Updated Nov. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM

2022 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Diamondbacks are done for the season.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers111-51	—	✓	✓
Padres Padres89-73	22.0	✓	—
Giants Giants81-81	30.0	—	—
Dbacks Diamondbacks74-88	37.0	—	—
Rockies Rockies68-94	43.0	—	—

Pitcher ratings

Every pitcher who has started or is scheduled to start a game this season, by rolling game score — our model’s prediction of how a pitcher will perform in a typical start. Pitchers with larger bubbles have recorded more starts.

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1480	+12	+0	=1492	38%	4
10/5Wednesday, Oct. 54:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1526	+27	+24	=1577	62%	2
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1482	+51	+0	=1533	49%	0
10/4Tuesday, Oct. 47:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1525	–12	+24	=1537	51%	3
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1483	–35	–4	=1444	32%	5
10/3Monday, Oct. 37:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1524	+28	+24	=1576	68%	6
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1483	–19	+0	=1464	40%	3
10/2Sunday, Oct. 24:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Alexander (open)	1509	+3	+24	=1536	60%	4
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Jameson	1481	–3	+0	=1478	41%	8
10/1Saturday, Oct. 14:05 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Alexander (open)	1511	+3	+24	=1538	59%	4
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1483	+21	–2	=1502	45%	4
9/30Friday, Sept. 3010:15 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1509	+2	+24	=1535	55%	10
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1481	+50	+0	=1531	35%	5
9/28Wednesday, Sept. 288:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Verlander	1579	+33	+24	=1636	65%	2
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 278:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1483	–19	–1	=1463	34%	2
9/27Tuesday, Sept. 278:10 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1578	–20	+23	=1581	66%	10
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Alexander (open)	1505	+4	+0	=1509	51%	3
9/25Sunday, Sept. 253:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Jameson	1484	–9	+24	=1499	49%	2
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1506	+6	+0	=1512	48%	2
9/24Saturday, Sept. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1482	+20	+24	=1526	52%	5
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1505	+29	–3	=1531	58%	6
9/23Friday, Sept. 239:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1483	–30	+22	=1475	42%	5
9/22Thursday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1483	+44	+0	=1527	32%	2
9/22Thursday, Sept. 2210:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1621	+16	+24	=1661	68%	3
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1480	–32	+0	=1448	26%	6
9/21Wednesday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	May	1625	–22	+24	=1627	74%	1
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Jameson	1477	–9	+0	=1468	26%	5
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 2010:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1628	–2	+24	=1650	74%	2
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 203:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1477	–17	+0	=1460	29%	5
9/20Tuesday, Sept. 203:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1628	–40	+24	=1612	71%	6
9/19Monday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1478	+25	–2	=1501	28%	2
9/19Monday, Sept. 1910:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1627	+13	+22	=1662	72%	5
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1520	+32	+0	=1552	57%	6
9/18Sunday, Sept. 184:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1480	–1	+24	=1503	43%	1
9/17Saturday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1519	+4	+0	=1523	46%	2
9/17Saturday, Sept. 178:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1481	+47	+24	=1552	54%	0
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1516	+11	+0	=1527	57%	12
9/16Friday, Sept. 169:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1484	–30	+24	=1478	43%	3
9/15Thursday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1518	–25	–3	=1490	51%	0
9/15Thursday, Sept. 159:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Jameson	1482	–23	+24	=1483	49%	4
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Grove	1625	–41	+0	=1584	64%	3
9/14Wednesday, Sept. 149:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1480	–19	+24	=1485	36%	5
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1624	+10	+0	=1634	64%	4
9/13Tuesday, Sept. 139:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1481	+27	+24	=1532	36%	0
9/12Monday, Sept. 129:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1622	–3	–2	=1617	67%	6
9/12Monday, Sept. 129:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1483	–10	+21	=1494	33%	0
9/11Sunday, Sept. 113:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1481	+47	+0	=1528	58%	12
9/11Sunday, Sept. 113:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1458	–10	+24	=1472	42%	6
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1482	–27	+0	=1455	51%	1
9/10Saturday, Sept. 108:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1456	–29	+24	=1451	49%	4
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1484	–12	–1	=1471	46%	10
9/9Friday, Sept. 98:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1455	+19	+26	=1500	54%	13
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1485	–19	+0	=1466	35%	3
9/7Wednesday, Sept. 78:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1520	+30	+24	=1574	65%	6
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1486	+29	+0	=1515	44%	5
9/6Tuesday, Sept. 69:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1519	+13	+24	=1556	56%	6
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1483	–23	–2	=1458	36%	5
9/5Monday, Sept. 56:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1522	+10	+23	=1555	64%	0
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Alexander	1526	–27	+0	=1499	43%	1
9/4Sunday, Sept. 44:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1481	+41	+24	=1546	57%	5
9/3Saturday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Burnes	1525	+28	+0	=1553	61%	8
9/3Saturday, Sept. 38:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1482	–28	+24	=1478	39%	6
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Lauer	1526	–6	+0	=1520	54%	1
9/2Friday, Sept. 29:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1481	–13	+24	=1492	46%	2
9/1Thursday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1528	+20	–4	=1544	52%	0
9/1Thursday, Sept. 19:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1479	+27	+24	=1530	48%	5
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Falter	1531	–32	+0	=1499	50%	18
8/31Wednesday, Aug. 319:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1483	–8	+24	=1499	50%	2
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Nola	1535	+28	+0	=1563	53%	3
8/30Tuesday, Aug. 309:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1480	+38	+24	=1542	47%	12
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1537	–3	–4	=1530	58%	7
8/29Monday, Aug. 299:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1477	–22	+20	=1475	42%	13
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1475	–14	+0	=1461	36%	3
8/28Sunday, Aug. 282:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cease	1510	+29	+24	=1563	64%	2
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1473	+26	+0	=1499	47%	10
8/27Saturday, Aug. 277:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Martin	1512	–16	+24	=1520	53%	5
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1470	–10	+0	=1460	38%	7
8/26Friday, Aug. 268:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Cueto	1515	+7	+21	=1543	62%	2
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1471	+36	+0	=1507	50%	3
8/24Wednesday, Aug. 248:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Singer	1452	+29	+24	=1505	50%	5
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1470	–15	–1	=1454	50%	7
8/23Tuesday, Aug. 238:10 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1454	–21	+24	=1457	50%	3
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Quintana	1530	–1	+0	=1529	51%	6
8/21Sunday, Aug. 214:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1471	+29	+24	=1524	49%	4
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Hudson	1527	–9	+0	=1518	55%	16
8/20Saturday, Aug. 208:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1474	–18	+24	=1480	45%	7
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1525	+6	–3	=1528	56%	5
8/19Friday, Aug. 199:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1475	–14	+21	=1482	44%	1
8/18Thursday, Aug. 183:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1473	+31	+0	=1504	44%	5
8/18Thursday, Aug. 183:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1509	+14	+24	=1547	56%	0
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 179:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1471	–15	+0	=1456	36%	3
8/17Wednesday, Aug. 179:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1511	+22	+24	=1557	64%	2
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 169:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1472	+28	+0	=1500	48%	1
8/16Tuesday, Aug. 169:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Junis	1510	–21	+24	=1513	52%	2
8/15Monday, Aug. 159:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1474	–13	–3	=1458	41%	1
8/15Monday, Aug. 159:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1508	–8	+24	=1524	59%	6
8/14Sunday, Aug. 143:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1472	–14	+0	=1458	49%	7
8/14Sunday, Aug. 143:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Feltner	1459	–20	+24	=1463	51%	4
8/13Saturday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1470	+27	+0	=1497	56%	6
8/13Saturday, Aug. 138:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1461	–27	+24	=1458	44%	0
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1471	–15	–3	=1453	45%	3
8/12Friday, Aug. 128:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1460	+5	+24	=1489	55%	5
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1436	–1	+0	=1435	37%	3
8/11Thursday, Aug. 113:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1470	+31	+24	=1525	63%	9
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Keller	1434	+6	+0	=1440	43%	6
8/10Wednesday, Aug. 109:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1471	–10	+24	=1485	57%	4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Thompson	1435	–5	+0	=1430	43%	4
8/9Tuesday, Aug. 99:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1470	–17	+24	=1477	57%	6
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Beede (open)	1436	–2	–4	=1430	38%	0
8/8Monday, Aug. 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1469	+24	+24	=1517	62%	3
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Urena	1457	–26	+0	=1431	44%	4
8/7Sunday, Aug. 74:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1468	–16	+24	=1476	56%	6
8/6Saturday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1456	+5	+0	=1461	41%	3
8/6Saturday, Aug. 68:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1469	+33	+24	=1526	59%	2
8/5Friday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1457	+14	–2	=1469	47%	5
8/5Friday, Aug. 59:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1468	–4	+22	=1486	53%	6
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Henry	1469	–15	+0	=1454	36%	4
8/3Wednesday, Aug. 31:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Bieber	1503	+30	+24	=1557	64%	7
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1467	+24	+0	=1491	42%	6
8/2Tuesday, Aug. 27:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	McKenzie	1505	+20	+24	=1549	58%	3
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1468	–13	–3	=1452	40%	5
8/1Monday, Aug. 17:10 p.m. Eastern	CLEGuardians	Quantrill	1504	–6	+21	=1519	60%	6
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1469	+27	+0	=1496	34%	0
7/31Sunday, July 311:35 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Fried	1559	+26	+24	=1609	66%	1
7/30Saturday, July 307:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Martin	1470	–45	+0	=1425	32%	2
7/30Saturday, July 307:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Anderson	1558	–24	+24	=1558	68%	6
7/29Friday, July 297:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1471	–2	–2	=1467	36%	2
7/29Friday, July 297:20 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Wright	1557	–12	+23	=1568	64%	5
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1511	+19	+0	=1530	52%	3
7/27Wednesday, July 273:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1469	+22	+24	=1515	48%	5
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1513	+22	+0	=1535	58%	3
7/26Tuesday, July 269:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gilbert	1467	–11	+24	=1480	42%	7
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Junis	1516	–16	–2	=1498	48%	0
7/25Monday, July 259:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1464	+20	+24	=1508	52%	7
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Fedde	1435	+0	+0	=1435	49%	4
7/24Sunday, July 244:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Martin	1466	–45	+24	=1445	51%	3
7/23Saturday, July 238:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Sanchez	1437	+12	+0	=1449	45%	2
7/23Saturday, July 238:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1464	–5	+24	=1483	55%	7
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Corbin	1440	–11	+3	=1432	39%	1
7/22Friday, July 229:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1461	+19	+29	=1509	61%	10
7/17Sunday, July 174:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1459	+22	+0	=1481	37%	3
7/17Sunday, July 174:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1529	+21	+24	=1574	63%	1
7/16Saturday, July 168:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gilbert	1460	–6	+0	=1454	37%	3
7/16Saturday, July 168:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1528	–3	+24	=1549	63%	4
7/15Friday, July 159:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1461	+0	+0	=1461	36%	3
7/15Friday, July 159:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1527	+15	+21	=1563	64%	5
7/13Wednesday, July 133:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1462	+18	+0	=1480	41%	3
7/13Wednesday, July 133:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Brebbia (open)	1516	+0	+24	=1540	59%	4
7/12Tuesday, July 129:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Keuchel	1464	–36	+0	=1428	32%	0
7/12Tuesday, July 129:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Webb	1514	+19	+24	=1557	68%	13
7/11Monday, July 119:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1463	+18	–3	=1478	44%	4
7/11Monday, July 119:45 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1515	–16	+22	=1521	56%	3
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1455	+2	+0	=1457	47%	3
7/10Sunday, July 104:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gilbert	1464	–14	+24	=1474	53%	2
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1457	+12	+0	=1469	48%	2
7/9Saturday, July 94:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1461	–2	+24	=1483	52%	9
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1456	+3	+0	=1459	43%	6
7/8Friday, July 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1463	+20	+24	=1507	57%	5
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1455	–9	–2	=1444	49%	4
7/7Thursday, July 79:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Keuchel	1464	–38	+24	=1450	51%	3
7/6Wednesday, July 69:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Cobb	1510	–13	+0	=1497	49%	7
7/6Wednesday, July 69:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1465	+17	+24	=1506	51%	5
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Wood	1512	–14	+0	=1498	54%	2
7/5Tuesday, July 59:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gilbert	1463	–16	+24	=1471	46%	6
7/4Monday, July 46:10 p.m. Eastern	SFGiants	Rodon	1515	+27	–3	=1539	58%	3
7/4Monday, July 46:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1460	–2	+21	=1479	42%	8
7/3Sunday, July 33:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1461	+21	+0	=1482	50%	5
7/3Sunday, July 33:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1456	+5	+24	=1485	50%	6
7/2Saturday, July 29:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Keuchel	1463	–36	+0	=1427	44%	7
7/2Saturday, July 29:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Gomber	1454	–10	+24	=1468	56%	11
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1460	+15	–1	=1474	48%	9
7/1Friday, July 18:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Senzatela	1457	+4	+26	=1487	52%	3
6/29Wednesday, June 293:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1543	+19	+0	=1562	61%	4
6/29Wednesday, June 293:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1462	–3	+24	=1483	39%	0
6/28Tuesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1544	–1	+0	=1543	54%	6
6/28Tuesday, June 289:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1461	+26	+26	=1513	46%	7
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Brieske	1458	+1	+0	=1459	52%	7
6/26Sunday, June 264:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Keuchel	1459	–35	+24	=1448	48%	11
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Faedo	1456	–15	+0	=1441	45%	6
6/25Saturday, June 2510:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1460	–8	+24	=1476	55%	3
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Garcia	1453	–20	–2	=1431	40%	5
6/24Friday, June 249:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1463	+16	+24	=1503	60%	1
6/22Wednesday, June 224:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1464	–1	+0	=1463	32%	4
6/22Wednesday, June 224:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Clevinger	1548	+21	+24	=1593	68%	10
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1465	+24	+0	=1489	39%	2
6/21Tuesday, June 219:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1547	–2	+24	=1569	61%	3
6/20Monday, June 209:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1466	–8	–2	=1456	33%	1
6/20Monday, June 209:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1546	+11	+21	=1578	67%	4
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Archer	1522	–3	+0	=1519	53%	1
6/19Sunday, June 194:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1463	+11	+24	=1498	47%	7
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Bundy	1518	–18	+0	=1500	51%	11
6/18Saturday, June 1810:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Weaver	1467	–1	+24	=1490	49%	1
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Smeltzer	1521	+6	–1	=1526	55%	2
6/17Friday, June 179:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1464	–1	+26	=1489	45%	7
6/15Wednesday, June 153:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Castillo	1479	+26	+0	=1505	50%	4
6/15Wednesday, June 153:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1463	+20	+24	=1507	50%	7
6/14Tuesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Mahle	1478	+13	+0	=1491	52%	5
6/14Tuesday, June 149:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1464	–12	+24	=1476	48%	3
6/13Monday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Minor	1477	+2	–3	=1476	47%	5
6/13Monday, June 139:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1465	+14	+20	=1499	53%	4
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Nelson	1460	–12	+0	=1448	36%	13
6/12Sunday, June 121:35 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1532	–9	+24	=1547	64%	1
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1461	+1	+0	=1462	33%	0
6/11Saturday, June 114:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Wheeler	1531	+27	+24	=1582	67%	4
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1462	+28	–2	=1488	43%	5
6/10Friday, June 107:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Gibson	1530	–13	+21	=1538	57%	7
6/9Thursday, June 912:35 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1461	–17	+0	=1444	40%	5
6/9Thursday, June 912:35 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Mahle	1479	+11	+24	=1514	60%	4
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1458	+9	+0	=1467	44%	7
6/8Wednesday, June 86:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Minor	1482	+5	+24	=1511	56%	0
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gilbert	1460	–4	+0	=1456	42%	8
6/7Tuesday, June 76:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Ashcraft	1480	+7	+24	=1511	58%	14
6/6Monday, June 66:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1462	+2	–2	=1462	46%	0
6/6Monday, June 66:40 p.m. Eastern	CINReds	Greene	1478	–12	+24	=1490	54%	7
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1464	+28	+0	=1492	53%	0
6/5Sunday, June 51:35 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Thompson	1443	+5	+24	=1472	47%	3
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1465	–24	+0	=1441	45%	1
6/4Saturday, June 44:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Contreras	1442	+11	+24	=1477	55%	2
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1463	+10	–2	=1471	50%	8
6/3Friday, June 37:05 p.m. Eastern	PITPirates	Brubaker	1443	+5	+22	=1470	50%	6
6/1Wednesday, June 13:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Wright	1536	–14	+0	=1522	55%	6
6/1Wednesday, June 13:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1465	+1	+24	=1490	45%	0
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Morton	1537	+6	+0	=1543	60%	7
5/31Tuesday, May 319:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1464	–17	+24	=1471	40%	8
5/30Monday, May 308:10 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Strider	1539	–25	–4	=1510	49%	2
5/30Monday, May 308:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1462	+30	+24	=1516	51%	6
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1599	–22	+0	=1577	66%	3
5/29Sunday, May 294:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1463	–27	+24	=1460	34%	1
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1598	+0	+0	=1598	64%	3
5/28Saturday, May 287:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1464	+11	+24	=1499	36%	2
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Pepiot	1597	–34	+0	=1563	60%	6
5/27Friday, May 279:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1465	+4	+24	=1493	40%	4
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	White	1594	–38	–4	=1552	60%	14
5/26Thursday, May 269:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1468	–12	+26	=1482	40%	1
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Heasley	1454	–5	+0	=1449	39%	6
5/24Tuesday, May 249:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1467	+34	+24	=1525	61%	8
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Greinke	1456	+12	–3	=1465	51%	5
5/23Monday, May 239:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1465	–24	+20	=1461	49%	9
5/22Sunday, May 222:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1466	+8	+0	=1474	46%	4
5/22Sunday, May 222:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Miley	1476	+3	+24	=1503	54%	5
5/21Saturday, May 212:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1465	–1	+0	=1464	45%	7
5/21Saturday, May 212:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1478	–6	+24	=1496	55%	6
5/20Friday, May 202:20 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1462	–14	+0	=1448	42%	10
5/20Friday, May 202:20 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1480	+1	+24	=1505	58%	6
5/19Thursday, May 197:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1461	+31	–4	=1488	45%	3
5/19Thursday, May 197:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Stroman	1482	+16	+24	=1522	55%	1
5/18Wednesday, May 184:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1461	–22	+0	=1439	25%	3
5/18Wednesday, May 184:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1590	+12	+24	=1626	75%	5
5/17Tuesday, May 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1463	+16	+0	=1479	35%	3
5/17Tuesday, May 1710:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Anderson	1588	–29	+24	=1583	65%	12
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gilbert	1464	–2	+0	=1462	33%	6
5/17Tuesday, May 173:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Pepiot	1587	–30	+24	=1581	67%	7
5/16Monday, May 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1464	–4	–2	=1458	30%	4
5/16Monday, May 1610:10 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1587	–2	+24	=1609	70%	5
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Steele	1477	–10	+0	=1467	49%	3
5/15Sunday, May 154:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1465	–18	+24	=1471	51%	2
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1475	+2	+0	=1477	45%	4
5/14Saturday, May 148:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1467	+25	+24	=1516	55%	2
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. Eastern	CHCCubs	Smyly	1477	–2	+0	=1475	51%	3
5/13Friday, May 139:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1466	–27	+26	=1465	49%	4
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1489	+16	+0	=1505	49%	11
5/11Wednesday, May 113:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1469	+18	+24	=1511	51%	3
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Luzardo	1491	–18	+0	=1473	48%	3
5/10Tuesday, May 109:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1467	–4	+24	=1487	52%	9
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1492	–27	–2	=1463	49%	3
5/9Monday, May 99:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1466	–19	+24	=1471	51%	4
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Marquez	1468	+1	+0	=1469	44%	0
5/8Sunday, May 84:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1464	+22	+24	=1510	56%	4
5/7Saturday, May 78:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Freeland	1467	+6	+0	=1473	52%	4
5/7Saturday, May 78:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1466	–32	+24	=1458	48%	1
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Kuhl	1468	–1	–3	=1464	44%	1
5/6Friday, May 69:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1464	+17	+22	=1503	56%	4
5/4Wednesday, May 412:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1463	+1	+0	=1464	46%	8
5/4Wednesday, May 412:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1492	–23	+24	=1493	54%	7
5/3Tuesday, May 36:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1462	–23	+0	=1439	38%	5
5/3Tuesday, May 36:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Rogers	1494	+5	+24	=1523	62%	4
5/2Monday, May 26:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1460	+23	–3	=1480	42%	5
5/2Monday, May 26:40 p.m. Eastern	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1495	+18	+24	=1537	58%	4
5/1Sunday, May 12:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1461	–33	+0	=1428	39%	5
5/1Sunday, May 12:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Hicks	1504	–21	+24	=1507	61%	7
4/30Saturday, April 302:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1459	+13	+0	=1472	40%	2
4/30Saturday, April 302:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1506	+12	+24	=1542	60%	0
4/29Friday, April 298:15 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1457	+3	+0	=1460	37%	6
4/29Friday, April 298:15 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1509	+20	+24	=1553	63%	2
4/28Thursday, April 287:45 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1458	–14	–3	=1441	37%	3
4/28Thursday, April 287:45 p.m. Eastern	STLCardinals	Hudson	1507	+1	+24	=1532	63%	8
4/27Wednesday, April 273:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Urias	1591	+4	+0	=1595	63%	1
4/27Wednesday, April 273:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1457	+20	+24	=1501	37%	3
4/26Tuesday, April 269:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Gonsolin	1593	–8	+0	=1585	69%	3
4/26Tuesday, April 269:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1455	–32	+24	=1447	31%	5
4/25Monday, April 259:40 p.m. Eastern	LADDodgers	Buehler	1592	+6	–2	=1596	64%	4
4/25Monday, April 259:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1456	+14	+24	=1494	36%	0
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Megill	1530	–28	+0	=1502	53%	6
4/24Sunday, April 244:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1458	+1	+24	=1483	47%	2
4/23Saturday, April 238:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Williams	1532	–45	+0	=1487	54%	2
4/23Saturday, April 238:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1456	–17	+24	=1463	46%	5
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1531	–34	–4	=1493	50%	6
4/22Friday, April 229:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1457	+19	+20	=1496	50%	5
4/21Thursday, April 214:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1455	–34	+0	=1421	41%	4
4/21Thursday, April 214:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Rogers	1466	–5	+24	=1485	59%	3
4/20Wednesday, April 207:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1452	+14	+0	=1466	48%	11
4/20Wednesday, April 207:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Fedde	1470	–12	+24	=1482	52%	2
4/19Tuesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gilbert	1453	+1	+0	=1454	47%	0
4/19Tuesday, April 197:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Adon	1469	–17	+24	=1476	53%	1
4/19Tuesday, April 191:05 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1455	+3	+0	=1458	46%	1
4/19Tuesday, April 191:05 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Gray	1467	–3	+24	=1488	54%	6
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Castellanos	1457	–18	+0	=1439	39%	0
4/17Sunday, April 171:40 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Peterson	1527	–36	+24	=1515	61%	5
4/16Saturday, April 161:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Gallen	1455	+21	+0	=1476	43%	3
4/16Saturday, April 161:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Carrasco	1528	–24	+24	=1528	57%	2
4/15Friday, April 151:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1457	–28	–2	=1427	32%	3
4/15Friday, April 151:10 p.m. Eastern	NYMMets	Bassitt	1527	+9	+25	=1561	68%	10
4/13Wednesday, April 133:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Valdez	1548	–5	+0	=1543	57%	2
4/13Wednesday, April 133:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1456	+12	+24	=1492	43%	3
4/12Tuesday, April 129:40 p.m. Eastern	HOUAstros	Garcia	1548	–5	+0	=1543	58%	2
4/12Tuesday, April 129:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1457	+3	+26	=1486	42%	1
4/10Sunday, April 104:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Snell	1533	+5	+0	=1538	61%	10
4/10Sunday, April 104:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Smith	1458	–23	+24	=1459	39%	5
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Musgrove	1531	+2	+0	=1533	61%	5
4/9Saturday, April 98:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Davies	1459	–29	+24	=1454	39%	2
4/8Friday, April 89:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Manaea	1530	+1	+0	=1531	55%	3
4/8Friday, April 89:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Kelly	1461	+11	+24	=1496	45%	0
4/7Thursday, April 79:40 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Darvish	1531	–1	–2	=1528	56%	2
4/7Thursday, April 79:40 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Bumgarner	1459	+3	+24	=1486	44%	4

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.