Updated May 15, 2022, at 10:19 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Diamondbacks have a <1% chance of winning the World Series.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers21-1297%70%
PadresPadres22-1381%20%
GiantsGiants20-141.562%9%
DbacksDiamondbacks18-174.07%<1%
RockiesRockies17-174.55%<1%

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/16Monday, May 1610:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
146442=145830%
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
15872+24=160970%
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1464+14+0=147832%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161168%
5/17Tuesday, May 1710:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146434%
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
158729+24=158266%
5/18Wednesday, May 184:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146426+0=143826%
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1587+11+24=162274%
5/19Thursday, May 197:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1464+274=148748%
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1478+3+24=150552%
5/20Friday, May 202:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146417+0=144743%
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14785+24=149757%
5/21Saturday, May 212:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14644+0=146045%
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
14784+24=149855%
5/22Sunday, May 222:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1464+14+0=147847%
CHCCHCCubs
Pitcher TBD
1478+1+24=150353%
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
146153=145349%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146426+20=145851%
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1461+13+0=147444%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1464+27+24=151556%
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+04=158365%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146417+26=147335%
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158764%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148836%
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158764%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148836%
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158764%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148836%
5/30Monday, May 308:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
153914=153457%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153857%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
6/1Wednesday, June 13:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+0=153857%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146250%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+22=146450%
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146450%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146650%
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146450%
PITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+24=146650%
6/6Monday, June 66:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146244%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150256%
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146445%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150255%
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146445%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150255%
6/9Thursday, June 912:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146445%
CINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+24=150255%
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146238%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+21=154562%
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
PHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
6/13Monday, June 139:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+13=147549%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+20=148451%
6/14Tuesday, June 149:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147849%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148851%
6/15Wednesday, June 153:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Pitcher TBD
1477+1+0=147849%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148851%
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+11=151854%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+26=149046%
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151954%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148846%
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Pitcher TBD
1518+1+0=151954%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148846%
6/20Monday, June 209:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+21=156164%
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
6/22Wednesday, June 224:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+02=145846%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Pitcher TBD
1460+0+0=146046%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
6/28Tuesday, June 289:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154057%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+26=149043%
6/29Wednesday, June 293:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154057%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+01=146347%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+26=148753%
7/2Saturday, July 29:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146447%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
7/3Sunday, July 33:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146447%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
7/4Monday, July 49:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152155%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+21=148545%
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148845%
7/6Wednesday, July 69:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148845%
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+02=145946%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146146%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146146%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146146%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
7/11Monday, July 119:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+03=146138%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+22=154662%
7/12Tuesday, July 129:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
7/13Wednesday, July 133:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
7/15Friday, July 159:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+21=156164%
7/16Saturday, July 168:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
7/17Sunday, July 174:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+3=146546%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+29=149354%
7/23Saturday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146246%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Pitcher TBD
14631+0=146246%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+02=152255%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148845%
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148845%
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148845%
7/29Friday, July 297:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146236%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+23=156164%
7/30Saturday, July 307:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156264%
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
ATLATLBraves
Pitcher TBD
15391+24=156264%
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+03=146142%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+21=152058%
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146442%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152358%
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146442%
CLECLEGuardians
Pitcher TBD
1499+0+24=152358%
8/5Friday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+02=145946%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+22=148654%
8/6Saturday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146146%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+0=146146%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148854%
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+04=143843%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148857%
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144243%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148857%
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144243%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148857%
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Pitcher TBD
1442+0+0=144243%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148857%
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+03=146147%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
8/13Saturday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146447%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
8/14Sunday, Aug. 143:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146447%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
8/15Monday, Aug. 159:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+03=146138%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 169:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 179:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
8/18Thursday, Aug. 183:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+13=150653%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+21=148547%
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150953%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148847%
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Pitcher TBD
1508+1+0=150953%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148847%
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+01=146347%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146447%
KCKCRoyals
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+21=154862%
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155162%
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Pitcher TBD
15281+24=155162%
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+04=152055%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+20=148445%
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148845%
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148845%
9/1Thursday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+14=154158%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148842%
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154558%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148842%
9/3Saturday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154558%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148842%
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+0=154558%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148842%
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146236%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+23=156364%
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146436%
SDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+24=156464%
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+01=146347%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+26=148753%
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146447%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
9/11Sunday, Sept. 113:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146447%
COLCOLRockies
Pitcher TBD
1461+0+24=148553%
9/12Monday, Sept. 129:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+02=158564%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+21=148536%
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158764%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148836%
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 149:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+0=158764%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148836%
9/15Thursday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+23=153757%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154057%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
9/17Saturday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154057%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Pitcher TBD
1538+2+0=154057%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148843%
9/19Monday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146230%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+22=160970%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 203:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146430%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161170%
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146430%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161170%
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146430%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161170%
9/22Thursday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146430%
LADLADDodgers
Pitcher TBD
1587+0+24=161170%
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+03=152155%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+22=148645%
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148845%
9/25Sunday, Sept. 254:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+0=152455%
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+24=148845%
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 278:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+01=146334%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+23=157866%
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146434%
HOUHOUAstros
Pitcher TBD
1554+1+24=157966%
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+02=146238%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146438%
SFSFGiants
Pitcher TBD
1524+0+24=154862%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+04=146035%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156965%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146435%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156965%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 5ARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1464+0+0=146435%
MILMILBrewers
Pitcher TBD
1544+1+24=156965%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
147710+0=146749%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146518+24=147151%2
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1475+2+0=147745%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1467+25+24=151655%2
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14772+0=147551%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146627+26=146549%4
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1489+16+0=150549%11
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1469+18+24=151151%3
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149118+0=147348%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14674+24=148752%9
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1492272=146349%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146619+24=147151%4
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1468+1+0=146944%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1464+22+24=151056%4
5/7Saturday, May 78:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1467+6+0=147352%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146632+24=145848%1
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
146813=146444%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1464+17+22=150356%4
5/4Wednesday, May 412:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1463+1+0=146446%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149223+24=149354%7
5/3Tuesday, May 36:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146223+0=143938%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1494+5+24=152362%4
5/2Monday, May 26:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1460+233=148042%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1495+18+24=153758%4
5/1Sunday, May 12:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146133+0=142839%5
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150421+24=150761%7
4/30Saturday, April 302:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1459+13+0=147240%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1506+12+24=154260%0
4/29Friday, April 298:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1457+3+0=146037%6
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1509+20+24=155363%2
4/28Thursday, April 287:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
1458143=144137%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1507+1+24=153263%8
4/27Wednesday, April 273:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1591+4+0=159563%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1457+20+24=150137%3
4/26Tuesday, April 269:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
15938+0=158569%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
145532+24=144731%5
4/25Monday, April 259:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1592+62=159664%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1456+14+24=149436%0
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153028+0=150253%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1458+1+24=148347%2
4/23Saturday, April 238:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
153245+0=148754%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
145617+24=146346%5
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1531344=149350%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1457+19+20=149650%5
4/21Thursday, April 214:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
145534+0=142141%4
WSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
14665+24=148559%3
4/20Wednesday, April 207:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1452+14+0=146648%11
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
147012+24=148252%2
4/19Tuesday, April 197:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
1453+1+0=145447%0
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146917+24=147653%1
4/19Tuesday, April 191:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1455+3+0=145846%1
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14673+24=148854%6
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
145718+0=143939%0
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
152736+24=151561%5
4/16Saturday, April 161:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1455+21+0=147643%3
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
152824+24=152857%2
4/15Friday, April 151:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
1457282=142732%3
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1527+9+25=156168%10
4/13Wednesday, April 133:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15485+0=154357%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1456+12+24=149243%3
4/12Tuesday, April 129:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15485+0=154358%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1457+3+26=148642%1
4/10Sunday, April 104:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1533+5+0=153861%10
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
145823+24=145939%5
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1531+2+0=153361%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
145929+24=145439%2
4/8Friday, April 89:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1530+1+0=153155%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1461+11+24=149645%0
4/7Thursday, April 79:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153112=152856%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1459+3+24=148644%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.