2022 MLB Predictions
Updated after every game.
The Rockies have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.
NL West standings
Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | DodgersDodgers27-12 | — | 99% | 76% | ||
![]() | PadresPadres26-14 | 1.5 | 88% | 19% | ||
![]() | GiantsGiants22-17 | 5.0 | 57% | 4% | ||
![]() | DbacksDiamondbacks21-21 | 7.5 | 7% | <1% | ||
![]() | RockiesRockies19-20 | 8.0 | 4% | <1% |
Pitcher ratings
Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.
Upcoming games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/22Sunday, May 223:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –27 | +0 | =1507 | 53% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +1 | +24 | =1487 | 47% | ||
5/23Monday, May 236:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –4 | –3 | =1455 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +3 | +24 | =1460 | 51% | ||
5/24Tuesday, May 246:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +6 | +0 | =1468 | 51% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +24 | =1458 | 49% | ||
5/25Wednesday, May 2512:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +9 | +24 | =1466 | 51% | ||
5/26Thursday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +4 | –2 | =1464 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –11 | +24 | =1471 | 51% | ||
5/27Friday, May 277:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +1 | +0 | =1463 | 49% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –11 | +24 | =1471 | 51% | ||
5/28Saturday, May 284:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –4 | +0 | =1458 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –8 | +24 | =1474 | 53% | ||
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +6 | +0 | =1468 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | +4 | +24 | =1486 | 53% | ||
5/30Monday, May 304:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –4 | –3 | =1485 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +20 | =1482 | 50% | ||
5/31Tuesday, May 318:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +0 | =1492 | 50% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +4 | +24 | =1490 | 50% | ||
6/1Wednesday, June 13:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1492 | –28 | +0 | =1464 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +1 | +24 | =1487 | 53% | ||
6/2Thursday, June 28:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | –3 | =1538 | 57% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 43% | ||
6/3Friday, June 38:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
6/4Saturday, June 49:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
6/5Sunday, June 53:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +0 | =1541 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
6/7Tuesday, June 79:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –1 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +22 | =1545 | 62% | ||
6/8Wednesday, June 89:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 62% | ||
6/9Thursday, June 93:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 62% | ||
6/10Friday, June 109:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –2 | =1460 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +26 | =1569 | 65% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | ||
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | ||
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | ||
6/14Tuesday, June 148:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | –1 | =1497 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +23 | =1485 | 48% | ||
6/15Wednesday, June 158:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +0 | =1498 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 48% | ||
6/16Thursday, June 163:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1498 | +0 | +0 | =1498 | 52% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 48% | ||
6/17Friday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | –3 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
6/18Saturday, June 189:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
6/19Sunday, June 193:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –2 | =1460 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +21 | =1513 | 57% | ||
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 58% | ||
6/23Thursday, June 2312:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1492 | +0 | +24 | =1516 | 58% | ||
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –4 | =1458 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +24 | =1548 | 63% | ||
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +1 | +24 | =1548 | 62% | ||
6/27Monday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –3 | =1589 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +21 | =1483 | 35% | ||
6/28Tuesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 35% | ||
6/29Wednesday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 35% | ||
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | –1 | =1465 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +26 | =1488 | 53% | ||
7/2Saturday, July 29:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 53% | ||
7/3Sunday, July 33:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 53% | ||
7/4Monday, July 410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –3 | =1459 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
7/5Tuesday, July 510:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
7/6Wednesday, July 610:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –2 | =1460 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 54% | ||
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 54% | ||
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 54% | ||
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 54% | ||
7/11Monday, July 118:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | –3 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +21 | =1483 | 42% | ||
7/12Tuesday, July 128:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
7/13Wednesday, July 138:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
7/14Thursday, July 143:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
7/15Friday, July 158:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | –4 | =1430 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 58% | ||
7/16Saturday, July 163:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 58% | ||
7/17Sunday, July 173:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1433 | +1 | +0 | =1434 | 42% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 58% | ||
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +4 | =1466 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +27 | =1575 | 65% | ||
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% | ||
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% | ||
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +24 | =1572 | 65% | ||
7/26Tuesday, July 268:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | –1 | =1526 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +21 | =1483 | 44% | ||
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +0 | =1527 | 56% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 44% | ||
7/28Thursday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | –3 | =1589 | 64% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 36% | ||
7/29Friday, July 298:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 35% | ||
7/30Saturday, July 308:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 35% | ||
7/31Sunday, July 313:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +0 | =1592 | 65% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 35% | ||
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –3 | =1459 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | ||
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | ||
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | ||
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 35% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +24 | =1567 | 65% | ||
8/5Friday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –2 | =1460 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +22 | =1488 | 54% | ||
8/6Saturday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 54% | ||
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 46% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +24 | =1490 | 54% | ||
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | –1 | =1511 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +23 | =1485 | 46% | ||
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 46% | ||
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +0 | =1512 | 54% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 46% | ||
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | –3 | =1463 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 53% | ||
8/13Saturday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 53% | ||
8/14Sunday, Aug. 143:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 53% | ||
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –1 | =1461 | 39% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +26 | =1538 | 61% | ||
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 60% | ||
8/18Thursday, Aug. 181:15 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 40% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1511 | +1 | +24 | =1536 | 60% | ||
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | –3 | =1520 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +21 | =1483 | 45% | ||
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 45% | ||
8/21Sunday, Aug. 213:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 45% | ||
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | –3 | =1471 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +26 | =1488 | 52% | ||
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1474 | +0 | +0 | =1474 | 48% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 52% | ||
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –4 | =1458 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +25 | =1557 | 64% | ||
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 63% | ||
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 63% | ||
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1534 | –2 | +24 | =1556 | 63% | ||
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –1 | =1461 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | ||
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | ||
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 36% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1542 | –1 | +24 | =1565 | 64% | ||
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –2 | =1460 | 43% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +26 | =1506 | 57% | ||
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 56% | ||
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1478 | +2 | +24 | =1504 | 56% | ||
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | –3 | =1545 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +21 | =1483 | 41% | ||
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 41% | ||
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1547 | +1 | +0 | =1548 | 59% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 41% | ||
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | –1 | =1465 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +26 | =1488 | 53% | ||
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 53% | ||
9/11Sunday, Sept. 113:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +0 | +0 | =1466 | 47% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 53% | ||
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –1 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +22 | =1549 | 62% | ||
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 37% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +0 | +24 | =1551 | 63% | ||
9/16Friday, Sept. 162:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +1 | =1463 | 45% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +23 | =1499 | 55% | ||
9/17Saturday, Sept. 172:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 56% | ||
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:20 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 44% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1476 | +0 | +24 | =1500 | 56% | ||
9/19Monday, Sept. 198:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | –3 | =1520 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +21 | =1483 | 45% | ||
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 45% | ||
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 45% | ||
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +0 | =1523 | 55% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 45% | ||
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | –3 | =1540 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1541 | +2 | +0 | =1543 | 58% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +24 | =1486 | 42% | ||
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –1 | =1461 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +23 | =1546 | 62% | ||
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 62% | ||
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 38% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | +0 | +24 | =1547 | 62% | ||
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | –2 | =1460 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +23 | =1615 | 71% | ||
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
10/3Monday, Oct. 310:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% | ||
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5 | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +0 | +0 | =1462 | 29% | |
![]() | ![]() | 1594 | –2 | +24 | =1616 | 71% |
Team rating
Completed games
Date | Team | Starting pitcher | Team rating | Starting pitcher adj. | Travel, rest & home field adj. | Pregame team rating | Win prob.Chance of winning | Score |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5/21Saturday, May 218:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1537 | –41 | +0 | =1496 | 59% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | –47 | +24 | =1435 | 41% | 11 | |
5/21Saturday, May 213:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1536 | –17 | –2 | =1517 | 53% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +6 | +29 | =1495 | 47% | 1 | |
5/18Wednesday, May 183:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1527 | +15 | +0 | =1542 | 58% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1458 | +3 | +24 | =1485 | 42% | 5 | |
5/17Tuesday, May 178:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –11 | +0 | =1514 | 54% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +0 | +24 | =1484 | 46% | 7 | |
5/16Monday, May 168:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1524 | –6 | –3 | =1515 | 54% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1461 | +0 | +24 | =1485 | 46% | 6 | |
5/15Sunday, May 153:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | –2 | +0 | =1458 | 46% | 8 |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +1 | +24 | =1487 | 54% | 7 | |
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –5 | +0 | =1457 | 46% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +4 | +24 | =1488 | 54% | 10 | |
5/13Friday, May 138:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1460 | +15 | –3 | =1472 | 47% | 14 |
![]() | ![]() | 1462 | +10 | +23 | =1495 | 53% | 10 | |
5/11Wednesday, May 113:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +2 | +0 | =1465 | 40% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1525 | –14 | +24 | =1535 | 60% | 7 | |
5/10Tuesday, May 109:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | +2 | +0 | =1467 | 40% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1523 | –7 | +24 | =1540 | 60% | 9 | |
5/9Monday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | +0 | –3 | =1464 | 35% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1522 | +28 | +24 | =1574 | 65% | 8 | |
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +1 | +0 | =1469 | 44% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +22 | +24 | =1510 | 56% | 4 | |
5/7Saturday, May 78:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | +6 | +0 | =1473 | 52% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –32 | +24 | =1458 | 48% | 1 | |
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –1 | –3 | =1464 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +17 | +22 | =1503 | 56% | 4 | |
5/5Thursday, May 53:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1464 | –6 | +0 | =1458 | 45% | 7 |
![]() | ![]() | 1467 | +4 | +24 | =1495 | 55% | 9 | |
5/4Wednesday, May 48:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –15 | +0 | =1450 | 45% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –2 | +24 | =1488 | 55% | 5 | |
5/3Tuesday, May 38:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1462 | –14 | –1 | =1447 | 42% | 10 |
![]() | ![]() | 1469 | +7 | +26 | =1502 | 58% | 2 | |
5/1Sunday, May 13:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1478 | –24 | +0 | =1454 | 44% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1466 | +2 | +24 | =1492 | 56% | 10 | |
4/30Saturday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1479 | –13 | +0 | =1466 | 47% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –3 | +24 | =1486 | 53% | 4 | |
4/29Friday, April 298:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1481 | –6 | –3 | =1472 | 48% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +4 | +20 | =1487 | 52% | 10 | |
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1465 | –3 | +0 | =1462 | 36% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1519 | +19 | +24 | =1562 | 64% | 7 | |
4/27Wednesday, April 276:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1466 | –20 | +0 | =1446 | 37% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1517 | –1 | +24 | =1540 | 63% | 7 | |
4/26Tuesday, April 266:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | +14 | +0 | =1482 | 44% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1515 | –17 | +24 | =1522 | 56% | 10 | |
4/25Monday, April 256:45 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1470 | +4 | –2 | =1472 | 41% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1513 | –6 | +24 | =1531 | 59% | 8 | |
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –7 | +0 | =1461 | 46% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1471 | –5 | +24 | =1490 | 54% | 2 | |
4/23Saturday, April 236:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –9 | +0 | =1458 | 47% | 3 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | –20 | +24 | =1476 | 53% | 2 | |
4/23Saturday, April 231:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1471 | +8 | +2 | =1481 | 48% | 0 |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –4 | +26 | =1490 | 52% | 13 | |
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1513 | –17 | +0 | =1496 | 47% | 9 |
![]() | ![]() | 1473 | +17 | +24 | =1514 | 53% | 6 | |
4/19Tuesday, April 198:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1514 | –6 | +0 | =1508 | 51% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1472 | +2 | +24 | =1498 | 49% | 6 | |
4/18Monday, April 188:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1516 | +1 | –4 | =1513 | 55% | 1 |
![]() | ![]() | 1470 | –12 | +24 | =1482 | 45% | 4 | |
4/17Sunday, April 173:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1482 | –4 | +0 | =1478 | 48% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1471 | –5 | +24 | =1490 | 52% | 4 | |
4/16Saturday, April 168:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1483 | –22 | +0 | =1461 | 44% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1470 | +6 | +24 | =1500 | 56% | 9 | |
4/15Friday, April 158:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1484 | +19 | +0 | =1503 | 49% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1469 | +21 | +24 | =1514 | 51% | 6 | |
4/14Thursday, April 148:40 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1482 | –5 | –3 | =1474 | 46% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1470 | +6 | +23 | =1499 | 54% | 2 | |
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1469 | –16 | +0 | =1453 | 46% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1468 | –8 | +24 | =1484 | 54% | 1 | |
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1467 | –6 | –3 | =1458 | 46% | 6 |
![]() | ![]() | 1469 | –5 | +21 | =1485 | 54% | 4 | |
4/10Sunday, April 103:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1581 | +10 | +0 | =1591 | 63% | 4 |
![]() | ![]() | 1465 | +8 | +24 | =1497 | 37% | 9 | |
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1582 | –9 | +0 | =1573 | 60% | 2 |
![]() | ![]() | 1463 | +15 | +24 | =1502 | 40% | 3 | |
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern | ![]() | ![]() | 1581 | +13 | –3 | =1591 | 63% | 5 |
![]() | ![]() | 1464 | +7 | +24 | =1495 | 37% | 3 |
How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »
Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.
Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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