Updated May 22, 2022, at 3:09 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rockies have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers27-1299%76%
PadresPadres26-141.588%19%
GiantsGiants22-175.057%4%
DbacksDiamondbacks21-217.57%<1%
RockiesRockies19-208.04%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/22Sunday, May 223:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Walker, Taijuan
Walker
153427+0=150753%
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1462+1+24=148747%
5/23Monday, May 236:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
146243=145549%
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1433+3+24=146051%
5/24Tuesday, May 246:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1462+6+0=146851%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+24=145849%
5/25Wednesday, May 2512:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146249%
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1433+9+24=146651%
5/26Thursday, May 267:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1462+42=146449%
WSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
145811+24=147151%
5/27Friday, May 277:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1462+1+0=146349%
WSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
145811+24=147151%
5/28Saturday, May 284:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14624+0=145847%
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
14588+24=147453%
5/29Sunday, May 291:35 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1462+6+0=146847%
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
1458+4+24=148653%
5/30Monday, May 304:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
149243=148550%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+20=148250%
5/31Tuesday, May 318:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+0=149250%
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1462+4+24=149050%
6/1Wednesday, June 13:10 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149228+0=146447%
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1462+1+24=148753%
6/2Thursday, June 28:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
154213=153857%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148643%
6/3Friday, June 38:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154158%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
6/4Saturday, June 49:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154158%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
6/5Sunday, June 53:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+0=154158%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
6/7Tuesday, June 79:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+01=146138%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+22=154562%
6/8Wednesday, June 89:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146238%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154762%
6/9Thursday, June 93:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146238%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154762%
6/10Friday, June 109:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+02=146035%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+26=156965%
6/11Saturday, June 114:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+24=156765%
6/11Saturday, June 1110:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+24=156765%
6/12Sunday, June 124:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+24=156765%
6/14Tuesday, June 148:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+01=149752%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+23=148548%
6/15Wednesday, June 158:40 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149852%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148648%
6/16Thursday, June 163:10 p.m. EasternCLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1498+0+0=149852%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148648%
6/17Friday, June 178:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+23=154058%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
6/18Saturday, June 189:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154358%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
6/19Sunday, June 193:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154358%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
6/21Tuesday, June 216:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+02=146043%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+21=151357%
6/22Wednesday, June 226:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146242%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151658%
6/23Thursday, June 2312:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146242%
MIAMIAMarlins
Pitcher TBD
1492+0+24=151658%
6/24Friday, June 248:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+04=145837%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154863%
6/25Saturday, June 257:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146238%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154862%
6/26Sunday, June 262:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146238%
MINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1523+1+24=154862%
6/27Monday, June 278:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
159423=158965%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+21=148335%
6/28Tuesday, June 288:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159265%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148635%
6/29Wednesday, June 298:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159265%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148635%
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+01=146547%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+26=148853%
7/2Saturday, July 29:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146647%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148653%
7/3Sunday, July 33:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146647%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148653%
7/4Monday, July 410:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+03=145929%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161671%
7/5Tuesday, July 510:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146229%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161671%
7/6Wednesday, July 610:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146229%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161671%
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+02=146046%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149054%
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146246%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149054%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146246%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149054%
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146246%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149054%
7/11Monday, July 118:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+23=154058%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+21=148342%
7/12Tuesday, July 128:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154358%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
7/13Wednesday, July 138:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154358%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
7/14Thursday, July 143:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154358%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
7/15Friday, July 158:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+14=143042%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148658%
7/16Saturday, July 163:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143442%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148658%
7/17Sunday, July 173:10 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1433+1+0=143442%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148658%
7/22Friday, July 228:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+4=146635%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+27=157565%
7/23Saturday, July 237:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157265%
7/24Sunday, July 242:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157265%
7/25Monday, July 258:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+24=157265%
7/26Tuesday, July 268:40 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+01=152656%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+21=148344%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:10 p.m. EasternCHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+0=152756%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148644%
7/28Thursday, July 288:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
159423=158964%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148636%
7/29Friday, July 298:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159265%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148635%
7/30Saturday, July 308:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159265%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148635%
7/31Sunday, July 313:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+0=159265%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148635%
8/1Monday, Aug. 19:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+03=145935%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+24=156765%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 24:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+24=156765%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 210:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+24=156765%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 39:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+24=156765%
8/4Thursday, Aug. 44:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146235%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+24=156765%
8/5Friday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+02=146046%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+22=148854%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146246%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149054%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146246%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+24=149054%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 98:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+11=151154%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+23=148546%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 108:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151254%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148646%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+0=151254%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148646%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+03=146347%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148653%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146647%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148653%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 143:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146647%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148653%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 167:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+01=146139%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+26=153861%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 177:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146240%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153660%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 181:15 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146240%
STLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1511+1+24=153660%
8/19Friday, Aug. 198:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+03=152055%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+21=148345%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152355%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148645%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 213:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152355%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148645%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:40 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+03=147148%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+26=148852%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 243:10 p.m. EasternTEXTEXRangers
Pitcher TBD
1474+0+0=147448%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148652%
8/25Thursday, Aug. 257:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+04=145836%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+25=155764%
8/26Friday, Aug. 267:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155663%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155663%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 281:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146237%
NYMNYMMets
Pitcher TBD
15342+24=155663%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 307:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+01=146136%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156564%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 317:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146236%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156564%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 17:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146236%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15421+24=156564%
9/2Friday, Sept. 26:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+02=146043%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+26=150657%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 36:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150456%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 41:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1478+2+24=150456%
9/5Monday, Sept. 54:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+13=154559%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+21=148341%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 68:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154859%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148641%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 73:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1547+1+0=154859%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148641%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+01=146547%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+26=148853%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146647%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148653%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 113:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1466+0+0=146647%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148653%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 138:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+01=146138%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+22=154962%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 148:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146237%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
1527+0+24=155163%
9/16Friday, Sept. 162:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+1=146345%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+23=149955%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 172:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146244%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150056%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 182:20 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146244%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1476+0+24=150056%
9/19Monday, Sept. 198:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+03=152055%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+21=148345%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 208:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152355%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148645%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 218:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152355%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148645%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 223:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+0=152355%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148645%
9/23Friday, Sept. 238:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+23=154058%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154358%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1541+2+0=154358%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+24=148642%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 279:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+01=146138%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+23=154662%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 289:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146238%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154762%
9/29Thursday, Sept. 299:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146238%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1523+0+24=154762%
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+02=146029%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+23=161571%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 19:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146229%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161671%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146229%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161671%
10/3Monday, Oct. 310:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146229%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161671%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 410:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146229%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161671%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1462+0+0=146229%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
15942+24=161671%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/21Saturday, May 218:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
153741+0=149659%3
COLCOLRockies
Blach, Ty
Blach
145847+24=143541%11
5/21Saturday, May 213:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
1536172=151753%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1460+6+29=149547%1
5/18Wednesday, May 183:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1527+15+0=154258%3
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1458+3+24=148542%5
5/17Tuesday, May 178:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152511+0=151454%10
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1460+0+24=148446%7
5/16Monday, May 168:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
152463=151554%7
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1461+0+24=148546%6
5/15Sunday, May 153:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Lynch, Daniel
Lynch
14602+0=145846%8
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1462+1+24=148754%7
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Hernandez, Carlos
Hernandez
14625+0=145746%4
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1460+4+24=148854%10
5/13Friday, May 138:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1460+153=147247%14
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1462+10+23=149553%10
5/11Wednesday, May 113:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1463+2+0=146540%1
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
152514+24=153560%7
5/10Tuesday, May 109:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1465+2+0=146740%2
SFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
15237+24=154060%9
5/9Monday, May 99:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
1467+03=146435%5
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1522+28+24=157465%8
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1468+1+0=146944%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1464+22+24=151056%4
5/7Saturday, May 78:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1467+6+0=147352%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146632+24=145848%1
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
146813=146444%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1464+17+22=150356%4
5/5Thursday, May 53:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Aaron
Sanchez
14646+0=145845%7
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1467+4+24=149555%9
5/4Wednesday, May 48:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
146515+0=145045%2
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14662+24=148855%5
5/3Tuesday, May 38:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1462141=144742%10
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1469+7+26=150258%2
5/1Sunday, May 13:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Sanmartin, Reiver
Sanmartin
147824+0=145444%1
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1466+2+24=149256%10
4/30Saturday, April 308:10 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Overton, Connor
Overton
147913+0=146647%3
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14653+24=148653%4
4/29Friday, April 298:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
148163=147248%4
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1463+4+20=148752%10
4/28Thursday, April 281:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14653+0=146236%1
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1519+19+24=156264%7
4/27Wednesday, April 276:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
146620+0=144637%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15171+24=154063%7
4/26Tuesday, April 266:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1468+14+0=148244%3
PHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151517+24=152256%10
4/25Monday, April 256:45 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1470+42=147241%2
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15136+24=153159%8
4/24Sunday, April 241:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
14687+0=146146%6
DETDETTigers
Alexander, Tyler
Alexander
14715+24=149054%2
4/23Saturday, April 236:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14679+0=145847%3
DETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
147220+24=147653%2
4/23Saturday, April 231:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1471+8+2=148148%0
DETDETTigers
Skubal, Tarik
Skubal
14684+26=149052%13
4/20Wednesday, April 203:10 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Eflin, Zach
Eflin
151317+0=149647%9
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1473+17+24=151453%6
4/19Tuesday, April 198:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
15146+0=150851%5
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1472+2+24=149849%6
4/18Monday, April 188:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1516+14=151355%1
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
147012+24=148245%4
4/17Sunday, April 173:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14824+0=147848%6
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
14715+24=149052%4
4/16Saturday, April 168:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Leiter Jr., Mark
Leiter Jr.
148322+0=146144%6
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1470+6+24=150056%9
4/15Friday, April 158:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1484+19+0=150349%5
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1469+21+24=151451%6
4/14Thursday, April 148:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
148253=147446%5
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1470+6+23=149954%2
4/12Tuesday, April 128:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
146916+0=145346%4
TEXTEXRangers
Perez, Martin
Perez
14688+24=148454%1
4/11Monday, April 114:05 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
146763=145846%6
TEXTEXRangers
Hearn, Taylor
Hearn
14695+21=148554%4
4/10Sunday, April 103:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1581+10+0=159163%4
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1465+8+24=149737%9
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
15829+0=157360%2
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1463+15+24=150240%3
4/8Friday, April 84:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1581+133=159163%5
COLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1464+7+24=149537%3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.