Updated Sep. 29, 2022, at 1:30 AM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Diamondbacks are done for the season.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers107-48
PadresPadres86-6921.098%
GiantsGiants77-7830.0<1%
DbacksDiamondbacks72-8435.5
RockiesRockies65-9042.0

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Upcoming games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1483+212=150245%
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1508+3+24=153555%
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Jameson, Drey
Jameson
14835+0=147846%
SFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
150826+24=150654%
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
148321+0=146238%
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1508+12+24=154462%
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1483+504=152942%
MILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1528+30+24=158258%
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1483+14+0=149744%
MILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
152814+24=153856%
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Pitcher TBD
1483+14+0=149739%
MILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1528+26+24=157861%

Team rating

Completed games

DateTeamStarting pitcherTeam ratingStarting pitcher adj.Travel, rest & home field adj.Pregame team ratingWin prob.Chance of winningScore
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1481+50+0=153135%5
HOUHOUAstros
Verlander, Justin
Verlander
1579+33+24=163665%2
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 278:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
1483191=146334%2
HOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
157820+23=158166%10
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Alexander, Scott
Alexander (open)
1505+4+0=150951%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Jameson, Drey
Jameson
14849+24=149949%2
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
1506+6+0=151248%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1482+20+24=152652%5
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1505+293=153158%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
148330+22=147542%5
9/22Thursday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1483+44+0=152732%2
LADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1621+16+24=166168%3
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
148032+0=144826%6
LADLADDodgers
May, Dustin
May
162522+24=162774%1
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Jameson, Drey
Jameson
14779+0=146826%5
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
16282+24=165074%2
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 203:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
147717+0=146029%5
LADLADDodgers
Grove, Michael
Grove
162840+24=161271%6
9/19Monday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1478+252=150128%2
LADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1627+13+22=166272%5
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1520+32+0=155257%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Nelson, Ryne
Nelson
14801+24=150343%1
9/17Saturday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1519+4+0=152346%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1481+47+24=155254%0
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1516+11+0=152757%12
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
148430+24=147843%3
9/15Thursday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1518253=149051%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Jameson, Drey
Jameson
148223+24=148349%4
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 149:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Grove, Michael
Grove
162541+0=158464%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
148019+24=148536%5
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Kershaw, Clayton
Kershaw
1624+10+0=163464%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1481+27+24=153236%0
9/12Monday, Sept. 129:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
162232=161767%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Nelson, Ryne
Nelson
148310+21=149433%0
9/11Sunday, Sept. 113:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1481+47+0=152858%12
COLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145810+24=147242%6
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
148227+0=145551%1
COLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
145629+24=145149%4
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
1484121=147146%10
COLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1455+19+26=150054%13
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
148519+0=146635%3
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1520+30+24=157465%6
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1486+29+0=151544%5
SDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1519+13+24=155656%6
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Nelson, Ryne
Nelson
1483232=145836%5
SDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1522+10+23=155564%0
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Alexander, Jason
Alexander
152627+0=149943%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1481+41+24=154657%5
9/3Saturday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Burnes, Corbin
Burnes
1525+28+0=155361%8
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
148228+24=147839%6
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Lauer, Eric
Lauer
15266+0=152054%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
148113+24=149246%2
9/1Thursday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. EasternMILMILBrewers
Woodruff, Brandon
Woodruff
1528+204=154452%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1479+27+24=153048%5
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Falter, Bailey
Falter
153132+0=149950%18
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
14838+24=149950%2
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Nola, Aaron
Nola
1535+28+0=156353%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1480+38+24=154247%12
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. EasternPHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
153734=153058%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
147722+20=147542%13
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
147514+0=146136%3
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cease, Dylan
Cease
1510+29+24=156364%2
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1473+26+0=149947%10
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Martin, Davis
Martin
151216+24=152053%5
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
147010+0=146038%7
CHWCHWWhite Sox
Cueto, Johnny
Cueto
1515+7+21=154362%2
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1471+36+0=150750%3
KCKCRoyals
Singer, Brady
Singer
1452+29+24=150550%5
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
1470151=145450%7
KCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
145421+24=145750%3
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Quintana, Jose
Quintana
15301+0=152951%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1471+29+24=152449%4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
15279+0=151855%16
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
147418+24=148045%7
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. EasternSTLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1525+63=152856%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
147514+21=148244%1
8/18Thursday, Aug. 183:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1473+31+0=150444%5
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1509+14+24=154756%0
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 179:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
147115+0=145636%3
SFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1511+22+24=155764%2
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 169:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1472+28+0=150048%1
SFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
151021+24=151352%2
8/15Monday, Aug. 159:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1474133=145841%1
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
15088+24=152459%6
8/14Sunday, Aug. 143:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
147214+0=145849%7
COLCOLRockies
Feltner, Ryan
Feltner
145920+24=146351%4
8/13Saturday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1470+27+0=149756%6
COLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
146127+24=145844%0
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
1471153=145345%3
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1460+5+24=148955%5
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
14361+0=143537%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1470+31+24=152563%9
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Keller, Mitch
Keller
1434+6+0=144043%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
147110+24=148557%4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
14355+0=143043%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
147017+24=147757%6
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. EasternPITPITPirates
Beede, Tyler
Beede (open)
143624=143038%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1469+24+24=151762%3
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Urena, Jose
Urena
145726+0=143144%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146816+24=147656%6
8/6Saturday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1456+5+0=146141%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1469+33+24=152659%2
8/5Friday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1457+142=146947%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14684+22=148653%6
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Henry, Tommy
Henry
146915+0=145436%4
CLECLEGuardians
Bieber, Shane
Bieber
1503+30+24=155764%7
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1467+24+0=149142%6
CLECLEGuardians
McKenzie, Triston
McKenzie
1505+20+24=154958%3
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
1468133=145240%5
CLECLEGuardians
Quantrill, Cal
Quantrill
15046+21=151960%6
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1469+27+0=149634%0
ATLATLBraves
Fried, Max
Fried
1559+26+24=160966%1
7/30Saturday, July 307:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Martin, Corbin
Martin
147045+0=142532%2
ATLATLBraves
Anderson, Ian
Anderson
155824+24=155868%6
7/29Friday, July 297:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
147122=146736%2
ATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
155712+23=156864%5
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1511+19+0=153052%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1469+22+24=151548%5
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1513+22+0=153558%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
146711+24=148042%7
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Junis, Jakob
Junis
1516162=149848%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1464+20+24=150852%7
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
1435+0+0=143549%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Martin, Corbin
Martin
146645+24=144551%3
7/23Saturday, July 238:10 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Sanchez, Anibal
Sanchez
1437+12+0=144945%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14645+24=148355%7
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. EasternWSHWSHNationals
Corbin, Patrick
Corbin
144011+3=143239%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1461+19+29=150961%10
7/17Sunday, July 174:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1459+22+0=148137%3
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1529+21+24=157463%1
7/16Saturday, July 168:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
14606+0=145437%3
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15283+24=154963%4
7/15Friday, July 159:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1461+0+0=146136%3
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1527+15+21=156364%5
7/13Wednesday, July 133:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1462+18+0=148041%3
SFSFGiants
Brebbia, John
Brebbia (open)
1516+0+24=154059%4
7/12Tuesday, July 129:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
146436+0=142832%0
SFSFGiants
Webb, Logan
Webb
1514+19+24=155768%13
7/11Monday, July 119:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1463+183=147844%4
SFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
151516+22=152156%3
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1455+2+0=145747%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
146414+24=147453%2
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1457+12+0=146948%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14612+24=148352%9
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1456+3+0=145943%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1463+20+24=150757%5
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
145592=144449%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
146438+24=145051%3
7/6Wednesday, July 69:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Cobb, Alex
Cobb
151013+0=149749%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1465+17+24=150651%5
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Wood, Alex
Wood
151214+0=149854%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
146316+24=147146%6
7/4Monday, July 46:10 p.m. EasternSFSFGiants
Rodon, Carlos
Rodon
1515+273=153958%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14602+21=147942%8
7/3Sunday, July 33:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1461+21+0=148250%5
COLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
1456+5+24=148550%6
7/2Saturday, July 29:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
146336+0=142744%7
COLCOLRockies
Gomber, Austin
Gomber
145410+24=146856%11
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1460+151=147448%9
COLCOLRockies
Senzatela, Antonio
Senzatela
1457+4+26=148752%3
6/29Wednesday, June 293:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1543+19+0=156261%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14623+24=148339%0
6/28Tuesday, June 289:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15441+0=154354%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1461+26+26=151346%7
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Brieske, Beau
Brieske
1458+1+0=145952%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Keuchel, Dallas
Keuchel
145935+24=144848%11
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Faedo, Alex
Faedo
145615+0=144145%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
14608+24=147655%3
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. EasternDETDETTigers
Garcia, Rony
Garcia
1453202=143140%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1463+16+24=150360%1
6/22Wednesday, June 224:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14641+0=146332%4
SDSDPadres
Clevinger, Mike
Clevinger
1548+21+24=159368%10
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1465+24+0=148939%2
SDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
15472+24=156961%3
6/20Monday, June 209:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146682=145633%1
SDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
1546+11+21=157867%4
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Archer, Chris
Archer
15223+0=151953%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1463+11+24=149847%7
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Bundy, Dylan
Bundy
151818+0=150051%11
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Weaver, Luke
Weaver
14671+24=149049%1
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. EasternMINMINTwins
Smeltzer, Devin
Smeltzer
1521+61=152655%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14641+26=148945%7
6/15Wednesday, June 153:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Castillo, Luis
Castillo
1479+26+0=150550%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1463+20+24=150750%7
6/14Tuesday, June 149:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1478+13+0=149152%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146412+24=147648%3
6/13Monday, June 139:40 p.m. EasternCINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
1477+23=147647%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1465+14+20=149953%4
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Nelson, Kyle
Nelson
146012+0=144836%13
PHIPHIPhillies
Suarez, Ranger
Suarez
15329+24=154764%1
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1461+1+0=146233%0
PHIPHIPhillies
Wheeler, Zack
Wheeler
1531+27+24=158267%4
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1462+282=148843%5
PHIPHIPhillies
Gibson, Kyle
Gibson
153013+21=153857%7
6/9Thursday, June 912:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146117+0=144440%5
CINCINReds
Mahle, Tyler
Mahle
1479+11+24=151460%4
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1458+9+0=146744%7
CINCINReds
Minor, Mike
Minor
1482+5+24=151156%0
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
14604+0=145642%8
CINCINReds
Ashcraft, Graham
Ashcraft
1480+7+24=151158%14
6/6Monday, June 66:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1462+22=146246%0
CINCINReds
Greene, Hunter
Greene
147812+24=149054%7
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1464+28+0=149253%0
PITPITPirates
Thompson, Zach
Thompson
1443+5+24=147247%3
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146524+0=144145%1
PITPITPirates
Contreras, Roansy
Contreras
1442+11+24=147755%2
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1463+102=147150%8
PITPITPirates
Brubaker, JT
Brubaker
1443+5+22=147050%6
6/1Wednesday, June 13:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Wright, Kyle
Wright
153614+0=152255%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1465+1+24=149045%0
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Morton, Charlie
Morton
1537+6+0=154360%7
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146417+24=147140%8
5/30Monday, May 308:10 p.m. EasternATLATLBraves
Strider, Spencer
Strider
1539254=151049%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1462+30+24=151651%6
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
159922+0=157766%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146327+24=146034%1
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
1598+0+0=159864%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1464+11+24=149936%2
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Pepiot, Ryan
Pepiot
159734+0=156360%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1465+4+24=149340%4
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
White, Mitch
White
1594384=155260%14
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146812+26=148240%1
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Heasley, Jonathan
Heasley
14545+0=144939%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1467+34+24=152561%8
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. EasternKCKCRoyals
Greinke, Zack
Greinke
1456+123=146551%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146524+20=146149%9
5/22Sunday, May 222:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1466+8+0=147446%4
CHCCHCCubs
Miley, Wade
Miley
1476+3+24=150354%5
5/21Saturday, May 212:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14651+0=146445%7
CHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
14786+24=149655%6
5/20Friday, May 202:20 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146214+0=144842%10
CHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1480+1+24=150558%6
5/19Thursday, May 197:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1461+314=148845%3
CHCCHCCubs
Stroman, Marcus
Stroman
1482+16+24=152255%1
5/18Wednesday, May 184:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146122+0=143925%3
LADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1590+12+24=162675%5
5/17Tuesday, May 1710:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1463+16+0=147935%3
LADLADDodgers
Anderson, Tyler
Anderson
158829+24=158365%12
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
14642+0=146233%6
LADLADDodgers
Pepiot, Ryan
Pepiot
158730+24=158167%7
5/16Monday, May 1610:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
146442=145830%4
LADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
15872+24=160970%5
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Steele, Justin
Steele
147710+0=146749%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146518+24=147151%2
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Hendricks, Kyle
Hendricks
1475+2+0=147745%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1467+25+24=151655%2
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. EasternCHCCHCCubs
Smyly, Drew
Smyly
14772+0=147551%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146627+26=146549%4
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Alcantara, Sandy
Alcantara
1489+16+0=150549%11
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1469+18+24=151151%3
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Luzardo, Jesus
Luzardo
149118+0=147348%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
14674+24=148752%9
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. EasternMIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
1492272=146349%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146619+24=147151%4
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Marquez, German
Marquez
1468+1+0=146944%0
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1464+22+24=151056%4
5/7Saturday, May 78:10 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Freeland, Kyle
Freeland
1467+6+0=147352%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146632+24=145848%1
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. EasternCOLCOLRockies
Kuhl, Chad
Kuhl
146813=146444%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1464+17+22=150356%4
5/4Wednesday, May 412:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1463+1+0=146446%8
MIAMIAMarlins
Hernandez, Elieser
Hernandez
149223+24=149354%7
5/3Tuesday, May 36:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
146223+0=143938%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Rogers, Trevor
Rogers
1494+5+24=152362%4
5/2Monday, May 26:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1460+233=148042%5
MIAMIAMarlins
Lopez, Pablo
Lopez
1495+18+24=153758%4
5/1Sunday, May 12:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
146133+0=142839%5
STLSTLCardinals
Hicks, Jordan
Hicks
150421+24=150761%7
4/30Saturday, April 302:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1459+13+0=147240%2
STLSTLCardinals
Mikolas, Miles
Mikolas
1506+12+24=154260%0
4/29Friday, April 298:15 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1457+3+0=146037%6
STLSTLCardinals
Wainwright, Adam
Wainwright
1509+20+24=155363%2
4/28Thursday, April 287:45 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
1458143=144137%3
STLSTLCardinals
Hudson, Dakota
Hudson
1507+1+24=153263%8
4/27Wednesday, April 273:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Urias, Julio
Urias
1591+4+0=159563%1
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1457+20+24=150137%3
4/26Tuesday, April 269:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Gonsolin, Tony
Gonsolin
15938+0=158569%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
145532+24=144731%5
4/25Monday, April 259:40 p.m. EasternLADLADDodgers
Buehler, Walker
Buehler
1592+62=159664%4
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1456+14+24=149436%0
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Megill, Tylor
Megill
153028+0=150253%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1458+1+24=148347%2
4/23Saturday, April 238:10 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Williams, Trevor
Williams
153245+0=148754%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
145617+24=146346%5
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. EasternNYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
1531344=149350%6
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1457+19+20=149650%5
4/21Thursday, April 214:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
145534+0=142141%4
WSHWSHNationals
Rogers, Josh
Rogers
14665+24=148559%3
4/20Wednesday, April 207:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1452+14+0=146648%11
WSHWSHNationals
Fedde, Erick
Fedde
147012+24=148252%2
4/19Tuesday, April 197:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gilbert, Tyler
Gilbert
1453+1+0=145447%0
WSHWSHNationals
Adon, Joan
Adon
146917+24=147653%1
4/19Tuesday, April 191:05 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1455+3+0=145846%1
WSHWSHNationals
Gray, Josiah
Gray
14673+24=148854%6
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Castellanos, Humberto
Castellanos
145718+0=143939%0
NYMNYMMets
Peterson, David
Peterson
152736+24=151561%5
4/16Saturday, April 161:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Gallen, Zac
Gallen
1455+21+0=147643%3
NYMNYMMets
Carrasco, Carlos
Carrasco
152824+24=152857%2
4/15Friday, April 151:10 p.m. EasternARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
1457282=142732%3
NYMNYMMets
Bassitt, Chris
Bassitt
1527+9+25=156168%10
4/13Wednesday, April 133:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Valdez, Framber
Valdez
15485+0=154357%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1456+12+24=149243%3
4/12Tuesday, April 129:40 p.m. EasternHOUHOUAstros
Garcia, Luis
Garcia
15485+0=154358%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1457+3+26=148642%1
4/10Sunday, April 104:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Snell, Blake
Snell
1533+5+0=153861%10
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Smith, Caleb
Smith
145823+24=145939%5
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Musgrove, Joe
Musgrove
1531+2+0=153361%5
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Davies, Zach
Davies
145929+24=145439%2
4/8Friday, April 89:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Manaea, Sean
Manaea
1530+1+0=153155%3
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Kelly, Merrill
Kelly
1461+11+24=149645%0
4/7Thursday, April 79:40 p.m. EasternSDSDPadres
Darvish, Yu
Darvish
153112=152856%2
ARIARIDiamondbacks
Bumgarner, Madison
Bumgarner
1459+3+24=148644%4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.