Updated May 22, 2022, at 3:09 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rockies have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers27-12	—	99%	76%
Padres Padres26-14	1.5	88%	19%
Giants Giants22-17	5.0	57%	4%
Dbacks Diamondbacks21-21	7.5	7%	<1%
Rockies Rockies19-20	8.0	4%	<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning
5/22Sunday, May 223:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Walker	1534	–27	+0	=1507	53%
5/22Sunday, May 223:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1462	+1	+24	=1487	47%
5/23Monday, May 236:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1462	–4	–3	=1455	49%
5/23Monday, May 236:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1433	+3	+24	=1460	51%
5/24Tuesday, May 246:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1462	+6	+0	=1468	51%
5/24Tuesday, May 246:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+1	+24	=1458	49%
5/25Wednesday, May 2512:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	49%
5/25Wednesday, May 2512:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Thompson	1433	+9	+24	=1466	51%
5/26Thursday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1462	+4	–2	=1464	49%
5/26Thursday, May 267:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1458	–11	+24	=1471	51%
5/27Friday, May 277:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1462	+1	+0	=1463	49%
5/27Friday, May 277:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1458	–11	+24	=1471	51%
5/28Saturday, May 284:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1462	–4	+0	=1458	47%
5/28Saturday, May 284:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Adon	1458	–8	+24	=1474	53%
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1462	+6	+0	=1468	47%
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1458	+4	+24	=1486	53%
5/30Monday, May 304:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1492	–4	–3	=1485	50%
5/30Monday, May 304:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+20	=1482	50%
5/31Tuesday, May 318:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+0	=1492	50%
5/31Tuesday, May 318:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1462	+4	+24	=1490	50%
6/1Wednesday, June 13:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1492	–28	+0	=1464	47%
6/1Wednesday, June 13:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1462	+1	+24	=1487	53%
6/2Thursday, June 28:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	–3	=1538	57%
6/2Thursday, June 28:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	43%
6/3Friday, June 38:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+0	=1541	58%
6/3Friday, June 38:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
6/4Saturday, June 49:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+0	=1541	58%
6/4Saturday, June 49:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
6/5Sunday, June 53:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+0	=1541	58%
6/5Sunday, June 53:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
6/7Tuesday, June 79:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–1	=1461	38%
6/7Tuesday, June 79:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+22	=1545	62%
6/8Wednesday, June 89:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	38%
6/8Wednesday, June 89:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	62%
6/9Thursday, June 93:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	38%
6/9Thursday, June 93:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	62%
6/10Friday, June 109:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–2	=1460	35%
6/10Friday, June 109:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+26	=1569	65%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	35%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	65%
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	35%
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	65%
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	35%
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	65%
6/14Tuesday, June 148:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1498	+0	–1	=1497	52%
6/14Tuesday, June 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+23	=1485	48%
6/15Wednesday, June 158:40 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1498	+0	+0	=1498	52%
6/15Wednesday, June 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	48%
6/16Thursday, June 163:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	—	1498	+0	+0	=1498	52%
6/16Thursday, June 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	48%
6/17Friday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	–3	=1540	58%
6/17Friday, June 178:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
6/18Saturday, June 189:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	58%
6/18Saturday, June 189:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
6/19Sunday, June 193:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	58%
6/19Sunday, June 193:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–2	=1460	43%
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+21	=1513	57%
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	42%
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+24	=1516	58%
6/23Thursday, June 2312:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	42%
6/23Thursday, June 2312:10 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	—	1492	+0	+24	=1516	58%
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–4	=1458	37%
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+1	+24	=1548	63%
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	38%
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+1	+24	=1548	62%
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	38%
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	—	1523	+1	+24	=1548	62%
6/27Monday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–3	=1589	65%
6/27Monday, June 278:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+21	=1483	35%
6/28Tuesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
6/28Tuesday, June 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	35%
6/29Wednesday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
6/29Wednesday, June 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	35%
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	–1	=1465	47%
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+26	=1488	53%
7/2Saturday, July 29:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+0	=1466	47%
7/2Saturday, July 29:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	53%
7/3Sunday, July 33:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+0	=1466	47%
7/3Sunday, July 33:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	53%
7/4Monday, July 410:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–3	=1459	29%
7/4Monday, July 410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
7/5Tuesday, July 510:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
7/5Tuesday, July 510:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
7/6Wednesday, July 610:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
7/6Wednesday, July 610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–2	=1460	46%
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+24	=1490	54%
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	46%
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+24	=1490	54%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	46%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+24	=1490	54%
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	46%
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+24	=1490	54%
7/11Monday, July 118:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	–3	=1540	58%
7/11Monday, July 118:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+21	=1483	42%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	58%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
7/13Wednesday, July 138:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	58%
7/13Wednesday, July 138:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
7/14Thursday, July 143:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	58%
7/14Thursday, July 143:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
7/15Friday, July 158:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+1	–4	=1430	42%
7/15Friday, July 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	58%
7/16Saturday, July 163:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	42%
7/16Saturday, July 163:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	58%
7/17Sunday, July 173:10 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	—	1433	+1	+0	=1434	42%
7/17Sunday, July 173:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	58%
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+4	=1466	35%
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+27	=1575	65%
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	35%
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+24	=1572	65%
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	35%
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+24	=1572	65%
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	35%
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+24	=1572	65%
7/26Tuesday, July 268:40 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	–1	=1526	56%
7/26Tuesday, July 268:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+21	=1483	44%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+0	=1527	56%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	44%
7/28Thursday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	–3	=1589	64%
7/28Thursday, July 288:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	36%
7/29Friday, July 298:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
7/29Friday, July 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	35%
7/30Saturday, July 308:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
7/30Saturday, July 308:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	35%
7/31Sunday, July 313:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+0	=1592	65%
7/31Sunday, July 313:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	35%
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–3	=1459	35%
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	65%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	35%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	65%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	35%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	65%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	35%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	65%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	35%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+24	=1567	65%
8/5Friday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–2	=1460	46%
8/5Friday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+22	=1488	54%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	46%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+24	=1490	54%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	46%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+24	=1490	54%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	–1	=1511	54%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+23	=1485	46%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	+0	=1512	54%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	46%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	+0	=1512	54%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	46%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	–3	=1463	47%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	53%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+0	=1466	47%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	53%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 143:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+0	=1466	47%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 143:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	53%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–1	=1461	39%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	+26	=1538	61%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	40%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	+24	=1536	60%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 181:15 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	40%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 181:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	—	1511	+1	+24	=1536	60%
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	–3	=1520	55%
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+21	=1483	45%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+0	=1523	55%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	45%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 213:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+0	=1523	55%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 213:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	45%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	–3	=1471	48%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+26	=1488	52%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	—	1474	+0	+0	=1474	48%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	52%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–4	=1458	36%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+25	=1557	64%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	37%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+24	=1556	63%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	37%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+24	=1556	63%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	37%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	—	1534	–2	+24	=1556	63%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–1	=1461	36%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+24	=1565	64%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	36%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+24	=1565	64%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	36%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	—	1542	–1	+24	=1565	64%
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–2	=1460	43%
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1478	+2	+26	=1506	57%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	44%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1478	+2	+24	=1504	56%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	44%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	—	1478	+2	+24	=1504	56%
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	–3	=1545	59%
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+21	=1483	41%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+0	=1548	59%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	41%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	—	1547	+1	+0	=1548	59%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	41%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	–1	=1465	47%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+26	=1488	53%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+0	=1466	47%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	53%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 113:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	—	1466	+0	+0	=1466	47%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 113:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	53%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–1	=1461	38%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+22	=1549	62%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	37%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	—	1527	+0	+24	=1551	63%
9/16Friday, Sept. 162:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+1	=1463	45%
9/16Friday, Sept. 162:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1476	+0	+23	=1499	55%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 172:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	44%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 172:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1476	+0	+24	=1500	56%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:20 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	44%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	—	1476	+0	+24	=1500	56%
9/19Monday, Sept. 198:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	–3	=1520	55%
9/19Monday, Sept. 198:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+21	=1483	45%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+0	=1523	55%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	45%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+0	=1523	55%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	45%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+0	=1523	55%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	45%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	–3	=1540	58%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	58%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	—	1541	+2	+0	=1543	58%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+24	=1486	42%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–1	=1461	38%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+23	=1546	62%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	38%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	62%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	38%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	—	1523	+0	+24	=1547	62%
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	–2	=1460	29%
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+23	=1615	71%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
10/3Monday, Oct. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
10/3Monday, Oct. 310:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	COLRockies	—	1462	+0	+0	=1462	29%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5	LADDodgers	—	1594	–2	+24	=1616	71%

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
5/21Saturday, May 218:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Williams	1537	–41	+0	=1496	59%	3
5/21Saturday, May 218:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Blach	1458	–47	+24	=1435	41%	11
5/21Saturday, May 213:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1536	–17	–2	=1517	53%	5
5/21Saturday, May 213:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1460	+6	+29	=1495	47%	1
5/18Wednesday, May 183:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1527	+15	+0	=1542	58%	3
5/18Wednesday, May 183:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1458	+3	+24	=1485	42%	5
5/17Tuesday, May 178:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1525	–11	+0	=1514	54%	10
5/17Tuesday, May 178:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1460	+0	+24	=1484	46%	7
5/16Monday, May 168:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1524	–6	–3	=1515	54%	7
5/16Monday, May 168:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1461	+0	+24	=1485	46%	6
5/15Sunday, May 153:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Lynch	1460	–2	+0	=1458	46%	8
5/15Sunday, May 153:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1462	+1	+24	=1487	54%	7
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Hernandez	1462	–5	+0	=1457	46%	4
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1460	+4	+24	=1488	54%	10
5/13Friday, May 138:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1460	+15	–3	=1472	47%	14
5/13Friday, May 138:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1462	+10	+23	=1495	53%	10
5/11Wednesday, May 113:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1463	+2	+0	=1465	40%	1
5/11Wednesday, May 113:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1525	–14	+24	=1535	60%	7
5/10Tuesday, May 109:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1465	+2	+0	=1467	40%	2
5/10Tuesday, May 109:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1523	–7	+24	=1540	60%	9
5/9Monday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1467	+0	–3	=1464	35%	5
5/9Monday, May 99:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1522	+28	+24	=1574	65%	8
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1468	+1	+0	=1469	44%	0
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1464	+22	+24	=1510	56%	4
5/7Saturday, May 78:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1467	+6	+0	=1473	52%	4
5/7Saturday, May 78:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1466	–32	+24	=1458	48%	1
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1468	–1	–3	=1464	44%	1
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1464	+17	+22	=1503	56%	4
5/5Thursday, May 53:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1464	–6	+0	=1458	45%	7
5/5Thursday, May 53:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1467	+4	+24	=1495	55%	9
5/4Wednesday, May 48:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1465	–15	+0	=1450	45%	2
5/4Wednesday, May 48:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1466	–2	+24	=1488	55%	5
5/3Tuesday, May 38:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Fedde	1462	–14	–1	=1447	42%	10
5/3Tuesday, May 38:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1469	+7	+26	=1502	58%	2
5/1Sunday, May 13:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Sanmartin	1478	–24	+0	=1454	44%	1
5/1Sunday, May 13:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1466	+2	+24	=1492	56%	10
4/30Saturday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Overton	1479	–13	+0	=1466	47%	3
4/30Saturday, April 308:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1465	–3	+24	=1486	53%	4
4/29Friday, April 298:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1481	–6	–3	=1472	48%	4
4/29Friday, April 298:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1463	+4	+20	=1487	52%	10
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1465	–3	+0	=1462	36%	1
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1519	+19	+24	=1562	64%	7
4/27Wednesday, April 276:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1466	–20	+0	=1446	37%	3
4/27Wednesday, April 276:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1517	–1	+24	=1540	63%	7
4/26Tuesday, April 266:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1468	+14	+0	=1482	44%	3
4/26Tuesday, April 266:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1515	–17	+24	=1522	56%	10
4/25Monday, April 256:45 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1470	+4	–2	=1472	41%	2
4/25Monday, April 256:45 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1513	–6	+24	=1531	59%	8
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1468	–7	+0	=1461	46%	6
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Alexander	1471	–5	+24	=1490	54%	2
4/23Saturday, April 236:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1467	–9	+0	=1458	47%	3
4/23Saturday, April 236:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Brieske	1472	–20	+24	=1476	53%	2
4/23Saturday, April 231:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1471	+8	+2	=1481	48%	0
4/23Saturday, April 231:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Skubal	1468	–4	+26	=1490	52%	13
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1513	–17	+0	=1496	47%	9
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1473	+17	+24	=1514	53%	6
4/19Tuesday, April 198:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1514	–6	+0	=1508	51%	5
4/19Tuesday, April 198:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1472	+2	+24	=1498	49%	6
4/18Monday, April 188:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1516	+1	–4	=1513	55%	1
4/18Monday, April 188:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1470	–12	+24	=1482	45%	4
4/17Sunday, April 173:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Smyly	1482	–4	+0	=1478	48%	6
4/17Sunday, April 173:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1471	–5	+24	=1490	52%	4
4/16Saturday, April 168:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Leiter Jr.	1483	–22	+0	=1461	44%	6
4/16Saturday, April 168:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1470	+6	+24	=1500	56%	9
4/15Friday, April 158:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1484	+19	+0	=1503	49%	5
4/15Friday, April 158:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1469	+21	+24	=1514	51%	6
4/14Thursday, April 148:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1482	–5	–3	=1474	46%	5
4/14Thursday, April 148:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1470	+6	+23	=1499	54%	2
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1469	–16	+0	=1453	46%	4
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Perez	1468	–8	+24	=1484	54%	1
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1467	–6	–3	=1458	46%	6
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Hearn	1469	–5	+21	=1485	54%	4
4/10Sunday, April 103:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1581	+10	+0	=1591	63%	4
4/10Sunday, April 103:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1465	+8	+24	=1497	37%	9
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1582	–9	+0	=1573	60%	2
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1463	+15	+24	=1502	40%	3
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1581	+13	–3	=1591	63%	5
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1464	+7	+24	=1495	37%	3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.