Updated May 22, 2022, at 3:09 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Cardinals have a 2% chance of winning the World Series.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
BrewersBrewers26-1491%77%
CardinalsCardinals23-183.554%21%
CubsCubs15-2410.55%1%
RedsReds11-2814.53%<1%
PiratesPirates16-2410.0<1%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/23Monday, May 237:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Berrios, Jose
Berrios
1546+33=154650%
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1511+17+21=154950%
5/24Tuesday, May 247:45 p.m. EasternTORTORBlue Jays
Gausman, Kevin
Gausman
1546+18+0=156454%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153646%
5/26Thursday, May 267:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
154744=153947%
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1511+26+26=156353%
5/27Friday, May 278:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1511+0+24=153548%
5/28Saturday, May 282:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1547+7+0=155454%
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
151110+24=152546%
5/29Sunday, May 292:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
154718+0=152947%
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1511+17+24=155253%
5/30Monday, May 302:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+04=153750%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153650%
5/31Tuesday, May 317:45 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1541+2+0=154348%
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1511+26+24=156152%
6/1Wednesday, June 11:15 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
15411+0=154051%
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1511+0+24=153549%
6/2Thursday, June 28:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+12=151051%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150049%
6/3Friday, June 32:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
6/4Saturday, June 41:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
6/4Saturday, June 47:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
6/5Sunday, June 57 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
6/7Tuesday, June 77:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+11=151143%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+26=155857%
6/8Wednesday, June 87:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151244%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155656%
6/9Thursday, June 91:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151244%
TBTBRays
Pitcher TBD
1531+1+24=155656%
6/10Friday, June 108:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+22=147842%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+21=153358%
6/11Saturday, June 112:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148042%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
6/12Sunday, June 122:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148042%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
6/13Monday, June 137:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+12=143235%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153665%
6/14Tuesday, June 141:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143436%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153664%
6/14Tuesday, June 147:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143436%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153664%
6/15Wednesday, June 157:45 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143436%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153664%
6/17Friday, June 177:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+11=151145%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154855%
6/18Saturday, June 187:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151245%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154855%
6/19Sunday, June 191:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151245%
BOSBOSRed Sox
Pitcher TBD
15262+24=154855%
6/20Monday, June 208:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+13=150941%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+22=157059%
6/21Tuesday, June 218:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157259%
6/22Wednesday, June 228:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157259%
6/23Thursday, June 232:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157259%
6/24Friday, June 248:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+03=147341%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+22=153459%
6/25Saturday, June 252:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
6/26Sunday, June 262:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
6/27Monday, June 277:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+03=148943%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153657%
6/28Tuesday, June 287:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149244%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153656%
6/29Wednesday, June 297:45 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149244%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153656%
7/1Friday, July 16:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+11=151145%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154455%
7/2Saturday, July 24:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151245%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154455%
7/3Sunday, July 37 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151245%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+24=154455%
7/4Monday, July 47:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+13=150942%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+22=156358%
7/5Tuesday, July 57:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156558%
7/6Wednesday, July 67:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156558%
7/7Thursday, July 77:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156558%
7/8Friday, July 88:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+03=151748%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+22=153452%
7/9Saturday, July 92:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152048%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153652%
7/10Sunday, July 102:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152048%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153652%
7/11Monday, July 117:15 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1520+0+0=152048%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153652%
7/12Tuesday, July 127:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
159422=159058%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153642%
7/13Wednesday, July 137:45 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159258%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153642%
7/14Thursday, July 147:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159258%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153642%
7/15Friday, July 158:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+23=147742%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
7/16Saturday, July 162:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148042%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
7/17Sunday, July 172:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148042%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
7/22Friday, July 226:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+5=151751%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+29=150949%
7/23Saturday, July 236:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151251%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150449%
7/24Sunday, July 241:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151251%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150449%
7/26Tuesday, July 267:07 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157058%
7/27Wednesday, July 277:07 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
TORTORBlue Jays
Pitcher TBD
1546+0+24=157058%
7/29Friday, July 297:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151255%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+22=147845%
7/30Saturday, July 307:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151254%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148046%
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151254%
WSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+24=148046%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+02=147441%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+23=153559%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 37:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 47:45 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
8/5Friday, Aug. 58:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+11=157455%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153645%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 67:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157555%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153645%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 72:15 p.m. EasternNYYNYYYankees
Pitcher TBD
1574+1+0=157555%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153645%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+11=151154%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+23=148546%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151254%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148646%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151254%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148646%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+21=153348%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 137:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153648%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 142:15 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153648%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+01=146139%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+26=153861%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146240%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153660%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 181:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146240%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153660%
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+13=150953%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+21=148747%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151253%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149047%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151253%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149047%
8/22Monday, Aug. 228:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+14=150851%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150049%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 232:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 252:20 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151252%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150048%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154211=154051%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+22=153449%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154151%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153649%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:15 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154151%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153649%
8/29Monday, Aug. 296:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+12=151051%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+22=150249%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 306:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151251%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150449%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 316:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151251%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150449%
9/2Friday, Sept. 28:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+01=147541%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153659%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 37:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 42:15 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+0=147642%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
145823=145338%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153662%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 67:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145639%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153661%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 77:45 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145639%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153661%
9/8Thursday, Sept. 81:15 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14582+0=145639%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153661%
9/9Friday, Sept. 96:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+13=150957%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+26=146043%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 106:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151258%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145842%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 111:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151258%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145842%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 137:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+23=153548%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 147:45 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154852%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153648%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 157:45 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+22=147842%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
9/16Friday, Sept. 168:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148042%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 177:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148042%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:15 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+0=148042%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153658%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 209:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+12=151042%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156558%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 219:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156558%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 224:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151242%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+0+24=156558%
9/23Friday, Sept. 2310:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+11=151135%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161665%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 249:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151236%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161664%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151236%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161664%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 277:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+12=151041%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157259%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 287:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151241%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157259%
9/30Friday, Sept. 308:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+11=143336%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153664%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 17:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143436%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153664%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 22:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143436%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153664%
10/3Monday, Oct. 36:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+13=150958%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+21=145542%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 46:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151258%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145842%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151258%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145842%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/22Sunday, May 2211:35 a.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150810+0=149857%18
PITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
143610+24=145043%4
5/21Saturday, May 216:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Liberatore, Matthew
Liberatore
150719+0=148852%5
PITPITPirates
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
1437+12+24=147348%4
5/20Friday, May 206:35 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1506+252=152959%5
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1438+6+24=146841%3
5/19Thursday, May 191:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1506+1+0=150741%6
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1535+12+24=157159%7
5/18Wednesday, May 187:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150816+0=149237%4
NYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1533+31+24=158863%11
5/17Tuesday, May 176:50 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150712+0=149545%4
NYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153427+24=153155%3
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1508+171=152452%1
NYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
153345+26=151448%3
5/15Sunday, May 157 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1528+28+0=155650%6
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1505+24+24=155350%15
5/14Saturday, May 142:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
152927+0=150247%0
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1503+0+24=152753%4
5/13Friday, May 138:15 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1527+112=153654%8
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150618+24=151246%2
5/12Thursday, May 121:15 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Baker, Bryan
Baker
14367+0=142937%3
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150711+24=152063%2
5/11Wednesday, May 117:45 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Watkins, Spenser
Watkins
143723+0=141432%1
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1505+16+24=154568%10
5/10Tuesday, May 107:45 p.m. EasternBALBALOrioles
Bradish, Kyle
Bradish
143693=142439%5
STLSTLCardinals
Naughton, Packy
Naughton
150731+22=149861%3
5/8Sunday, May 84:05 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1508+3+0=151149%3
SFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
152127+24=151851%4
5/7Saturday, May 77:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15103+0=150743%7
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1519+14+24=155757%13
5/6Friday, May 610:15 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150925+0=148444%3
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152016+24=152856%2
5/5Thursday, May 59:45 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1506+134=151550%7
SFSFGiants
Llovera, Mauricio
Llovera
152330+22=151550%1
5/4Wednesday, May 41:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1504+18+0=152257%10
KCKCRoyals
Bubic, Kris
Bubic
146513+24=147643%0
5/3Tuesday, May 38:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1506+42=150852%1
KCKCRoyals
Keller, Brad
Keller
1462+11+22=149548%7
5/2Monday, May 21:15 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1463+112=147243%0
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15056+24=152357%1
5/1Sunday, May 12:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146133+0=142839%5
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150421+24=150761%7
4/30Saturday, April 302:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1459+13+0=147240%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1506+12+24=154260%0
4/29Friday, April 298:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1457+3+0=146037%6
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1509+20+24=155363%2
4/28Thursday, April 287:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
1458143=144137%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1507+1+24=153263%8
4/27Wednesday, April 271:15 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
153518+0=151749%5
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15054+24=152551%10
4/26Tuesday, April 267:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1533+5+0=153854%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150719+24=151246%0
4/25Monday, April 257:45 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Scherzer, Max
Scherzer
1532+293=155853%5
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1508+9+22=153947%2
4/24Sunday, April 241:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1510+24+0=153456%1
CINCINReds
Lodolo, Nick
Lodolo
148416+24=149244%4
4/23Saturday, April 234:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15083+0=150547%5
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1486+15+24=152553%0
4/22Friday, April 226:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
150643=149949%4
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
14885+22=150551%2
4/21Thursday, April 216:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150818+0=149045%0
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1487+11+24=152255%5
4/20Wednesday, April 206:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1507+7+0=151448%2
MIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1488+18+24=153052%0
4/19Tuesday, April 196:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1505+271=153155%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149022+26=149445%1
4/17Sunday, April 172:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1506+0+0=150648%5
MILMILBrewers
Ashby, Aaron
Ashby
153438+24=152052%6
4/16Saturday, April 167:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15058+0=149743%2
MILMILBrewers
Houser, Adrian
Houser
153516+24=154357%1
4/15Friday, April 158:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1501+4+0=150541%10
MILMILBrewers
Peralta, Freddy
Peralta
1539+1+24=156459%1
4/14Thursday, April 145:14 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1503+32+0=153545%1
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1537+10+21=156855%5
4/12Tuesday, April 127:45 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
1468112=145539%5
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1502+4+26=153261%6
4/10Sunday, April 102:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Wilson, Bryse
Wilson
1443+0+0=144338%9
STLSTLCardinals
Matz, Steven
Matz
15052+24=152762%4
4/9Saturday, April 92:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
14445+2=144137%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1503+3+26=153263%6
4/7Thursday, April 74:15 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1446+23=144535%0
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1501+28+24=155365%9

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.