June 11:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1539+0+0=153950%2
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1513+0+24=153750%5
5/31Tuesday, May 317:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1540+1+0=154148%2
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1512+22+24=155852%3
5/30Monday, May 302:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Martinez, Nick
Martinez
1542454=149349%3
STLSTLCardinals
Naughton, Packy
Naughton
151133+24=150251%6
5/29Sunday, May 292:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1542+34+0=157653%8
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1513+18+24=155547%0
5/28Saturday, May 282:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154515+0=153052%3
STLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
151122+24=151348%8
5/27Friday, May 278:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1546+2+0=154852%2
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1510+1+24=153548%4
5/26Thursday, May 267:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154534=153846%4
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1511+27+26=156454%3
5/24Tuesday, May 247:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1543+18+0=156155%8
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
151315+24=152245%1
5/23Monday, May 237:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1545+33=154549%3
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1511+17+21=154951%7
5/22Sunday, May 2211:35 a.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150810+0=149857%18
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143610+24=145043%4
5/21Saturday, May 216:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
150719+0=148852%5
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1437+12+24=147348%4
5/20Friday, May 206:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1506+252=152959%5
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1438+6+24=146841%3
5/19Thursday, May 191:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1506+1+0=150741%6
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1535+12+24=157159%7
5/18Wednesday, May 187:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150816+0=149237%4
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1533+31+24=158863%11
5/17Tuesday, May 176:50 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150712+0=149545%4
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153427+24=153155%3
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1508+171=152452%1
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
153345+26=151448%3
5/15Sunday, May 157 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1528+28+0=155650%6
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1505+24+24=155350%15
5/14Saturday, May 142:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
152927+0=150247%0
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1503+0+24=152753%4
5/13Friday, May 138:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1527+112=153654%8
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150618+24=151246%2
5/12Thursday, May 121:15 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Baker, Bryan
Baker
14367+0=142937%3
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150711+24=152063%2
5/11Wednesday, May 117:45 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143723+0=141432%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1505+16+24=154568%10
5/10Tuesday, May 107:45 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
143693=142439%5
STLSTLCardinals
Naughton, Packy
Naughton
150731+22=149861%3
5/8Sunday, May 84:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1508+3+0=151149%3
SFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
152127+24=151851%4
5/7Saturday, May 77:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15103+0=150743%7
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1519+14+24=155757%13
5/6Friday, May 610:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150925+0=148444%3
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152016+24=152856%2
5/5Thursday, May 59:45 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1506+134=151550%7
SFSFGiants
Llovera, Mauricio
Llovera
152330+22=151550%1
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1504+18+0=152257%10
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146513+24=147643%0
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1506+42=150852%1
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1462+11+22=149548%7
5/2Monday, May 21:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1463+112=147243%0
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15056+24=152357%1
5/1Sunday, May 12:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146133+0=142839%5
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150421+24=150761%7
4/30Saturday, April 302:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1459+13+0=147240%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1506+12+24=154260%0
4/29Friday, April 298:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1457+3+0=146037%6
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1509+20+24=155363%2
4/28Thursday, April 287:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
1458143=144137%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1507+1+24=153263%8
4/27Wednesday, April 271:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153518+0=151749%5
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15054+24=152551%10
4/26Tuesday, April 267:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1533+5+0=153854%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150719+24=151246%0
4/25Monday, April 257:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1532+293=155853%5
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1508+9+22=153947%2
4/24Sunday, April 241:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1510+24+0=153456%1
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
148416+24=149244%4
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15083+0=150547%5
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1486+15+24=152553%0
4/22Friday, April 226:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150643=149949%4
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14885+22=150551%2
4/21Thursday, April 216:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150818+0=149045%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1487+11+24=152255%5
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1507+7+0=151448%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1488+18+24=153052%0
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1505+271=153155%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149022+26=149445%1
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1506+0+0=150648%5
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153438+24=152052%6
4/16Saturday, April 167:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15058+0=149743%2
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153516+24=154357%1
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1501+4+0=150541%10
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1539+1+24=156459%1
4/14Thursday, April 145:14 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1503+32+0=153545%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+10+21=156855%5
4/12Tuesday, April 127:45 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1468112=145539%5
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1502+4+26=153261%6
4/10Sunday, April 102:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1443+0+0=144338%9
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15052+24=152762%4
4/9Saturday, April 92:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14445+2=144137%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1503+3+26=153263%6
4/7Thursday, April 74:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1446+23=144535%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1501+28+24=155365%9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.